fbpx

Author: Neil Keefe

Blogs

Yankees Could Use Mulligan on Frankie Montas

Frankie Montas is only three starts into his Yankees career, but so far, he looks like every other young, controllable starter Brian Cashman has traded for.

I guess Wednesday was just a moment and not the start of something special. The Yankees followed up their much-needed, dramatic, come-from-behind, walk-off win with yet another loss, this time a 9-2 loss to the Blue Jays. Wednesday was just another win labeled as “The Possible Turning Point” that turned out to be nothing more than a letdown. There was no carryover effect and whatever momentum the Yankees had created in the early minutes of Thursday morning was gone before sunset on Thursday night. Momentum in baseball is only as good as the next day’s starting pitching, and unfortunately, Frankie Montas was the next day’s starting pitcher.

Before the Yankees batted for a second time the game was over on Thursday. Montas allowed a 5-spot in the top of the second, giving up a pair of singles, a double, walk and a three-run home run in the frame. The Yankees trailed 5-0 after an inning-and-a-half, never recovered and lost for the 12th time in their last 16 games.

While Montas was busy putting runners on base, the offense was performing their disappearing act against Jose Berrios, who entered the game with a 5.61 ERA and had allowed 13 earned runs and 20 baserunners in his last 7 2/3 innings. The Yankees scored just two runs, with both coming in a second-inning rally made possible by the Blue Jays’ defense. The Yankees didn’t hit a ball out of the infield in that inning, but managed to plate two thanks to a walk, a hit by pitch and an error. Even with their eight-run explosion on Wednesday, the Yankees have scored just 20 runs in their last nine games. Remove Wednesday, and they have scored 12 runs in their last eight games. Bronx Bombers, indeed.

For as bad as the offense was, this game was on Montas as he took the team out of it in the second. Through three starts as a Yankee, he’s pitched more like a No. 5 (at best) and nothing like the No. 2 or No. 3 the Yankees thought they were acquiring at the trade deadline. Of course, the Yankees should have traded for Luis Castillo, but at this rate, they would have been wise to just keep JP Sears, who they traded for Montas. (And obviously they should have kept Jordan Montgomery, who they inexplicably gave away for no reason and who hasn’t lost as a Cardinal, posting the lowest ERA of any three-game stretch in his career.) The Yankees traded for a pitcher with a 3.23 career ERA at home in Oakland and a 4.48 career ERA on the road, and he has lived up to those numbers.

Montas has been no different than the other relatively young, controllable starting pitchers Brian Cashman has traded for in the past who failed to come close to duplicating their performances with the Yankees.

Jeff Weaver
The Yankees traded for the 25-year-old on July 5, 2002 after he posted a 3.18 ERA (3.17 ERA) in 17 starts with the Tigers (giving up Ted Lilly who would go on to pitch in the majors for more than a decade). In two years with the Yankees, Weaver pitched to a 5.35 ERA in 32 starts and 15 relief appearances, and gave up the walk-off home run in Game 4 of the 2003 World Series that led the Marlins to three straight wins to beat the Yankees in six games. After the 2003 season, the Yankees traded him to the Dodgers for … Kevin Brown! What a way to double down on a bad decision and compound the problem.

Javier Vazquez
After pitching to a 3.52 ERA (3.40 FIP) for three straight years with the Expos, the Yankees traded for the 27-year-old in December 2003. He was an All-Star in 2004, pitching to a 3.56 ERA and accumulating 10 wins in the first half. But after the break, he fell apart, pitching to a 6.92 ERA in 14 starts. He relieved Brown in the second inning of Game 7 of the ALCS and allowed a first-pitch grand slam to Johnny Damon. After the season he was traded to the Diamondbacks in the Randy Johnson deal.

After winning the 2009 World Series, Cashman let World Series MVP Hideki Matsui walk, so he could bring back Nick Johnson to be the team’s designated hitter, who he traded to the Expos acquire Vazquez back in 2003. He also brought Vazquez back after posting a 2.87 ERA in 32 starts with the Braves. Vazquez was even worse in his second go-around with the Yankees, pitching to a 5.32 ERA (5.56 FIP) in 26 starts and five relief appearances, the only regular-season relief appearances of his career.

