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Yankees ALDS Game 1 Thoughts: Alex Verdugo the Victor

The Yankees overcame three different one-run deficits and two blown leads to beat the Royals 6-5 in Game 1 of the ALDS. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees. 1. “Tear down the empire from

The Yankees overcame three different one-run deficits and two blown leads to beat the Royals 6-5 in Game 1 of the ALDS.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. “Tear down the empire from the inside out.” That’s what Bob Costas said as he read a promo for the HBO show The Penguin as the third inning of Game 1 began on Saturday night. At the time, the promotional ad read for that show sounded like a good idea for the empire that is the Yankees.

Because at the time, Gerrit Cole was coming up small in a big game once again and the Yankees’ offense looked like every postseason version of itself since their last World Series appearance 15 years ago.

2. After a 1-2-3 first in which Cole allowed three rockets to the top of the Royals’ order, the Yankees began their offensive postseason with second and third and no outs after Gleyber Torres walked and Juan Soto doubled. With Aaron Judge, Austin Wells and Giancarlo Stanton coming up, the Yankees would have a chance to put up a crooked number and potentially end the game in the first inning. They didn’t. They didn’t score a single run.

Judge struck out, which is all he seems to do in the postseason. Wells hit a first-pitch grounder to first and with the Yankees idiotically having the contact play on (a staple of the Aaron Boone Yankees), Torres ran home and was thrown out by 10 feet. Stanton followed with a strikeout of his own and the Yankees wasted their second-and-third-with-no-outs situation.

Immediately after that, Cole allowed allow a single, walk, single and sacrifice fly and the Royals had a 1-0 lead. It would have likely been more if not for Salvador Perez inexplicably being sent home with no outs, resulting in Juan Soto throwing him out. Suddenly, the first game of the 2024 postseason was playing out like a game from every other postseason of the Boone era.

Cole was horrible. He pitched four-plus innings, needed 80 pitches to get 12 outs, allowed nine baserunners and three earned runs. Of his 80 pitches, he recorded only six swings-and-misses. Forty-three percent of the 21 batters he faced reached base and 11 of those 21 batters produced a “hard-hit ball” (an exit velocity of at least 95 mph), a season-high for the 2023 Cy Young winner.

For as good as Cole was over his final 10 starts, I didn’t expect him to pitch well in this one because I never expect him to pitch well in big games. I gave up on those expectations a long time ago.

After the game on YES, Michael Kay believed the layoff to be the reason why Cole wasn’t any good. There’s always some excuse for Cole. A layoff, a delayed start, a national anthem rendition running too long, a ceremonial first pitch not being on time. It’s never on Cole. Kay opined that Cole would be better the next time out. Will he? If the series goes to Game 4, he will be pitching on five days rest. If he’s not needed until Game 1 of the ALCS, he will be pitching on eight days rest, which is another extended layoff. How about he just pitches well in the postseason and the excuses stop? There was no excuse in Game 1. He sucked.

3. The other star of this Yankees core also sucked. After going 1-for-16 with a single in the last postseason series the Yankees played in the 2022 ALCS, Aaron Judge went 0-for-4 with a walk and three strikeouts in Game 1.

On Friday, I wrote: I am worried about Judge. For being as worried about Judge as I am, I do expect him to finally have that big postseason and carry the Yankees to the World Series. If not now, when?

My concern for Judge flopping in October again was warranted and after watching him leave runners on second and third with no outs in the first inning and fail to put the ball in play the entire night, those concerns are now heightened with Cole Ragans and Seth Lugo starting Games 2 and 3 for the Royals. At some point Judge has to do something, right? Right?!

4. Also on Friday, I wrote: I’m not worried about Soto. He has proven capable of handling October in his two postseason appearances, especially in 2019 when as a 20-year-old he hit three home runs and posted a 1.178 OPS against the Astros in the World Series.

Soto shined in his first postseason game as a Yankee the way he shined for the entire regular season. He went 3-for-5 in the series opener and threw Perez out at home in the second inning. Soto was his usual awesome self in the postseason and the win extends his time in pinstripes by at least one more game.

5. Austin Wells reverted back to being the awesome version of himself that he was from the end of April through the end of August. Wells went 1-for-3 with two walks. The first of his two walks forced in a run to tie the game at 3 in the fifth. His hit tied the game at 5 in the sixth. But for as awesome as Soto and Wells were, it was Alex Verdugo, yes Alex Verdugo, who was the best of all.

6. I don’t like Alex Verdugo. I think anyone who reads these thoughts with regularity knows that. I was against the trade for him and was against him continuing to receive everyday playing time all season as arguably the worst everyday offensive player in the league. But everyone gets a clean slate for the postseason, even Verdugo, and through one game, he is making the most of it.

“You can make up for a lot of things in the playoffs,” Verdugo said after the Game 1 win.

Verdugo walked in his first plate appearance and scored on Torres’ two-run home run. In the fourth, he made a sliding catch down the left-field line to end the inning and prevent a blooper from falling in and causing more damage on the scoreboard. In his third plate appearance, he drew a walk to lead off the sixth and scored the tying run on Wells’ RBI single. In the seventh, he singled to left field to drive in Jazz Chisholm, giving the Yankees a 6-5 lead, a lead they would hold on to for the Game 1 win.

Verdugo was the hero of Game 1. An unlikely hero, but a hero nonetheless. He was the type of hero that is born in October: a regular-season poor performer or afterthought who gets hot at the right time for a couple of weeks. The Yankees need a hero like that, especially because of the letdown performances from so many others.

7. Like Cole and Judge, Giancarlo Stanton was a zero in the game. He went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts and a walk. On that walk, any other player in the league would have been able to score when Oswaldo Cabrera doubled to center field, but not Stanton. Later in the game, Stanton was also thrown out on a ball to third that most players also would have been able to beat out. Stanton’s lack of speed on the bases was nearly a huge factor in deciding the game. He provides no value when he isn’t hitting home runs. And he doesn’t hit them frequently enough.

There’s this narrative that Stanton is some legendary postseason player. I don’t know how that started. Maybe because he hit six home runs in seven games in the 2020 playoffs … when there were no fans in the stands? Here are his other postseason home runs:

2018 Wild-Card Game: Solo home run with the Yankees up four in the bottom of the eighth.
2019 ALCS Game 1: Solo home run with the Yankees up two in the top of the sixth.
2021 Wild-Card Game: Solo home run with the Yankees down five in the top of the ninth.
2022 ALDS Game 2: Two-run home run with 0-0 score in the bottom of the first.
2022 ALDS Game 5: Three-run home run with 0-0 score in the bottom of the first.

The two home runs against the Guardians in the 2022 ALDS were important. The rest? Not so much.

Stanton is going to play. At least the next game with the left-handed Ragans starting. It would be nice if he could contribute in some way with the bat (and not assume every 2-0 and 3-1 pitch he gets is going to be a middle-middle fastball) since he doesn’t contribute in the field or on the bases.

8. Anthony Volpe was able to contribute a bases-loaded walk in the fifth, and thankfully he was able to at least provide that because the rest of his game was abysmal. The Golden Boy went 0-for-3 with that walk, struck out on a pitch in the other batter’s box with Chisholm running in the seventh and also made a disastrous error in the sixth that gave the Royals a lead. The Yankees had nine hits, eight walks and 11 strikeouts. Judge, Stanton and Volpe combined for no hits, three walks and six strikeouts. That needs to be cleaned up.

9. I wish I could say the in-game managerial decisions need to be cleaned up as well, but now in a sixth postseason of watching Boone, I think it’s safe to say it’s never going to be cleaned up.

It was a bad night for Aaron Boone fans who thought the manager would manage differently in October than he did from March through September. In the very first game of this postseason, Boone tried to steal outs with Cole in the fifth inning, when it was clear Cole was finished long before then, and when Boone had Clay Holmes warming and ready to go the inning before for Cole. Boone’s decision to let Cole start the fifth backfired as he allowed a ball off the left-field wall to begin the inning and the Royals eventually scored two runs when Volpe couldn’t make a throw to second base and when Boone called the infield in. The Yankees had a week off and have Sunday off and Boone managed as if he had a tired bullpen.

Holmes eventually did come in and got five important outs, followed by Tommy Kahnle getting two outs and Luke Weaver recording the four-out save. The bullpen was outstanding and for one night put to rest the fears most Yankees fans had about the relievers going into the playoffs.

10. Cole was bad, Judge and Stanton no-showed, the Gold Glove shortstop’s defense was sloppy and the Yankees still won. That’s both promising and frightening. But a win is a win, and for now, the “teardown of the empire from the inside out” can be put on hold. One win down and 10 to go.

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Yankees Thoughts: It Really Is ‘Right in Front of Them’

There has never been and will never be a more clear path to the World Series for these Yankees. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees. 1. The Astros went 12-5 against the Yankees in

There has never been and will never be a more clear path to the World Series for these Yankees.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. The Astros went 12-5 against the Yankees in the 2017, 2019 and 2022 ALCS. They’re out. The Orioles went 8-5 against the Yankees in the regular season this year. They’re out. The Tigers and Royals did the job I feared the Yankees may not be able to do if they faced the Astros or Orioles this October. Now they don’t have to.

