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Yankees Thoughts: First Place at First Checkpoint

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The Yankees won for the 14th time in their last 18 games, beating the Angels 5-1.

1. Memorial Day is the unofficial first checkpoint to evaluate the baseball season when the season is roughly one-third of the way through. The Yankees are in first place at the first checkpoint. They have a six-game lead in the loss column in the AL East, have scored the most runs in the AL with 301 (2o more than the next team), have allowed the third fewest and have the best run differential at plus-111 (30 runs more than the next team). When the Yankees left spring training, their win total was set at 88.5 (which yours truly jumped all over), and as of now, the Yankees are on pace for 101 wins. (They have to go 56-53 the rest of the way to hit the over on 88.5 wins.)

2. Overall, the Yankees have had a very successful first third of the season, especially when you consider Carlos Carrasco was allowed to start six games; Will Warren didn’t figure out how to pitch until his eighth start; they lost their starting second baseman before the end of April; have used four different third basemen; won’t receive a start this year from their former ace; haven’t received a start yet from last season’s Rookie of the Year; their closer to start the season couldn’t get anyone out for a month and Cody Bellinger didn’t start hitting until the first week of May. Even with all of the injuries and underperformance, the Yankees have the largest division lead in the majors, have a 90 percent chance to reach the postseason, a 76 percent chance to receive bye to the ALDS and the highest odds in the AL to win the World Series at 15 percent.

3. All of that is possible because Max Fried has been the best pitcher in baseball, Carlos Rodon is having his best season as a Yankee; something has finally clicked for Warren; Ryan Yarbrough has been a Swiss Army Knife; the bullpen has been mostly solid led by Luke Weaver; Aaron Judge is again having one of the single-greatest seasons in history; Trent Grisham and Ben Rice hit like two Juan Sotos for a month; Paul Goldschmidt looks like his 2022 NL MVP self; Bellinger has a 1.024 OPS in May and Jasson Dominguez, Anthony Volpe and Austin Wells have come through with timely hits along the way.

4. Even with all of their early-season success, the Yankees have their flaws, they just have less than the rest of the AL other than the Tigers to date. Aaron Boone will always be a flaw, the bullpen is shaky with its lack of overall velocity, the rotation has used up all of its depth and the two-thirds of the lineup is extremely inconsistent. We saw the inconsistencies of the lineup over the weekend in Colorado and on Monday in Anaheim.

So far on this West Coast trip, the Yankees are 3-1, but outside of their Saturday rout of the Rockies, the lineup has done it’s no-idea-what-to-expect-from-one-game-to-another act. The Yankees mustered just two runs in nine innings against Rockies pitching in elevation on Friday in an embarrassing loss, barely held on to win the rubber game against the worst-team-ever Rockies on Sunday and had one big inning against the Angels and close to nothing else on Monday.

5. After avoiding becoming the first team to lose a series to the Rockies this season, the Yankees arrived in Anaheim to play another bad Angels team. Despite the Angels mediocre-at-best play in recent years, the Yankees haven’t had much success against them, going 3-3 against them last year and 2-4 against them the year before. The Yankees tend to play to the level of their competition, which how you get series like this past weekend against the Rockies, and how the Yankees have managed to lose series to the Rays and Orioles and needed a comeback win to win a series against the Pirates earlier this year. When the Yankees play the Angels, they tend to play like the Angels.

6. That held true for the first three innings on Monday. Facing Jack Kochanowicz and his major-league-worst 1.30 strikeout-to-walk ratio, the Yankees made it easy for him early. They went down on 10 pitches in the first, 11 pitches in the second and seven pitches in the third. Kochanowicz went nine up, nine down to start the game, needing only 28 pitches to get through the Yankees once with two strikeouts and no walks. It was beginning to feel like the Yankees maybe enjoyed their first night Southern California after arriving from Denver on Sunday a little too much. But in the fourth, the good version of the Yankees offense showed up.

7. Trailing 1-0 from the Zach Neto leadoff home run off of Yarbrough, Rice, Grisham and Judge hit back-to-back-to-back singles to begin the fourth. Bellinger drew a four-pitch walk to score the tying run and after Dominguez struck out in the least competitive at-bat of his season, Volpe cleared the bases with a three-run double to give the Yankees a 4-1 lead.

“It’s been everyone, up and down the line, the whole season,” Volpe said. “And tomorrow, it’ll be someone else.”

The score remained 4-1 until the Yankees loaded the bases with no outs again in the eighth, but managed to only plate one run on a Wells sacrifice fly. Unable to break the game open, Weaver was used in the ninth with a four-run lead and after making things interesting in a bad way on Sunday in Colorado, he did the same against he Angels before ending the game and securing the win. Based on Weaver’s recent usage, I don’t think he will pitch again until the Dodgers series this weekend.

8. The Yankees finished the game with six hits and three walks. Four of those hits came in the fourth, one in the fifth and one in the eighth. They went down in order in six innings and made the one big inning stand up. They were able to make it stand up because Yarbrough was awesome once again. Yarbrough has now made four starts this season with each one better than the last.

9. Yarbrough was forced to start on May 3 after Clarke Schmidt was a late scratch and held the Rays to one run over four innings. Then eight days later he held the A’s to two runs over five innings. Ten days after that, he limited the Rangers to one run over five innings, matching Jacob deGrom and against the Angels he held them to one run on two hits over six innings.

“I’ve never been the guy to really blow up a radar gun,” Yarbrough said. “I’ve really had to understand how to get guys out.”

Yarbrough has been outstanding. He has pitched in middle relief, long relief, as a spot starter and now as a member of the rotation. He has dealt with five eight days between starts, 10 days and five days.

10. Carlos Rodon gets the ball on Tuesday against the left-handed Tyler Anderson. The Yankees will also see a lefty in Yusei Kikuchi in the series finale. (Kikuchi seemed to always have their number as a Blue Jay.) Goldschmidt and DJ LeMahieu will be back in the lineup with either rice or Grisham and Jorbit Vivas headed to the bench. It will be another late start, and thankfully, there’s only three of those left this season.

Last modified: May 27, 2025