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Author: Neil Keefe

BlogsNFL

NFL Week 9 Picks

I’m looking forward to football this Sunday because there’s no way the Giants can ruin it. Life without the Giants is appealing and after the last 25 games, I’m beginning to think life would be better without them.

Eli Manning

I’m looking forward to football this Sunday because there’s no way the Giants can ruin it. They can’t put me in a bad mood or lose me any money. Life without the Giants is very appealing and after the last 25 Giants games, I’m beginning to think my life would be much better without the Giants in it period.

Detroit +6 over MINNESOTA
I’m an honorary Vikings fan for the rest of the season, just like I was last season. Brittni is a Vikings fan, so I’m forced to pull for them to some degree, and with the Giants playing for the No. 1 pick in 2019, it gives me something to care about.

The problem is Kirk Cousins is the Vikings quarterback and he sucks. He really, truly sucks. The best thing to ever happen to the Jets was that Cousins turned down their offer to sign with them and the Vikings gave him $95 million to possibly destroy their window of opportunity. The Vikings would be no different with Case Keenum still their quarterback, and I honestly think they would be better with him. They wouldn’t have had Cousins to single-handedly lose the Bills game and they wouldn’t have had him to give away the Saints game.

I knew Cousins sucked when in Week 17 in 2017, he had the ball with a chance to lead his team down the field against a Giants team that had already clinched and had nothing to play for and he was unable to. Right then, I knew that Cousins would never be anything more than an average quarterback, who will never win anything. So while I’m rooting for the Vikings to win the Super Bowl for Brittni, I know they have no chance with Cousins.

Pittsburgh +3 over BALTIMORE
I will never not take the points when these two teams meet in this era of their rivalry.

WASHINGTON -1.5 over Atlanta
A battle of two teams the Giants could have beat and didn’t. Neither team is very good, but I will never trust the Falcons in any game as long as Dan Quinn is their head coach. I would rather pick against him them and be wrong than pick for them and have Quinn call Julio Jones off the field in the red zone.

Tampa Bay +6 over CAROLINA
This pick is mostly about me wanting Ryan Fitzpatrick to completely take Jameis Winston’s job from him than it is me believing Fitzpatrick won’t go out and throw three first-half interceptions. Then again, if there’s any team I wouldn’t want to give six points with it’s the Panthers and their sporadic offense. Taking the points just makes the most sense here.

Kansas City -9 over CLEVELAND
I never understood how the Red Sox could watch Bobby Valentine on Sunday Night Baseball every week and decided to hire him as their manager. And I never understood how Browns ownership could watch Hard Knocks this season and not fire Hue Jackson and Todd Haley before the season even began.

Forget Jackson’s record with the Browns, which will stand for all of time because no organization will let a coach lose 15 games and then all 16 games and bring him back yet again. If you watched Jackson interact with his team and his coaching staff, you knew the Browns would never stop being the Browns with him as head coach. And if you watched Haley for five minutes on that show, you would question how he ever got a job in the NFL, let alone continue to get jobs in the NFL running offenses.

So now Baker Mayfield has been exposed to the real Browns in his second month in the league as they have fired the coach halfway through his rookie season. Normally, organizations pair a head coach with a young quarterback, but not the Browns. They retain the worst coach record-wise in NFL history and pair him with the No. 1 overall pick and then fire the head coach and name the most insane person to hold a coaching job in the league as their interim head coach. A person who was suspended for an entire season. I’m sure Mayfield enjoyed being the No. 1 pick, but he would have been better off falling in the first round.

MIAMI -3 over New York Jets
First, the Jets were going to use this season for Sam Darnold to gain experience, according to Jets fans. Then after their Week 1 win, they were maybe a wild-card team. Then after three straight losses, it was back to gaining experience. Then after beating the Broncos, it was back to the playoffs. Then after beating the Colts, it was possibly a division title. Then after losing to the Vikings and Bears, it was back to gaining experience.

