Yankees Thoughts: Postseason Berth Clinched with No Help from Aaron Boone

The Yankees avoided a disappointing loss and beat the Mariners 2-1 in 10 innings on Wednesday, clinching a postseason berth in the process.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. Aaron Boone was willing to go to Luke Weaver in the eighth inning on Wednesday night against the Mariners, but first he wanted to find the answer to the question of how many outs he could steal with Clay Holmes. The answer: one.

One out is what Holmes recorded in the eighth inning before giving up a game-tying home run to Justin Turner. Why was Holmes in a one-run game to begin with? Why was he once again pitching in a high-leverage situation after being removed from the closer role and demoted in the bullpen pecking order just two weeks ago? And why wasn’t a better, more trusted reliever not pitching after the Yankees had Monday off and won a nine-run blowout on Tuesday in which they didn’t use any of their best relievers?

But there was Holmes getting the call for the third out of the seventh inning in relief of Tommy Kahnle with the tying run on base and and the go-ahead run at the plate. (It took him 12 pitches to get the last out of the seventh.) And there he was again going back out to the mound to begin the eighth. Not only was Boone willing to use his least trusted reliever for multiple innings in a one-run game, he had decided the lane for his least trusted reliever was the Marniners’ 1- and 2- hitters in the seventh and then the heart of the order in the eighth.

2. The home run allowed to Turner resulted in Holmes’ 13th blown save of the season, five more than anyone else. On a night when a Yankees win would clinch them a postseason berth, Boone did everything he could to prevent it from happening.

If you’re upset with Holmes following the Turner home run and his latest blown save, you’re upset with the wrong person. Holmes sucks. Everyone knows he sucks except for his manager. I’m not upset with Holmes. He didn’t make himself a Yankee. He didn’t make himself the closer. He didn’t keep himself in the closer role until his 11th blown save earlier this month. He didn’t put himself in a position to blow his 12th save last week or his 13th on Wednesday.

Boone so desperately wants Holmes to be his closer that he will stop at nothing to continue to give him opportunities in crucial spots. After being removed as the closer following his blown save in Texas two-and-a-half weeks, it took one scoreless outing in his next appearance for Holmes to then be given a one-run lead to protect the following outing: he blew that lead. Then after getting four outs without allowing a run across two games over the weekend, he was thrust right back into a one-run spot on Wednesday, and of course, he blew it.

Boone would rather have Holmes standing on the mound as Jose Altuve races home as the pennant-winning run next month or have Yordan Alvarez trotting around the bases with Holmes hanging his head as a response to the team’s elimination than ruin his friendship or relationship with Holmes by removing him completely from high-leverage situations. Boone is willing to risk it all and ruin the Yankees’ season on the right arm of Holmes. We saw it all season when he wouldn’t remove him from the closer’s role until that 11th blown save, and we have seen it continue over the last two weeks as he allowed him to blow two more.

3. The only way to ensure Boone doesn’t use Holmes in the postseason is to exclude him from the roster, which we know isn’t going to happen. Boone will use anyone and everyone at his disposal on the postseason roster. It’s how you get Neil Walker hitting instead of Miguel Andujar in the ninth inning of an elimination game in Game 4 of the 2018 ALDS. It’s how you get JA Happ pitching in relief in Game 2 of the 2019 ALCS. It’s how you get Happ being used a bulk reliever in Game 2 of the 2020 ALDS, or how you get Mike Ford pinch hitting in 2020 playoff games after he wasn’t good enough to be on the roster in the weeks leading up to the playoffs. It’s how you get Aaron Hicks starting games in the 2022 postseason and Boone’s shortstop shuffle between Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Oswaldo Cabrera and Oswald Peraza that same year. If you’re on the postseason roster, Boone will find playing time for you. Holmes will pitch in a high-leverage situation in October and the Yankees will either blow a lead or lose a game (or both) because of it.

4. Holmes’ work on Wednesday erased the impressive six shutout innings Nestor Cortes provided. Since being removed from the rotation and being inexplicably passed over for a start instead of Marcus Stroman and voicing his opinion on the matter, Cortes has been dominant: 15.1 IP, 7 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 7 BB, 18K. If anything, Cortes was a little too comfortable taking the ball every five days as a Yankee, tweeting delusional thoughts about how great the team has been and turning in crap performances most starts. The brief demotion has certainly motivated him to be better than he had been for stretches this season.