Michael Pineda
The Yankees traded Jesus Montero for Pineda after Pineda was an All-Star in his rookie season in 2011 with the Mariners. Pineda missed all of 2012 and 2013 with injuries and didn’t make his Yankees debut until his third year with the organization. He was outstanding in 13 starts, pitching to a 1.89 ERA, but got busted for having an exceptional amount of pine tar on his neck against the Red Sox and got suspended and injured and missed the majority of the season. In six years with the Yankees, Pineda missed two full seasons due to injuries, and most of two others, making only one true full season of starts (32 in 2016) with almost another full season (27 in 2015).

Nathan Eovaldi
As a Marlin in 2014, Eovaldi led the league in hits allowed (223), so of course the Yankees thought they could fix a 25-year-old with a triple-digit fastball who somehow couldn’t strike anyone out. In two seasons with the Yankees, Eovaldi made 51 starts and three relief appearances, pitching to a 4.45 ERA, while allowing nearly one-and-a-half baserunners per inning. He left the Yankees after 2016 needing Tommy John surgery, signed with the Rays and was traded to the Red Sox and helped eliminate the Yankees in the 2018 ALDS on the way to winning the World Series.

Sonny Gray
In 2015, David Ortiz said this about Gray:

“The last few seasons, the toughest guy I’ve faced is Sonny Gray from Oakland. This kid’s stuff is legit … the first time I see this Gray kid on the mound, I can’t help but notice he’s 5’10” and skinny. He looks like the guy who fixes my computer at the Apple Store. I’m thinking, Here we go. This is gonna be fun. Then he took me for a ride, man. Fastball. Sinker. Slider. Curve … Whap. Whap. Whap. You have no idea what this kid is going to throw. He drives me crazy.”

That coupled with his 3.42 ERA in five seasons with the A’s had me ecstatic when the Yankees traded for him at the 2017 deadline. Gray was solid down the regular-season stretch for the Yankees, pitched poorly in Game 1 of the ALDS, but extremely well in Game 4 of the ALCS. In 2018, after allowing 10 baserunners and seven earned runs in 2 2/3 innings against the last-place Orioles, Gray and his 5.56 ERA were removed from the rotation. Cashman made it clear in the media he was going to move Gray after the season, saying, “I don’t feel like we can go through the same exercise and expect different results.” This admission ruined any value of Gray and any leverage for the Yankees and they traded him to the Reds for nothing.

In three seasons with the Reds, Gray was an All-Star and pitched to a.349 in 68 starts. This year, his first with the Twins, he has a 3.11 ERA In 18 stars.

James Paxton
The Yankees trade for the oft-injured left-hander who had never pitched more than 160 1/3 innings in a season. He was good (3.82 ERA and 3.86 FIP) but not great for the Yankees in 2019, and in the postseason, he couldn’t get through five innings in his lone ALDS start and got only seven outs in his first ALCS start. His Game 6 start in the 2019 ALCS (6 IP, 1 ER) made up for his other two, but his inability to give the Yankees length helped destroy the bullpen.

In 2020, he made five awful starts ( 6.64 ERA) before going to down for the season with an injury, ending his time with the Yankees.

(I will leave Jameson Taillon out of this for now since he’s still a Yankee, but he’s not as good as the Yankees hoped in trading for him and has worse numbers as a Yankee than he did with the Pirates.)

Montas is only three starts into his Yankees career and will ultimately be judged on how he pitches in October (if he doesn’t pitch himself out of the rotation by then). He will be a Yankee through next season (if he doesn’t pitch himself out of the rotation or off the team by then).

He’s a long way from becoming the latest young, controllable starter that the Yankees have traded for who then failed with the team. But as of now, he’s off to the same start and on the same path as some of his predecessors. And if it doesn’t work out for Montas with the Yankees, I’m sure he will enjoy success again once he’s no longer a Yankee, like all the other young, controllable starters Cashman has acquired.


Subscribe to the Keefe To The City Podcast.