This season was never about anything other than Darnold getting a full season under his belt so the front office could go out next spring and dominate the free-agent market with all of their cap space. Jets fans had their moments where they thought their team could sneak into the playoffs, but I’m glad they have come back to reality.

Chicago -10 over BUFFALO
It doesn’t matter if it’s Josh Allen or Nathan Peterman or Derek Anderson starting for the Bills, there’s no way I can justify backing them at any number. When you have thrown three touchdown passes in half a season in this version of the NFL where quarterbacks regularly throw four-plus touchdowns a game, there’s no line that would scare me off from going against the Bills.

Los Angeles Chargers 0 over SEATTLE
One day I will write about the Chargers and not have to delete “San Diego” and type “Los Angeles”. I don’t know when that day will be, but it will happen. It hasn’t happened yet for me and the Phoenix Arizona Coyotes either, but the same way I overcame the Tampa Bay Devil Rays, I will overcome this.

Houston 0 over DENVER
The Texans were supposed to be finished after the Giants beat them and the Giants were supposed to go on a run. Instead, since their Week 3 game, the Texans have gone 5-0 and the Giants have gone 0-5. The Texans are now in first place in the AFC South with Super Bowl aspirations in a week conference and the Giants are in last place in the NFC East with first overall pick aspirations in the 2019 draft. I didn’t see this coming.

NEW ORLEANS -2 over Los Angeles Rams
The Rams are the last undefeated team in the NFL, but they have been close to getting picked off for their first loss several times lately, and had Ty Montgomery stayed in the end zone last week, they might have lost to the Packers. The Saints are coming off an impressive win in Minnesota, which was their sixth straight this season, and the Superdome seems like an inevitable setting for the Rams to take their first L.

Green Bay +6 over NEW ENGLAND
The Packers went to the West Coast and came within an idiotic return of potentially knocking off the 8-0 Rams. Now they are getting six points on road against a lesser opponent? Am I missing something here? I realize it’s the Patriots and I realize the Tom Brady-Bill Belichick history and record at home, but this is still Aaron Rodgers. This isn’t Andrew Luck or the Dolphins we’re talking. This line seems way too high.

Tennessee +5 over DALLAS
Since the Giants have nothing to play for, there are very few things left for me to care about this football season. One of those things is the demise of the Cowboys under Jason Garrett. The Cowboys traded a first-round pick of Amari Cooper and nothing would make me happier than for Cooper to continue to be the bust he has always been. I desperately need this move to backfire and for the Cowboys to continue to be the poster team for mediocrity in the NFL.

Last week: 7-7-0
Season: 49-56-1

 

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BlogsGiants

Giants Are Close to Becoming Browns

The only team worse than the Giants since the start of 2017 is the Browns. The once-proud Giants are now a laughingstock.

Eli Manning

The Giants won’t lose this week. That’s not a bold prediction or and it’s not me thinking a team with one win this season and four wins since the start of last season is going to win a game, rather it’s simply a fact. The Giants won’t lose this week because they aren’t playing.

This week will be what it feels like if the Giants seized to exist and I’m guessing it will feel really good. There won’t be disappointment or frustration or heartbreak or anger. There won’t be Eli Manning having less than a second to release the ball and there won’t be Manning getting knocked into next week when the offensive line has yet another breakdown. There won’t be Saquon Barkley having nowhere to go five yards behind the line of scrimmage or the constant one-yard checkdowns to the team’s best player. There won’t be Odell Beckham having a huge game statistically in a loss then calling out his team as if he’s not part of the problem. There won’t be Sterling Shepard or Evan Engram having drops at big moments in the game. There won’t be the defense bending and not breaking all game until the final minutes when it looks like the Giants might come back. There won’t be Pat Shurmur having no idea what to do when his team gets into the red zone or calling for unwinnable challenges or giving up points for fourth-down attempts. There won’t be any of the nonsense that has gone on for the last 24 games, which has caused me to wonder if the New York Football Giants are now the Cleveland Browns.

