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Author: Neil Keefe

BlogsYankeesYankees Offseason

It’s Time for Yankees to Move on from Brett Gardner

As long as Brett Gardner is a Yankee, he will play, and he will play nearly every day. If injuries don’t force him into the lineup, Aaron Boone will.

I didn’t want Brett Gardner back for the 2019 season. I had seen enough from the then-35-year-old outfielder and his career-worst season to want the Yankees to go in a different direction. Entering the first true season of this group’s championship window of opportunity, I wanted a younger and better left field, with the assumption Giancarlo Stanton would be primarily used as the designated hitter. I wanted the Yankees to sign Michael Brantley.

I’m not sure if the Yankees ever even gave a thought to signing someone other than Gardner because in the first minutes of free agency, they brought him back on a one-year, $7.5 million deal, believing his career-low .690 OPS in 2018 wasn’t indicative of who he was at what’s now considered to be an advanced age in baseball.

Gardner was said to be the team’s “fourth outfielder” entering 2019, a position which might have gone to Clint Frazier if not for a lost season due to unfortunate injuries. As a reserve player with extra rest, the logic was that Gardner would be more productive than he had been in the career-worst 2017.

In 2019, Gardner went from being the supposed fourth outfielder to being an everyday player. The same thing happened in 2020 and again in 2021. Gardner played the third-most games on the team in 2019, the fifth-most in 2020 and the third-most in 2021.

On Monday, Gardner’s agent Joe Bick said Gardner intended to play in 2022 and prefers to play for the Yankees.

With Aaron Judge, Joey Gallo and (unfortunately) Aaron Hicks under contract, along with Giancarlo Stanton, who the Yankees are cautious to ever let play the outfield (despite his increased production when he does), Gardner would at best be the team’s fifth outfielder. But fifth is still too high on the depth chart. As long as Gardner is on the roster, he will find his way into the lineup with regularity. Injuries will make sure of it.

Before Opening Day in 2019, Gardner went from fourth outfielder to starting center fielder as Hicks started the season on the injured list (after injuring his back on a 35-minute bus ride in spring training) and Stanton joined Hicks on the IL before April 1. On April 20, Aaron Judge joined them both. In what was supposed to be a season in which Gardner would transition from an everyday player to a role player, he played in 141 games.

In 2020, Gardner was back again as the fourth outfielder. Prior to the pandemic ruining and shortening the season, Hicks was set to miss half the season recovering from Tommy John surgery, Judge was going to miss about half the season after the Yankees were unable to diagnose his fractured rib and punctured lung and Stanton was also going to miss half the season with a calf injury. If the 2020 season started on time, some combination of Gardner, Clint Frazier, Mike Tauchman and Miguel Andujar was going to be the everyday outfield.

Spring training in 2021 started without Gardner, but a week into it, he was re-signed. Despite Aaron Boone opening spring training by saying Frazier was now the team’s starting left fielder, in the third game of the season Gardner was starting in left field and would go on to play 140 games during the regular season with only Judge and DJ LeMahieu playing more.

In 2019, the Yankees needed nine outfielders to get through the season. In only 60 games in 2020, they needed seven. In 2021, they used Gardner, Judge, Stanton, Gallo and Hicks, along with Frazier, Tauchman, Andujar, Tyler Wade, Greg Allen, Estevan Florial, Ryan LaMarre, Tim Locastro, Jonathan Davis, Trey Amburgey and Hoy Park.

Last season, the Yankees got a miraculous 287 combined games played from Judge (148) and Stanton (139), and if you’re counting on that type of health in 2022, well, there was a guy in New York who recently won the lottery for the second time in three years. Hicks has missed 251 of the Yankees’ last 401 regular-season and postseason games. He’s now 32 and the most games he has played in a season was 137 back in 2018, which was a hamstring injury, significant back injury and a surgically-repaired elbow and wrist ago. Thankfully, Gallo has been exceptionally healthy in his career.

Gardner can’t be even the Yankees’ fifth outfielder in 2022 because he can never just be a bench option used a couple of days a week. No fourth or fifth outfielder on the Yankees ever remains that.

