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Author: Neil Keefe

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Yankees-Guardians ALDS Game 2 Thoughts: Déjà Vu All Over Again

The Yankees blew a two-run lead at home in Game 2 of the ALDS and now go to Cleveland for Games 3 and 4, having given away home-field advantage. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

The Yankees blew a two-run lead at home in Game 2 of the ALDS and now go to Cleveland for Games 3 and 4, having given away home-field advantage.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. I left Yankee Stadium just before midnight on Oct. 3, 2006 as River Ave. filled with chants of “SWEEP! SWEEP! SWEEP!” The Yankees had cruised to an 8-4 win in Game 1 of the ALDS against the Tigers, backed by a 5-for-5, two-double, two-home run night from Derek Jeter and a two-run home run from Jason Giambi, and the 56,291 at the Stadium were pouring onto the street making it known how they thought the best-of-5 series would go.

The Yankees had won 97 games, easily winning the AL East by 10 games. Their offense was so ridiculous and overflowing with talent that defending AL MVP Alex Rodriguez was batting sixth, Robinson Cano hit .342 in the regular season and was batting ninth and Gary Sheffield had to learn how to play first base to get in the lineup. Their lineup for that Game 1 win:

Johnny Damon, CF
Derek Jeter, SS
Bobby Abreu, RF
Gary Sheffield, 1B
Jason Giambi, DH,
Alex Rodriguez, 3B
Hideki Matsui, LF
Jorge Posada, C
Robinson Cano, 2B

Unfortunately, Mother Nature didn’t cooperate after Game 1, and the following night Game 2 was rained out and moved to 1:00 the next afternoon, changing the entire series.

In that day game, a rookie named Justin Verlander made his postseason debut, going 5 1/3 innings and allowing three earned runs. The Yankees had a two-run lead that Joe Torre let Mike Mussina blow and then some, and with the Yankees trailing by a run and the October shadows moving slowly over home plate, Joel Zumaya entered and struck out three of the four hitters he faced in the seventh and eighth with fastballs reaching 103 mph. The Yankees went to Detroit with the series tied at 1 and didn’t play another game at the Stadium that season.

2. It was the memory of that game that had me pacing around on Thursday waiting to see if Game 2 of this season’s ALDS would be moved because of rain. Sure enough, it was.

The postponement would mean yet another day off for the Yankees who had played one game in the last seven days and hadn’t played a meaningful game prior to Game 1 in weeks. It meant losing Nestor Cortes as a starting option in a potential Game 5. It meant losing the nighttime postseason atmosphere of Yankee Stadium. It meant a weekday afternoon crowd at Yankee Stadium. It meant the October shadows would come into play against the dominant Cleveland bullpen. It meant nothing good for the Yankees.

And it proved out to be nothing good for the Yankees. Just like they blew a two-run lead 16 years prior in Game 2 of the 2006 ALDS at home, they blew a two-run lead in Game 2 on Friday at home. After plating two in the first on a missed ball 4 call to Giancarlo Stanton that resulted in a two-run porch shot, the Yankees never scored again. Zero runs over the final nine innings of the game.

The shadows I feared accentuated the Yankees’ inability to make contact as they struck out for 15 of their 30 outs to the Guardians’ eight. The annual postseason disappearing act from the Yankees’ offense has become as much a part of October as pumpkin spice and it presented itself in Game 1.

3. But the offense wasn’t the only problem. Cortes was off for one of the only times in 2022, putting nine baserunners on in five innings. And Aaron Boone (like he has been most days as Yankees manager and has been in every postseason as Yankees manager) was at his absolute worst.

Boone’s issues started when he filled out the lineup card for Game 2. Left out of the lineup was Marwin Gonzalez. Now I don’t think Gonzalez should even be a Yankee and should have been released for other options long ago, but he is a Yankee, and he is on the ALDS roster, and if he’s not going to start a game against a starter he’s 7-for-14 with two doubles, a home run and a walk against like he is against Shane Bieber, then what’s the point of him being on the roster? Boone went with the same nine as Game 1, only flipping Oswaldo Cabrera and Josh Donaldson in the 5- and 6-holes.

When it was obvious Cortes wasn’t going to be able to pitch into the seventh inning like Gerrit Cole did in Game 1, it meant Boone would have to make several important in-game decisions in what was a 2-2 game, and the odds of Boone making a handful of successful game-changing moves would be the same as you writing five random numbers between 1 and 100 on a piece of paper and me being able to correctly guess all five in five guesses.