Here are the worst teams in the league since the start of last season by record and win percentage:

Browns 2-21-1 (.104)
Giants 4-20 (.167)
49ers 7-17 (.292)
Colts 7-17 (.292)
Raiders 7-16 (.304)
Broncos 8-16 (.333)
Jets 8-16 (.333)

The Giants might not be exactly the Browns, but they are pretty freakin’ close. The Browns have one more win and a tie than the Giants this season and no other team in the league is close to the two over the last season and a half. The teams after the Giants in those standings are either rebuilding, playing a rookie quarterback or recently won a Super Bowl and have a grace period. The Giants don’t fall into any of those three categories. They are just a bad team headed for the top of the draft despite not being in rebuilding mode. The Giants continue to be a losing team with no plan in place to restore winning.

This season was supposed to be different. A new general manager and a new coach and a new offensive line were supposed to remove the bad taste that Jerry Reese, Ben McAdoo and the 2017 season left in Giants fans mouths. But this season has been worse. The 2017 Giants could use the injury excuse as Manning was throwing to no-name receivers for most of the season and the defense was missing big names a majority of the time. The 2018 Giants? They have been mostly healthy, have had Beckham and Shepard all season and added Barkley. Yet somehow they are worse than the team which won three games a year ago. I didn’t think that was possible.

I felt good about the Giants this season, and in Week 1, despite the loss, I came away with the positive idea that a three-win team from a year ago could go toe-to-toe with the AFC runner-up. After Week 2, I was demoralized, and could see the Giants’ season spiraling out of control. The loss in Dallas was the single-worst performance I had maybe ever seen by a Giants team in my lifetime and the team was once again 0-2 with their season on life support.

Week 3 provided an unfavorable matchup against a quarterback who can run and a pass rush that hadn’t displayed their abilities, but the Giants magically came out of Houston with a win. The feelings after the Dallas loss had been erased and chalked up as a bad performance and I could see the Giants going on a run. Instead, they gave away another winnable game, this time at home against the Saints to fall to 1-3. It was a disheartening loss, but the season could still be saved.

Then in Week 5, the Giants pulled off a late-game comeback to take a one-point lead on the Panthers. As I started to think about the weeks ahead and planning the Giants’ path to winning the NFC East, Graham Gano drilled a game-winning 63-yard field goal as time expired. It was as crushing as any regular-season loss could be, but the rest of the division was letting the Giants hang around at 1-4 and a Thursday night home game against the Eagles could put the Giants one game back in the sloppy NFC East.

Normally, the home team has an incredible advantage for the short-week Thursday game. Not the Giants. The Giants were flat-out embarrassed at home, losing by three touchdowns, and finally showing even the most optimistic Giants fans that this season is just a continuation of last. The Giants had 11 days until their next game, which gave them just enough time to come up with a new and different way to lose a game, and against a Falcons team, which can’t stop anyone, the Giants scored three points in the first half and six points through three quarters. Then this past week, the Giants scored three points in the first half at home against the Redskins and still had only three points on the board through three quarters.

I’m not sure people understand how incredible it is to be held to three points in a half in an NFL game in 2018. The league has done everything it can to increase scoring and essentially make it impossible to play defense and the Giants still can’t score. The Giants have been held scoreless in eight of the 32 quarters (25 percent) they have played. They have scored three points or less in 12 of 32 quarters  (38 percent) and have seven points or less at halftime in six of their eight games (75 percent). Most of their scoring has come in the fourth quarter with the game already out of hand and the opposition trading yards for time on the clock. The only time the Giants have had more than 16 points after three quarters was in their Week 3 win in Houston when they had 20. Their point totals through three quarters in their games: 9, 3, 20, 10, 16, 13, 6, 3.

I’m not sure where the Giants go from here. Ideally, they would use their near-top-of-the-draft pick on either a quarterback or offensive lineman and the following picks on those same things. Unfortunately, there’s no guarantee that will happen with a front office that saw the 2017 Giants and their 3-13 record and thought they could be a playoff team in 2018 with the addition of a running back and a rookie offensive lineman and without a pass rush.