My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

Read More

PodcastsYankeesYankees Podcast

Yankees Podcast: Start of Something Special?

The Yankees finally dipped into their prospect pool to give their major-league roster a spark. All it took was going 24-29 since June 19 to finally make changes

The Yankees finally dipped into their prospect pool to give their major-league roster a spark. All it took was going 24-29 since June 19 to finally make changes, but Oswaldo Cabrera and Estevan Florial were called up on Wednesday. Between the new look of the roster, Wednesday’s dramatic win and the hopeful returns in the near future of DJ LeMahieu and Giancarlo, maybe the Yankees can get back on track.


Subscribe to the Keefe To The City Podcast.


My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

Read More

BlogsYankeesYankees Thoughts

Yankees Thoughts: Turning Point in Season or Simply One Moment?

The Yankees ended their latest losing streak with a come-from-behind, walk-off win on Wednesday against the Rays. They still lost the three-game series and have lost five straight series, but for one game the Yankees

The Yankees ended their latest losing streak with a come-from-behind, walk-off win on Wednesday against the Rays. They still lost the three-game series and have lost five straight series, but for one game the Yankees gave their fans a night off from being depressed.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. It’s nice to write these Thoughts coming off a win. It would have been better to write them coming off a series win, something the Yankees haven’t had in three weeks, but I will take what I can get att this point as the Yankees continue to make me sweat my over 91.5-win preseason wager. (They need to go 19-25 to clinch for me.)

I’m happy the Yankees won on Wednesday and I’m happy they scored eight runs (seven if you don’t count the automatic runner in the 10th). I’m happy they finally called up two position players to give the roster and lineup a new look, and I’m happy they finally brought back the organization’s best reliever since Michael King went down and Clay Holmes turned into Jonathan Holder. But the happiness is only as good as the next day’s game, and if the Yankees get embarrassed by the Blue Jays over the next four days the way every team other than the Royals has embarrassed them since the All-Star break, Wednesday’s much-needed come-from-behind win will be forgotten the way every other win since June 19 that has been labeled as “The Possible Turning Point” has been.

No team with a 73-45 record should have as big of a win in mid-August as the Yankees had on Wednesday night over the Rays. The Yankees were a an an early four-run deficit and eventually three outs away from yet another loss and from seeing their once-15 1/2-game division lead falling to just seven games in the loss column. But then Josh Donaldson (one of the faces of everything wrong with the 2022 Yankees) stepped up and had his biggest hit as a Yankee.

2. The “Owed $48 Million Man” hit a walk-off grand slam in the 10th inning off Jalen Beeks to prevent the Yankees from losing a fourth straight game, and for at least one night, brought some good vibes back to the Bronx.

Do I expect Donaldson to now go off and turn around his season and make his situation and contract with the Yankees anything more than the disaster it’s been (which is why they reportedly tried to trade him at the deadline, but no general manager was as dumb as Brian Cashman to take on his money owed)? No, I don’t. I don’t because this isn’t the first time Donaldson has had a game in which he tried to fool fans into thinking he was anything other than washed up only to continue his drastic decline.

On Opening Day (April 8), Donaldson went 2-for-6 with a walk-off single against the Red Sox as the leadoff hitter. He then hit .207/.343/.345 with two home runs over his next 105 plate appearances.

In Chicago against the White Sox on May 12 and May 13, Donaldson went 4-for-10 with a double, two home runs and six RBIs. He then hit .213/.283/.336 with two home runs over his next 138 plate appearances.

From July 6 through July 9, Donaldson went 5-for-13 with three home runs and nine RBIs. He then hit .192/.259/.295 with one home run over his next 85 plate appearances.

In Seattle on August 8, in the middle of a five-game losing streak, Donaldson went 4-for-5 with two doubles, a home run and three RBIs. He then hit .120/.241/.120 over his next 29 plate appearances before Wednesday.

And then on Wednesday he hit the grand slam. Even with the grand slam, his OPS is at .698 on the season.