The first decision Boone had to make was whether or not to let Cortes pitch the sixth. He chose not to after Cortes allowed a game-tying home run in the fifth. Boone brought in Lou Trivino and after Trivino allowed a baserunner and recorded two outs, he went to Jonathan Loaisiga who ended the inning. I would have stayed with Cortes for at another inning, but Boone’s two decisions had worked in keeping the Guardians off the board, even if he had already turned to two of his best bullpen arms needing at least three more innings of outs from a depleted and untrustworthy group.

In the bottom of the sixth, with two on and two out, Boone pinch hit for Jose Trevino with Matt Carpenter. The Yankees’ second-best hitter was finally getting an at-bat 15 innings into the series. It was a good time to use Carpenter. The problem is that Carpenter should be starting every game. Force him into a position or tell Giancarlo Stanton enough is enough and it’s time to grab a glove and play the outfield. Carpenter can’t be getting one plate appearance a game. And when Carpenter only gets one plate appearance, it means removing the Yankees’ best catcher and the best defensive catcher in baseball and having to play Kyle Higashioka for the remainder of the game. In this game, it meant four-plus innings of Higashioka. Carpenter struck out to end the inning in his first plate appearance in more than seven weeks.

Boone continued to make quick hooks with his relievers, and while I understand the series would play up to four games in four days, the unwillingness to win the game at hand in the present was startling. Boone removed Trivino after 17 pitches despite having thrown 12 pitches in the previous 17 days. He pulled Loaisiga after 15 pitches. Wandy Peralta’s day was called after 15 pitches as well, and Clay Holmes after 16.

In the bottom of the eighth, after Stanton walked with one out, Boone pulled him for a pinch runner in Tim Locastro. Locastro successfully stole second, but you just knew removing Stanton from the game would come back to haunt the Yankees as that move never works out when Boone makes it. And there was Stanton’s spot in the order leading off the 10th inning in what was then a 4-2 Guardians lead. And there was Boone letting Locastro hit for himself against arguably the best reliever in the majors, choosing to not use Gonzalez or Aaron Hicks as pinch hitters. Again, if either of them aren’t going to be used to bat over Locastro (who is on the roster to run and only run) then what is their purpose? The Yankees purposely left their best all-around shortstop off the ALDS roster in favor Gonzalez and Hicks, and neither of them are playing in situations where they should be playing.

The reason the Yankees were trailing when Stanton’s spot came up in the 10th was because Boone had pulled Trivino, Loaisiga, Peralta and Holmes early, and decided to pitch Jameson Taillon in relief for the first time in his career in the first extra inning. After Taillon was unable to get an out on 18 pitches, Boone then went to Clarke Schmidt, a starter by trade, who has mostly relieved at the major-league level and done an excellent job in relief. The Yankees were down two runs when Schmidt came in as Boone was willing to use him while trailing by two runs and not with the game tied.

Sometimes I think I have seen it all from Boone. His Game 3 and Game 4 pitching decisions in the 2018 ALDS. His relief choices in the 2019 ALCS. His Deivi Garcia-J.A. Happ move in Game 2 of the 2020 ALDS. How long he went with Cole and each subsequent pitcher in the 2021 one-game playoff. All of his lineups over the years. His infatuation with trying to steal outs in important moments. But I haven’t. Taillon making the first relief apperance of his career in the 10th inning of a postseason game and not out of necessity and playing without Giancarlo Stanton, Matt Carpenter and Jose Trevino for a good portion of a postseason game, while Locastro faced Clase is the type of work only one manager in the majors is capable of.

As long as he is the manager of the Yankees, there will continue to be days like Friday. But if the Yankees lose two more games before they win two more, I truly don’t think he will be the manager of the Yankees anymore.

4. You could say the Yankees’ issue in Game 2 was simply not scoring after the first inning, and you would be right. But the Yankees are going to have to win low-scoring games to win a championship, and not every game will be as easy and as Boone-free as Game 1 was. And there was no bigger offensive problem in Game 2 than Aaron Judge.

I gave everyone a clean slate for the postseason, and that means both good and bad. Judge’s slate was wiped clean. I don’t care what type of regular season he had. I don’t care that he’s about to cash in on generational wealth. I don’t care that he broke the American League home run record. None of that matters to me in terms of the Yankees winning in October and none of his regular-season accomplishments matter in October. His all-time regular season has now become an all-time bad postseason through two games. The type of postseason I thought only Mark Teixeira and Nick Swisher could produce.

Judge struck out four times in Game 2 after striking out three times in Game 1. He has put the ball in play in one of his eight postseason at-bats with the other seven resulting in strikeouts. He’s now 2-for-37 with 27 strikeouts in his postseason career against the Guardians. Impossibly bad.