It’s depressing to realize the next meaningful Giants game will be Week 1 next September, nearly 10 months away. While nearly the rest of the league and the rest of fans have a reason to get excited for Sunday (or Monday or Thursday), I’m relegated to gambling and fantasy with no real football to care about. It’s not a place I thought I would be in when the season began, but it’s a place I have grown accustomed to as a Giants fan.

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BlogsGiants

Giants-Redskins Week 8 Thoughts: Different Week, Same Game

The Giants’ latest loss dropped their record to 4-20 since the beginning of 2017. I didn’t think things could get worse after last season, but they have gotten much worse.

Eli Manning

There’s no need to watch the Giants anymore. Not only because their season is over and they have nothing to play for, but because I know how every game will play out.

The Giants are unable to score touchdowns, they get behind, they stage a late comeback in garbage time to keep the score close and then either the defense can’t get a stop in the final minutes to get the ball back or the Giants need to recover an onside kick for a chance at a miracle win. Every week that same game unfolds and this week it was no different.

The league has made it virtually impossible to play defense in 2018, but not when it comes to playing against the Giants. The Giants scored just three points in the first half and 10 in the second half with seven of those 10 coming with the game over. They were held scoreless in two quarters and essentially scored six points in a home game … in 2018. Odell Beckham, Saquon Barkley, Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram are all on the Giants and the team scored six points in a home game … in 2018.

The only thing left to do when watching this team is laugh. Laugh at the offensive line, laugh at Eli Manning’s checkdowns to Barkley, laugh at Beckham’s big numbers in losses, laugh at Shepard’s drop, laugh at Engram’s all-around game, laugh at the defense when it needs one stop to potentially win the game, laugh at the offense on every red zone trip. And most of all, laugh at Pat Shurmur look completely bewildered and out of place on the sideline as head coach.

The new Giants regime royally screwed up. They looked at the 2017 Giants as anomaly and a team that dealt with injuries and turmoil and decided the team was closer to the 2016 version which won 11 games and not the 2017 version with won three. They built around a three-win team instead of rebuilding it and tried to patch up an offensive line when what they needed was a new boat. Prior to the season, Shurmur said the team would go as far as the offensive line would take them and the offensive line has brought them to one win in eight games.

Before the latest loss to the Redskins, the Giants got rid of another former first-round pick and a big free-agent signing. It was the first time the front office let it be known that they screwed up as they decided to start selling off pieces in an attempt to stock up on draft picks to actually rebuild. Everyone thought the Giants missed their chance at a quarterback of the future picking near the top of the draft in 2018 and no one thought they would be back in that spot for a long time. But they will be back in that same spot and possibly even at the top of the draft let alone near the top of it in 2019. They are every bit as unprepared, frustrating, undisciplined and flat-out bad as the other one- and two-win teams in the league and they have just as much of a chance as any of those teams at the first overall pick. The only difference is those teams were built on the idea of picking first in 2019. The Giants were built on finishing first in 2018.

The Giants won’t lose this week thanks to their bye. But when they return from a week off, they will have half of their season left with nothing to play for. When the 2017 season ended so early, the team gave up and decided that with nothing to play for, they weren’t going to play. This regime thought last season was an anomaly, but over the second half of the season, they will find out just how different this team is to last year’s, if it’s different at all. So far it is hasn’t been.

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PodcastsYankees

Podcast: Andrew Rotondi

Andrew Rotondi joined me for one last venting session about the 2018 and the disappointing ending to their season.

New York Yankees

The Yankees season has been over for a few weeks, but that doesn’t mean the time to complain about what went on in the ALDS is over. Especially with the Red Sox now closer to winning yet another World Series, this time over the Dodgers

Andrew Rotondi of Bronx Pinstripes joined me for one last venting session about the 2018 Yankees, Aaron Boone’s fireable offenses in the ALDS, what happened in New York in the last two games, what moves the team has to make this offseason and what the future holds for these Yankees after a disappointing end to the season.