So I’m sorry if I don’t think Wednesday night’s moment was anything more than that: a moment. I don’t expect 2015 AL MVP Donaldson to now appear for the Yankees, and I don’t even expect 2021 Donaldson to appear. I expect the version of Donaldson we have seen for nearly the entire season to continue to be the Donaldson we see, and if he continues to play every day like he has all year, he will have occasional moments like he did on Wednesday. Not enough to warrant him being an everyday player for a championship team, but just enough for him to keep playing and to bat in the middle of the order for these Yankees.

3. Welcome back, Estevan Florial, and welcome, Oswaldo Cabrera. It took scoring one run (on an error) over three games and watching the Yankees 15 1/2-game division lead get cut in half for them to finally make some roster changes. Florial is back after four games with the team earlier this year (and after hitting .300/.440/.550 in 11 games last year), and Cabrera made his major-league debut at third base on Wednesday. Aaron Boone said both are going to play, and we’ll see if Fletcher Reede actually means what he says.

4. Isiah Kiner-Falefa hit his first home run of the season and drove in all three Yankees runs in their win on Saturday when the outrage about his play and the calls for Oswald Peraza were as loud as they have ever been (and still remain that loud). Donaldson finally did something at the plate in a big spot for the Yankees on the day one of the Yankees’ top prospects made his major-league debut at Donaldson’s third base. It’s almost as if sending messages and not being complacent can lead to positive results! Who would have known? (Well, clearly the defending-champion Braves who have called up their prospects with less Triple-A time and production than the Yankees’ prospects and have had immense success.)

I hope Florial and Cabrera both flourish in their opportunities. I want the Yankees to roster likable players, and Florial and Cabrera having success in the majors means less of Aaron Hicks, Donaldson and Kiner-Falefa. (I don’t actually think it will mean less Donaldson and Kiner-Falefa since the Yankees clearly think they are good, everyday-worthy, winning players. But it should mean less of them if this duo plays well.)

If Peraza keeps hitting in Triple-A, he should get a chance too. Just because the Yankees traded for Kiner-Falefa as a 2022 stopgap to bridge them to Peraza or Anthony Volpe doesn’t mean they have to wait until 2023 to turn to either. Kiner-Falefa has done enough (or rather not enough) for the Yankees to already have reason to be playing either of them now in the majors. If Kiner-Falefa continues to be an atrocious at-bat with an untrustworthy glove, give someone else an everyday chance.

5. It was nice to see Gleyber Torres finally do something as well on Wednesday, as he hit a two-run home run to get the Yankees on the board. But then in the seventh inning with the bases loaded and one out and the Yankees trailing by one run, Torres came to bat, swung at the first pitch and grounded into an inning-ending double play. Aaron Judge had walked on four straight pitches right before Torres came to bat and it’s likely what happened in Judge’s at-bat never crossed Torres’ mind. It was an ill-advised swing from a player who continues to boast arguably the lowest Baseball IQ I have seen from any player since Nick Swisher.

6. Boone did everything he could to try to extend the Yankees’ losing streak on Wednesday. After Lucas Luetge allowed a run in the sixth, he sent him back out there for the seventh. Luetge was allowed to put two more runners on in the seventh (after putting on two in the sixth) before Boone turned to “Roster Manipulation Ron” Marinaccio to get out of the jam. If Boone was willing to go to Marinaccio in the seventh, why didn’t he just start the inning clean? Why do I find myself writing a sentence similar to that in every one of these Thoughts blogs?

7. Thankfully, Marinaccio was recalled and available on Wednesday. It’s comical that Marinaccio entered in what was the highest leverage situation in the game to that point. Good enough to be used as the most important reliever last night, but not good enough to be a Yankees the previous 10 days. Well, that’s not true. He has always been good enough to be a Yankee, he was just used as a pawn in the Yankees’ roster manipulation strategy. The Yankees lost seven of nine will Marinaccio was wasting away in Triple-A, losing games because of meltdowns from Albert Abreu, Scott Effross, Lou Trivino and Holmes. The Yankees likely have a couple more wins if Marinaccio is on the Yankees over that nine-day period, as well as if Clarke Schmidt were too (who is still wasting away in Triple-A).