But if injuries aren’t the reason Gardner becomes an everyday player for the Yankees again in 2022, his manager will be.

Under Boone, Gardner lost his job to Andrew McCutchen after the 2018 trade deadline. Gardner wasn’t in the lineup for the 2018 wild-card game against the A’s and wasn’t in the lineup for Game 1 of the 2018 ALDS against the Red Sox. But when Hicks went down with a hamstring injury in that Game 1, Gardner came off the bench to play the rest of that game, as well as Games 2 and 3. When Hicks was healthy enough to play in Game 4 with the Yankees facing elimination, Boone benched McCutchen in favor of Gardner.

In 2019, Gardner was supposed to be the team’s fourth outfielder for the second consecutive year. But in a season that became about replacement players and “the next man up,” Gardner found himself playing in 87 percent of the team’s games, batting in the Top 4 spots in the lineup 46 times in 141 games, and when the postseason started, Boone penciled him in as the team’s 3-hitter. He would bat third in all three games in the ALDS, and then again in the pivotal Game 3 of the ALCS against Gerrit Cole, in which his first-inning at-bat swung the game (and the series) in the eventual Yankees loss.

Gardner was awful for six of the eight weeks of the 2020 regular season, but the two weeks he was productive happened to come at the end of September and right before the expanded postseason. So when it came time to fill out the lineup card for Game 1 of the postseason, Gardner’s name was on it and Frazier’s wasn’t after Frazier carried the Yankees’ offense along with LeMahieu and Luke Voit through two forgettable months.

Spring training in 2021 started without Gardner, but a week into it, he was re-signed. Despite Aaron Boone opening spring training by saying Frazier was now the team’s starting left fielder, in the third game of the season Gardner was starting in left field and would go on to play 140 games during the regular season with only Judge and DJ LeMahieu playing more.

Boone loves his veterans and he loves Gardner. When the going gets tough, Boone goes to Gardner. When the Yankees’ backs are against the wall and their season is on the line facing elimination, Boone has gone with Gardner every time and every time the Yankees have been eliminated. Boone will continue to go with Gardner every time. He’s one of his guys, and being one of Boone’s guys is in no way tied to ability or performance.

As long as Gardner is a Yankee, he will play, and he will play nearly every day. If injuries don’t force him into the lineup, Boone will. It’s time to move on. It’s been time to move on.

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BlogsRangersRangers Thoughts

Rangers Thoughts: Give Igor Shesterkin the Vezina and Hart

The weekend (well, including Thursday) started out promising for the Rangers. But after their most complete win of the season against the Capitals, they were shut out by the Penguins and outplayed in a disappointing loss to the Canucks. Here are 10 thoughts on the Rangers.

The weekend (well, including Thursday) started out promising for the Rangers. But after their most complete win of the season against the Capitals, they were shut out by the Penguins and outplayed in a disappointing loss to the Canucks.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Rangers.

1. Igor Shesterkin is going to win the Vezina. If he doesn’t then the entire process for selecting the best goalie in the game needs to be rethought. But for as easily as he will win the Vezina is how easily I truly believe he should win the Hart.

What Shesterkin is doing in net for the Rangers is something Henrik Lundqvist never did, and Lundqvist was the top goalie of his era. That’s because what Shesterkin is doing has only ever been done once … in history. Shesterkin has a .941 save percentage this season and with a minimum of 30 games played, that feat has only ever been accomplished by Jacques Plante.

2. Here are the numbers from Domenik Hasek’s back-to-back MVP seasons:

1996-97: 37-20-10, 2.27, .930

1997-98: 33-23-13, 2.09, .932

(Hasek’s best season was actually in 1998-99 when he didn’t win the Hart: 30-18-14, 1.87, .937)

Here are Shesterkin’s numbers from this season:

2021-22: 25-6-3, 1.95, .941

3. To me, the Most Valuable Player is the player whose team’s season would have been drastically different if they were removed from the roster. Sure, Connor McDavid, Jonathan Huberdeau and Auston Matthews are all having great seasons, but Shesterkin is having a historic season and if you remove him from the Rangers, you get a lot of games like you got on Sunday night in the team’s 5-2 loss to the Canucks. When Shesterkin was injured in early December, the Rangers 4-3-1, and their four wins came against 25th-, 29th- and 32nd-ranked teams in the league. The Rangers are 11-5-1 against current playoff teams when Shesterkin plays and 0-7-1 when he doesn’t. They are 25-6-3 when he’s in net and 8-9-2 when he isn’t.