***

My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

The book details my life as a Yankees fan, growing up watching Derek Jeter, Mariano Rivera, Andy Pettitte, Jorge Posada and Bernie Williams through my childhood and early adulthood and the shift to now watching Gary Sanchez, Luis Severino, Aaron Judge, Greg Bird and others become the latest generation of Yankees baseball. It’s a journey through the 2017 postseason with flashbacks to games and moments from the Brian Cashman era.

Click here to purchase the book through Amazon as an ebook. You can read it on any Apple device by downloading the free Kindle app.

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Blogs

I Have Never Rooted So Hard for a Non-Yankee Than I Am for Clayton Kershaw

No matter how well Clayton Kershaw does, it’s never enough. Unfortunately, the only way to get his idiotic critics to shut up will be for the Dodgers to win the World Series, and even then, he will still have critics.

Clayton Kershaw

Whenever I need a good laugh, I go to Clayton Kershaw’s Baseball Reference page. The career stats of the lefty make me nearly cry with all of the bold and italicized numbers, detailing the seasons he led the league in wins, win percentage, ERA, games started, complete games, shutouts, innings pitched, strikeouts, ERA+, FIP, WHIP, hits per nine innings, strikeouts per nine innings and strikeouts per walk.

In 2016, many of my friends who are Dodgers fans thought Kershaw had a down year after back injuries limited him to just 21 starts. His numbers? 12-4 with a 1.69 ERA and 11 walks in 149 innings. In 2017, it was much of the same as Kershaw’s ERA climbed to an embarrassing 2.31 as the left-hander only went 18-4 and unforgivingly walked 30 in 175 innings. This season, I heard from many of them that Kershaw was finished as his ERA ballooned all the way to an unacceptable 2.73. It didn’t matter that he once again had back problems or that the he earned a loss or no-decision in 10 starts in which he went at least six innings and allowed two earned runs or less.

Dodgers fans have unnecessarily worried about Kershaw the last few seasons because they have come to expect him to win every five days, and not just win or shut down the opponent, but actually shut them out. He has created ridiculous expectations from the baseball world in which anything less than perfection is unsatisfactory.

I was at the Dodgers-Mets game on July 23, 2015 at Citi Field with my fiancée Brittni (a Dodgers fan from Los Angeles), a game Kershaw started. His line: 9 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 11 K. It was possibly the most dominant pitching performance I had ever seen in person and many expected him to actually throw a perfect game going into the game. And he nearly did. It wasn’t until Curtis Granderson singled to right field on an 0-2 pitch in the seventh inning that the Mets got their first baserunner. There were a lot of groans and upset fans, who had expected a Kershaw perfect game before first pitch and who were now let down that they would have to settle for a three-hit, complete-game shutout.

Kershaw has been so dominant for so long that expecting something as improbable as a perfect game when he pitches doesn’t seem so improbable. While the rest of baseball operates on the idea that a “quality start” is six innings and three innings, a quality start for Kershaw is eight shutout innings. It’s unfair, but when you’re dealing with greatness, people want greatness every fifth day. And when you’re dealing with the best pitcher in the history of baseball, people want near perfection every fifth day.

A lot of people would disagree with the idea that Kershaw is the best pitcher in history for a variety of reasons, whether it’s the time period in which he pitched, the division he has pitched in, the league he has pitched in, the hitters he has faced, that the game isn’t what it used to be or some other poorly-formed reason. But no reason will be used against Kershaw more than the idea that he hasn’t been good in the postseason or that he hasn’t won a World Series, as if a championship in baseball can be the product of one person.

So Kershaw had a few bad postseason starts against the Cardinals in his career. Who cares? Mariano Rivera blew Game 5 in the 1997 ALDS, Game 7 of the 2001 World Series and Game 4 of the 2004 ALCS and he’s still the best postseason pitcher in history as well as the best relief pitcher in history. Kershaw might have laid a few eggs against the Cardinals in 2013 and 2014, but the majority of the time in the playoffs, he’s been the Kershaw with all of the bold and italicized numbers on his Baseball Reference page.