5. Weaver should have been the pitcher relieving Kahnle in the seventh with the lineup turning over, and if not, then Jake Cousins. Allowing Holmes to face the 1 through 4 hitters was irresponsible. That should always be Weaver’s “lane” in any late-game situation. The best reliever should be facing the best hitters. Weaver blew away the Mariners, retiring five of the six batters he faced and striking out four of them. His line since Boone’s admission through usage that Weaver is the best reliever in the team: 7.1 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 3 BB, 16 K and a .083/.185/.083 slash line against.

6. My current bullpen trust rankings are as follows:

Luke Weaver
Ian Hamilton
Jake Cousins
Tommy Kahnle

Hamilton was outstanding again on Wednesday against the Mariners, but the gap, for me, between Weaver and Hamilton remains massive. Overall, trust falls off completely after Kahnle. No one other than those four should be getting big outs next month unless Clarke Schmidt or Luis Gil joins them in the bullpen.

7. It’s a relief the Yankees are back in the postseason in a format that accepts 40 percent of the league. When the league moved to this format for the 2022 season, I figured the Yankees would never miss the postseason again. I didn’t envision them missing it in the second year of the format. Being in the Top 40 percent of the league with the Yankees’ resources should be a given, and yet, just a year ago they finished in eighth in the AL and were seven games out from being in sixtth.

It’s comical now to hear Boone say last year’s team wasn’t good (which he has now said twice in the last few days), considering last summer he kept telling everyone how the Yankees had the guys in the room capable of turning the season around and getting the job done. They didn’t and never did. Now they are back in the postseason for the first time in two years, and because of the way the 2022 postseason ended (in humiliating fashion against the Astros), it feels like they haven’t been in the postseason in a much longer time. Now that they’re headed back, the season will hinge on the offense not performing its annual October disappearing act. I’m not worried about the pitching. Pitching hasn’t eliminated the Yankees from the postseason since Joe Torre was manager. The offense is what has prevented the Yankees from reaching and winning the World Series over the last 14 years.

8. The offense was essentially a no-show for the first nine innings on Wednesday, picking up just two hits and striking out 15 times. Home plate umpire Jim Wolf didn’t do them any favors with one of the worst strike zones we have seen all season, but it was an ugly offensive effort. The lone run the Yankees scored before getting the automatic runner in in the 10th was when Jasson Dominguez walked in the second, stole second and moved to third on an error, and then scored on an Anthony Rizzo single.

Rizzo drove in both Yankees runs and prevented the bottom third of the order from being a complete non-factor as Anthony Volpe and Alex Verdugo combined to go 0-for-8. Volpe was particularly awful in this one as he hit into an inning-ending double play first time up, struck out in his next two at-bats and then popped up a first-pitch sacrifice bunt for an easy out in the 10th with Rizzo on second and no outs. For as bad as Volpe was last year (and he was extremely bad), his OPS this year in now seven points worse.

9. Giancarlo Stanton was held out of the lineup for a second straight game, supposedly due to the matchup and not an injury. On Tuesday, the Yankees faced the hard-throwing righty Bryan Woo, and then on Wednesday, the Yankees faced the hard-throwing righty Bryce Miller and Stanton sat for both games. On Thursday, the Yankees will face the hard-throwing righty Logan Gilbert, who is the best of three, and yet, Stanton has been told he will play against Gilbert. Holding out Stanton against hard-throwing righties, but saying he will be playing in October doesn’t add up since all October has is hard-throwing righties. When Stanton sits, it moves Judge to designated hitter, and forces Verdugo in the lineup. How about waiting until the division is clinched before continuing that lineup construction so often?

10. The magic number to clinch the division is down to 6. Any combination of Yankees wins and Orioles losses totaling 6 and the AL East is the Yankees’ for just the third time in Boone’s tenure. The Yankees also have a two-game loss column lead on being the 1-seed in the American League playoffs, something they have never been during Boone’s tenure. By clinching a postseason berth, the Yankees have completed the first goal in doing something else they haven’t done during Boone’s tenure. If Boone stops using Holmes in high-leverage situations he just may accomplish that goal in his seventh year.