5. He’s not the only one, though he’s the most important one. Oswaldo Cabrera continues to bat in the middle of the lineup, while Carpenter sits on the bench, despite Cabrera being overmatched by postseason pitching. There are no more No. 4 and 5 starters to see. There are no more middle relievers and last and second-to-last relievers throwing pitches. The Yankees are seeing front-end starters and All-Star-caliber relievers and will continue to see only those types of arms, especially in the kind of low-scoring games the Guardians play. Through two games, Cabrera looks like a kid with less than two months of major-league time, swinging through every high fastball at his eyes.

6. Here are some of the 3-hitters left in the postseason:

Gleyber Torres
Jose Ramirez
Yordan Alvarez
Freddie Freeman
Manny Machado

One of those names is unlike the others. Torres.

Torres batting third for the Yankees has always been a joke. Even without Carpenter, DJ LeMahieu and Andrew Benintendi. He had the lowest OPS in all of baseball for a full month this season and outside of a few random hot streaks, was pretty much as bad as he was in 2020 and 2021. Having him bat third is a disgrace, and if Stanton isn’t batting third in Game 3, there is no hope for the Yankees.

Torres’ Baseball IQ and lack of awareness played a role in the Guardians scoring their first run when he threw the ball as hard as possible to Anthony Rizzo from a short distance when he had much more time with Josh Naylor running down the line. Then in the ninth, Torres swung at the first pitch of his at-bat against Emmanuel Clase, grounding out and ensuring Clase would return for the 10th.

7. I didn’t think Judge forgetting how to hit and Rizzo forgetting how to play defense would be two things I would see and have to worry about in the playoffs, but here we are.

8. Josh Donaldson filled his quota of one moronic play per game on Friday, throwing away the ball on Jose Ramirez’s bloop hit in the 10th. In Game 1, it was Donaldson going into his home run trot on a ball that hit the right-field wall, leading to him getting thrown out on the bases. His throw was foolish and unnecessary and rather than have Ramirez on second with no outs to lead off the 10th, he was on third with no outs to lead off the 10th. I can’t wait until Donaldson is no longer a Yankee.

9. Seeing Anthony Volpe in the stands attending the game as a spectator with Peraza left off the roster, so Kiner-Falefa can continue to be the team’s starting shortstop summed up the Yankees under the current management as well as the actual result on the field of Game 2.

10. The Yankees are in trouble. No, they’re not turning to a washed-up Randy Johnson in Game 3 or begrudgingly giving the ball to Jaret Wright in Game 4. But they are going on the road having given away home-field advantage, have no pitching advantage in Game 3, will need to now use Cole again in this series rather than have him lined up for Game 1 of the ALCS, and don’t have a starter for Game 5.

Friday’s Game 2 loss was a bad one. I knew the Yankees would eventually lose a game in the postseason, but losing the way they did in Game 2 was hard to stomach. And now they’re in a bad spot. Not as bad a spot as they were 16 years ago, but not far from it either. This series is now guaranteed to go at least four games, and if the Yankees are able to survive and advance to the ALCS, the extremely difficult task of trying to upset the Astros just got that much harder with Cole being unable to go until Game 3 of the next round. Most importantly, for now, the task of eliminating the Guardians just got that much harder.


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Yankees Podcast: A Rather Easy ALDS Game 1 Win

The Yankees trailed Game 1 of the ALDS 1-0 to the Guardians, but once they tied the game and then took a one-run lead, the outcome never seemed in doubt.

The Yankees trailed Game 1 of the ALDS 1-0 to the Guardians, but once they tied the game and then took a one-run lead, the outcome never seemed in doubt. The Yankees went on to win 4-1 in what was a relatively easy postseason victory, and how it played out only made me more confident in the Yankees’ chances of advancing to the ALCS.


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Yankees-Guardians ALDS Game 1 Thoughts: One Down, 10 to Go

The Yankees needed to win Game 1 of the ALDS against the Guardians with Gerrit Cole on the mound against Cal Quantrill. They did just that.

The Yankees needed to win Game 1 of the ALDS against the Guardians with Gerrit Cole on the mound against Cal Quantrill. They did just that.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. As I do every postseason, I gave everyone on the Yankees a clean slate, including Aaron Boone. But in doing so, I figured Boone would muddy his slate as soon as he the Game 1 lineup was announced, which he did. He actually muddied it late the night before when he admittedly stayed at the Stadium on Monday night trying to decide between Oswald Peraza or Marwin Gonzalez on the ALDS roster. He went with the veteran because of course he did, and decided to leave the Yankees’ best shortstop option off the roster.

