1. Before Monday’s series opener in Detroit, I wrote that I didn’t think the annual June Swoon under Aaron Boone had arrived:
The last four days, during which the Yankees went 1-3 against the White Sox and Reds and scored nine runs total, have made some Yankees fans feel like the inevitable June Swoon under Aaron Boone has arrived. I don’t think that’s the case. Am I scared of the Swoon coming at some point? Of course I am. How could you not be? But do I think these past four games are an indication of it? No, not yet. The Yankees still had a .500 homestand (3-3) and a winning road trip (5-1) before that. But if this is the Swoon, we will soon find out.
Well, we’re getting closer to this being the Swoon. Gerrit Cole and the defense were awful, the offense wasn’t much better and the Yankees lost to the Tigers 5-3 on Monday. It was the Yankees’ third straight loss and fourth in five games.
2. Thankfully, the Rays haven’t come out of their slump and the Yankees’ poor play of late hasn’t hurt them in the standings. It’s unfortunate the only other good team in the American League plays in the same division as the Yankees and if they were in any other AL division they would be sitting with a comfortable lead.
The Yankees are going to the playoffs. They have a greater than 99 percent chance of reaching the postseason. If the less than 1 percent chance of them not reaching the postseason happens then nearly everyone in the organization should be fired given how much of a lead they have on a postseason spot and how bad the AL is. Since they are going to the postseason, I analyze the team each game based on how their recent performance could affect their postseason play. Monday’s result was worrisome, as was Sunday’s.
3. These last two games were worrisome because the Yankees were shut down by Chase Burns and Framber Valdez, and those are the types of starters the Yankees will see every game in October. The last two days served as a reminder of how this team performs against elite starting pitching: a lot of strikeouts, a lot of weak contact and a lot of empty at-bats. Burns held the Yankees to a Ben Rice solo home run and Valdez held them to an Ali Sanchez RBI double, while posting a season-high eight strikeouts.
4. One could point to the fact that the Yankees are without Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Trent Grisham, but they could be without them in October, or they could be without other bats then. It’s very unlikely the Yankees have their best possible everyday players available come October. And even if those three are healthy, we have seen what Judge does (or doesn’t do) in the playoffs for a decade (outside of four games last year) and we all watched Grisham do his best postseason Nick Swisher impression last fall.
5. The Yankees’ three runs came on Monday from the Sanchez second-inning RBI double (before Sanchez left the game following a hit by pitch) and an Amed Rosario seventh-inning, two-run home run. Rice went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts, Paul Goldschmidt went 2-for-4 with a pair of singles and a pair of strikeouts, Cody Bellinger went 0-for-3 with a walk, Anthony Volpe went 2-for-4 with a pair of singles, Jazz Chisholm went 1-for-4 with two strikeouts, Jasson Dominguez went 0-for-4 with a strikeout, Jose Caballero went 0-for-3 with a walk and a strikeout and Austin Wells went hitless in his one at-bat. The Yankees went 7-for-34 with two walks and 12 strikeouts.
6. I’m not sure what Cole’s game plan was for the AL’s fourth-worst offense, but throwing fastballs down the middle couldn’t have been it.
“They took advantage of some pitches that probably leaked into the heart of the plate on him today,” Aaron Boone said.
“Probably?” No, that’s exactly what happened. The Tigers scored five runs and put 10 runners on in 4 1/3 innings against Cole.
7. The defense didn’t do Cole any favors as the Yankees committed catcher’s interference for the second straight day and Caballero picked up another error in the outfield. Caballero could make an error every game he plays in the outfield and I wouldn’t be upset. He could make multiple errors every game in the outfield and I wouldn’t be upset. BECAUSE HE’S NOT AN OUTFIELDER. Just like Dominguez isn’t a right fielder. But no team likes to play players out of position like the Yankees.
8. Paul Blackburn and Ryan Yarbrough combined for 3 2/3 scoreless innings of relief. Both looked very good (it may have been the best Blackburn has ever looked as a Yankee), which shows how bad the Tigers’ offense is for allowing those two to shut them down and how bad Cole was to let the Tigers light him up.
9. In this stretch of 10 games in 10 days against very good starting pitching, the Yankees’ offense failed their first test. They were shut down by Valdez and couldn’t overcome Cole’s inefficiencies against the Tigers’ bullpen. It won’t get any easier on Tuesday with Casey Mize going for the Tigers. Mize has a 2.58 ERA in 10 starts and has pitched well in four career starts against the Yankees (3.63 ERA).
10. Carlos Rodon goes for the Yankees, and as it is with every Rodon start, I have no expectations. It wouldn’t surprise me if he throws six scoreless innings and it wouldn’t surprise me if he gets blasted like Cole did. Rodon received 18 runs of support over his last two starts and with Mize going, the Yankees’ offense outhitting a bad Rodon start is unlikely. Rodon will likely need to be very good to end the Yankees’ three-game losing streak, or the June Swoon may very well be here.