There are very few spring training competitions for the Yankees, as there are every year. There’s a bench spot and a bullpen spot. That’s it. There’s supposedly a battle for the fifth spot in the rotation, but we all know it’s a competition that’s already been decided. More than likely, all three “competitions” have already been decided.

Deivi Garcia is the right choice to be the Yankees’ fifth starter. Even if he performs brilliantly this spring, I don’t see how he’s anywhere other than in Triple-A to start the season, and if he pitches poorly, the Yankees will have an easy out to get what they want. Whether good or bad, spring training performance is used at the team’s convenience. If Aaron Judge bats .150, well, it’s spring training and it doesn’t matter. If Gary Sanchez bats .350, well, it’s spring training and let’s see him do it in the regular season. If Gerrit Cole pitches to a 5.20 ERA, well, it’s spring training and he was working on stuff. If Garcia pitches to a 1.20 ERA, well, it’s spring training and he wasn’t facing real lineups. Spring training numbers only mean something to some, and for Garcia, they don’t mean anything.

The Yankees didn’t keep scumbag Domingo German through his suspension and through all the negative attention, publicity and backlash to not have him pitch. They didn’t purposely insert a cancer into their clubhouse and then try to tip toe around his presence by not having him address his teammates until the team’s veteran bullpen leader spoke out against him to send him to the minors. German is still a Yankee because the Yankees think he can help them win and think his disgusting act will be forgotten if he helps them do so.

Because of this, Garcia will end up in Triple-A and be the first starter recalled when the Yankees inevitably need another starter. In the event Garcia is phenomenal this spring and German isn’t, the Yankees already have a variety of built-in excuses at their disposal for their decision ranging from Garcia needing some more work in the minors after a minors-less 2020 season, the Yankees wanting to bring him along slowly or the Yankees wanting to control his workload. The Yankees will easily use any or all of these reasons as to why the 21-year-old won’t open the season in the majors.

There’s nothing more the Yankees love than the idea they are going to unearth how to successfully keep pitchers healthy. Whether it’s innings limits like they have unsuccessfully placed on so many pitchers over the years, skipped starts like they did most recently with Michael Pineda or absurd innings-to-days off rules like they implemented for Joba Chamberlain, the Yankees will stop at nothing to find the answer. I know the answer to the age-old question they are searching for: don’t pitch. That’s it. It’s that simple. If you don’t want a pitcher to get injured, don’t let him pitch. That’s the only way a pitcher will avoid an injury. No pitch count, or innings limit, or skipped starts or Joba Rules is going to prevent injury. Not pitching is the only thing that can.

The idea the Yankees should stash Garcia in Triple-A as insurance and to protect his workload would be counterproductive. Pitchers get injured. That’s what they do. And if the Yankees think Garcia is a big part of their future, he should be a big part of their present. Why waste pitches in Triple-A? They won’t be fake pitches. They will be real, all-out, high-intensity pitches because Garcia will be competing and trying to prove a spot needs to be made for him in the Yankees’ rotation.

I’m fully prepared for German to begin the season as the Yankees’ fifth starter and for Garcia to go to Triple-A and be on-call for a call that will eventually come. The Yankees aren’t going to get through an entire season without using Garcia at some point. That point should be the first time they need a fifth starter.

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It’s no secret I have been critical of Aaron Hicks as a Yankee. It mostly doesn’t have to do with his production (except for every postseason series over the last four years that wasn’t the 2017 ALDS or 2020 ALDS). I know I complain a lot about Hicks batting third against right-handed starting pitching, but that’s not Hicks’ fault. The same way it wasn’t J.A. Happ’s fault the appeared in a postseason game for the 2020 Yankees. Aaron Boone implemented that ridiculous ALDS Game 2 pitching plan and Boone is the one who bats Hicks third. It doesn’t have to do with his place in the batting in the batting order either. My criticism of Hicks all stems from his inability to stay healthy.

Hicks spent his entire 20s injured. As a Yankee, he has only played in 461 of a possible 870 regular-season games or 53 percent over six seasons. Hicks has essentially missed every other game since 2015. That’s absurd, though not uncommon during this era of Yankees baseball in which the team set the all-time, single-season record for most players placed on the injured list. (When you have Hicks, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Gary Sanchez on the same team, you need depth.) Hicks isn’t necessarily Jacoby Ellsbury when it comes to being injury prone, but it’s not like he’s that far away from being The Thief either. At least the Yankees only committed $70 million to Hicks over seven years instead of the $153 million they gave to Ellsbury.