Three teams from the AL Central remain. Again, that’s three teams from the AL Central standing between the Yankees and their first pennant in 15 years.

The Yankees destroyed the AL Central in the regular season. They won the AL East and avoided the dangerous best-of-3 series because of the number they did on the AL Central in the regular season, including going 12-6 against the three Central teams remaining.

They went 4-2 against the Guardians. Both losses were in extra innings.

They went 4-2 against the Royals. One loss was a Clay Holmes blown save.

They went 4-2 against the Tigers. One loss was another Holmes blown save.

None of those three have any offense. They finished sixth, seventh and eighth in the AL in runs scored. Their entire success centers around their pitching and the Yankees’ bats will have to get to some combination of Cole Ragans, Seth Lugo, Tarik Skubal, Tanner Bibee and other quality starters to end their AL pennant drought.

2. Those bats producing in October is what keeps me up at night. No matter what happens during the regular season, the entirety of the Yankees’ season each year hinges on whether or not the bats will be there in October. The bats haven’t shown up in a long time.

The dynastic Yankees of the late-‘90s and 2000s won in the postseason because their stars remained stars in October. When the 163rd game came, there was no drop-off in production despite only facing the top teams and elite pitching each game. Look at these regular season vs. postseason career numbers.

Derek Jeter regular season: .310/.377/.440
Derek Jeter postseason: .308/.374/.465

Bernie Williams regular season: .297/.381/.477
Bernie Williams postseason: .275/.371/.480

Paul O’Neill regular season: .288/.363/.470
Paul O’Neill postseason: .284/.363/.465

That hasn’t happened with this Yankees core. When October comes, these Yankees have always disappeared, and Aaron Judge has been as big of a problem as anyone.

Aaron Judge regular season: .288/.406/.604
Aaron Judge postseason: .211/.310/.462

3. Judge hasn’t had a postseason series OPS above .738 since the 2019 ALDS when the Yankees beat the shit out of the Twins. Since then he’s posted OPS of .681, .717, .637,. 500, .738 and .180 across a wild-card game, a wild-card series, two ALDS and two ALCS. He’s supposed to be the best hitter in the game, but he hasn’t even been the best hitter on the Yankees in a postseason series since the 2017 ALCS.

Judge has the home run record. He has the captaincy. He has the long-term contract and life-changing, generational wealth. The only thing missing is a championship, and this is his best chance to date to win one, and he may never get a chance as good as this again.

4. The Yankees have far and away the best roster of the remaining four AL teams. It’s not even close. And for as concerend as I am with the Yankees’ offense, their offense is in another stratosphere compared to the light-hitting Royals, Guardians and Tigers. But like the other three teams, the Yankees’ bottom of their order won’t do them any favors.

Gleyber Torres, Juan Soto, Judge, Austin Wells, Giancarlo Stanton and Jazz Chisholm are going to be the 1 through 6 hitters. After that’s, it’s likely to be Anthony Volpe, Alex Verdugo and Ben Rice in some order.

Volpe has been an offensive disappointment since his first major-league plate appearance. Verdugo was benched over the last two weeks of the season for being arguably the worst everyday hitter in the majors for six months and is only going to be playing because Jasson Dominguez can’t be trusted to catch fly balls. Rice was sent to the minors at the end of August after posting a .624 OPS over two months and is only on the team because the Yankees’ first and second options at first base (Anthony Rizzo and DJ LeMahieu are both injured). It’s bleak at 7 through 9.

One-third of the Yankees lineup is as close to being three automatic outs as there are in the postseason. So either the trio is going to have to provide some unexpected offense or a few big hits with runners on, or the top two-thirds of the lineup is going to have to carry all of the weight with the Yankees essentially giving away three innings worth of outs each game.

5. If the Yankees are going to willingly give away three innings worth of outs each game, Judge and Juan Soto are going to have to hit like they did in the regular season when they were being mentioned alongside Lou Gehrig and Babe Ruth daily. I’m not worried about Soto. He has proven capable of handling October in his two postseason appearances, especially in 2019 when as a 20-year-old he hit three home runs and posted a 1.178 OPS against the Astros in the World Series. I am worried about Judge. For being as worried about Judge as I am, I do expect him to finally have that big postseason and carry the Yankees to the World Series. If not now, when?

6. When is centered around the future, and if the Yankees can’t get to the World Series against this field, I don’t know that there will be a future for Aaron Boone with the Yankees. Even though he was able to retain his position after the Yankees missed the postseason last year and finished with the club’s worst record in three decades, falling short with this team against those teams would have to mean the end for him, given that his contract expires this season.

With each previous failed postseason run, Boone has always talked about how close his teams have been and how sweet it will be once they finally win, only to never get close and never finally win. That has to change this October.

7. In-game management in close games isn’t exactly Boone’s forte. Well, neither is being transparent about injuries or accurate in player evaluations. Then again, communication — the trait he was sold to Yankees fans on — is a problem as well. OK, I don’t really know what Boone’s strong suit is. He’s a nice guy? That must be it. He’s a nice guy, loyal and someone you would want to grab some beers with. When it comes to being a capable, major-league manager though, to put it nicely, he has been a disaster to this point.

8. Boone has been exceptionally bad in the bad postseason. In his first postseason in 2018, in the pivotal Game 3 at home, his starting pitcher didn’t know the start time of the game. In that same game, he let that starting pitcher go back out for a third inning despite giving up piss missiles all over the place in the first two innings. By the time he decided to make a pitching change, the Yankees were down 3-0 and the bases were loaded with no outs. Despite having a stable of strikeout arms in his bullpen, he went to a starter with mediocre strikeout ability at the time and it ended in the Yankees suffering their most lopsided home postseason loss in franchise history.

The following night, facing elimination, he let CC Sabathia face the entire Red Sox lineup a second time because he liked the matchup of Sabathia against Jackie Bradley Jr., who was batting ninth. The Yankees were eliminated.

The next October, he used JA Happ in relief in extra innings in Game 2 of the ALCS. Carlos Correa walked off the Yankees and the Yankees went 1-4 over the final five games of the series.

In 2020, there was the Deivi Garcia-Happ debacle in the ALDS. In 2021, he led the odds-on favorite in the AL to a third-place finish in the division and a fifth-place finish in the AL. Their postseason lasted nine innings (and really just a half-inning of those nine thanks to Gerrit Cole).

In 2022, he changed his starting shortstop daily, somehow made Clarke Schmidt the first guy out of the bullpen in Game 1 of the ALCS, kept batting Josh Donaldson fifth and eventually used video from the 2004 Yankees’ ALCS collapse to motivate his own Yankees team.

9. The Boone Yankees are 14-17 in the postseason. A lot of it is because of the offense’s annual disappearing act, but Boone hasn’t done anything to elevate the game or the chances of his previous five postseason teams. If anything, he has been detrimental to their success.

I like to say that the Yankees need to outhit their own manager to win games to prevent him from having an impact on close games. That’s not possible in the playoffs where games are low scoring and close. Every decision Boone makes from the moment he starts to fill out his lineup card until the final out of each postseason game is crucial, and he has been incapable of handling the pressure that comes with making correct decision after correct decision, which is what it takes in October.

I want nothing more than for the Yankees to win and for Boone to win. I don’t want to sit through another end-of-the-season press conference with him telling everyone how close the team is and how sweet it’s going to be once they do win it all.

10. Boone’s decision-making shouldn’t be able to deter the Yankees from winning the AL this year. It shouldn’t matter in the AL playoffs if Verdugo plays or Dominguez plays. It shouldn’t matter if Wells bats cleanup or Chisholm does. It shouldn’t matter if Schmidt starts Game 3 or Luis Gil does. The Yankees are that much better than the three remaining AL opponents. The 50/50 choices and decisions around the margins shouldn’t be the difference between this team advancing or being shockingly eliminated. The Yankees were the best team in the AL in the regular season and are the best team remaining in the AL postseason. It’s time they played like it in October.

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Yankees Thoughts: It Was Right in Front of Them

The Yankees routed the Orioles 10-1 on Thursday and clinched the AL East title in the process. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees. 1. Aaron Boone was right. He knew back in July when

The Yankees routed the Orioles 10-1 on Thursday and clinched the AL East title in the process.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. Aaron Boone was right. He knew back in July when he regurgitated (for a third straight season) his popular phrase “It’s right in front of us” in regards to the Yankees’ postseason and division chances. He knew playing .500 baseball for the final three months of the season would lead the Yankees to an AL East title.

2. The season goals are to reach the postseason, win the division, receive a bye to the ALDS, win home-field advantage through the ALCS, win the ALDS, win the ALCS and win the World Series. The first three have been accomplished. Next up is to win home-field advantage through the ALCS.

3. “We’d love to get it,” Boone said. “That said, I’m going to make sure I get guys a day here. I feel like we gotta do it, but we’ll be playing to win.”

