A nice 3-1 day yesterday with the only loss coming in the Yankees’ 10-5 win over the Orioles, crushing the under 8.5. I don’t like the options for tonight, but there’s only 179 regular-season days to bet on baseball. Can’t take a night off!
Here are the bets for Friday, April 29.
Yankees -200 over Orioles Giants -235 over Nationals (+114) Let’s run it back! Another Yankees-Giants parlay? Why not?! Here’s to them beating up on the two rivals.
Braves-Rangers Under 9 (-120) There’s not much on the board tonight. This is the only under I like and I don’t even really like it. Even though the Braves can’t score, no under can be trusted in Texas, especially with the Rangers using an opener/bullpen game to try to get through this one.
The hot streak continues. Here’s to praying it never ends!
Here are the bets for Thursday, April 28.
Yankees-Orioles Under 8.5 (-115) I wish this line were 9. I really do. I don’t trust Jameson Taillon. I don’t trust him to keep people off base, I don’t trust him to give the Yankees length and I don’t trust him to keep the ball on the right said of the fence. But even if he only goes five innings, I trust the Yankees’ bullpen to keep the Orioles off the board and therefore Taillon could give up three runs over five and this would still look good.
It would still look good because Bruce Zimmermann owns the Yankees. His last two starts against the Yankees: 10.2 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 3 BB, 10 K, 1 HR. You would think the Yankees would own a lefty like Zimmermann with his arsenal, but it’s been the other way around.
The Yankees are due for a letdown offensive performance because of how their past week has gone, because Zimmermann dominates them and because it’s a weekday afternoon, getaway day game and the Yankees usually mail those in.
Red Sox-Blue Jays Under 8 (-115) Alek Manoah will shut the Red Sox down. That’s a guarantee. The question mark in the equation is if the Red Sox’ bullpen can hold the Blue Jays down after Garrett Whitlock opens the game.
At worst, I can see Manoah giving up three runs, and it’s hard to envision him doing that. The Red Sox’ bullpen is atrocious, and this game could 0-0 after four, and Whitlock gets removed and the Blue Jays have a day against the Red Sox relievers. But if that happens, it will be an Under 8 with only five innings to play.
Cubs-Braves Under 8.5 (-110) My favorite under of the day. Kyle Wright has been outstanding through his first three starts this season and Drew Smyly has been really good as well, on his now seventh team in 11 years. The Braves can’t score. The Cubs aren’t any good. The two starting pitchers are solid. This is my favorite under of the day.
Astros -165 over Astros Cardinals -180 over Diamondbacks (+149) I want to put the Yankees in this parlay as well, but I’m scared of how hot they have been, the opposing pitcher and it being a weekday afternoon, getaway game for them. It’s a recipe for disaster for them, and I have seen them lose that exact game too many times.
If the Astros had to pick one starting pitcher to face it would be Martin Perez, and he’s starting this game for the Rangers. I have no idea how Perez is still in the league and how he keeps getting new contracts from different teams. I get that the Rangers suck and aren’t going anywhere and someone has to pitch the innings, but Perez? Even if Justin Verlander lays an egg here, the Astros’ offense will be able to make up for it.
I don’t like betting on the Cardinals. Like the Nationals, Phillies and Braves, historically they have screwed me with anemic offenses. I do everything I can to not bet in favor of those teams. But when you’re playing the 2022 Diamondbacks at home, it’s hard to not to bet in favor of the Cardinals.
This last week has been amazing. Seven winning days in a row. It must be the new baby. If that’s the case, I’m going to need to have more kids. Here are the bets for
This last week has been amazing. Seven winning days in a row. It must be the new baby. If that’s the case, I’m going to need to have more kids.
Here are the bets for Wednesday, April 27.
