The Yankees are going to the postseason. Well, they’re most likely going to the postseason. If they don’t, it will be one last parting gift from a team that has found new ways to disappoint their fans all season. But I don’t see that happening. (OK, I’ll knock on wood.)

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. The Yankees are a health risk for their fans. There have been many times this season when I thought I might not make it, but somehow after 159 games, I’m still here. And somehow after 159 games, the Yankees are still here.

The highs and lows of this season have been emotionally, physically and mentally draining, and thankfully, there are only three games, one series and one weekend left in the regular season. And in those three games, one series and one weekend, the Yankees have a chance to do something they only had a 29 percent chance of doing as recently as 12 days ago: clinch a postseason berth.

This entire season has played out like the extremes of Giancarlo Stanton at-bats. When the Yankees opened the season 5-10 or lost 11 of 13 immediately after winning 13 straight, they looked like Stanton when he’s guessing wrong and flailing at pitches that bounce in the other batter’s box. With moments like the 13-game winning streak or their current 8-1 run with the season on the line, they have looked like Stanton did last weekend when he was trying to single-handedly destroy the Red Sox’ season with moonshots. Like Stanton when he’s off, you wonder if the Yankees will ever be good again. And like Stanton when he’s on, you wonder if they will ever lose again.

2. DJ LeMahieu recently called the Yankees the streakiest team in baseball and he wasn’t exaggerating. Here are the Yankees’ streaks this season:

5-10
23-9
5-13
7-2
1-7
35-11
3-12
12-4

3. This season has been mostly a disappointment (so far). The Yankees were favored to win the American League and get back to the World Series for the first time in 12 years. For a team expected to the best in the league, they will instead play in the wild-card game for the fourth time in six years and the third time in the last four seasons in which the game has been held.

For as hot as the Yankees have been over the last 10 days and for as good as they have looked against the Red Sox and Blue Jays over the last week, they will play one game for their season on Tuesday at Yankee Stadium or somewhere else. It’s not a great spot to be in.

Sure, playing in the wild-card game is better than not playing in the playoffs at all, but that doesn’t make me feel better as a Yankees fan. For the Red Sox, an overachieving roster which has no business even being in contention for a postseason spot, it would be an accomplishment. For the Blue Jays, a young team whose window hasn’t even really opened yet, it would be an accomplishment. For the Mariners, the team with the longest postseason drought in North American major sports, of course it would be an enormous accomplishment, considering they had a 2 percent chance just five days ago and boast a minus-48 run differential. For the Yankees, it’s a disappointment.

4. The Yankees will start Gerrit Cole in the wild-card game and in theory it’s about as well as any team could be set up from a starting pitcher standpoint. That’s in theory. In actuality, Cole hasn’t looked like himself in exactly a month, and my confidence in him has waned following his hamstring injury on Sept. 7 and his five starts after the injury.

Sept. 7 vs. Toronto: 3.2 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 2 K, 1 HR
Sept. 14 at Baltimore: 5 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 3 BB, 7 K
Sept. 19 vs. Cleveland: 5.2 IP, 10 H, 7 R, 7 ER, 1 BB, 7 K, 2 HR
Sept. 24 at Boston: 6 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 3 BB, 6 K, 1 HR
Sept. 29 at Toronto: 6 IP, 9 H, 5 R, 5 ER, 0 BB, 6 K, 2 HR

The Sept. 7 start was cut short due to the hamstring injury and while Cole says he’s healthy now, it’s hard to believe him. In the four starts he made before Sept. 7, he allowed two earned runs in 24 2/3 innings (24.2 IP, 17 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 4 BB, 39 K, 1 HR). Since Sept. 7, he has allowed 42 baserunners, 18 earned runs and six home runs in 26 1/3 innings.

5. The Yankees got Cole to win this exact game: a must-win game in the truest sense of the phrase. A game literally with the season on the line. In Game 5 of the 2020 ALDS, he started the elimination game on three days rest and couldn’t protect a minuscule 1-0 lead over his 5 1/3 innings in the team’s eventual season-ending loss. This season, outside of his complete-game shutout of the Astros in Houston in July, Cole has failed every other important assignment. After his clunker on Wednesday against the Blue Jays, he’s lucky he’s going to get to pitch again in 2021.