I believe being the 1-seed in the AL playoffs is important. The Yankees don’t. They never have. Boone said as much on Thursday. The Yankees have always operated under the idea of “just get in” and that hasn’t exactly worked out for them. They haven’t been the 1-seed in any of Boone’s six previous years managing the team. That could change in the seventh.

The Yankees currently have a one-game lead over the Guardians for the 1-seed. Because the Yankees won the head-to-head season series (4-2), finishing with the same record as the Guardians is all they need. The odds are in their favor.

4. But no matter what happens this weekend, the Yankees returned home on Sunday, got to sleep in their own beds for the Orioles series, will sleep in their own beds this weekend, get to sleep in their own beds all of next week and won’t need to travel until after Game 2 of the ALDS, which is scheduled for October 7. They will have been able to be in their own homes, playing in their own stadium and not traveling for 16 days from when they returned from Oakland until they have to leave for Game 3 of the ALDS.

5. That’s just one of the many advantages the Yankees have heading into the postseason. On top of that, they will be able to set their rotation as they please and open their postseason playing in front of what will be a raucous Stadium crowd on a Saturday night in the Bronx.

6. “I feel like we’ve been through a lot as a team already this year,” Boone said. “So I’d like to think we’re battle-tested for what’s ahead.”

The Yankees haven’t been through that much. Most of what they have been through was self-inflicted. But hey, if coming up with a fictional narrative is what Boone needs to motivate his team in the postseason, I’m all for it. It’s better than using video from the 2004 ALCS as motivation like he did the last time the Yankees were in the playoffs two years ago.

7. “We’re going to celebrate tonight,” Judge said, “and then look forward to October.”

I’m confident about the Yankees heading into the postseason. I know it can all change in an instant. A loss in Game 1 of the ALDS can make it feel like the season is ending. I know the bats can just not show up in a way they haven’t in October for a while now. I know the most trusted arms in the rotation could lay eggs, the bullpen could implode or Boone could manage his team to elimination.

8. Every fan knows their own teams flaws, watching them unfold nearly daily for six months. But for as critical as I am of the Yankees (and rightfully so given their performance and internal decisions over the last 14 years), they boast the best roster of any of the six AL teams that will be in the field.

9. “We’re in a good spot,” Stanton said, “but there’s a lot of work to do.”

Everything is in their favor heading into this October in a way it hasn’t been in a long, long time. There is no dominant team in the field. If anything they are the team to beat in the field. Their rotation is healthy (outside of Nestor Cortes, but he may not have been part of the rotation anyway) and they have the best two hitters in the league in the same lineup. The only potential AL opponent that scares me is the Astros, but that’s more about the past than the present, as this Astros team isn’t the 2017, 2019 or 2022 teams. (Thankfully, as long as the Yankees win the 1-seed they won’t have to face the Astros until the best-of-7 ALCS format.) If the Yankees can’t win the World Series with the setup they have this year, I don’t know when they will.

10. This weekend will now be relaxing and stress-free. Next week will be the same. But come next Saturday when Yankees fans wake up, the second season begins. The good and bad of the previous 162 games is erased. Every Yankee gets a clean slate full of opportunity. No opportunity greater than the chance to be a part of something no Yankees team has been a part of in 15 years.

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Yankees Thoughts: Second Chance to Win Division Wasted

The Yankees lost to the Orioles 9-7 on Wednesday and failed to clinch the division title in their second attempt at it. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees. 1. 0-for-2. That’s what the Yankees

The Yankees lost to the Orioles 9-7 on Wednesday and failed to clinch the division title in their second attempt at it.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. 0-for-2. That’s what the Yankees are in opportunities to clinch and win the AL East. Add two more missed opportunities and it will read like an Alex Verdugo batting line. But if the Yankees miss two more opportunities they could possibly be in a world of shit.

One Yankees win or one Orioles loss over the next four days will give the Yankees the division. It would be nice if they could get it out of the way with a win on Thursday, rendering the three remaining games of the regular season against the Pirates rather meaningless. But given the way the Yankees have played in the first two games of this three-game series against the Orioles, it wouldn’t surprise me (and shouldn’t surprise anyone) if the division is not over by the end of play on Thursday.

2. Prior to Wednesday’s 9-7 loss to the Orioles (to drop the Yankees to 4-8 on the season against the Orioles), Nestor Cortes was placed on the 15-day injured list, taking him out of the equation for the ALDS. In his place, Marcus Stroman made his first start in 15 days and second in 21 days. The Yankees have done everything they can to avoid giving Stroman the ball in September and rightfully so.

Stroman was awful once again, needing 66 pitches to get 10 outs, while giving up six earned runs on 10 hits. Since July 4, Stroman has started 64 innings and only nine of them have been 1-2-3 innings, which is outrageous. Every seven-plus innings Stroman will give you a clean frame. He didn’t have one on Wednesday.

3. “It’s frustrating,” Stroman said. “I didn’t execute and do my job out there to keep my team in position to win.”

The last pitch Stroman threw should be the last pitch he throws in 2024 outside of maybe some innings eating this weekend against the Pirates (as long as the division is wrapped up). Stroman can’t be trusted to nibble in October and he can’t be trusted out of the bullpen either without swing-and-miss stuff. Balls in play (even ones on the ground) lead to bad things (just ask Clay Holmes) and Stroman relies on balls in play more than anyone in baseball.

4. In a game in which Juan Soto and Aaron Judge both hit multi-run home runs and the Yankees scored seven runs, they lost. That’s how bad Stroman was and then how bad Clayton Beeter was in relief of Stroman (1.1 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 2 K).

Soto and Judge combined to go 4-for-8 with three runs, two home runs, six RBIs and two walks. The rest of the lineup went 6-for-28 with no extra-base hits. It was the type of offensive performance the Yankees have to have in October to succeed since no one in the lineup outside of those two can be trusted with any regularity. Despite Gleyber Torres’ last month, he’s only now a league-average hitter for the season. Austin Wells has a .410 OPS in September and looks like the April version of himself. Giancarlo Stanton is either extremely hot or extremely cold with no in between and there’s no knowing what he will be in October. Jazz Chisholm has a .446 OPS over the last three weeks. Any plate appearance for Anthony Rizzo or Anthony Volpe resulting in them getting on base is a magnificent surprise. Alex Verdugo is a lost cause and Jasson Dominguez plays too infrequently to get into an extended groove.

5. Dominguez was back in the lineup after an unnecessary day off on Tuesday. He misplayed a ball in left field in the first inning that looked to be tailing away from him in the corner and then came back into the field of play.

“I have no excuse,” Dominguez said. “That ball needs to be caught, 100 percent of the time.”

Almost 100 percent of the time since it had a catch probability of 95 percent.

6. “He’s missed some plays that he should make,” Aaron Boone said of Dominguez. I can count on one hand (I may need a finger or two from my other hand) to count the times Boone has been somewhat critical of one of his players in seven seasons and this is one of those instances. Boone defended Torres’ game-altering baserunning gaffe just 24 hours earlier (when Torres himself couldn’t defend it), but there was Boone not having the same type of defense for Dominguez, who is playing a position he has little experience playing. Dominguez has played 20 total games in left field this season between the majors and minors.

“I haven’t played a ton of games in left field,” Dominguez said, “but I feel I can do it.”

Unfortunately, for Dominguez, the Yankees only have four games remaining, so there’s not much time to learn in actual games. Boone wants to play Verdugo over Dominguez and Dominguez is giving him a reason to.

7. “You try to take it all in, what gives you the best chance to win on a given night,” Boone said of his ongoing left-field competition. “We’re trying to give a good look to Jasson here down the stretch.”

That second part is telling. “We’re trying” is Boone foreshadowing him telling the media “they tried” when Dominguez is on the bench or not on the postseason roster next Saturday night at Yankee Stadium.

On Wednesday, Dominguez hit balls 109.3 mph, 106.5 mph and 109.2 mph. Verdugo has hit one ball over 100 mph in the last two weeks. It doesn’t matter to the Yankees that Dominguez is the far superior hitter to Verdugo. Boone wants to play Verdugo and Dominguez’s defense is going to be what Boone uses to play one of his favorites.

8. I fear Verdugo will be the Yankees’ starting left fielder to begin the postseason. Then if the team is having trouble scoring in the postseason the way they do every October, they will insert Dominguez into the lineup in place of Verdugo to try to get a jolt out of his bat after he has been sitting cold and not playing. When that doesn’t work out, everyone will say Dominguez sucks. It’s almost too easy to predict.

9. I pray that doesn’t happen. I pray if Verdugo plays over Dominguez that he hits, and that if it’s Dominguez over Verdugo that he catches fly balls. You can’t afford to play with automatic outs in the lineup (like Verdugo) in October and the Yankees will already be playing Rizzo and Volpe since they are immune to losing playing time for their lack of offense. And you can’t afford to be misplaying easy outs and giving the opposition extra outs to work with in October either.

10. For now, the Yankees need to worry about getting to October with a bye. That can be resolved with one more win. It wasn’t resolved on Tuesday or Wednesday. Thursday will be their third chance at it. I don’t want to have to write about them going for it for a fourth time tomorrow.