Like Lundqvist did for 15 years, Shesterkin is single-handedly carrying the Rangers to success, has them third in the Met and headed to the (real) postseason for the first time in five years.

4. Thursday’s 4-1 win over the Capitals was the Rangers’ most complete and impressive win of the season. Between the Rangers getting four goals from four different sources and all coming in 5-on-5, and Shesterkin stopping 36 of 37 shots in yet another masterful performance, it was as good a win as the team will have all year.

“I thought we had a lot of chances,” Capitals coach Peter Laviolette said after the game. “Some of them were good looks, chances that you want to get, redirects, partial breakaways, shots right through the slot … we just couldn’t beat him (Shesterkin), not tonight.”

Not on most nights, Pete. It’s OK, the rest of the league isn’t really beating him either. Unfortunately, Shesterkin lost the shutout bid with 1:02 left in the game on a goal from Alexander Ovechkin, of course.

5. Alexis Lafreniere had a goal and an assist against the Capitals as he continues to shine playing with Mika Zibanejad and Chris Kreider, despite playing on his off-wing. It’s hard to believe the 2020 first overall pick is experiencing success playing top-six minutes and playing with actual quality NHLers. Lafreniere has four goals in his last eight games with his top-shelf blast from Sunday night against the Canucks on a feed from Zibanejad being the highlight of those four. He’s now on an about-20-goal pace over 82 games and that’s with having played less than 10 minutes in six of his 51 games played this season and less than 12 minutes in 14 games, and close to zero power-play time. Only 16 players in the NHL have more even-strength goals than Lafreniere since the start of last season.

When Kaapo Kakko returns, I need:

20-93-13
10-16-24

It has to be that and it has to stay that.

6. The Rangers’ loss to the Canucks on Sunday was disappointing because they couldn’t finish for a second straight day. (At least not until they were already down by four goals.) The Rangers were outplayed for the first five-or-so minutes of the game before dominating the the rest of the first period. If not for Thatcher Demko playing like Shesterkin, the Rangers could have cruised in the second and third to an easy win. But for the second consecutive day, the Rangers got the absolute best from the opposing goalie and eventually the Canucks got to Alexandar Georgiev the way every team does, and the Rangers didn’t respond until it was too late.

Georgiev isn’t Shesterkin and I don’t trust him and assume the worst for the Rangers when he’s in net. But that doesn’t mean he can’t be a starting goalie somewhere. It just means he’s likely unable to be the Rangers’ backup. It’s not easy to go weeks without seeing game action, like Georgiev does, and be expected to step in and play at your best. It’s an art, and it’s an art that Georgiev hasn’t come close to mastering and maybe he never will. When Shesterkin was out for an extended period of time and Georgiev was able to get consistent starts, he was at his best. But prior to Sunday (Feb. 27), Georgiev hadn’t started since Jan. 27. An entire month between starts. The Canucks’ goals Georgiev “would want back” aren’t so bad when you consider the layoff he just went through.

7. I don’t know who’s more fortunate: Greg McKegg who has gotten in the lineup 33(!) times this season or Dryden Hunt, who continues to play in the top-six and on a line with Artemi Panarin. (Poor Panarin. On a line with Hunt and Ryan Strome and he’s on a 96-point pace.) Neither makes sense, especially since Filip Chytil was an inexplicable healthy scratch on both Saturday and Sunday. Not that Chytil and Hunt play the same position, but a lineup spot is a lineup spot, and if Chytil isn’t going to be in the lineup over either of those two or Morgan Barron then I’m not sure what we’re doing here.