Hicks has found himself on the injured list with every baseball-related injury you can think of as a Yankee. In 2016, he missed time due to shoulder bursitis and then more time with a hamstring strain. In 2017, he went on the then-disabled list twice, once for a right oblique strain and once for a left oblique strain. In 2018, he got hurt on Opening Day (only Hicks!) and went on the then-disabled list with a strained right intercostal muscle. He did play in a career-high 137 regular-season games in 2018 and then got hurt in the postseason, missing two of the four games in the ALDS. In 2019, he hurt his back on a 35-minute bus ride in spring training and didn’t make his season debut until May 15. Then in early August of 2019, he was removed from a game against the Red Sox with an elbow injury that caused him to miss the remainder of the regular season and the ALDS, needing offseason Tommy John surgery.

The Yankees have Hicks through his age 35 season (2025) with a $12.5 million team option or $1 million buyout on his age (2026). (I’m guessing they have that $1 million already set aside.) For at least the next five years, Hicks is going to be a Yankee, and for the majority of that, he’s going to be asked to be the starting center fielder. For as much as I criticize Hicks and for as sarcastic as I have been during his Yankees tenure, the Yankees need him to stay healthy and produce to win. I need him to stay healthy and produce for the Yankees to win.

Hicks met with the media on Thursday at spring training and talked about his health and his goals for the season.

On his 2020 performance.
“I was happy with the postseason. I feel like throughout the regular season I had a lot of opportunities to do better and I wasn’t able to do that. I feel great now. I’m pretty much just focused on this year and doing the best I can to have a great season.”

Hicks didn’t have a good 2020 regular season, batting .225/.379/.414, but it was understandable given he was coming off of Tommy John surgery. He spoke on Thursday about how he couldn’t extend his right arm batting left-handed the way he wanted to. Surprisingly, he had the same .793 OPS from both sides of the plate, so it’s not as though he was any better when he was able to use his left arm as his front arm while batting.

Hicks was good in the postseason, as he noted. Well, he was good against Tampa Bay in the ALDS, after going 1-for-8 with four strikeouts against Cleveland in the wild-card series. Against Tampa Bay, he hit .389/.455/.444 in 22 plate appearances across the five games. It was the first time he was good for an entire series since the 2017 ALDS against Cleveland when he hit .216/.350/.526 and had that memorable home run off Corey Kluber in Game 5.

It was good to see Hicks get better (in October) the further removed he got from Tommy John surgery. It was also good to see him finally produce in the postseason. Hicks had been 7-for-54 (.129) with two doubles, a home run, 10 walks and 18 strikeouts across the 2017 ALCS, 2018 wild-card game, 2018 ALDS, 2019 ALCS and 2020 wild-card series. Since that home run off Kluber, Hicks’ 2019 ALCS Game 5 first-inning home run off Justin Verlander had been his only contribution in the postseason for the Yankees before this past ALDS.

On his 2021 goals.
“I definitely see myself hitting 30-plus (home runs). That’s what I want to do and that’s what I believe that I can do. If I get 500 plate appearances, I’m definitely going to hit my mark with those numbers.”

Let’s start with Hicks using the word “if” when talking about getting to 500 plate appearances as if he knows an injured-list trip is inevitable each season. At least he’s honest, and knows he can’t make any guarantees, especially about his health. He knows his injury history. He knows he has never played more than 137 games in any of his eight major league seasons. He knows he has only eclipsed 390 plate appearances once when he had 581 in 2018. That season, he hit 27 home runs in the career-high 581 plate appearances over the career-high 137 games. His second-highest games played is 123 (2016) and second-highest home run total is 15 (2017).

Hicks is now 31. He didn’t hit 30 home runs and only got to the plate appearance number he desires for 2021 once in his 20s. I’m not sure if he’s suddenly going to increase his power, get better at hitting home runs and be healthier on the other side of the 30. At least he has a goal in mind, no matter how lofty it might be.

On his plate appearance goal.
“That’s definitely a goal of mine to get 500-plus at bats, and really see what I can do throughout a season with that many plate appearances, and really see what kind of player I am.”

I think we know what kind of player Hicks is after 2,697 career plate appearances. I don’t know why he seems to be so focused on hitting home runs either. The Yankees have enough hitters whose sole goal at the plate is to hit a home run no matter the count, situation or score (Stanton, Sanchez and Luke Voit. Whether Hicks means 500 at-bats or 500 plate appearances is irrelevant. His goal should be to play in 150 games, not try to be a power hitter.