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Yankees Thoughts: First Chance to Win Division Wasted

The Yankees lost to the Orioles 5-3 on Tuesday and failed to clinch the division title in their first attempt at it. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees. 1. The Yankees entered Tuesday’s series

The Yankees lost to the Orioles 5-3 on Tuesday and failed to clinch the division title in their first attempt at it.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. The Yankees entered Tuesday’s series opener against the Orioles with a magic number of 1 to clinch the division. Win one of the remaining six games and the goal of winning the AL East would be complete. Their first crack at it was unsuccessful.

Aaron Boone decided he would try to clinch the division title in the first of six possible attempts without the best possible lineup. There was Alex Verdugo, some way, somehow starting over Jasson Dominguez on Tuesday.

“It’s still declaring itself,” Boone recently said of the starting left field role. Tuesday was Game 157 of the season. Wednesday is Game 158. In all likelihood (barring a monumental collapse over the five remaining games), the Yankees will be playing a postseason game next Saturday night at Yankee Stadium. There’s no time for left field to still be declaring itself. IT’S DECLARED ITSELF! We have a full season of Verdugo being one of the very worst everyday players in the league. The Yankees can’t go into the postseason with a daily lineup shuffle the way they did two years ago. That’s not going to work. Play the best available nine players. This isn’t hard.

2. But for Boone it is hard. It’s hard for him to not play veterans and players and pitchers he has relationships with. It’s why Verdugo is still playing. It’s why Clay Holmes is still pitching in high-leverage and save situations. It’s why Brett Gardner was batting third in the 2019 ALCS. It’s why CC Sabathia was allowed to face the Red Sox’ lineup a second time in Game 4 of the 2018 ALDS. It’s why Boone couldn’t completely pull the plug on Isiah Kiner-Falefa as the team’s shortstop in the 2022 postseason and why he kept batting Josh Donaldson fifth and sixth that same postseason despite him having no better chance than a fan from the stands at putting the ball in play.

3. Nothing will stop Boone from playing Verdugo at this point. He would rather lose with his favorites playing than win without them. He so desperately wants Verdugo to be the team’s starting left fielder and small “wins” like Verdugo reaching first via an infield single that had a .180 expected batting average are the types of nonsense Boone will refer to when telling the media Verdugo has been “swinging the bat well lately.”

4. Verdugo has one extra-base hit in September. Dominguez has three times as many in 17 less plate appearances. Verdugo has two home runs since July 6. Dominguez has two home runs in the last six days. Since being called up, Dominguez has more walks, steals, doubles and home runs, and a higher on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS than Verdugo.

If you want to talk about Dominguez’s outfield mishaps in left field in Seattle, well, other veteran outfielders had trouble with the sun in those games as well, not to mention Dominguez still adjusting and learning left field. At least he has an excuse. Verdugo overthrew the cutoff man over the weekend. And no one should ever forget his play to end the games against the Orioles in the last game before the All-Star break.

5. With the Yankees trailing 2-1 in the fifth on Wednesday, Anthony Rizzo and Anthony Volpe drew back-to-back walks to begin the inning, bringing Verdugo to the plate. He hit into a double play to destroy the rally. Representing the tying run at the plate with two outs in the ninth, he made the final out of a game he shouldn’t be playing in, a game the Yankees could clinch the division in. How can you not be romantic about baseball? Verdugo is now for 1-for-his last-17 with the one being the slow roller to the right side that he beat out on Tuesday. Keep playing him!

The Yankees have five games over the next five days to get it right, play Dominguez every day and get him as acclimated as he can be to the Yankee Stadium outfield before they begin to play for all the marbles next Saturday. Every inning Dominguez spends on the bench and Verdugo spends in the field is detrimental to the Yankees’ chances at winning the division and then winning in October.

6. The Yankees’ best chance to tie or take the lead in a game they never led in came in the same inning as Verdugo’s monster 82-mph infield single that traveled three feet in the air. Trailing 4-1 with runners on first and third with two outs in the seventh, Gleyber Torres hit a ground-rule double to right field to make it 4-2. Juan Soto followed with a single to pull the Yankees within a run. Anthony Santander threw home on Soto’s single to try to prevent the run from scoring and as the ball traveled toward the plate, Soto took off for the second, barely beating the throw. Torres had initially held up on the base hit, but when Adley Rutschman threw down to second to try to get Soto, Torres inexplicably broke for home, ended up in a rundown and was eventually tagged out.

“I think he thought Soto was going to be out,” is the nonsensical, bullshit reasoning Boone gave to defend Torres’ decision.

When told Torres leads the majors in outs at home plate, Boone barked back at the questioner, “I mean do you have the context on all of the outs at home plate?” as if Torres has a history of smart decisions on the basepaths.

You’re right, Boone. Torres is an intelligent baseball player with good baserunning instincts, who has a seven-year career full of aggressive, smart baserunning choices. Everyone else is just wrong and dumb.

Jack Curry on YES called Torres’ decision “inexplicable” and “reckless.” Aaron Judge said, “Stuff like that can’t happen.” Even Torres himself said, “If I’m going to make that decision, go straight for the run.” Everyone including the baserunner realized it was a losing mistake. Everyone except the manager who couldn’t just flat-out say it was a foolish error.

7. Playing Verdugo and Torres’ baserunning gaffe weren’t the only reasons the Yankees lost. Clarke Schmidt needed 100 pitches to get 16 outs and gave up three earned run in 5 1/3 innings and Boone’s choices to relieve Schmidt in a close game following an off day were Tim Mayza and Mark Leiter Jr. The duo got five outs, but not before allowing five baserunners and a run to score.

8. The loss dropped the Yankees to 4-7 on the season against their division rival. The head-to-head record won’t mean anything if the Yankees can win one of their five remaining games or if the Orioles lose one of their five remaining games, but it doesn’t make me feel comfortable or confident about the Yankees’ chances against the Orioles if the two teams meet in the ALDS. And as of Wednesday morning, the Yankees will face the winner of a potential Orioles-Tigers best-of-3.

9. The Yankees released some bad news on Wednesday morning, announcing Nestor Cortes would not make his scheduled start in the second game of this series and instead would have an MRI on his left elbow. Cortes has allowed just one earned run in his previous 15 1/3 innings since calling out the Yankees for sending him to the bullpen in Chicago and has pitched to a 1.58 ERA over his last 40 innings. He is/was likely to be in the postseason rotation, and if not, would have been a left-handed weapon out of the bullpen, but now could have his season cut short (and possibly miss all of next season as an impending free agent). Rarely does a pitcher in need of a throwing elbow MRI receive good news. And even if they do, rarely is it a few days without throwing before returning to action. It’s hard to envision Cortes being a part of the postseason.

10. John Sterling will be a part of the postseason. The 86-year-old legend returned to the broadcast booth on Tuesday and it was like he never left. It’s almost as if the last five-plus months didn’t happen. As a Sterling fan, it was hard to not be able to listen to him anymore when he retired in April. While I’m elated he’s back for the remainder of the regular season and the postseason, overall, it’s just a tease, knowing we will have to say goodbye all again. Hopefully, the last out of the season and of his career he calls isn’t the same as the last out of the last 14 seasons he has had to call: with the Yankees’ season ending without a championship. The next Yankees win (or Orioles loss) will increase the Yankees’ odds at preventing a 15th straight disappointing final out call from Sterling. It would be enjoyable if that win came on Wednesday night to get it out of the way.

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Yankees Thoughts: Postseason Berth Clinched with No Help from Aaron Boone

The Yankees avoided a disappointing loss and beat the Mariners 2-1 in 10 innings on Wednesday, clinching a postseason berth in the process. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees. 1. Aaron Boone was willing

The Yankees avoided a disappointing loss and beat the Mariners 2-1 in 10 innings on Wednesday, clinching a postseason berth in the process.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. Aaron Boone was willing to go to Luke Weaver in the eighth inning on Wednesday night against the Mariners, but first he wanted to find the answer to the question of how many outs he could steal with Clay Holmes. The answer: one.

One out is what Holmes recorded in the eighth inning before giving up a game-tying home run to Justin Turner. Why was Holmes in a one-run game to begin with? Why was he once again pitching in a high-leverage situation after being removed from the closer role and demoted in the bullpen pecking order just two weeks ago? And why wasn’t a better, more trusted reliever not pitching after the Yankees had Monday off and won a nine-run blowout on Tuesday in which they didn’t use any of their best relievers?

But there was Holmes getting the call for the third out of the seventh inning in relief of Tommy Kahnle with the tying run on base and and the go-ahead run at the plate. (It took him 12 pitches to get the last out of the seventh.) And there he was again going back out to the mound to begin the eighth. Not only was Boone willing to use his least trusted reliever for multiple innings in a one-run game, he had decided the lane for his least trusted reliever was the Marniners’ 1- and 2- hitters in the seventh and then the heart of the order in the eighth.