I predicted this would be the Game 1 lineup:

Aaron Judge, RF
Anthony Rizzo, 1B
Gleyber Torres, 2B
Josh Donaldson, 3B
Giancarlo Stanton, DH
Oswaldo Cabrera, LF
Harrison Bader, CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa, SS
Jose Trevino, C

This was the actual Game 1 lineup:

Aaron Judge, RF
Anthony Rizzo, 1B
Gleyber Torres, 2B
Giancarlo Stanton, DH
Oswaldo Cabrera, LF
Josh Donaldson, 3B
Isiah Kiner-Falefa, SS
Jose Trevino, C
Harrison Bader, CF

It was close, but Boone did the right thing in batting Giancarlo Stanton ahead of Josh Donaldson. (Stanton should be batting behind Anthony Rizzo as Gleyber Torres serves no protection for anyone.)

2. Boone didn’t do the right thing in playing Isiah Kiner-Falefa. I have spent an inordinate amount of time in 2022 writing and talking about how bad Kiner-Falefa is at baseball, all while Boone has continued to preach how good Kiner-Falefa is as if statistics don’t exist, and at times as if eyesight doesn’t exist. Kiner-Falefa did what he does best in Game 1, booting a ground ball in the first inning, grounding into a double play in his first at-bat and mistiming his jump on a line drive later in the game. He even lined into a second double play in his final at-bat for good measure.

Kiner-Falefa did pick up an opposite-field base hit his second time up that was misplayed and mishandled allowing him to go to third before scoring on a Jose Trevino sacrifice fly. But that one base hit doesn’t erase all the bad he provided in the game, for which there was a lot. It’s one thing to give extra outs to the weak Guardians lineup. If the Yankees are able to advance, and they play the Astros, it will be extremely difficult to beat them as is, let alone if they are playing with more than three outs in an inning.

3. Boone didn’t start Matt Carpenter, choosing to not play the Yankees’ version of Barry Bonds. This has nothing to do with Carpenter having not played in some time, and everything to do with the Yankees not wanting to play Stanton in the outfield, taking the DH possibility away from Carpenter. The Yankees don’t want to play Stanton in the outfield, and they don’t want to play Carpenter in the field, so that means the team’s second-best hitter is relegated to pinch hitting in the postseason. Not great.

4. Gerrit Cole’s night didn’t start out great. He had to pitch around Kiner-Falefa’s error in the first and threw 24 pitches. In the second, he allowed a one-out double, but was able to strike out the Guardians’ 7- and 8-hitters. In the third, he allowed a solo home run to Steven Kwan (who rarely homers) then hit Amed Rosario and gave up a one-out double to Jose Ramirez. After an Anthony Rizzo brain fart resulted in Josh Naylor reaching on a fielder’s choice, the Guardians had the bases loaded with one out. Thankfully, Cole got out of the jam.

Cole needed 25 pitches to navigate through the one-run third and was at 62 pitches through three innings. He was having his typical start with a lot of pitches (the 62 to get six nine outs), a home run (the solo shot by Kwan) and a lot of strikeouts (he had five in the first three innings). But after getting out of the bases-loaded, one-out jam, he settled down, allowing just a walk and a single off Kiner-Falefa’s glove for the rest of his night.

It was a good start from Cole. A much-needed start from Cole. He couldn’t go out and get lit up the way he had for a while, and couldn’t lay an egg at home against a Guardians team that doesn’t hit home runs and just scored three runs in 23-plus innings against the Rays in the wild-card series. He did his job and did it well.

5. All Harrison Bader has done since becoming a Yankee is do his job well. He has played the expected outstanding defense, but the bat that was an enormous worry has been exceptional, especially at the right time. The Yankees have missed the bottom-of-the-order guy who can provide a big hit at the right time (like Scott Brosius or a young Robinson Cano before he became a middle-of-the-order presence), and in his first postseason plate appearance as a Yankee, Bader tied the game with a solo home run off Quantrill in the third. Bader doesn’t belong hitting ninth in the lineup, but given all of the other lineup construction issues Boone has, batting Bader isn’t even the Top 10 problems. Because the Yankees won, the superstitious Boone will undoubtedly run the same lineup out there for Game 2.

6. I understand I’m in the minority of Yankees fans who obsess over the lineup, and as long as the Yankees win, like they did in Game 1, it won’t be discussed the way it should be. And it should be discussed because every aspect of the team should be optimized to the best of its possible ability. The organization employs strength trainers, mental trainers, nutritionists, sleep consultants and everyone and anyone who may help the players perform even the slightest bit better than they are capable. Yet something as important as lineup construction is just glossed over by the front office, manager and mainstream media. I don’t get it. At some point the Yankees won’t win with relative ease (like they did in Game 1) and may not win at all, and the lineup and order of batters will become a focal point of the postseason. It may not happen this series, but if the Yankees advance, you bet it will happen in the ALCS.

7. Overall, Boone had a solid night because he didn’t have to do much. He got a 6 1/3 innings of one-run ball from his starter and then asked his three best available relievers to get the final eight outs, which they did. Those are the kinds of games the Yankees need to have if they want to end their championship drought: games in which Boone isn’t involved once the game starts.

