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Yankees Thoughts: A Third-Place Team?

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The Yankees lost a home series to the under-.500 Cardinals. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. The Yankees scored one run on Wednesday and lost 3-1, losing a three-game home series to the under-.500, going nowhere Cardinals. The offense turned in its latest pathetic effort, going 4-for-30 with 10 strikeouts against five different pitchers, and Will Warren failed to build on his last start against the Cubs, allowing eight baserunners and three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings.

2. Trent Grisham put together his latest 0-for at the plate, going 0-for-5 with a strikeout. Offering Grisham the $22 million qualifying offer was a horrible decision in real time. This isn’t second-guessing after 379 miserable plate appearances for someone hitting eight percent worse than league average.

These are Grisham’s OPS+ by season since becoming a full-time player in 2021:

2021: 106
2022: 81
2023: 84
2024 (only a part-time player): 91
2025: 123

Which of those numbers is unlike the others? Last season, of course, when Grisham hit 34 home runs, 17 more than he had hit in any other season. Sure enough, his OPS+ is down to 92 this season and he has 12 home runs. He’s hitting the ball out once every 32 plate appearances. Last season, it was once every 17. He’s hitting .211/.310/.379, and yet, he continues to lead off for the Yankees. He’s 6-for-54 with a .111/.238/.204 slash line as the first hitter of the game. He has a .588 OPS when he leads off any inning. How is it that after 115 games of this he’s still batting first? And the answer isn’t because Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Cody Bellinger are hurt because none of them bats first. It’s unacceptable and irresponsible that Grisham is still leading off and if he’s doing so again on Friday night in the series opener against the Braves, I may openly root against the Yankees. If they don’t care to provide the best possible lineup then why should I care if they win?

3. Ben Rice went hitless, but did provide three walks. Rice has homered once in the last two weeks, and when he isn’t hitting the ball over the wall, he’s not doing much else. He’s 6-for-50 with 19 strikeouts and a .474 OPS over the last two weeks.

Luis Garcia also went hitless as did Spencer Jones. The Yankees sent Jasson Dominguez down in favor of Jones, and with Judge and Bellinger out, Jones is getting everyday playing time and not doing much with it. His last hit came last Saturday at Wrigley Field.

Jazz Chisholm and Ryan McMahon also went hitless, but I think that’s a given from those two at this point. They did draw walks, but put either of those two up in a big spot with runners on and the chance to tie or take a lead in the game, and they will fail, just like they did on Wednesday.

4. It would seem to be a problem that George Lombard Jr., who has two days of being a major leaguer to his name, provides the most competitive plate appearances on the team. Lombard Jr. had a seven-pitch groundout and singled after falling behind 0-2 before striking out in his final two at-bats. Not only is it a problem that Lombard Jr. provides the best quality plate appearances, but it’s also a problem that the team needs him to be much more than a recently-called-up rookie because all of the veterans on the team suck.

5. No one sucks more than Austin Wells. The Yankees’ failure to get another catcher at the trade deadline is deplorable. They knew Wells and J.C. Escarra weren’t a worthy tandem last year then ran it back with them this year, eventually admitting Escarra can’t hit major-league pitching (despite Aaron Boone saying he would start on most teams in the majors) and replacing him with Ali Sanchez, who also can’t hit. The Yankees would be better off taking an automatic out at the catcher position, or at least having their catchers not go to the plate with a bat. The first option prevents them from hitting into rally-ending double plays, which is a Wells staple, and the second option allows them to potentially be walked or hit by a pitch. Wells should be in Triple-A with his best friend Anthony Volpe and he should be (and should have already been) removed from the future plans for the team like his best friend.

6. We’re at the point where it’s going to be hard to win the division unless the Rays collapse. The Rays could play .500 baseball from here on out and they would finish with 92 wins. For the Yankees to get to 92 wins, they have to go 28-19. There’s nothing to suggest the Rays are going to play .500 baseball for the remaining 30 percent of the season. And similarly, there’s nothing to suggest the Yankees are going play .596 baseball.

Sure, the Yankees still have four-game series left with the Rays and Red Sox, but does anyone think the Yankees will do anything more than split both of those series at best? The Rays and Red Sox also have a three-game series left against each other, so the Yankees will lose ground on one team no matter what with any loss during those three games. It’s getting late early for the Yankees.

7. Not in terms of making the playoffs. That’s a given since the AL is a joke and the final wild card currently belongs to the under-.500 Rangers, and it’s possible an under-.500 team will reach the postseason. It’s getting late early in terms of having any advantage in the postseason. The first-round bye and being able to set your rotation and have home-field advantage in the ALDS is unlikely (FanGraphs gives the Yankees a 20 percent chance to win the division). Having home-field advantage for all three games of the best-of-3 Wild Card Series is also fading. The Yankees had a 15-game lead in the loss column over the Red Sox at the end of June. They are now tied in the loss column.

8. The Red Sox are on a seven-game winning streak and are 31-5 in their last 36 games. Guess who started the 31-5 run for them? Your 2026 Yankees, when they got swept in four games at Fenway Park to end June. The Yankees scored nine runs in those four games and one of the nine was an automatic runner, so they scored eight runs in four games in the most hitter-friendly environment in the world. The Red Sox’ next six opponents are the Athletics, Blue Jays, Pirates, Diamondbacks, Giants and Marlins. The only potentially postseason team in the group is the Diamondbacks, who currently hold the third-and-final wild-card berth in the NL. That’s 19 games against teams that are .500 or worse. Teams that are going nowhere, have little to play for and are counting down the days until the offseason.

What the Red Sox are doing is the actual Impossible Dream season. Forget 1967. Winning 31 of 36 with the roster they have is truly absurd. They were left for dead when the Yankees arrived at Fenway to close out June, but then the defense fell apart behind Schlittler as Amed Rosario gave the Red Sox season-saving CPR and they haven’t looked back. Willson Contreras is having the best season of his career at age 34, Caleb Durbin is batting fucking cleanup and Masataka Yoshida is hitting like Hideki Matsui. Everything they are doing defies logic, math, physics, you name it.

9. Prior to Wednesday’s loss I wrote that the offense’s ceiling for the game was likely three runs and they scored once. Three runs for this team feels like 13. In reverse chronological order, they have scored 1, 2, 7, 2, 2, 2, 1, 5 and 3 runs dating back to July 28. The 7 came in the game in a game they lost after overcoming a six-run deficit. The 5 came in an extra-inning game, in which one run was an automatic runner — a game in which they had Cam Schlittler on the mound in the seventh inning with a four-run lead and lost. The Yankees have one way to win at the moment: get an outstanding pitching performance and score two runs. That’s it. A quality start isn’t good enough to give them a chance to win. They need near perfection. They need something like six scoreless innings to have a chance.

10. That’s not a recipe for success in Major League Baseball. It may work from time to time against the White Sox or Cardinals, but it’s not going to work against the Braves who arrive in the Bronx this weekend riding an eight-game winning streak and are 25 games over .500. While the Yankees are battling the Braves, the Rays will be playing the fraudulent Mariners and the Red Sox will be playing the second-worst AL team in the Athletics. The Yankees will very likely be in third place in the AL East by this weekend.

Last modified: Aug 7, 2026