1. The Yankees had to win at least two games at Tropicana Field this week. Anything worse and their division chances would be in peril. They took care of business in the most Yankees way possible by doing the bare minimum and winning two of four against the first-place Rays. It was ugly as the offense struck out 45 times with just two walks across the first three games before exploding for 12 runs in the series finale — the first time they scored more than five runs in a game dating back to June 17.
2. As currently constructed, the way the Yankees are going to have to win in the postseason is how they won the first game of the series: get a dominant starting pitching performance that hands the ball off to one reliever and hit the ball over the wall. The offense went 3-for-30 with two walks and 17 strikeouts, but those “3” were all home runs (a three-run shot from Jose Caballero and a pair of solo home runs from Caballero and Ben Rice), and Cam Schlittler provided eight innings of one-run ball. The Yankees don’t make enough frequent contact to score by stringing together consecutive base hits, and that’s against non-postseason starters. Once they get into the postseason and see only elite starters and relievers, the odds of them scoring in ways other than with home runs will drop precipitously. The win on Monday is how they have to win this fall. The losses on Tuesday and Wednesday are how they will lose this fall. The win on Thursday (in which they scored 12 runs on 14 hits) was an outlier, as noted by their inability to score more than five runs in a game in more than three weeks.
3. Unfortunately, this all holds true if or when Aaron Judge returns. Brian Cashman showed his face at the Trop on Thursday and said Judge would be re-imaged during the All-Star break. He also said he doesn’t expect that imaging to come back clean.
“I don’t think we’re anticipating it’s coming back clean,” Cashman said. “I think we’re anticipating and hopeful that it’s showing the healing process.”
It’s likely that if Judge returns he will have to play with and through this injury and because the Yankees are built around one single bat, not having that bat at 100 percent is problematic. Yes, Judge at even 50 percent is better than the majority of players in the league, but when you have as much dead wood as the Yankees have in their lineup, you need Judge to be as close to 100 percent as possible and that now seems impossible for the remainder of 2026.
4. Cashman also discussed Giancarlo Stanton who hasn’t played since injuring his calf on April 24. The day after that injury, Stanton said, “I feel better than yesterday. I’m going to give it 24 hours, maybe [Sunday] see where we’re at and decide what to do. Stanton got hurt in the 26th game of the season. Friday will be the 94th game of the season.
“He had a new injury, which kind of resets the whole thing,” Cashman said of Stanton’s recent setback. “It’s an unfortunate circumstance. Certainly, we’d love to have him in that lineup.”
Cashman says a lot of outlandish things, like calling the 2023 Yankees that went 82-80 “really fucking good” or defending Anthony Volpe’s performance or continuing to support Aaron Boone (like he did again Thursday), but Cashman’s November 2023 comments on Stanton continue to hold up: “He’s going to wind up getting hurt again more likely than not because it seems to be part of his game.” (Stanton’s agent Joel Wolfe should have to issue an apology for his retaliatory comments toward Cashman over Cashman’s remarks.)
5. Even if Judge comes back and is close to his normal self and Stanton comes back and is his normal streaky self, those two don’t solve the Yankees’ swing-and-miss issue (and likely make it worse) and they don’t remove all of the remaining bad hitters from the lineup. I thought a super rotation of Schlittler, Gerrit Cole, Max Fried and Carlos Rodon could make up for the team’s offensive and bullpen deficiencies, but Cole has been shaky (as expected returning from Tommy John surgery) and both Fried and Rodon are on the injured list. Will Warren is back to his old ways of being consistently bad, Ryan Weathers is the latest failed young controllable starter acquired by Cashman, and the Yankees decided to go with a bullpen game on Thursday in their most important game of the season to date rather than sit through another Elmer Rodriguez grind or a Brendan Beck debacle.
6. It’s hard for me to believe that Thursday was anything other than an anomalous offensive performance. You have to be the biggest Yankees homer to think it was the start of something after the way the team has performed over the last three weeks. The Yankees got to a starter they never get to with one big inning and then tacked on against the Rays’ versions of Camilo Doval and Jake Bird and got to face a position player in the ninth inning (who they were unable to score against). As of now, Thursday was nothing more than a much-needed win to keep the division within reach at five games in the loss column.