8. Anthony Rizzo’s two-run home run put the game away. I have never felt so comfortable with only a three-run lead in a postseason game, but as I sat in my seat at the Stadium on Tuesday night, once the Yankees took their first lead on the Trevino sac fly, it felt like the game was over. Cole had found his groove, the Guardians only mustered one mediocre rally against Jonathan Loaisiga that Loaisiga ended with a double play, and even knowing that the bullpen would have to get eight outs, I wasn’t worried after the 1-0 deficit became a 2-1 lead.

9. That’s the way it should be for the Yankees against the Guardians. Even with an inconsistent and depleted bullpen depleted, and even with DJ LeMahieu and Andrew Benintendi injured, and even with Carpenter on the bench, and even with the Yankees’ best shortstop not on the ALDS roster, the Yankees and Yankees fans shouldn’t be worried about the Guardians. They reached the postseason by being the best team from the worst division, and swept their wild-card series despite scoring a run every eight innings in it, as they have now scored four runs in 30-plus postseason innings, all via the home run.

10. Things can change. Nestor Cortes could be off in Game 2, or the offense could perform one of its disappearing acts against Shane Bieber. The same could happen when Luis Severino takes the mound in Game 3, or if Cole has to start again in this series. But things shouldn’t change in this series. The Yankees were better than the Guardians for six months. They were better than them when they played them head-to-head in the regular season, and they were better than them again in Game 1 with a less-than-perfect roster and lineup. I don’t expect that to change. I expect the Yankees to be playing baseball next week. I have always expected that. All Game 1 did was reinforce my expectations.

One down, 10 to go.


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Yankees Thoughts: A Clean Slate for Everyone

After an up-and-down, six-month regular season, the postseason is here. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees. 1. I took the last few weeks of the regular season off from writing these Thoughts. Once it

After an up-and-down, six-month regular season, the postseason is here.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. I took the last few weeks of the regular season off from writing these Thoughts. Once it was obvious the Yankees were going to win the division, the games became meaningless. Yes, I still watched as Aaron Judge chased Roger Maris, and while it was exciting and enjoyable to watch Judge make history, the 62nd home run and the record are for him. They are an individual accomplishment that will help him achieve even more generational wealth than expected this offseason. I’m here for championships, not individual player accomplishments. I’m glad Judge hit 62 home runs, and I’m glad he will be the AL MVP (in what should be a unanimous vote), but what happens in terms of the team’s performance is all that matters to me.

2. I watch, write, talk and read about the Yankees in anticipation of the postseason. Everything done between the start of the offseason and Game 162 is to prepare for the postseason, and now we are here. It’s been about three weeks since the Yankees played a meaningful game, and now as a team and as a fans, everyone has to flip a switch. It’s not something these Yankees are that familiar with aside from 2019 when they won the division by seven games, but were still alive for the 1-seed against the Astros much later in the season than they were this year. In 2017, 2018, 2020 and 2021, the Yankees had a reason to play just about all the way until the final game of the season.

3. The lineup. I have been losing sleep over this every season under Aaron Boone, and more than ever over the last two-plus weeks. If DJ LeMahieu is healthy and on the roster, this is the lineup the Yankees should use:

Aaron Judge, RF
Matt Carpenter, DH
Giancarlo Stanton, LF
Anthony Rizzo, 1B
DJ LeMahieu, 3B
Oswaldo Cabrera, 2B
Oswald Peraza, SS
Harrison Bader, CF
Jose Trevino, C

In that lineup, I have Stanton in left field, but you could make him the designated hitter and put Carpenter in left field, or put Carpenter at third, LeMahieu and second and Cabrera in left.

4. The problem is the Yankees once again won’t let Stanton play the outfield, which screws up their lineup flexibility. On Monday, Aaron Boone said Stanton hasn’t taken fly balls in the outfield, he has only been moving around the outfield without a glove on. What? Like he’s walking around the outfield like a groundskeeper?

Here is the likely process needed for Stanton to return to the outfield:

Days 1-3: Envision the outfield
Day 4: Write the word “outfield” 500 times
Day 5: Walk around the outfield
Days 6-7: Power walk around the outfield
Days 8-9: Jog around the outfield
Days 10-11: Jog around the outfield with a glove on
Days 12-14: Take fly balls in the outfield

If Stanton is moving around the outfield without a glove on, then he must be getting closer to actually playing the outfield.

Back to that lineup … I understand there’s about as good of a chance at that being the starting lineup as there is of me being in the Yankees’ starting lineup on Tuesday night, but that’s the Yankees’ best possible lineup.