2. The home run allowed to Turner resulted in Holmes’ 13th blown save of the season, five more than anyone else. On a night when a Yankees win would clinch them a postseason berth, Boone did everything he could to prevent it from happening.

If you’re upset with Holmes following the Turner home run and his latest blown save, you’re upset with the wrong person. Holmes sucks. Everyone knows he sucks except for his manager. I’m not upset with Holmes. He didn’t make himself a Yankee. He didn’t make himself the closer. He didn’t keep himself in the closer role until his 11th blown save earlier this month. He didn’t put himself in a position to blow his 12th save last week or his 13th on Wednesday.

Boone so desperately wants Holmes to be his closer that he will stop at nothing to continue to give him opportunities in crucial spots. After being removed as the closer following his blown save in Texas two-and-a-half weeks, it took one scoreless outing in his next appearance for Holmes to then be given a one-run lead to protect the following outing: he blew that lead. Then after getting four outs without allowing a run across two games over the weekend, he was thrust right back into a one-run spot on Wednesday, and of course, he blew it.

Boone would rather have Holmes standing on the mound as Jose Altuve races home as the pennant-winning run next month or have Yordan Alvarez trotting around the bases with Holmes hanging his head as a response to the team’s elimination than ruin his friendship or relationship with Holmes by removing him completely from high-leverage situations. Boone is willing to risk it all and ruin the Yankees’ season on the right arm of Holmes. We saw it all season when he wouldn’t remove him from the closer’s role until that 11th blown save, and we have seen it continue over the last two weeks as he allowed him to blow two more.

3. The only way to ensure Boone doesn’t use Holmes in the postseason is to exclude him from the roster, which we know isn’t going to happen. Boone will use anyone and everyone at his disposal on the postseason roster. It’s how you get Neil Walker hitting instead of Miguel Andujar in the ninth inning of an elimination game in Game 4 of the 2018 ALDS. It’s how you get JA Happ pitching in relief in Game 2 of the 2019 ALCS. It’s how you get Happ being used a bulk reliever in Game 2 of the 2020 ALDS, or how you get Mike Ford pinch hitting in 2020 playoff games after he wasn’t good enough to be on the roster in the weeks leading up to the playoffs. It’s how you get Aaron Hicks starting games in the 2022 postseason and Boone’s shortstop shuffle between Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Oswaldo Cabrera and Oswald Peraza that same year. If you’re on the postseason roster, Boone will find playing time for you. Holmes will pitch in a high-leverage situation in October and the Yankees will either blow a lead or lose a game (or both) because of it.

4. Holmes’ work on Wednesday erased the impressive six shutout innings Nestor Cortes provided. Since being removed from the rotation and being inexplicably passed over for a start instead of Marcus Stroman and voicing his opinion on the matter, Cortes has been dominant: 15.1 IP, 7 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 7 BB, 18K. If anything, Cortes was a little too comfortable taking the ball every five days as a Yankee, tweeting delusional thoughts about how great the team has been and turning in crap performances most starts. The brief demotion has certainly motivated him to be better than he had been for stretches this season.

5. Weaver should have been the pitcher relieving Kahnle in the seventh with the lineup turning over, and if not, then Jake Cousins. Allowing Holmes to face the 1 through 4 hitters was irresponsible. That should always be Weaver’s “lane” in any late-game situation. The best reliever should be facing the best hitters. Weaver blew away the Mariners, retiring five of the six batters he faced and striking out four of them. His line since Boone’s admission through usage that Weaver is the best reliever in the team: 7.1 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 3 BB, 16 K and a .083/.185/.083 slash line against.

6. My current bullpen trust rankings are as follows:

Luke Weaver
Ian Hamilton
Jake Cousins
Tommy Kahnle

Hamilton was outstanding again on Wednesday against the Mariners, but the gap, for me, between Weaver and Hamilton remains massive. Overall, trust falls off completely after Kahnle. No one other than those four should be getting big outs next month unless Clarke Schmidt or Luis Gil joins them in the bullpen.

7. It’s a relief the Yankees are back in the postseason in a format that accepts 40 percent of the league. When the league moved to this format for the 2022 season, I figured the Yankees would never miss the postseason again. I didn’t envision them missing it in the second year of the format. Being in the Top 40 percent of the league with the Yankees’ resources should be a given, and yet, just a year ago they finished in eighth in the AL and were seven games out from being in sixtth.

It’s comical now to hear Boone say last year’s team wasn’t good (which he has now said twice in the last few days), considering last summer he kept telling everyone how the Yankees had the guys in the room capable of turning the season around and getting the job done. They didn’t and never did. Now they are back in the postseason for the first time in two years, and because of the way the 2022 postseason ended (in humiliating fashion against the Astros), it feels like they haven’t been in the postseason in a much longer time. Now that they’re headed back, the season will hinge on the offense not performing its annual October disappearing act. I’m not worried about the pitching. Pitching hasn’t eliminated the Yankees from the postseason since Joe Torre was manager. The offense is what has prevented the Yankees from reaching and winning the World Series over the last 14 years.

8. The offense was essentially a no-show for the first nine innings on Wednesday, picking up just two hits and striking out 15 times. Home plate umpire Jim Wolf didn’t do them any favors with one of the worst strike zones we have seen all season, but it was an ugly offensive effort. The lone run the Yankees scored before getting the automatic runner in in the 10th was when Jasson Dominguez walked in the second, stole second and moved to third on an error, and then scored on an Anthony Rizzo single.

Rizzo drove in both Yankees runs and prevented the bottom third of the order from being a complete non-factor as Anthony Volpe and Alex Verdugo combined to go 0-for-8. Volpe was particularly awful in this one as he hit into an inning-ending double play first time up, struck out in his next two at-bats and then popped up a first-pitch sacrifice bunt for an easy out in the 10th with Rizzo on second and no outs. For as bad as Volpe was last year (and he was extremely bad), his OPS this year in now seven points worse.

9. Giancarlo Stanton was held out of the lineup for a second straight game, supposedly due to the matchup and not an injury. On Tuesday, the Yankees faced the hard-throwing righty Bryan Woo, and then on Wednesday, the Yankees faced the hard-throwing righty Bryce Miller and Stanton sat for both games. On Thursday, the Yankees will face the hard-throwing righty Logan Gilbert, who is the best of three, and yet, Stanton has been told he will play against Gilbert. Holding out Stanton against hard-throwing righties, but saying he will be playing in October doesn’t add up since all October has is hard-throwing righties. When Stanton sits, it moves Judge to designated hitter, and forces Verdugo in the lineup. How about waiting until the division is clinched before continuing that lineup construction so often?

10. The magic number to clinch the division is down to 6. Any combination of Yankees wins and Orioles losses totaling 6 and the AL East is the Yankees’ for just the third time in Boone’s tenure. The Yankees also have a two-game loss column lead on being the 1-seed in the American League playoffs, something they have never been during Boone’s tenure. By clinching a postseason berth, the Yankees have completed the first goal in doing something else they haven’t done during Boone’s tenure. If Boone stops using Holmes in high-leverage situations he just may accomplish that goal in his seventh year.

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Yankees Thoughts: Juan Soto Can’t Possibly Be Here for Only One Season

The Yankees routed the Mariners 11-2 in Seattle on Tuesday night and are now one win away from clinching a postseason berth. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees. 1. That’s how a late-night West

The Yankees routed the Mariners 11-2 in Seattle on Tuesday night and are now one win away from clinching a postseason berth.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. That’s how a late-night West Coast game should go. The Yankees scored two in the first inning, two in the second, two in the fourth, one in the fifth, three in the sixth and one in the ninth. They led 2-0 after one, 4-1 after two, 6-1 after four, 7-1 after five and 10-1 after six. Eleven runs on 12 hits, including six for extra bases. That will do.

2. Three batters into the game the Yankees had a 2-0 lead after Gleyber Torres singled and Juan Soto and Aaron Judge hit back-to-back doubles. When Soto and Judge hit, the Yankees win, and it’s no surprise the Yankees have been winning a lot lately (8-3 since September 6) because the duo has been hitting.

Soto went 2-for-2 with a double, home run, two walks, three runs and two RBIs. Judge went 2-for-4 with a double, a walk, a run and four RBIs. The home run for Soto was his 40th of the season as the two became just the third pair of Yankees teammates to both hit 40-plus home runs in a season, joining Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig (1927, 1930, 1931) and Mickey Mantle and Roger Maris (1961).

3. Soto’s home run was his 200th career home run. Having 200 home runs at age 25 is ridiculous. (Judge hit his 200th home run during his MVP season in 2022 at age 30.) It was the last active stadium he needed to homer in to have homered in every stadium.

“What a great way to go into free agency,” Soto said, “with all 30 ballparks checked on my list.”

What a quote from Soto. It’s obvious he’s going to the highest bidder this winter whether it’s the Yankees or Mets or Giants or some crappy last-place team looking to make a splash. He’s not going to leave a dollar on the table, and the dollars he does accept better come from the Yankees.

