Yankees-Guardians ALDS Game 1 Thoughts: One Down, 10 to Go

Yankees take 1-0 series lead after beating Guardians 4-1

The Yankees needed to win Game 1 of the ALDS against the Guardians with Gerrit Cole on the mound against Cal Quantrill. They did just that.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. As I do every postseason, I gave everyone on the Yankees a clean slate, including Aaron Boone. But in doing so, I figured Boone would muddy his slate as soon as he the Game 1 lineup was announced, which he did. He actually muddied it late the night before when he admittedly stayed at the Stadium on Monday night trying to decide between Oswald Peraza or Marwin Gonzalez on the ALDS roster. He went with the veteran because of course he did, and decided to leave the Yankees’ best shortstop option off the roster.

I predicted this would be the Game 1 lineup:

Aaron Judge, RF
Anthony Rizzo, 1B
Gleyber Torres, 2B
Josh Donaldson, 3B
Giancarlo Stanton, DH
Oswaldo Cabrera, LF
Harrison Bader, CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa, SS
Jose Trevino, C

This was the actual Game 1 lineup:

Aaron Judge, RF
Anthony Rizzo, 1B
Gleyber Torres, 2B
Giancarlo Stanton, DH
Oswaldo Cabrera, LF
Josh Donaldson, 3B
Isiah Kiner-Falefa, SS
Jose Trevino, C
Harrison Bader, CF

It was close, but Boone did the right thing in batting Giancarlo Stanton ahead of Josh Donaldson. (Stanton should be batting behind Anthony Rizzo as Gleyber Torres serves no protection for anyone.)

2. Boone didn’t do the right thing in playing Isiah Kiner-Falefa. I have spent an inordinate amount of time in 2022 writing and talking about how bad Kiner-Falefa is at baseball, all while Boone has continued to preach how good Kiner-Falefa is as if statistics don’t exist, and at times as if eyesight doesn’t exist. Kiner-Falefa did what he does best in Game 1, booting a ground ball in the first inning, grounding into a double play in his first at-bat and mistiming his jump on a line drive later in the game. He even lined into a second double play in his final at-bat for good measure.

Kiner-Falefa did pick up an opposite-field base hit his second time up that was misplayed and mishandled allowing him to go to third before scoring on a Jose Trevino sacrifice fly. But that one base hit doesn’t erase all the bad he provided in the game, for which there was a lot. It’s one thing to give extra outs to the weak Guardians lineup. If the Yankees are able to advance, and they play the Astros, it will be extremely difficult to beat them as is, let alone if they are playing with more than three outs in an inning.

3. Boone didn’t start Matt Carpenter, choosing to not play the Yankees’ version of Barry Bonds. This has nothing to do with Carpenter having not played in some time, and everything to do with the Yankees not wanting to play Stanton in the outfield, taking the DH possibility away from Carpenter. The Yankees don’t want to play Stanton in the outfield, and they don’t want to play Carpenter in the field, so that means the team’s second-best hitter is relegated to pinch hitting in the postseason. Not great.

4. Gerrit Cole’s night didn’t start out great. He had to pitch around Kiner-Falefa’s error in the first and threw 24 pitches. In the second, he allowed a one-out double, but was able to strike out the Guardians’ 7- and 8-hitters. In the third, he allowed a solo home run to Steven Kwan (who rarely homers) then hit Amed Rosario and gave up a one-out double to Jose Ramirez. After an Anthony Rizzo brain fart resulted in Josh Naylor reaching on a fielder’s choice, the Guardians had the bases loaded with one out. Thankfully, Cole got out of the jam.

Cole needed 25 pitches to navigate through the one-run third and was at 62 pitches through three innings. He was having his typical start with a lot of pitches (the 62 to get six nine outs), a home run (the solo shot by Kwan) and a lot of strikeouts (he had five in the first three innings). But after getting out of the bases-loaded, one-out jam, he settled down, allowing just a walk and a single off Kiner-Falefa’s glove for the rest of his night.

It was a good start from Cole. A much-needed start from Cole. He couldn’t go out and get lit up the way he had for a while, and couldn’t lay an egg at home against a Guardians team that doesn’t hit home runs and just scored three runs in 23-plus innings against the Rays in the wild-card series. He did his job and did it well.

5. All Harrison Bader has done since becoming a Yankee is do his job well. He has played the expected outstanding defense, but the bat that was an enormous worry has been exceptional, especially at the right time. The Yankees have missed the bottom-of-the-order guy who can provide a big hit at the right time (like Scott Brosius or a young Robinson Cano before he became a middle-of-the-order presence), and in his first postseason plate appearance as a Yankee, Bader tied the game with a solo home run off Quantrill in the third. Bader doesn’t belong hitting ninth in the lineup, but given all of the other lineup construction issues Boone has, batting Bader isn’t even the Top 10 problems. Because the Yankees won, the superstitious Boone will undoubtedly run the same lineup out there for Game 2.

6. I understand I’m in the minority of Yankees fans who obsess over the lineup, and as long as the Yankees win, like they did in Game 1, it won’t be discussed the way it should be. And it should be discussed because every aspect of the team should be optimized to the best of its possible ability. The organization employs strength trainers, mental trainers, nutritionists, sleep consultants and everyone and anyone who may help the players perform even the slightest bit better than they are capable. Yet something as important as lineup construction is just glossed over by the front office, manager and mainstream media. I don’t get it. At some point the Yankees won’t win with relative ease (like they did in Game 1) and may not win at all, and the lineup and order of batters will become a focal point of the postseason. It may not happen this series, but if the Yankees advance, you bet it will happen in the ALCS.

7. Overall, Boone had a solid night because he didn’t have to do much. He got a 6 1/3 innings of one-run ball from his starter and then asked his three best available relievers to get the final eight outs, which they did. Those are the kinds of games the Yankees need to have if they want to end their championship drought: games in which Boone isn’t involved once the game starts.

8. Anthony Rizzo’s two-run home run put the game away. I have never felt so comfortable with only a three-run lead in a postseason game, but as I sat in my seat at the Stadium on Tuesday night, once the Yankees took their first lead on the Trevino sac fly, it felt like the game was over. Cole had found his groove, the Guardians only mustered one mediocre rally against Jonathan Loaisiga that Loaisiga ended with a double play, and even knowing that the bullpen would have to get eight outs, I wasn’t worried after the 1-0 deficit became a 2-1 lead.

9. That’s the way it should be for the Yankees against the Guardians. Even with an inconsistent and depleted bullpen depleted, and even with DJ LeMahieu and Andrew Benintendi injured, and even with Carpenter on the bench, and even with the Yankees’ best shortstop not on the ALDS roster, the Yankees and Yankees fans shouldn’t be worried about the Guardians. They reached the postseason by being the best team from the worst division, and swept their wild-card series despite scoring a run every eight innings in it, as they have now scored four runs in 30-plus postseason innings, all via the home run.

10. Things can change. Nestor Cortes could be off in Game 2, or the offense could perform one of its disappearing acts against Shane Bieber. The same could happen when Luis Severino takes the mound in Game 3, or if Cole has to start again in this series. But things shouldn’t change in this series. The Yankees were better than the Guardians for six months. They were better than them when they played them head-to-head in the regular season, and they were better than them again in Game 1 with a less-than-perfect roster and lineup. I don’t expect that to change. I expect the Yankees to be playing baseball next week. I have always expected that. All Game 1 did was reinforce my expectations.

One down, 10 to go.


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