5. Here is the lineup I fully expect to see:

Aaron Judge, RF
Anthony Rizzo, 1B
Gleyber Torres, 2B
Josh Donaldson, 3B
Giancarlo Stanton, DH
Oswaldo Cabrera, LF
Harrison Bader, CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa, SS
Jose Trevino, C

That’s a really bad lineup. In no way should Torres, Donaldson or Kiner-Falefa play over the trio of Carpenter, LeMahieu and Peraza, but they are going to. I don’t even expect Peraza to be on the postseason roster. Yes, the Yankees are going to leave their best shortstop off of the postseason roster.

That lineup (the one I expect to see) gives the Guardians more of a chance to win the series, and should decrease the odds and likelihood the Yankees advance. That’s how much of a difference in trios that makes. And if LeMahieu can’t go, then pick one of Donaldson or Torres to play.

6. I have spent a lot of time trying to point out just how bad Kiner-Falefa is at baseball for the last six-plus months, and the Yankees just kept on playing him no matter how bad he was or how good Peraza was. I don’t expect that to change now. Aaron Boone is one of the dumbest people in the sport and since he owns the lineup (as he and Brian Cashman have adamantly said for now five years) he isn’t going to change it now. The Yankees let their stopgap prevent their future from playing, and now they are willing to hinder their postseason chances to continue to play him.

7. There are three elements of the Yankees to be worried about this postseason: Boone, the offense and the bullpen. Boone has been exceedingly bad as in-game tactician in his managerial career and his ineptitude is magnified in the postseason. The offense has had a habit of pulling an annual disappearing act in the postseason every year this core has been together. The bullpen is a flat-out mess without any truly trustworthy options to the point that Jameson Taillon (who has never thrown one pitch in relief in his career) might be the team’s best possible reliever.

For now, everyone has a clean slate, including Boone. Throw out what any person or element of the team did for 162 games this year. Boone’s slate will likely begin to get muddied one the lineup is announced for Game 1 of the ALDS, but for everyone else, their slate will be clean until 7:37 p.m. on Tuesday night when Game 1 begins.

8. When Game 1 begins, it will be Gerrit Cole throwing the first pitch. It should have been Nestor Cortes as he went out and earned it. But the Yankees don’t reward performance, they reward owed money and reputation. It’s why Cole is starting Game 1, it’s why Aaron Hicks is still a Yankee, it’s why Donaldson and Kiner-Falefa started all season and will start in the playoffs, and it’s why Aroldis Chapman continued to be a Yankee this season despite being an impending free agent all the way until he decided he was above the team. (I’m shock a class act and all-around great person like Chapman could do such a thing as skip a mandatory team workout.) So Cole and his 2022 struggles and home run issues and all will get the ball to begin the Yankees’ quest for the team’s first championship in 13 years and second in 22 years.

It’s nice that Cole set the Yankees’ single-season strikeout record, but again, like Judge, that’s an individual accomplishment, and doesn’t matter to me. What matters to me are championships, and Cole is extremely important to the Yankees trying to do so. After watching the Guardians score three runs in 23-plus innings against the Rays in the wild-card series, there’s absolutely no reason Cole shouldn’t experience dominant success against the Guardians on Tuesday. Anything short of a dominant performance will be an enormous letdown, and anything close to his disastrous performance in last year’s one-game playoff will be inexcusable and unacceptable.

9. I generally don’t trust Cole, but against this Guardians team, it’s hard not to trust him. Cole’s glaring weakness is allowing home runs and the Guardians were 29th in the majors in hitting home runs. The one player the Yankees can let beat them is Jose Ramirez, who the Rays did let beat them in Game 1 of their series. He’s the one true threat in the Guardians lineup and one of the very best players in the game. Letting him beat you at any point in this series would be unbelievably foolish and regrettable. If Ramirez doesn’t beat the Yankees, it’s hard to envision the Guardians beating the Yankees.

Outside of getting to play the Twins in ALDS, this is as good a matchup as the Yankees could ask for. The Guardians’ best two starters aren’t able to pitch until Games 2 and 3 of the series, they have a very weak offense and their entire rotation doesn’t have the type of velocity seen around the rest of the league: the type the Yankees struggle with.

10. The Yankees were able to avoid the Rays, who always give them problems. They were able to avoid the Mariners, who have Luis Castillo who has become the right-handed Cliff Lee against the Yankees. They were able to avoid the Blue Jays, who can be the most dangerous team in the sport when going right. They have an easier ALDS matchup than the 1-seed Astros do, and every way I look at this ALDS I can’t help but the think the Yankees won’t be in the ALCS.