4. The Yankees are so top heavy and reliant on Soto and Judge that the offense can’t function without both. We saw what happened last year with only Judge as the Yankees missed the playoffs and we saw what happened when he was out for an extended period of time following the Dodger Stadium injury: their season collapsed. With only Judge, the Yankees haven’t been able to reach the World Series. With Soto and Judge, their ceiling is a championship. Remove Soto from the equation and their best-case scenario falls back to being embarrassed by the Astros every October.

5. “In a lot of ways, he’s not necessarily even entered his prime,” Aaron Boone said of Soto. “Maybe he’s entering it now.”

The idea Soto is this good and hasn’t entered his prime is what makes signing him a must. This isn’t paying a 30-something-year-old star for what he already accomplished knowing you may get one or two seasons of their prime and then will be living with an albatross contract until it expires. This is paying for a soon-to-be-26-year-old generational star to get the entirety of their prime, like what the Yankees missed out on with Bryce Harper. They can’t make that mistake again.

The Yankees had a young, inexpensive core when they decided to not even meet with Harper, let alone sign him, and they have a similar setup now. Austin Wells, Anthony Volpe and Jasson Dominguez make nothing and Jazz Chisholm is under contract at inexpensive rates for the next two years. If you add in potentially Ben Rice at first base for next season and either Oswald Peraza, Oswaldo Cabrera or Caleb Durbin at second base, and operate under the idea Soto will be re-signed, the Yankees will have a player 26 or under at catcher, first base, second base, third base, shortstop, left field and right field. The only outliers would be Judge in center or a corner spot and Giancarlo Stanton at designated hitter. That’s an extremely young everyday lineup. Everyone in the lineup would be making seven figures or less except for Judge, Soto and Stanton. But that lineup and plan only works if Soto is re-signed.

6. As of now, the Yankees have 11 guaranteed games with Soto remaining. Once they clinch a postseason berth, they will get at least two more games with him (if they are a wild-card team) or at least three more games (if they win the division). Every win from Game 163 on will guarantee them another game with Soto in pinstripes.

I’m not ready for Soto’s time in pinstripes to be over. Watching him this season has been like sitting in first class on an international flight with a cabin, personal bathroom and all-you-can-eat-and-drink options. I don’t want to go back to sitting in the last row of economy in a middle seat next to the bathroom. That’s where Yankees fans were while being forced to watch Jake Bauers, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Billy McKinney, Willie Calhoun, Aaron Hicks, Franchy Cordero and Greg Allen as outfielders last season before the trade for Soto. I’m not going back to that. I will retire as a Yankees fan and baseball fan if I have to go back to that.

7. Soto wasn’t the only Yankee to homer on Tuesday night. Dominguez hit his first home run of the season and finished the game reaching base in two of five plate appearances. Dominguez is starting to get on track. In his last four games, he has as many strikeouts (4) as walks, a .412 OBP and .873 OPS. Verdugo has one extra-base hit in 12 September games, presents no speed on the basepaths and is playing a questionable left field. The season is 151 games old. I’m running out of ways and stats to say he sucks.

8. Oswaldo Cabrera got the start at short over Volpe and picked up two hits. For comparison, Volpe has one multi-hit game in September. Cabrera is hitting .303 with a .361 on-base percentage over the last month. The power hasn’t been there (just one extra-base in that time), but at least he’s getting on base. Volpe hasn’t homered since August 3, has one double since August 22 and one walk since August 30. Give me more Cabrera, whether it’s in place of Volpe or Anthony Rizzo, who went 0-for-5 with a strikeout on Tuesday and has a .484 OPS since returning on September 1.

9. The Yankees’ early 2-0 lead was nearly erased in the bottom of the first when the Mariners loaded the bases with two outs. Luis Gil was in trouble and behind Justin Turner with a 3-0 count. One pitch away from walking in a row or potentially allowing multiple runs, Gil was saved when Victor Robles inexplicably tried to steal home and was easily thrown out. It was possibly the dumbest thing I have seen in a game, surpassing Nick Swisher sacrifice bunting a runner from second to third with already one out in an inning. It made the Yankees’ decision to intentionally walk Rafael Devers on Saturday look brilliant. It looked like something Gleyber Torres or Alex Verdugo would do. After that Gil settled in and gave the Yankees five innings and one-run ball yet again without his best stuff. It seems like Gil is either lights out with his best stuff or gives the Yankees five innings of one-run ball without it. He’s been awesome.

10. The Yankees can clinch a postseason berth with a win on Wednesday night in Seattle.

“That’s what we came into the season to do, get into the postseason and give ourselves an opportunity to go out there and win a World Series,” Judge said. “So that will be step one, but we’ve got to get there first.”

The Yankees’ division lead is up to four games with 11 to play. The goal should be to keep it to at least four games going into the series with the Orioles next week, so even if they were to shockingly get swept, they would still be in first with three to go. Or they can keep winning all the way until that series and make the series that meaningless. That would be preferable.

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Yankees Thoughts: Twelve Games to Go

The Yankees extended their division lead to three games and essentially ended the Red Sox’ season by taking three out of four from their rival. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees. 1. The Yankees

The Yankees extended their division lead to three games and essentially ended the Red Sox’ season by taking three out of four from their rival.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. The Yankees have a three-game lead with 12 games to play. Their magic number to clinch a postseason berth is 3, but the goal is to win the division and avoid the best-of-3, wild-card series, which likely won’t be decided until next week against the Orioles at Yankee Stadium. It may not be decided until after that series when the two teams will each have three games remaining.

The four-game series win over the Red Sox has increased the Yankees’ odds of winning the division to 88.1 percent. (They currently have the highest odds of winning the World Series at 18 percent. It’s been a long time since they were the league leader for that math.)

The four-game series win over the Red Sox also essentially ended the Red Sox’ season, dropping their odds of reaching the playoffs to 2.5 percent. That’s too bad.

2. After eking out a 2-1 win in the series opener thanks to a Juan Soto walk-off single, the Yankees won the second game on an Aaron Judge grand slam. It had been a few weeks of Judge not doing much, but he seems to be back on track. Since September 6, Judge is hitting .303/.452/.546 and has as many walks (9) as strikeouts.

Judge’s entire season will be evaluated and remembered based on what he does in October and not what his home run total finishes at after these 12 remaining games. Judge needs to have a postseason similar to his regular season. He has to have it. Two years ago, he set the single-season home run record in the American League and then went 1-for-16 with a single in the ALCS against the Astros and the Yankees were swept. I expect Juan Soto to be his usual self in October because he was that for the Nationals and Padres in postseasons past. Judge has to join him. The rest of the Yankees offense is too bad, too weak, too untrustworthy to not have both Judge and Soto hitting in the playoffs.

3. Giancarlo Stanton is quietly coming out of his latest funk, as he reached base in half of his plate appearances (12) against the Red Sox. Austin Wells had his first bad series in months (1-for-11 with four strikeouts), which I’m more than OK with. Gleyber Torres hit a couple of Yankee Stadium home runs and is extremely close to getting his OPS (.697) above .700.

Anthony Volpe went 1-for-the Red Sox series and struck out three times in the series finale and left about 92 runners on base. Volpe has looked bad offensively for the entirety of his two-year career and this current slump he’s in is the worst he has looked overall. (I guess it’s not really a “slump” since he’s just always bad?) Volpe hasn’t homered since August 3. He has one double since August 22. He has one walk since August 30. In September, he’s hitting .163/.177/.163. A .177 on-base percentage! A .163 slugging percentage! A .340 OPS! These are horrific numbers. Unplayable numbers. But because he’s the Golden Boy, he will continue to play every day for the rest of the regular season and every game in the postseason. I have come to accept there is no level of offensive production that is bad enough for the Yankees to not play him. Unfortunately, Volpe isn’t the only automatic out in the lineup.

Anthony Rizzo returned on September 1 and is hitting .191/.277/.262 since then. He’s been every bit as bad as he was from Opening Day until he got hut in mid-June. He’s as washed as washed gets, and yet, he will be playing every day through the Yankees’ final game of the season, whenever that may be.

Alex Verdugo had a hit in one of the two games he played in, but of course negated the hit by getting thrown out trying to stretch a single into a double. Jasson Dominguez had a pair of hits in the three games he played in, drew three walks, scored two runs, produced lengthy at-bats and looked comfortable in the box.

4. Here is what Aaron Boone said about Dominguez on September 1:

“When he comes up here, you’re going to want to play him every day.”

Here is how Dominguez’s call-up has gone:

September 9: Played
September 10: Played
September 11: Bench
September 12: Played
September 13: Bench
September 14: Played
September 15: Played

Seven games on the team, five starts. That’s not being an everyday player.

Dominguez has always played every day. He needs to play every day. He’s not an every-other-day player. Look at Wells. When he was getting 50 percent (at best) of the playing time at catcher he wasn’t hitting. When he became the “everyday” catcher (or as everyday as a catcher can be), he took off, becoming the best-hitting catcher in the league, outside of maybe Salvador Perez. The Yankees have taken this foolish approach with every prospect to get called up except for Volpe, who has been given two years of everyday playing time and has done nothing to prove he deserves it. Maybe if Dominguez was born in New York City and grew up in New Jersey a Yankees fan, and if the team had passed over every available star free agent at Dominguez’s position he would be playing every day in actuality and not in just some fictional world Boone speaks of.

