If the Yankees aren’t going to lose when they face Alek Manoah they might not lose again.
If the Yankees aren’t going to lose when they face Alek Manoah they might not lose again. Of course they’re going to lose again, but with the way they have played and their upcoming schedule, this winning streak could keep going for a while.
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Here are the bets for Wednesday, May 4.
It’s been an amazing two-plus weeks. A second consecutive 3-0 night on Tuesday makes for 13 winning nights in the last 14.
Here are the bets for Wednesday, May 4.
Mariners-Astros Under 8 (-115)
The rare 8 these days. The Mariners can’t score. They were shut out in the first two games of this series and now they are facing Justin Verlander. The Mariners’ ceiling for runs in this game is two or three, and even that seems high. The problem is Mariners’ starter Matt Brash isn’t any good. He has walked 10 in his last two starts and six of those came in a start against the Astros. The Astros could cover this number on their own, which is scary, but the odds of that are small.
Yankees -115 over Blue Jays
Two days ago, I would have signed up for the Yankees winning one game in Toronto. I just didn’t want them to get swept. Now it looks like they will sweep the Blue Jays, sweep their fourth straight series and extend their winning streak to 12 straight.
Nestor Cortes shut out the Blue Jays for 4 1/3 innings in April, and while that doesn’t seem like much, with this Yankees bullpen, 4 1/3 scoreless is more than enough because once they come in, it’s zeros for the rest of the game.
Yusei Kikuchi’s numbers against the Yankees read like a joke. In 83 combined plate appearances, the Yankees are hitting .356/.434/.644. Yes, a 1.078 team OPS. DJ LeMahieu, Gleyber Torres, Aaron Hicks, Anthony Rizzo, Tim Locastro, Aaron Judge, Jose Trevino, Joey Gallo and Marwin Gonzalez all have an OPS of at least 1.000 against Kikuchi.
The money line has gotten worse since I took it on Tuesday night, but I would take this money line at any number.
Angels-Red Sox Under 9 (-115)
Garrett Whitlock is starting for the Red Sox. In two opens/starts/whatevers, he hasn’t allowed a run. I’m glad the Yankees protected Nick Nelson and Brooks Kriske on their 40-man so Whitlock could end up with the Red Sox. Not only is Whitlock likely to shut down the Angels for a few innings, the Red Sox’ offense is abysmal.
Reid Detmers is a young lefty, and you never want to trust any lefty at Fenway Park, let alone one as inexperienced and with as shaky stats as Detmers, but like the Astros game, I think Whitlock is enough to back this under.
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The Yankees beat the Blue Jays on Monday thanks to Gleyber Torres having his best game since Game 1 of the 2019 ALCS.
The Yankees beat the Blue Jays 3-2 on Monday night in Toronto thanks to Gleyber Torres having his best game since Game 1 of the 2019 ALCS. The Yankees’ winning streak is now 10 as they continue to separate themselves from the rest of the AL East.
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Here are the bets for Tuesday, May 3.
Another winning night with a perfect 3-0 night on Monday. April was amazing and May has been a continuation of that.
Here are the bets for Tuesday, May 3.
Braves-Mets Game 2 Under 7.5 (-105)
I thought it was odd that a game with Kyle Wright starting would be listed at 7.5. But that’s because no Mets starter was announced when I took this line, and likely why it was both 7.5 and -105. I don’t love it because I don’t love any game lower than 8, but it’s a solid 7.5
Angels-Red Sox Under 8.5 (-110)
This game had already dropped to 8 by the afternoon and was on its way to 7.5. Both Noah Syndergaard and Michael Wacha have been good, but this is more about the Red Sox offense being a joke. The team leader in home runs has three and they simply can’t score. The regression that never came last year has come this year. It’s crazy to live in a world where an 8.5 at Fenway feels high.
Astros -150 over Mariners
Christian Javier’s numbers against the Mariners are some of the best I have ever seen. Chris Flexen’s numbers against the Astros are not good at all. Flexen can’t strike anyone out and the Astros have as good of a first five hitters in the league. Flexen is going to pray the balls in play are on the ground and at someone, but his history against the Astros suggests otherwise.
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Here are the bets for Monday, May 2.
A new winning streak has officially started. After the eight-day winning streak ended on Friday, back-to-back winning days on Saturday (4-0) and Sunday (2-1) have started a new streak. And with that nice three-team parlay hitting at +209 on Sunday, it was really an even better than 2-1 day.
Here are the bets for Monday, May 2.
Yankees-Blue Jays Under 8.5 (-115)
Finding an 8.5 these days is like finding a four-leaf clover. Finding a 9 or more is like winning the lottery. This line opened at 8 and has since moved to 8.5. I was tempted to take it at 8, so of course I took it at 8.5. I don’t have a great deal of confidence in this pick. A year ago this game would have been a 9.5, but in 2022 where two average starting pitchers going against each other are getting a 7, an 8.5 will have to do.
Ross Stripling isn’t very good. The only positive here is that he’s a righty and the Yankees’ best hitters are all right-handed. Aside from Anthony Rizzo, the only other left-handed bats he will see will be Joey Gallo (if he returns to the lineup following his groin injury) and Aaron Hicks.
Jordan Montgomery against a heavy right-handed lineup is fearful. Considering the first three batters he will face will be George Springer, Bo Bichette and Vlad Guerrero Jr., this pick could be in peril before the end of the first. Every first inning is important when betting unders, but this one will be even more so since Montgomery will be trying to produce soft contact against those three rather than blow them away and any missed location could end this game from an under standpoint as quickly as it starts.
Astros -135 over Mariners
Jake Odorizzi vs. Marco Gonzales. This same pitching matchup happened back on April 15, and Odorizzi got lit up, while Gonzalez allowed one run over seven innings.
The Astros have extremely good numbers against Gonzales. Alex Bregman, Michael Brantley, Yuli Gurriel, Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker each have an OPS of least .800 against him. The Mariners’ careers numbers aren’t nearly as good against Odorizzi.
Gonzales was hit on his wrist by a 109 mph line drive in his last start, which forced him out in the first inning. He was hit on his pitching wrist, and while he has been cleared to make the start, I would be surprised if we get the same result from the last time he faced the Astros two-plus weeks ago.
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