If next week, I’m not writing about Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman and being fearful of Justin Verlander in the postseason for the sixth time in 17 years, or questioning how the Yankees let Castillo go to the Mariners, while settling for Frankie Montas, then it’s a big problem. The Yankees have to reach the ALCS. If they don’t, it’s an embarrassment and many people should no longer be with the team, including the general manager and manager.

For now, everyone has a clean slate. Again, until the Game 1 lineup is announced.


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Yankees Thoughts: Sacrifice Defense for Offense in Postseason

The Yankees swept a two-game series from the worst team from the worst division in baseball and needing an unbelievable comeback to do so. The Yankees have won three straight and their magic number to

The Yankees swept a two-game series from the worst team from the worst division in baseball and needing an unbelievable comeback to do so. The Yankees have won three straight and their magic number to win the division is down to 8 with 14 games left.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. I would like to thank the Pirates for being the Pirates and gifting the Yankees a miraculous 9-8 walk-off win on Tuesday and then allowing for an easy 14-2 blowout win on Wednesday. The Yankees now sit a comfortable seven games ahead of the Blue Jays in the loss column with 14 to play. Even if the Blue Jays were to sweep the three remaining games they have from the Yankees, the Yankees would still have a four-game lead in the loss column with 11 to play. I proclaimed the division over back on June 20, and it has been (minus the scare of a couple weekends ago) and is.

2. I think about the postseason every day. Not every day of the season, I mean every day of my life. I think about how the Yankees can put themselves in the best possible situation to win the World Series. I use the regular season to assess how prepared the Yankees are for the postseason and take little joy in regular-season success. What happens in the regular season is all preparation for the postseason.

That’s why I was happy the Yankees won on Tuesday night, but wasn’t celebrating it like the YES broadcast booth was thinking the Yankees had just clinched a postseason series win. What I took away from the 9-8 comeback win (which ended with the Yankees’ second ultimate grand slam of the season) was that Nestor Cortes was good, Harrison Bader was healthy and the last five at-bats of the game were great. That’s it. If you take anything else away from that game, you’re a simple person because it would mean you are disregarding the Yankees blowing two different leads to a team on pace for 102 losses, and it means you are choosing to look past Ron Marinaccio, Lou Trivino, Jonathan Loaisiga and Clay Holmes combining to allow seven earned runs on five hits and four walks in three innings to a team counting down the minutes until their miserable season ends. When the Pirates are all on end-of-the-season vacations in three weeks, those four names will be trying to get season-changing outs against the Mariners, Guardians, Blue Jays, Rays or Astros. That’s what I think about.

3. The lineup Aaron Boone constructed in the two games over the Pirates is what the Yankees are going to use come Game 1 of the ALDS if DJ LeMahieu, Matt Carpenter and Andrew Benintendi don’t return, and you can’t expect any of them to return. This is that lineup:

Aaron Judge, RF
Anthony Rizzo, 1B
Gleyber Torres, 2B
Josh Donaldson, 3B
Giancarlo Stanton, DH
Oswaldo Cabrera, LF
Harrison Bader, CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa, SS
Jose Trevino, C

Yes, that lineup produced 23 runs in 17 innings against the last-place Pirates, but the last-place Pirates (on pace for 102 losses) won’t be in the American League postseason. What the Yankees did the last two nights with that lineup is meaningless come 19 days from now when they play the winner of the Mariners-Guardians best-of-3 (which is who they will play as of now). If you had told me on Opening Day the Yankees lineup we saw the last two nights would be the Yankees lineup on September 20-21, I would ask where in the Top 10 the Yankees would be picking in the draft.

4. This is the lineup I dream about for Game 1 of the ALDS:

Aaron Judge, RF
Matt Carpenter, 3B
Giancarlo Stanton, DH
Anthony Rizzo, 1B
DJ LeMahieu, 2B
Andrew Benintendi, LF
Oswald Peraza/Oswaldo Cabrera, SS
Harrison Bader, CF
Jose Trevino, C

I know that even if the Yankees were at full strength that lineup is still unrealistic because Aaron Boone would never sit both Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Josh Donaldson. I fully expect those two to play every game in the postseason no matter what. Boone called Kiner-Falefa one of the best shortstops in baseball just a couple of weeks ago and continues to bat Donaldson and his 15 home runs and .699 OPS at cleanup, even ahead of Stanton. They aren’t sitting. There’s no way Gleyber Torres will sit, who is experiencing one good week after three bad years. The Yankees literally destroyed their roster construction this past offseason to accommodate Torres and then tried and failed to trade him at this year’s deadline. The Yankees also have an obsession with defense and run prevention that would never allow Carpenter to play third base. They would rather play without their version of Barry Bonds than sacrifice defense.