I really don’t know what to expect from Cole on Tuesday night. Will we see the Cole who threw that complete-game shutout in a 1-0 win in Houston? The Cole who was good, but not great in Boston this past weekend, allowing three runs over six innings? Or the Cole who was knocked around by the Rangers, Mets and Indians this season and who was lit up over his last five starts in September? I honestly have no idea. No one does. And if you think you do, John Sterling would have a good laugh in your face.

6. The problem with being the wild-card winner is that 48 hours after your season-saving win, you’re playing on the road against the well-rested best team in your league without your best starter until the third game of the series. If the Yankees survive Tuesday, they will go to Tampa for the first two games of the ALDS at Tropicana Field (a place they rarely play well at) against the Rays (a team they never seem to beat). It’s a bad spot to be in, but it’s the best spot you can be in when you’re 41-41 on July 4 or when you go 24-30 against the Rays, Red Sox and Blue Jays or 23-22 against the Orioles, Mets, Angels, Tigers and Indians or when you lose 13 of 16 from late August to mid-September.

After Cole, I don’t know what the Yankees do. I guess they go with Jordan Montgomery and Nestor Cortes in some order for Games 1 and 2 of the ALDS? Corey Kluber could be an option, though I would only want him to be an option if he were to have a two-times-through-the-order limit, though with Aaron Boone managing the team, there’s no such limit.

7. With the Yankees’ season and Boone’s own job in question on Thursday night in Toronto, and with all of the data in the world suggesting Kluber shouldn’t face any lineup a third time, Boone let him face George Springer, Marcus Semien and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. each a third time. Guerrero Jr. hit a go-ahead double to give the Blue Jays a 2-1 lead at the time and then Boone went to the bullpen to relieve Kluber. Thursday’s game was essentially a playoff game, just like this entire month has been has been for the Yankees, and Boone has once again shown he can’t be trusted to make even the simplest of logical decisions in playoff-type games. Do you really want him to have to make these decisions in actual playoff games? If Kluber is “cruising” or in line for a win (an archaic concept), Boone won’t pull him. He didn’t on Thursday.

The two-times-through-the-order limit should be for every Yankees starter (with the exception of Cole if he’s himself). The Yankees’ bullpen is once against deep with Michael King (who should never open or start again), Clay Holmes, Jonathan Loaisiga, Chad Green and Aroldis Chapman. Wandy Peralta and Joely Rodriguez no longer have to be trusted to get the biggest outs in games and that’s a good thing. And the addition of Luis Severino to the bullpen has made the Yankees that much better.

8. I would feel a lot better about the Yankees starting pitching in the postseason (again, if they’re able to survive Tuesday) if Severino were an option. But he’s not an option, even though he could be. Severino rejoined the Yankees as a reliever because he “wasn’t built up” to start games. He could be, but he’s not. He’s not because of his odd usage.

In Severino’s season debut on Sept. 21, he thew 30 pitches over two innings. Four days later he threw 37 pitches across two innings. Three days later he threw 15 pitches and two days after that (Thursday in Toronto) 16 pitches. The Yankees haven’t tried to stretch him out and increase his pitch count to make him a postseason starting option. They have done the opposite, limiting his pitch count over his last two appearances and holding him to one inning in each game. It’s odd, but it’s Boone and the Yankees, and so it’s not a surprise as they idiotically chase a set-inning, late-game formula, featuring Severino. My choice for ALDS Game 1 starter would be to have Severino start the game and figure it out from there. After Cole, he’s the Yankees’ best starter even if he’s not currently a starter. Holding him back to maybe pitch the sixth or seventh inning in a high-leverage situation that may never come is a waste.

9. Whether it’s Severino (unlikely) or Montgomery (very likely), Cortes (also very likely) or even Kluber (not as likely) starting Games 1 and 2 of the ALDS (if the Yankees get there), I have confidence in the Yankees’ pitching, both the rotation and bullpen. The Yankees’ season will hinge on their offense, the way it does every postseason and if the Yankees’ offense performs an October disappearing act for the ninth time in the last 12 Octobers, their season will finish the same way it has the last 11 Octobers: without a championship.

Right now, the Yankees’ offense looks the best it has all season. During this nine-game stretch in which they have gone 8-1, the Yankees have scored 55 runs, averaging 6.1 runs per point game. Seven of the eight wins were by two-plus runs, a far cry from how they were winning through the first 149 games of the year. Everyone (and I mean everyone) in the lineup has been contributing. Yes, some more than others, but over the last nine games and 10 days, every Yankee has had a moment. It’s been a collective effort with Aaron Judge and Stanton leading the way. The Yankees’ offense of Games 150-159 has been the Yankees we rarely saw from Games 1-149. Had we seen this offense more often in those first 149 games, I would be worried about who’s starting after Cole in Games 2 and 3 of the ALDS and not whether or not the Yankees will even reach the ALDS.