5. After winning the first two games of the series, the Yankees led the third game 1-0 in the top of the fourth with one out, no one on base and Rafael Devers coming to the plate against Gerrit Cole. Devers stepped in the box and Cole threw up four fingers on the mound, signaling an intentional walk.

It was a foolish move, a dumb decision and a cowardly choice by Cole. He’s the reigning AL Cy Young winner, a likely future Hall of Famer. He’s not Marcus Stroman. And even if he were, I wouldn’t want Stroman walking Devers in that spot either. Can you imagine Roger Clemens or David Cone or Justin Verlander or any true “ace” putting up four fingers on their own there? Cole and the Yankees got what they deserved for trying to outsmart and outthink the opposition. Devers stole second and Cole mentally was gone, allowing seven runs to score after the walk between the fourth and fifth innings. Unless he pitches lights-out in the playoffs and finally leads this team to a championship in his fifth season, the lasting image of his season will be him holding up those four fingers.

6. While the walk was ill-advised, it was the unfolding of the walk that I have a problem with, as it was yet another communication breakdown on Boone’s watch.

Cole said the decision to walk Devers in the game had been discussed with Boone and Matt Blake.

“I think that I bought into the plan going into it,” Cole said, “but afterward, it was the wrong move.”

“Once we scored the run, my preference would have been, ‘Let’s attack him,'” Boone said. “But obviously, I didn’t communicate that well enough. I think Gerrit was a little indecisive out there and rolled with it.”

Obviously.

“We were in the tunnel before the inning and had discussed that if Duran was retired, were we going to stick to it aggressively and intentionally walk him?” Cole said. “That was the plan.”

“I was not in that conversation,” Wells said. “I didn’t know that was in the plans.”

“During the inning, I looked to the dugout and stuck to the plan,” Cole said. “If i make the pitches after that and I continue to execute at a high level, then the plan works. Evidently, the plan didn’t work.”

Evidently.

The plan was idiotic and none of the Yankees’ versions of what transpired adding up goes to show how disastrous it was.

7. Boone was hired, and likely solely hired, because of his so-called great communication skills. The issue with that is Boone was hired with no coaching or managerial experience at any level anywhere, so there were no recommendations or references for the Yankees to refer to in the interview process. There was no body of work for them to base the idea of Boone being a great communicator off of. The Yankees executives in the room who hired Boone based the theory that he’s a great communicator off of whatever he said to them in the interview room and nothing else. Unfortunately, the body of work Boone has created in now nearly seven seasons as a major league manager suggest otherwise.

Not even a month into the job in his first spring training he tried to bring Dellin Betances into a game even though he hadn’t yet called on Betances to warm up yet. That year in the postseason, with the ALDS tied at 1, his starting pitcher didn’t know what time Game 3 started. He didn’t let JA Happ know about the decision to use Deivi Garcia as a secret opener in the 2020 ALDS. He never told Gary Sanchez he wasn’t going to play every day during his final two seasons with the Yankees. He said he didn’t think Domingo German needed to apologize to the team to begin 2021, but after Zack Britton voiced a different opinion to the media about German, Boone had him apologize. After the Yankees lost Game 3 of the 2022 ALDS following an odd decision to not use Clay Holmes in relief, Boone said Holmes wasn’t available. When Holmes was asked about his availability after the loss, he said he told Boone he was available and “good to go” prior to the game. When the Yankees went down 3-0 in the ALCS, Boone used video from the Yankees’ 2004 ALCS loss to motivate his team. When Rizzo suffered a concussion in May of 2023, he continued to play. When Rizzo told Boone about his symptoms in a series in Baltimore, he then went on to play that entire series and two games after it before being shut down for the season. There have been endless lies about injuries, the extent of injuries and timetables for injuries. There has been disinformation about the intended use and playing time of every prospect other than Volpe. There have been countless exaggerations of performance and production. There has been widespread delusion about washed-up players turning their seasons and careers around only for those players to be designated for assignment, released or placed on the injured list.

8. Over the last two years, rarely does a week go by without a bizarre story emerging from the Yankees clubhouse. Whether it’s injury-related nonsense (like recently saying the results of DJ LeMahieu’s supposed hip MRI were unclear), the crazy timeline of the game from 2023 when German wasn’t able to start then pitched in relief then showed up drunk to the Stadium, saying Dominguez would only be called up if he is to play every day and then calling him up and not playing him every day or the conversations that led to the intentional walk of Devers, there’s always something with the Boone Yankees.

Joe Girardi had his faults and many of them were bullpen related. But there wasn’t this level of internal chaos with any of Girardi’s teams outside of the 2011 situation between he and Jorge Posada during a Red Sox series, and from 2013-2016, Girardi had four poorly constructed rosters that should have created internal chaos and losing records and never did.

9. Boone can’t properly fill out a lineup card. He doesn’t put his players in the best possible position to succeed. He rarely makes a correct in-game decision and infrequently gives his relievers clean innings to work with. He’s never upfront about injuries or the severity of them and is never honest in evaluating his players. Each year, the teams he manage make unacceptable outs on the bases, mental mistakes in the field and go into lengthy and sometimes irreversible slides. The one thing that was supposed to separate him from others was his communication skills, and yet, I was able to write an inordinate amount of words just now of communication breakdowns of his off the top of my head from memory, likely forgetting some egregious ones from the last nearly seven years.. Boone is not a good communicator. He’s a horrible one.

10. Luckily for Boone, and for players like Volpe, Rizzo, Verdugo, Cole, Holmes, Carlos Rodon and others, the postseason is just two weeks away. Then everyone gets a clean slate. The poor production of the last six months is thrown out the window and every wrong can be righted with a championship. But for now, it’s off to the West Coast for one last time in 2024 for six games against the Mariners and A’s.

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Yankees Thoughts: Juan Soto Saves Another Game

A night after walking off the Royals, the Yankees walked off the Red Sox with a 2-1 win in 10 innings. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees. 1. Juan Soto ended his recent slump

A night after walking off the Royals, the Yankees walked off the Red Sox with a 2-1 win in 10 innings.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. Juan Soto ended his recent slump on Wednesday with a dramatic, much-needed, two-run home run. On Thursday, he confirmed the end of his slump with a walk-off single in the 10th inning.

“We never give up,” Soto said about the Yankees’ 2-1 win. “We keep going. We keep our heads up and try to finish the game.”

2. Soto has a .729 OPS over the last month as his once-1.052 OPS dipped below the 1.000 mark this week and sits at .996, which is still second-best in the majors. But he’s not the only Yankee that has been struggling. Aaron Judge hasn’t homered since August 25, Giancarlo Stanton is in a 2-for-29 slide, Jazz Chisholm has cooled off since his David Justice-like start to his Yankees career, Anthony Rizzo has a .517 OPS since coming off the injured list, Anthony Volpe hasn’t had an extra-base hit in three weeks and Jasson Dominguez has only been up for three games. If not for Austin Wells, and shockingly, Gleyber Torres of late, who knows where the Yankees would be in the standings.

3. I wrote this about Oswaldo Cabrera on Tuesday:

I wish we would see more of Oswaldo Cabrera, who is now the backup for both Volpe at shortstop and Rizzo at first base, but we all know that’s not going to happen. Volpe hasn’t been benched since his first day in the majors and Rizzo is being paid $17 million, so he’s going to play whether he can still hit (which he apparently can’t) or pick a ball out of the dirt (which he apparently can’t) or not.

Unfortunately, Cabrera wasn’t in the lineup on Thursday, and even with another poor showing from Volpe and Rizzo, Cabrera is no closer to taking playing time from either.

4. Volpe left eight runners on base in his first three at-bats on Thursday. It’s stunning when Rizzo hits a ball on a line. The two of them are a blackhole in the lineup, hitting back-to-back at the bottom of the order. I don’t see how Volpe is going to suddenly figure out the majors over the next 15 games after not having figured it out over his first 305 games, and I don’t know how anyone can expect Rizzo to tap into even an ounce of being the player he once was. After these next 15 games, the Yankees are only going to see front-end starters and elite relievers. I can’t imagine either of those two having success in October, and when you’re playing with two automatic outs in the lineup and also Stanton whose entire success is based around unpredictable hot streaks, the other six hitters can’t afford to be cold or off, as they need to carry those three.

5. “We haven’t had a lot offense the last few nights,” Aaron Boone said. “But we’re doing enough.”

The Yankees haven’t had offense for the last week outside of the first game of the Royals series. In their other six most recent games, they have scored 10 runs total. The last two nights have been fun, and thankfully, the starting pitching was as good as it was from Luis Gil and Nestor Cortes, and amazingly, the bullpen outside of Clay Holmes on Wednesday has been outstanding, but they can’t survive like this for the rest of the month.