5. Tough shit. The Yankees will have to sacrifice defense for offense if they plan on winning the World Series. Defense isn’t going to hit the pitching they are going to see in the postseason. It’s frightening to think about the ease Justin Verlander, Framber Valdez, Lance McCullers Jr., Christian Javier, Alek Manoah, Kevin Gausman, Shane McClanahan, Shane Bieber, Luis Castillo or any other elite starter the Yankees may face in October will be able to navigate through the bottom of Boone’s lineup. It’s extremely hard to succeed in the postseason with one automatic out in the lineup, and the Yankees will be playing with three to five automatic outs on a given night with Boone’s lineup.

Aside from Aaron Judge, which Yankee do you feel comfortable and confident in come the playoffs? Come the playoffs, Judge won’t be able to put on the one-man show that has carried the Yankees to this point. Opposing managers will pitch around him and make other bats beat them, and it will likely be taken to an extreme if his protection remains an inconsistent Rizzo, Torres (LOL), a washed-up Donaldson and a lost Stanton.

6. I’m not worried about the Yankees’ pitching in the postseason. It hasn’t been the reason the team has lost any series with this group. The pitching will be there, especially now that Luis Severino has returned. Between Severino, Nestor Cortes and Gerrit Cole, the Yankees have the best 1-2-3 for the postseason they have had in a decade when they had CC Sabathia, Hiroki Kuroda and Andy Pettitte. That trio was able to carry the Yankees to an ALCS appearance before the Yankees pulled off the type of annual offensive disappearing act the organization has since 2009. I’m worried about the offense.

Unfortunately, there’s nothing you can do to when it comes to the postseason offense, other than put the best possible lineup together and hope for the best. The Yankees aren’t even putting the best possible lineup together right now, so it’s hard to envision them doing so if any or all of LeMahieu, Carpenter and Benintendi return.

7. Judge is set up to tie and pass Roger Maris against the Red Sox, which will make his 61st and 62nd home runs all the much better, if he’s able to hit two over the next four games.

Judge has always said the right thing and has always put the team above himself in any quote he has ever given the media in his career, and that hasn’t changed during this all-time season. But the media falling all over themselves talking about how Judge cares more about winning than he does about his own personal stats is a bit much. Yes, Judge cares about winning, but he also cares about his personal stats. He didn’t turn down the Yankees’ nearly $31 million average annual salary for seven years because he doesn’t care about his own success. He didn’t leave open the possibility of signing with the Red Sox just a week ago because he doesn’t care about his own success. If you truly think Judge isn’t concerned with his stats and numbers as an impending free agent who turned down nearly a quarter of a billion dollars (like Jeff Passan and Marly Rivera seem to think) then you’re likely the type of simple person who saw the Yankees eek out a home win over the .369 win percentage Pirates on Tuesday and think their performance was spectacular.

8. Yankees fans waited nearly two months to see Harrison Bader actually play for the Yankees, and he had a fantastic debut. Bader went 3-for-8 with five RBIs in his first two games as a Yankee, and just his mere presence on the team was a welcome sight because it kept Aaron Hicks glued to the bench. I don’t expect Bader to continue to hit like he did on Tuesday and Wednesday because the Yankees don’t continue to play the Pirates and because he’s not a very good hitter. But having him on the team means no more Hicks this season and likely the end of Hicks as a Yankee in future seasons as the Yankees will end up eating a lot of the $70 million they regrettably gave to Hicks in a move that was first-guessed when it happened. Bader has five RBIs in eight plate appearances as a Yankee. Hicks has five RBIs since August 8.

9. I want nothing more than for Torres to be the budding superstar he was in 2018 and 2019 and on his way to hitting third for the Yankees for the next 15 years. I also know his recent hot streak is just that: a hot streak. A span of nine games and 43 plate appearances that doesn’t come close to erasing his downfall since the start of 2020. From the beginning of August through the beginning of September, Torres had the lowest OPS of all players in Major League Baseball. This is likely him leveling out since he’s not the worst hitter in all of Major League Baseball (though the Yankees have a few candidates for that title). This is a nice week against mostly bad teams that are all headed home for the winter in less than three weeks. Nothing more. Sorry, Torres isn’t “back.” Not after nine games.

10. The Yankees need Stanton back. They have to have him back. They need the version of Stanton that carried the Yankees to a playoff berth in the finals week of last season and tried to beat the Red Sox by himself in the one-game playoff. I thought maybe his walk-off grand slam would propel him into a strong finish to the season, but he followed it up with a contact-less night on Wednesday (two strikeouts and two walks, though he at least reached base twice) and Boone inexplicably had him bat behind Donaldson again.

The Yankees have too many holes in their lineup right now and the lineup right now is looking like it will be the postseason lineup. Stanton needs to figure it out and fast. He only has 14 games left to do so.


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