When asked after Saturday 1-0 loss to the Penguins why Chytil didn’t play, Gerard Gallant said, “He was fine. He’s fine. Just that the team played really well the night before.”

With the team coming off the most impressive win of the season, it’s understandable to not want to change things up. I get it. (But it’s not like McKegg or Barron had some significant impact on the win.)

8. But then the Rangers lose to the Penguins. Not only lose, but are shut out. (And yes, it took Tristan Jarry having the game of his life for the Rangers to be shut out, but it also took another heroic Shesterkin effort to keep it a one-goal game.) The Rangers don’t score a goal on Saturday, and Gallant stays with the same lineup on Sunday?

Gallant has done a lot of the same, if not the exact same things that David Quinn did as coach of the Rangers that led to his dismissal. Because the Rangers currently hold a playoff berth and would have to endure a catastrophic finish over their remaining 29 games to miss the postseason, a lot of the decisions Gallant makes get to fly under the radar because of Shesterkin’s play. That doesn’t make it OK. It makes it worse. McKegg can’t be in the lineup. Lafreniere can’t be removed from the top six. Kakko has to be in the top six when he returns. And whatever those late-game decisions against the Penguins were on Saturday can’t happen.

9. The first of those late-game decisions was putting the fourth line on the ice with 9:32 remaining and an offensive-zone faceoff coming out of a TV timeout. The second was going back to the fourth line for another offensive-zone faceoff with 6:05 remaining. Did Gallant think some set play off the draw with that unit was going to lead to the game-tying goal? Did he think his fourth line would give his team the best chance to tie the game? He likely did it because he spent the weekend playing the fourth line against the opposition’s best line, and while it worked out on Thursday, it can’t be a consistent strategy since it will lead to the Rangers’ fourth line leading the team in time on ice. And it can’t be a strategy when trailing by a goal and less than 10 minutes left in the game.

10. I like Gallant. It’s easy to like him coming off of Quinn. But they are very similar in their lineup decisions, and if not for Shesterkin, Rangers fans would be wondering why a coaching change was even made.

Yes, Gallant has gotten an overall pass because the Rangers are having a fantastic season, even though the underlying numbers suggest they would be having more of an Islanders-type season if  Shesterkin was even above average rather than being otherworldly. 

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PodcastsRangers

Rangers Podcast: Igor Shesterkin Steals Two More Points Against Bruins

Michael Hurley of CBS Boston joins me to talk about the Rangers’ 2-1 shootout win over the Bruins on Tuesday night.

The Rangers had two weeks off between their most recent game on Feb. 1 and Tuesday’s game against the Bruins, and it showed. The Rangers were held shotless for more than half of the first period, mustered a single goal in regulation and then needed to win a wild nine-round shootout to come away with two points. Once again, the two points earned were a product of the play of Igor Shesterkin, the way it has been all season.

Michael Hurley of CBS Boston joined me to talk about the Rangers’ 2-1 shootout win, the Bruins’ roster build, the recent midseason retirement of Tuukka Rask, the unnecessary suspension for Brad Marchand and the absence of Patrice Bergeron.

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BlogsYankeesYankees Offseason

Aaron Boone: ‘Do We Look Largely Similar to What We Looked Like Last Year?’

Aaron Boone uttered the words that should make every Yankees fan question whether or not they want to invest more of their time into this team.

Way back in mid-October, the Yankees decided the status quo of being knocked out of the postseason as early as possible was something they wanted to continue to do as an organization and so they gave Aaron Boone a new contract. A month after that, Boone went on CC Sabathia’s podcast to speak about the 2021 season. Aside from saying the obvious, “As you might imagine, I don’t look at my mentions on my Twitter,” Boone said a lot on the podcast.

Last week, I broke down Boone’s statements of “I make the lineup” and “We’re gonna need a shortstop.” Today, I want to look at Boone uttering the words that should make every Yankees fan question whether or not they want to invest more of their time into this team.

Do we look largely similar to what we’ve looked like last year?”