10. The Yankees now have three games left. Three games against the Rays, who have nothing to play for other than to prevent the Yankees from reaching the postseason. After Thursday’s win over the Blue Jays, the Yankees’ magic number is down to 2 to play a 163rd game. It’s not where I thought the team would be on Opening Day, but it’s where they are.

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Thanks to a monumental collapse since their 13-game winning streak, The Yankees now need to win nearly all of their remaining 18 games to reach the postseason. If they don’t, changes are coming. Some of the changes have already come.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. After their’ 8-2 win over the A’s on August 27, the Yankees were 76-52. To get to 96 wins, which would put them in a great position to win the AL East (and also win my preseason over 95.5-win wager), the Yankees only needed to go 20-14 in their remaining 34 games. They have gone 4-12.

It’s been an explicable 16 games since the 13th win of the 13-game winning streak. The Yankees lost two of three to the Angels, lost two of three to the Orioles, got swept in a four-game series at Yankee Stadium and then lost two of three to the Mets. The collapse has been an embarrassment and it has seen the Yankees go from holding the first wild-card spot to being out of the playoff picture and now chasing both the Red Sox and Blue Jays.

2. In the collapse, Chad Green has pitched in six games, allowing runs in four of them and home runs in three of them. Green is the last person I want to see in a big spot, but the problem is there is no one else. Jonathan Loaisiga is injured, Zack Britton is out for this season and likely all of next season. Darren O’Day’s season ended after 12 appearances. Justin Wilson and Luis Cessa are in Cincinnati. To me, Clay Holmes is the best available Yankees reliever, and after him, there’s no one I trust.

Green’s knack for allowing home runs in high-leverage situations has been unbelievable. His season has been a collection of giving up home runs in high-leverage spots and blowing late leads. The Astros’ two wins against the Yankees this season came after Green gave up a three-run home run to Jose Altuve in both games and it was Green who had the post-All-Star break meltdown in Boston to blow a two-run, ninth-inning lead. The home run he allowed on August 29 in Oakland turned a 1-1 game into a 3-1 deficit. The home run he allowed on Saturday at Citi Field turned a 5-4 lead into a 6-5 deficit. The home run he allowed on Sunday at Citi Field turned a 6-6 game into a 7-6 deficit. Green has now allowed 15 home runs in 59 games and 74 innings. He allowed 13 home runs in 144 2/3 innings in 2017 and 2018 combined.

With limited options and no real trustworthy options, Green is going to continue to see high-leverage situations over the remaining 18 games. The Yankees’ season will likely hinge on whether or not he can revert back to his old self.

3. Green isn’t the only one who needs to revert back to his old self. Gleyber Torres’ error on Sunday in the series finale against the Mets was apparently the final straw for him as shortstop. After sitting by and watching Torres boot routine play after routine play both last season and this season, Boone finally announced Torres would be playing second base indefinitely. It’s good Boone and the front office are willing to improve the most important position in the infield, however, it’s likely too late for the change as the Yankees’ postseason chances are no longer great. By accommodating Torres (whose bat isn’t good enough to make accommodations for) it’s screwing up the rest of the infield.

Torres playing second means DJ LeMahieu isn’t. LeMahieu is a three-time Gold Glove-winning second baseman who will now play third base, a position he had never played prior to joining the Yankees. It also means Gio Urshela, who never played shortstop in the majors prior to this season will now play shortstop. So by improving the defense at short, the Yankees have downgraded their defense at both second and third. Again, this is to accommodate Torres, who isn’t nearly good enough to be getting this kind of accomodation. It would be in the Yankees’ best interest to not play Torres rather than shuffle 75 percent of the infield to keep him in the lineup.

4. Two years ago, Torres looked like he would be the team’s best player in the near future and the most important player on the team for years to come as a 22-year-old, superstar middle infielder. Instead, in his last 602 plate appearances, he has 10 home runs and a .688 OPS.

I would be ready for the Yankees to move on except for his value being so low. But maybe his value will never recover. Maybe the Yankees holding out hope he will return to the player he was in 2018 and 2019 or hoping his stock will rise, so they can move him will only hurt the team in 2022 and for however long they continue to play him.