Unfortunately, the expectations of perfection Kershaw has created in his career have carried over to October, where it’s not good enough for him to give his team a chance to win or to actually win, he has to dominate. When he two-hit the Braves over eight scoreless innings in the NLDS, people wanted to know why he had only three strikeouts. When he allowed one run over seven innings in Game of the NLCS to put the Dodgers up 3-2 in the series, people wanted to talk about his lesser start in Game 1.

This has been a theme throughout his postseason career. In 2017, he allowed one earned run over seven innings with 11 strikeouts in Game 1 of the World Series and pitched four scoreless innings out of the bullpen in Game 7 on two days rest. But all that mattered was that he lost Game 5. In the 2016 NLCS, he shut out the Cubs for seven innings to win the first game of the series, but that was quickly forgotten when he pitched poorly in Game 6. No one thought to bring up that the Dodgers were shut out in that Game 5 loss and that you have to score at least one run to win a baseball game. When he got the final two outs of Game 5 of the 2016 NLDS against the Nationals, serving as the closer for the series, even though the Dodgers were advancing to the NLCS for the first time, the talk was about why Kershaw hadn’t pitched well in Game 4 and not the bullpen heroics or his Game 1 win. In the 2015 NLDS, three earned runs and 11 strikeouts over 6 2/3 innings wasn’t enough as his offense only scored once in Game 1 and four days later when he gave up one earned run over seven innings for the Game 4 win, it didn’t make up for his series-opening performance.

In the two postseasons against the Cardinals in 2013 and 2014, he had the two clunkers (Game 6 of the 2013 NLCS and Game 1 of the 2014 NLDS). But he also took a loss in Game 2 of the 2013 NLCS when six innings and no earned runs couldn’t get himself or his team a win thanks to an error in a 1-0 loss, and when three runs in six innings (all three runs coming on one swing) was too much for his anemic offense to overcome in a 3-2 loss.

Despite all of this and despite allowing two earned runs or less in 10 of his 22 career postseason starts (in four of those, he took the loss or a no-decision), the perception is that Kershaw can’t win in October. The Dodgers’ two NLDS losses, two NLCS losses and World Series loss since 2013 weren’t the fault of ownership, the front office, the manager, the other starting pitchers, the bullpen, the offense or the defense. They were all the fault of Clayton Kershaw.

No matter how well Kershaw does, it’s never enough. Unfortunately, the only way to get his idiotic critics to shut up will be for the Dodgers to win the World Series, and even then, he will still have critics. If the Dodgers win and he isn’t near perfect in his starts, the Dodgers will have won in spite of him. If the Dodgers win and he’s not the MVP of the series, they won’t have won because of him. If the Dodgers win and he pitches the way he’s expected to and he’s the MVP of the series, well, he will only have won one championship in his career. Even if the Dodgers win, Kershaw can’t win, and if the Dodgers lose, it will be his fault. When it comes to the Dodgers, Kershaw isn’t only the best player in the team’s history or the face of the franchise, he is viewed as the entire franchise. Though he affects only 33 games at most in the regular season and a handful of games in the postseason, the end result of any Dodgers season falls solely on him.

When video emerged of Kershaw alone in an empty Fenway Park on Sunday pretending to throw pitches in the bullpen in preparation for his Game 1 start in the World Series, I became that much bigger of a fan of his and that much more envious of Dodgers fans who get to call him theirs, even if only complete-game shutouts from him satisfy them. As a Yankees fan, I have never rooted as hard for another team than I am for the Dodgers in this World Series. As a Clayton Kershaw fan, I have never rooted so hard for a non-Yankee to win.

***

My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

The book details my life as a Yankees fan, growing up watching Derek Jeter, Mariano Rivera, Andy Pettitte, Jorge Posada and Bernie Williams through my childhood and early adulthood and the shift to now watching Gary Sanchez, Luis Severino, Aaron Judge, Greg Bird and others become the latest generation of Yankees baseball. It’s a journey through the 2017 postseason with flashbacks to games and moments from the Brian Cashman era.

Click here to purchase the book through Amazon as an ebook. You can read it on any Apple device by downloading the free Kindle app.

Read More