Astros -110 over Rangers The Astros have been horrible this season and the absence of Jose Altuve has played a big part. They can’t score, their pitching has been blah and their bullpen is shaky. I can’t say I’m upset to see the Astros losing at the rate they are because who wants to see the Astros succeed except their owns fans? And in terms of gambling, their putrid start to the season has books putting out lines like this one in which they are -110 against a horrible Rangers team. These kinds of lines aren’t going to last forever for the Rangers.
Yankees -250 over Orioles/Brewers -170 over Pirates (+122) Unfortunately, when the Yankees play the Orioles you have to stick them with someone. Unless you really want to lay 2.5 times your money only to be letdown when the offense doesn’t show up. Tonight, it’s the Brewers getting the pairing for the parlay.
The Yankees are finally starting to look like the Yankees, and the Orioles continue to look like the Orioles. In actuality, -250 is too favorable, even for a Major League Baseball game.
I don’t really trust the Brewers, but it’s not hard to trust a team playing the Pirates. The worst days of the season are when there are matchups like Pirates-Reds and Orioles-Royals and wasted opportunities to bet against bad teams. You can’t waste those opportunities and this is one of them.
A 4-1 night last night. Not bad. Not bad at all. The only loss of the night came with the Astros losing to the Rangers. The Astros aren’t the team they have been for the last five years, but I guess it’s going to take losses like last night for me to stay away from their enticing money lines.
Here are the bets for Tuesday, April 26.
Yankees -290 over Orioles Blue Jays -210 over Red Sox (-102) Getting less-than-even odds on a two-team parlay isn’t ideal, but with the Yankees at -290 they need a partner tonight and the Blue Jays at home against Nick Pivetta seems like the best option. The Blue Jays’ numbers against Pivetta in his career look like slow-pitch Central Park numbers.
Dodgers-Diamondbacks Under 9.5 (-115) It’s hard to find a 9 these days, let alone a 9.5. This is a dangerous one with the combination of Tony Gonsolin (who can be wild) and Zach Davies (who can’t strike anyone out). The goal here is that the Diamondbacks continues to be a joke and the Dodgers don’t cover this total on their own. There’s going to be a lot of baserunners. A lot. Just need the balls in play to find fielders.
The Yankees are off tonight as is most of the league with just seven games on the schedule.
Here are the bets for Monday, April 25.
Blue Jays -125 over Red Sox I waited and waited last year for the Red Sox to play like the team on paper suggested they should be. They never did. Instead, they won 92 games, the one-game playoff, upset the Rays in the ALDS and were on their way to taking a commanding 3-1 lead in the ALCS before Jose Altuve changed the series. The Red Sox we have seen in 2022 are what I thought the 2021 Red Sox would be: a team with a mediocre pitching staff and a top-heavy lineup. These Blue Jays never be just -125 at home against these Red Sox.
Red Sox-Blue Jays Under 8.5 (-115) It’s rare that I have separate bets on a winner and the total in the same game, but tonight I do. Jose Berrios and Nathan Eovaldi can both be trusted in this critical AL East matchup, which should have a playoff-like atmosphere to it with the importance of every AL East divisional game this season. The bullpens of both teams are shaky (which is the Yankees’ biggest advantage against both of these teams), and so I’m going to need really strong starts from Berrios and Eovaldi, so some late bomb from the lengthy list of power hitters in this one doesn’t force an over.
Astros -130 over Rangers The Astros haven’t been good in 2022, but still, only -130 against the Rangers? It’s too good not to take.
Mets -135 over Cardinals The Cardinals are a team I normally shy away from because they screw me if I bet on them and they screw me when I bet against them. The Mets have been great this season and so has Max Scherzer. Any time you can get Scherzer with as favorable of a line as -135, you have to take it.
Dodgers-Diamondbacks Under 8.5 (-105) You can never feel too confident betting against garbage teams like the Diamondbacks because even though starter Merrill Kelly is good, the Diamondbacks bullpen will eventually have an impact on the game, and they could single-handedly ruin an under. I’m going to need Kelly and Walker Buehler to both be on their game to prevent the Diamondbacks’ relievers from destroying the amazing value here.