8. In the bottom of the ninth, Boone sent up Hicks as pinch hitter for Kiner-Falefa. Boone operated under the idea that Hicks had a better chance of ending the game with one swing than Kiner-Falefa, but that concept is meaningless since I too had a better chance of ending the game with one swing that Kiner-Falefa. Hicks has also homered in 1.6 percent of his plate appearances this season, so let’s not act like Matt Stairs was coming off the bench in that situation. Hicks struck out.

9. Then in the 10th, Boone brought in Aroldis Chapman. I was fine with that decision. What I wasn’t fine with was staying with Chapman with the bases loaded and one out and Francisco Mejia up. Mejia is a .225/.248/.384 hitter against righties and a .386/.397/.561 hitter against lefties. Even down 0-2, Mejia was able to hit a go-ahead, three-run double off Chapman.

As I said on the Keefe To The City Podcast earlier this week, Chapman could pitch 30 straight perfect innings and I will never trust him. The narrative of Chapman of late had been that he had resolved his issues and was his old self, and deserving of being the No. 1 arm in the Yankees’ bullpen. Then he went out on Wednesday night, got two outs and allowed two walks and a double, nearly ruining the game and handing the Yankees another loss before the walk-off in the bottom half of Chapman’s disastrous inning.

10. All Wednesday’s win should have done was make Yankees fans feel good in the exact moment of the walk-off grand slam. That’s it. Be happy until the moment Donaldson crossed the plate and then get back to reality. Because all the Yankees did was win one game. They still have a long way to go to getting back to being even remotely close to the team they were from mid-April to mid-June and to proving their postseason isn’t going to last only a handful of days.

Wednesday was one game and it was one win. Maybe it’s the start of something for the first time in two months. No win since June 19 has been the start of anything, but maybe this win will be different. I pray it is.


Subscribe to the Keefe To The City Podcast.


My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

Read More

PodcastsYankeesYankees Podcast

Yankees Podcast: Another Day, Another Loss

The Yankees lost again on Tuesday for their third straight loss and their ninth loss in their last 11 games.

The Yankees lost again on Tuesday for their third straight loss and their ninth loss in their last 11 games. Their division lead, which was once 15 1/2 games is now eight games in the loss column. The are losing ground each day and not doing anything about it from a roster or lineup standpoint.


Subscribe to the Keefe To The City Podcast.


My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

Read More

BlogsYankees

Aaron Boone Guarantees Yankees ‘Will Recover’

Aaron Boone still thinks the Yankees “are good” and believes they will get back to being the team they were earlier in the season.

Shut out. Again. That’s what happened to the Yankees on Monday night at the Stadium in a 4-0 loss to the Rays. It was their second straight game being shut out and their fourth in their last nine. Since the third inning on Friday night against the Red Sox (a span of now 34 innings), the only Yankee to have driven in a run is Isiah Kiner-Falefa.

Since June 19, the Yankees are 23-28. They are 8-16 since the All-Star break and 2-10 since in their last 12 games. They are in a free fall. Not the kind of free fall that will find completely blowing what was once a 15 1/2-game lead in the division (it’s now at 10), but a free fall that will inevitably end in an early postseason exit.

Despite playing like the Nationals (who traded away their 23-year-old generational star) for the last three-plus weeks and like the Rangers (who fired their manager earlier this week) for the last two months, Aaron Boone doesn’t view his team like one that is extremely fortunate no other team in their division has capitalized on their eight-week slide. He said as much in his postgame press conference after Monday night’s shutout loss to the Rays.

“When we are right, and we are hole. We are going to be a very good offense.”

What exactly is “right” and what is “hole?” Because if being “right” and “hole” is having every possible available player healthy then the Yankees will likely never be “right” or “hole” again this season.

DJ LeMahieu has missed the last two games with a foot issue that has reportedly been bothering him for a good amount of the season. Giancarlo Stanton has missed one third of the season with various injuries and still hasn’t played in rehab games. Everything has to go exactly right in Matt Carpenter’s healing from his broken foot for him to return this season. The Yankees need to get all three of those players healthy and back and producing to meet Boone’s promise that the “offense will be very good” again. (I didn’t include Harrison Bader since I expect as much out of him offensively as Aaron Hicks has provided.) What Boone isn’t considering is that more players could get injured even if any of those three return.