That was a real thought the manager of the Yankees had and he had the audacity to actually say in a public forum. That’s not an original or personal thought either. Boone said exactly what the organization is likely considering and has most certainly talked about internally.

It doesn’t matter that Boone followed that question by asking, “Or is there a blockbuster trade or signing that all of a sudden moves this guy out, trades this guy and then that starts affecting everything else?” All that matters is his admission that the 2022 Yankees looking like the 2021 Yankees is a possibility being discussed within Yankee Stadium this offseason.

It’s not a thought any person associated with the Yankees should have. How could any Yankees employee, whether you’re signing checks, making deals, filling out the lineup card, batting third, watering the infield or cold calling prospective ticket buyers think having a nearly identical roster to 2021, which was nearly identical to 2020, which was nearly identical to 2019, and which was nearly identical to 2018 should be an option for 2022?

The 2021 Yankees were the heavy the odds-on favorite to win the American League, and they finished third in their division and fifth in the AL with their postseason lasting nine innings. The 2020 Yankees barely reached the postseason with an eight-team AL field, and were ousted in the ALDS. The 2019 Yankees lost to the Astros in six games after DJ LeMahieu and Gleyber Torres proved you can’t win a seven-game series with two productive postseason hitters. The 2018 Yankees were historically embarrassed and humiliated in four games against the Red Sox, suffering the worst home postseason loss in the history of the franchise.

Boone isn’t the first one to think the Yankees could or should look in 2022 like they did in 2021. Brett Gardner, the last remaining member of the 2009 World Series team and the only Yankee to have ever won anything (even if it was so long ago he likely doesn’t remember what it’s like to win), said nearly the same thing after the team’s wild-card loss to the Red Sox. Wearing his uniform for an extended period of time after what could be his final game as if he were Wayne Gretzky, Gardner used the phrase “run it back,” hoping the Yankees would return the same core and roster in 2022 that has never gotten the job done.

“Running it back” can’t be an option. It can’t be. “Running it back” means an everyday infield of Luke Voit, Gleyber Torres, DJ LeMahieu and Gio Urshela. It means trusting Aaron Hicks to play the first full season of his career at age 32, and knowingly going into another year with Gardner eventually getting everyday at-bats. It means more nonsensical and unnecessary drama on who the starting catcher should be and treating each individual Gary Sanchez at-bat like an audition for his job. It means not having enough starting pitching yet again and it means relying on your bullpen to protect a one-run lead nearly every night.

The Yankees aren’t getting to the World Series and losing because they’re short a starter or adding a big bat to the current roster away from getting over “the hump” Boone likes to refer to. They’re not one player away. They’re a-lot-of-the-roster away. No matter what Boone idiotically says about “how the league has closed the gap on the Yankees” or how “the margin is slim” within the AL, there has always been a gap for his Yankees and the margin isn’t slim.

The problem is while it shouldn’t be an option or a thought, “running it back” is most likely what the Yankees will do. There’s only so much that can change on the roster due to contracts and value, and the easiest route to a 26-man roster in 2022 is staying relatively the same as it was in 2021.

The status quo is the easiest and cheapest route for the Yankees to take and for a team that had the same payroll in 2022 as it did 17 years prior despite exponential growth in their revenue streams, theres’ nothing Hal Steinbrenner likes more than his Yankees looking largely similar to what they looked like the year before.

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PodcastsYankeesYankees OffseasonYankees Podcast

Yankees Podcast: Who Should Play Shortstop?

There’s no Yankees baseball because there’s no baseball right now. The lockout is now more than 10 weeks old and there’s no end in sight or optimism that the season will begin on time. But

There’s no Yankees baseball because there’s no baseball right now. The lockout is now more than 10 weeks old and there’s no end in sight or optimism that the season will begin on time. But there’s going to be baseball at some point (I think), and when there is, the Yankees have a lot of work to do to their roster.

Andrew Rotondi of Bronx Pinstripes joined me to talk about the offseason and lockout, what the Yankees’ plan should be once there is baseball again and who should play shortstop in 2022.

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