7. Thursday was the most important game of the season to date and before that it was Wednesday and before that it was Tuesday and before that it was Monday. Going back to Monday, in what was then the most important game of the season to date, Anthony Volpe was on the bench. The Yankees won and he was on the bench again on Tuesday even with a left-handed starter going for Tampa Bay. He started on Wednesday and then was on the bench again on Thursday. The two games the Yankees won in the series had Volpe on the bench.
I’m sick of Volpe. It’s not anything he has done. It’s what he represents. He represents the Yankees’ arrogance, smugness and their we’re-smarter-than-everyone attitude that has tarnished this era. I don’t understand what the Yankees see in him after four years and more than 2,000 plate appearances other than not wanting to admit they were wrong in their evaluation of an all-time bust. I really don’t understand fans who still want to see him play every day. There is nothing he does well. He doesn’t hit for contact and has no power. He’s not a good baserunner or basestealer. His footwork at shortstop looks like his ankles are tied together and his arm is a disgrace for the position. There’s not a single part of baseball he does well and there’s not a single part of the game he has improved upon since his debut. He has one home run (May 26) and eight extra-base hits in 42 games this year. His OPS this season is .664. It was .663 last year and .657 the year before. This is who he is! What more do you need to see? Another 2,000 plate appearances and a litany of errors on routine plays?
If Volpe played second base and batted ninth, he would still suck and it would still suck that he was an everyday player for the Yankees, but the way he was viewed by the fan base would be much different. But he doesn’t play second base. He only plays shortstop when he’s not the best shortstop on the current roster. And he doesn’t bat ninth. He hasn’t batted ninth since June 23, nearly three weeks ago. During that time in reverse chronological order, these are the places in the order he has batted as a starter: 6, 5, 5, 6, 5, 6, 8, 7, 6, 5. In those games, he went 5-for-36 with one extra-base hit and 10 strikeouts. The Yankees went 1-9 in those games.
8. It’s not that I think Caballero is a star or going to be a star. Caballero pretty much is who he is at this point too, but he makes the routine plays at short look routine, he’s a pest in the batter’s box, has pop and provides big hits. There isn’t a single thing Volpe does on a baseball field better than Caballero. The only thing Volpe has ever done (and it’s not even something he did) was be a first-round pick, and the Yankees for whatever reason are unwilling to succumb to the idea that they misevaluated him or were unable to complete his development.
I don’t want to have to keep caring about who is the day’s starting shortstop. No team with a shortstop problem is winning the World Series. The only way out of this mess is for George Lombard Jr. to return to playing at Triple-A and return to mashing the way he was before his finger injury. Lombard Jr. is the resolution to ending the Volpe experiment and providing the Yankees with stability at the position for the future.
9. This weekend — meaning the weekend leading into the All-Star break — has been a problem for the Aaron Boone Yankees. The Yankees seem to go through the motions this weekend annually like they are breaking the monotony of spring training to head north. These games this weekend against the Nationals are immensely important, not only because every game of the season is immensely important, but because when you piss away nearly a month of games it enhances the importance of the remaining games.
10. The Nationals are a problem. They lead the majors in runs and are above .500 this late in the season for the first time in years. They would be a problem for the Yankees if the Yankees were at full strength and with the Yankees in their current state, they’re a terrible matchup given their ability to put up crooked numbers of runs and the Yankees’ inability to put up crooked numbers of hits let alone runs.
The series opener will be Ryan Weathers against a left-handed opener in Carson Palmquist. I have no idea which version of Weathers will show up. Will it be the pitcher who has the ability to throw seven scoreless innings or the one who allows five earned runs and can’t get through the fifth inning? If it’s the former, it still may not be good enough given the state of the Yankees’ offense. If it’s the latter, they won’t have a chance, the Boone Swoon will continue and it will be another year the Boone Yankees limp to the break. If Thursday’s win over the Rays was really the start of something and the end of this edition of the Boone Swoon, we’ll know on Friday.