Every team deals with injuries and the Yankees have dealt with seemingly more injuries than every other team over the last four seasons. This might be in terms of the Yankees’ lineup though since you can’t count on injured players to return and be productive and you can’t count on other players not getting injured. With the Yankees’ unwillingness to give any player in either Triple-A or Double-A a chance at the major-league level over players like Kiner-Falefa, Hicks and Josh Donaldson, there will be more shutouts over the next six weeks.

“Big picture, there are some good things happening. We just gotta get some guys on track offensively right now.”

The starting pitching has been better of late and the bullpen has gone from completely untrusworthy to just untrustworthy. That’s about the only positives I can see that Boone could possibly be referring to.

Who are the guys that need to get on track? The only offensive players to be consistent all season are LeMahieu, Carpenter, Aaron Judge and Jose Trevino. With LeMahieu and Carpenter out, that leaves Judge and Trevino as the only consistent available bats, and no one should be counting on the best defensive catcher in the league to be an important bat for the Yankees. That leaves Judge.

Anthony Rizzo has had his moments this season, but he’s been bad since returning to play last week and has been up and down all year. He’s the only other “healthy” possibility at the moment you can maybe rely on.

The players Boone is referring to are clearly Hicks, Donaldson and Gleyber Torres.

When Hicks homered in three of four games from July 6 through July 9 there was this perception his power (or whatever power he has ever had) had returned and he was going to turn his season around. Since that home run on July 9 (38 days ago), he hasn’t homered again, and hasn’t even had an extra-base hit. He’s hitting .159/.289/.159 since and on Monday single-handedly helped the Yankees to a loss.

Last Monday in Seattle, for the third time this season, people thought Donaldson was finally going to turn his season around after going 4-for-5 with three RBIs. Since then he’s yet another slump, going 2-for-21 with 11 strikeouts. (I guess it’s not technically a slump since it’s really just been one atrocious season.) His OPS is back down under .700 at .692. The lowest full-season OPS of his career.

Torres had a pair of singles on Monday night, which were his first hits in exactly a week. He has one home run in nearly four weeks and the early-season idea he was returning to the 2018-19 version of himself was always as ridiculous as thinking the 2022 Yankees could achieve what the 1998 Yankees did.

There’s no getting these three “on track.” This is who they are. Hicks is a 32-year-old outfielder who spent his entire 20s on the injured list and is now playing with a surgically-repaired elbow and wrist to go along with all of the ailments he has had in his career. Donaldson is a 36-year-old, washed-up and overpaid shell of his former self who the Yankees foolishly owe $48 million to. Torres is a former star who was on his way to a Monument Park-like career before coming to 2020 spring training out of shape and never recovering. It’s no surprise post-deadline reports have come out that the Yankees were trying to trade all three two weeks ago.

“We’re good. We’re going to get a little more whole as we move forward here.”

You’re not “good.” You were good in late April, May and early June. Now you’re a team that is living off what they accomplished two-plus months ago and seems to be destined for another ALDS exit. And again, you may get “whole,” but there’s no assurance you will.

“We’re going to recover.”

I don’t know that the Yankees will recover. And recover to me means to play like a championship team, which it seemed like they were earlier in the season, but last were on June 18. Back then it was the Yankees and Astros in the American League and everyone else. Now in the AL? It’s the Astros and everyone else.

The Yankees may have a bye to the ALDS, but that doesn’t mean they will survive the ALDS. If they play the Mariners, who will feel confident, considering the Mariners just won four of six against the Yankees and boast Luis Castillo, who the Yankees failed to acquire. What Yankees fan would feel good about a matchup with the Rays or Blue Jays? No Yankees fan that has seen how they have played against either of those teams in the last few years.

By claiming the Yankees will recover, Boone opened himself up to a potential disaster if they don’t.

“It’s not great right now.”

No, it’s not.


Subscribe to the Keefe To The City Podcast.


My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

Read More