5. The Yankees made it clear Torres is no longer the shortstop of the future for them when they reportedly tried to trade for Trevor Story in July. Now, needing to win every game down the stretch, the Yankees have decided to move Torres off of shortstop and to a position he hasn’t played since the 2019 ALCS. His time as the Yankees’ everyday shortstop is over. With the Yankees’ top prospect (Anthony Volpe) being a shortstop, as well as their No. 3 prospect (Oswald Peraza), I don’t see them going out and signing Story or Corey Seager or Carlos Correa to a long-term contract. But they are going to have to do something. They can’t go into 2022 planning on Torres being their everyday shortstop, and I don’t think they’re even considering it.

6. The Yankees won for just the fourth time in their last 16 games on Monday, overcoming a 5-0 deficit to beat the Twins 6-5 on a Gary Sanchez walk-off hit. The comeback was made possible thanks to a Judge game-tying, three-run home run in the eighth inning.

The Yankees have had a knack for hitting a late-inning, game-tying home run during the collapse. The problem is they usually don’t take the lead after tying the game with a big home run. In Anaheim, it was Stanton who tied the game at 7 with a two-run home run in the seventh before the Yankees lost 8-7. Against the Orioles, it was Joey Gallo tying the game at 3 in the eighth before the Yankees lost 4-3. Against the Blue Jays, it was Brett Gardner with a game-tying, three-run home run on Wednesday and Anthony Rizzo with a game-tying, two-run home run on Thursday, both coming in Yankees losses. On Sunday, it was Stanton again with a game-tying, two-run home run against the Mets in an eventual Yankees loss. (Only once during the collapse did the Yankees hit a late, game-tying home run and go on to win: Saturday against the Mets.)

7. The Stanton home run created a bench-clearing argument between the Yankees and Mets after Stanton stopped rounding the bases to have words with Francisco Lindor, who earlier in the game had words for the Yankees dugout while rounding the bases on a home run. Nothing came of the Stanton and Lindor exchange other than a bunch of yelling and hand gestures. It seemed like a moment that could lead the Yankees to a much-needed win and potentially serve as the starting point for a late-season run to the postseason. Instead, Lindor answered Stanton’s home run with his third home run of the game. When Stanton came up with two outs in the ninth and had the tying run at third and go-ahead run at second, he popped up to Lindor to end the game.

8. When these Yankees chirp their opponent, it never ends well.

After the Yankees won Game 2 of the 2018 ALDS in Boston, Aaron Judge walked through Fenway Park with a boom box blaring “New York, New York.” The Yankees followed that up with the worst home postseason loss in franchise history in Game 3 and were eliminated in Game 4, while the Red Sox went on to win the World Series, playing “New York, New York” in their clubhouse after each win.

Earlier this season in Houston, Judge mimicked Jose Altuve clutching his jersey on his way to home plate after his walk-off home run against the Yankees in the 2019 ALCS (the moment that cerated the Astros’ buzzer controversy). In the series finale, Altuve got the last laugh, like he always seems to go against the Yankees, hitting a three-run, walk-off home run to cap a six-run ninth in the final game of the first half.

Then there was Sunday with Lindor, who like Altuve, got the last laugh.

9. The only way for the Yankees to get the last laugh in 2021 is to win nearly all of their remaining 18 games. If they do so, they will have a chance to go on a revenge tour throughout the postseason. Either they will outlast Boston for a wild-card berth and end their season or have the opportunity to eliminate them in the wild-card game. If they win the wild-card game, they will have the chance to avenge their 2020 ALDS loss to the Rays in the 2021 ALDS. After that, they could see the Astros in the ALCS and repay the Astros for the 2017 and 2019 ALCS. The only way for this happen is for the Yankees to win each series from here on out and it might take even more than that.

10. The Blue Jays’ schedule is so easy the rest of the way. Ten of their remaining 19 games are against the Twins (7) and Orioles (3). The Red Sox’ schedule is also very easy. Nine of their remaining 17 games are against the Orioles (6) and Nationals (3).

The Yankees are in a bad spot. A very bad spot. That’s what happens when you lose the season series to the Angels and Mets, can’t beat the Orioles and get swept at home in a four-game series by the team chasing you. They now have 18 games left to avoid completing a collapse, which should result in vast organizational changes.

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My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!