6. I wish I could say I couldn’t believe Holmes was warming up in the eighth inning of a 1-1 game on Thursday night, but I wasn’t. And I wish I could say I was shocked when he entered in the ninth inning of a 1-1 game, but I wasn’t. After blowing his league-leading 12th save the night before, there was Holmes once again coming into a high-leverage situation as if nothing he had done this season had happened.

7. Boone desperately wants Holmes to be his closer. He feels like he owes it to Boone to be his closer. The same way he feels the need to play Volpe every day and kept batting Alex Verdugo cleanup for a large part of the season even though Verdugo was proving to be one of the worst hitters in the league, if not the worst hitter. It took one clean inning in Chicago for Holmes to regain Boone’s trust after his disaster in Texas, and even though he blew the save on Wednesday, he still went to him the very next game.

8. “Really, when I’m on the field,” Holmes said, “I want to do my best for those guys.”

Thanks, Holmes. Before that insightful comment, I thought you wanted to do you worst for your career and your team.

9. Over the last two games, the only blemish from the bullpen has been from the former closer. Over the last two nights, Tim Hill, Tommy Kahnle, Jake Cousins, Luke Weaver and Ian Hamilton combined for this line: 9.1 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 3 BB, 10 K. Hamilton was filthy on Thursday, getting five outs and striking out three. (I still would never trust him in a postseason spot, but I may not have a choice.)

10. Even with another lackluster offensive effort against the starter in the majors who gets less swings and misses than any other starter in the majors, it was a good night. The Yankees increased their division lead a half-game from 1 1/2 to 2 with 15 to play. The idea of the Yankees increasing their odds of winning the division, while also ruining the Red Sox’ season this weekend is off to a good start.

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Yankees Thoughts: Juan Soto’s Slump Is Over

The Yankees beat the Royals 4-3 in 11 innings on Wednesday to win the series with Juan Soto breaking out of his slump. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees. 1. After the Yankees’ offensive

The Yankees beat the Royals 4-3 in 11 innings on Wednesday to win the series with Juan Soto breaking out of his slump.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. After the Yankees’ offensive performance on Tuesday looked like an October foreshadowing, the first five-plus innings on Wednesday looked the same.

On Tuesday, the Yankees went 3-for-30 with 14 strikeouts and didn’t have a single runner reach second base. On Wednesday, through the first 5 1/3 innings, the Yankees were 2-for-17 with six strikeouts and a walk. They still hadn’t had a runner reach second base. No runner in scoring position for 14 1/3 innings.

After Gleyber Torres put the bat on his shoulder for an entire six-pitch walk (including taking back-to-back curves on 2-2 and 3-2), Juan Soto came to the plate.

Soto fouled off a 2-2 pitch into his ankle and hobbled around before needing to stay on the ground for a couple of minutes. It was a scary moment with visions of Soto missing the rest of the season playing out in my head. Thankfully, Soto was able to walk it off and get back in the box, fouling away another pitch after the scare. Two pitches after looking like he may be seriously hurt, Soto sat back on a hanging curve from the league leader in strikeouts per nine innings Cole Ragans and crushed it into the right-field bleachers to give the Yankees a 2-1 lead. (Why Ragans went changeup-curve after Soto fouled a slider off into his ankle, I don’t know, but I’m grateful he did.)

2. “Sometimes when you hit yourself like that, you go away a little bit,” Soto said. “I tried to just focus, take my time and go in there and make good contact.”

On Wednesday, I wrote: I thought Soto would be immune to the Yankees’ annual late-season offensive swoon, but it’s contagious enough that it’s impacting the 25-year-old superstar. The two-run home run was the kind of at-bat and moment I envisioned from Soto when the Yankees traded for him. When the rest of the team is slumping and not performing, I figured he would carry them. When the rest of the offense disappears in October, I know he will be there given his postseason success with the Nationals and Padres.

The runs were the first the Yankees had scored since Monday. After not homering in the entire series at Wrigley Field and being shut out on Tuesday, it was just the second of the last six games the Yankees hit a home run in.

3. The lead didn’t last long. The very next inning Aaron Boone went to Clay Holmes, knowing very well he would have to face the top of the Royals’ lineup. A single, single, lineup and sacrifice fly later, and the Royals had tied the game and Holmes had his 12th blown save of the season.

Using Holmes in the seventh inning of a one-run game against the top of the Royals’ order is the same as using him as the closer. Boone still hasn’t learned his lesson despite eight of Holmes’ 12 blown saves turning into losses for the team. One of those losses came against these same Royals back on June 13. It was that loss in Kansas City that sent the Yankees’ season into a free fall. If Holmes only half-sucked and only four of those eight had turned into losses, the Yankees would have a six-game loss-column lead on the Orioles. He has single-handedly put the Yankees in the current standings battle they are in to avoid playing in the best-of-3, wild-card series.

But like I have written and said many times, I’m never mad at the player or pitcher in a situation like this, and I’m not mad at Holmes. He didn’t let himself stay in the closer role after blowing 11 saves. He doesn’t keep deciding to bring himself into games. And he didn’t bring himself into a one-run game on Wednesday. You would think a “closer” with a 5.14 ERA over three-and-a-half months would need more than one clean inning in a loss to the Cubs after being demoted before being thrown back into high-leverage situations. Not for Boone. Holmes had five days off after his disastrous performance in Texas, threw a 1-2-3, 12-pitch inning in Chicago, and Boone decided he was ready to get back into a crucial role. The Yankees used five relievers in the game and all of them did their job except for Holmes.

4. The Yankees had a chance to take the lead back in the bottom of the seventh. With one out, Anthony Volpe singled and Anthony Rizzo walked, bringing up Jose Trevino. If you were going to have a draft for the worst hitter in the majors to be up with runners on first and second and one out and the threat of a double play looming, Trevino would be the first overall pick. He’s slow, he makes weak contact, and typically hits the ball on the ground right to the shortstop. He has hit into 11 double plays this season in just 68 games. Trevino is better at hitting double plays than anything else.

Knowing that and knowing that Trevino is a miserable hitter aside from his knack for rally-ruining double plays and knowing he’s hitting .083 with a .366 OPS since coming off the injured list in mid-August, he’s not just the last player on the Yankees you want up in that spot, he may be the last player in the entire sport.

5. Fortunately, Boone had options. With a lefty on the mound, he could take his chances with the left-handed Austin Wells, or if he wanted to stick with the righty vs. lefty matchup, he could use the switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez or the switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera or Jon Berti. Any of those four options would have been better a choice than Trevino. Unfortunately, Boone didn’t do anything.

Instead, Boone used Cabrera as a pinch runner at first for Rizzo and then let Trevino bat for himself. Trevino hit the ball on the ground to first, was tagged out running to first, and Volpe idiotically tried to score from second on the ground ball and was tagged out at home. An unconventional double play to end the inning.

To compound Boone’s stupidity, when Trevino’s spot in the order came up with the tying run on third and one out in the 10th inning, he used Wells as a pinch hitter … against a lefty! So he was willing to use the left-handed Wells against a lefty with the tying run on third and one out in the 10th, but he wasn’t willing to use the left-handed Wells against a lefty with the go-ahead run on second and one out in the seventh. Please make it make sense.

6. Between the decision to use Holmes in a one-run game and against the top of the Royals’ order, and the decision to let Trevino hit for himself with four better pinch-hit options available, Boone had quite the seventh inning. The atmosphere and intensity of the game was playoff-like with a division pennant and first-round bye hanging in the balance, and Boone was at his worst. The bigger the game and the closer the score, every decision Boone makes will have an enormous impact on the outcome and how this season ends, and once again, he seems incapable of making logical in-game choices.

7. So much for Dominguez playing every day. Two days after arriving, he was on the bench so Verdugo could play. Rather than let the switch-hitting Dominguez start against a lefty, Boone went with the left-handed Verdugo against the left. Verdugo hit two ground balls to the right side in the game, and with that, he tied the record for the most groundouts to the right side in a single season with 111 in the Statcast Era (since 2015). Verdugo has 16 games remaining to break the record and once he does, I think it’s a record that will last forever, like Wayne Gretzky’s points record or Cy Young’s wins record. Because no one that bad and hitting that many ground balls to the right side would be given as many plate appearances as Verdugo has been given this season.

8. Luis Gil didn’t have his best stuff and still only allowed one run (a solo home run) over five innings. There have been so many games this season Gil didn’t have his best stuff and still put together a performance like he did on Wednesday. He should be the Yankees’ Game 2 starter in the postseason, but we all know it’s going to be Carlos Rodon. Owed money always wins over actual performance.

9. I can never believe Giancarlo Stanton’s batting average when the graphic displays it with him at the plate. He’s hitting .230 this season, which may as well be .330 since I feel like he’s hitting .130. In his last seven games, Stanton is 1-for-26 with 10 strikeouts.

10. Soto came out of his slump, and maybe Judge is close to coming out of his? He had a line-drive single and two walks in the game. It would be glorious if Judge got his power stroke back in time for this four-game Red Sox series. It would go a long way to helping the Yankees win the division and a long way to keeping the Red Sox out of the postseason for the fifth time in six years.

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