Right now, I would sign up for 100 games from Hicks in 2021. Yes, I would be willing to sacrifice 62 games and 38 percent of the season from the Yankees’ switch-hitting center fielder knowing it would mean seeing more than enough of Brett Gardner and Mike Tauchman. That’s because I know Hicks. He’s the same guy who two years ago, missed nearly the first two months of the season from that spring training bus ride. That was when he was 29 and before he had his throwing elbow surgically repaired. I don’t envision him getting healthier and less injury prone as he gets older. No one does that.

If Hicks draws his walks and can stay in the lineup and on the field, that’s all I want from him. It’s not asking a lot, but with him, it is.

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A year ago this week, I was sick over the Yankees’ announcement that Luis Severino would need Tommy John surgery. The surgery meant the Yankees would be without him until sometime during the 2021 season, and now we’re almost at that sometime as Severino is expected to return in the coming months.

The next time Severino pitches in a game for the Yankees, it will be just the sixth time he has done so in more than two years. Since his 2018 ALDS Game 3 start, Severino has made just five starts, sandwiched between a shoulder injury and a lat injury for most of 2019 and his most recent elbow injury (suffered in 2019), which turned into needing Tommy John surgery (in 2020).

Severino is working his way back for a midseason return and is currently playing catch at 90 feet with that distance set to increase to 120 feet this week. From there, he will need to move to a mound and increase his velocity and arm strength, which will take a few months. A realistic return for him would be around the All-Star break in mid-July, but trying to put a return date on a Yankees injury is a foolish game to play, given the way the last two seasons have gone.

Severino spoke on Monday about where’s he at in his rehab and his eventual return to the Yankees.

On his rehab status.
“Mentally and physically, I feel good. I hope to be back sooner [than summer], but that’s not something that I have an exact date. The most important thing is that I feel really good, and I’m just taking it day by day. We’re close to throwing bullpens, so well see how I feel and how the progress is going.”

On March 5, 2019, Severino was scratched from his first spring training start after saying he experienced a “pull” in his right arm. The following day, he was diagnosed with rotator cuff inflammation and was shut down for two weeks. The right-hander told the media it’s “nothing bad” and that he would be able to begin a throwing program after a two-week shutdown. A little over a month later in early April, he suffered a lat injury, and while rehabbing the lat injury in June, he suffered a setback.

What does that have to do with his current rehab? A lot, actually. Less than two years ago, Severino had an injury at virtually the same time on the calendar that he does right now, and that injury turned into a second injury, which turned into a setback, and he didn’t pitch in a game until September. Knowing Severino’s rather significant recent injury history, he needs to be brought along extra slowly this time. Forget his idea of “hoping to be back sooner than the summer.” Plan to bring him back after the All-Star break because even then, things might not go perfectly.

On the depth of the Yankees’ rotation.
“Our rotation is going to be great, man. We’re going to have six, seven, eight guys that would be good pitchers on any team. I hope nothing happens to one of those guys, but if somebody goes down, we’ve got somebody else there.“

Severino spoke too soon, as Clarke Schmidt was shut down for the next three to four weeks following a tendon strain on Monday. It only took six days for the 2021 Yankees to suffer an injury, and it happend to their top pitching prospect, who has an elbow injury-riddled past.

As for the six, seven, eights guys, I’m guessing Severino is talking about himself (when healthy), Gerrit Cole, Corey Kluber, Jameson Taillon, Jordan Montgomery, Deivi Garcia and Schmidt. That’s seven. I’m not counting the scumbag, who’s inexplicably still on the team despite his own teammates openly questioning his place on the roster, or Jhoulys Chacin, who Aaron Boone continues to mention at every available opportunity. (This is all Boone setting up to giving Yankees fans a steady diet of Chacin this season in some role.)

I named seven starters. Severino isn’t still close to returning, so that means six. Schmidt is now down for the next month, so that leaves five. Five starters. The “depth” of the Yankees’ rotation is greatly exaggerated.

On how confident he is he’ll be his old self.
“I’m sure that I’ll be back to what I was in the past. I feel pretty strong. When I get the chance to be back in New York, I’ll be myself again.“

The Yankees don’t just need Severino back with all of their starting pitching injury questions and concerns, they need Severino back in the way he talks about coming back: as the pitcher he was in the past.

If Severino is his old self in 2021, the Yankees have the best 1-2 punch in the American League, and arguably in all of baseball, with Cole and Severino. If the Yankees are able to get pre-2019 Kluber production from the new Yankee and keep Taillon healthy then I will be saved a lot of heartache, pain and frustration over the next (hopefully) eight months.

If the Yankees are able to hit on all of those things, it’s going to lead to a lot of wins this season. Unfortunately, they’re still a long way from getting any of it.

Subscribe to the Keefe To The City Podcast. New episodes every Monday and Thursday during the offseason.

My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!