fbpx

Yankees

BlogsYankeesYankees Thoughts

Yankees Thoughts: AL East Race Is Over

The Yankees went to Toronto and won two of three, leaving with another game added to their double-digit AL East lead. Now with an 11-game lead, the Yankees have essentially clinched the division title in mid-June.

The Yankees went to Toronto and won two of three, leaving with another game added to their double-digit AL East lead. Now with an 11-game lead, the Yankees have essentially clinched the division title in mid-June.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. I eliminated the Rays from the AL East race after Thursday night’s game. After this weekend, I’m eliminating the Blue Jays from the division race as well.

The Yankees’ goal for the weekend in Toronto was to win one game of the three. They won two of three. They should have won all three (oh, I’ll be getting to that). With three more games off the schedule and three more head-to-head games off the schedule, the Yankees’ lead over the second-place Blue Jays is 11 games with 96 games remaining.

To put into perspective how big a lead that is, if the Yankees play .500 baseball for their remaining 96 games, they will finish at 97-65. For the Blue Jays to finish with 97 wins, they need to go 59-37 (.615). The Rays need to go 61-35 (.635) to finish with 97 wins and the Red Sox 61-34 (.642). Again, this is all dependent on the Yankees, a team that has played .742 baseball to date, playing .500 baseball for the next three-and-a-half months. It’s not going to happen. Tarp the clubhouse. Get out the goggles and champagne. The Yankees are the 2022 AL East champions.

2. In the series opener on Friday, Jordan Montgomery was very solid once again (6 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 5 K, 1 HR), but he didn’t need to be since the offense scored 12 runs, including four home runs from Giancarlo Stanton, DJ LeMahieu, Joey Gallo with a grand slam from Anthony Rizzo. The Yankees trailed 1-0 before scoring twice in the fourth and breaking it open with eight in the fifth.

On Friday, I wrote that I want Judge to lead off permanently, and he did that night, going 2-for-5 with a walk in the rout. (On Saturday and Sunday, he was back in the 2-hole.) Every Yankees starter had at least one hit except for Kyle Higashioka (no surprise there).

3. On Saturday, the Yankees went up against my No. 1 feared starting pitcher in the league in Alek Manoah. Through the first three innings, all the Yankees mustered was a Rizzo single with four strikeouts. It was looking like yet another lackluster offensive performance against Manoah until the fourth.

Judge grounded out and then Rizzo walked and Torres singled. Gallo struck out and with two on and two outs, Isiah Kiner-Falefa reached on an infield single bringing up Aaron Hicks with the bases loaded.

4. Hicks’ season has been a disaster. He has pretty much been a disaster either through injury or performance since receiving a contact extension in 2019. But this season has been exceptionally bad. He has been healthy, yet having the least productive season of his career. Hicks entered Saturday, the team’s 65th game of the season, with two home runs and one double. One double through 40 percent of the season. On top of that he has failed in every big spot, every bases-loaded situation this season.

But not on Saturday. On Saturday, Hicks got a 3-1 fastball and crushed it down the right-field line, clearing the bases and giving the Yankees a 3-0 lead.

There have been a lot of moments this season that have made me think just maybe this is a magical season in which the Yankees are destined to win the World Series for the first time in 13 years. The outstanding record. The multiple lengthy winning steaks. The performance at home. The walk-off wins. The historical run from the starting pitching. The MVP season Judge is having. The back end of the bullpen. The way each non-Judge member of the offense has seemed to have “their” game whether it’s Rizzo or Torres or Kiner-Falefa or even Jose Trevino and Higashioka, who finally had his on Wednesday night against the Rays. But when Hicks cleared the bases on Saturday, it became official that this season is truly special. If Hicks (of all batters) is going to get a big hit off Manoah (of all pitchers), this season has to be special. It has to end with a championship. If not this season, then when for this group?

5. This group includes the manager, whose illogical, nonsensical in-game management has been masked by the team’s overall success, for which he has contributed very little, if anything at all. On Sunday, the Yankees had a chance to sweep the Blue Jays, leading by five runs entering the bottom of the sixth. But then Boone got his hands on the game, and the Yankees went on to lose by a run.

Luis Severino had been scratched from his Thursday start against the Rays due to illness. He instead started three days later on Sunday in Toronto. He was OK, allowing three earned runs in five innings, but the offense had put up eight, so while Severino wasn’t his dominant self, it was good enough with the Yankees’ offense knocking around Yusei Kikuchi.

The Yankees led 8-3 entering the bottom of the sixth and Boone sent Severino back to the mound, despite coming off an illness, and despite having already thrown 89 pitches. He would be facing the 3-4-5 hitters for the Blue Jays for a third time, so it was extremely unlikely he would be able to get through the inning with 11 or less pitches to keep him under the 100 threshold the Yankees like to keep him at to protect him after his injury-plagued seasons of 2019, 2020 and 2021. I really don’t know if Boone considered any of this when deciding to send him back out for the sixth.

Both Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Alejandro Kirk reached to begin the sixth, and Severino had thrown 13 pitches without recording an out. So then Boone went to the bullpen, bringing in Miguel Castro.

6. When Castro is on, he’s virtually unhittable with a fastball that can reach triple digits and a sweeping slider that breaks like a scuffed-up Wiffle Ball. The problem is he’s rarely “on” and each one of his outings involves him putting at least one baserunner on (usually via walk), lengthy counts and a lot of praying from the fan base.

Castro is best suited to enter games at the beginning of an inning. He then has a batter or two to settle in if his control is immediately an issue and needs tweaking. Calling on him with runners already on decreases his odds for success and makes a small margin of error even smaller.

Castro did get two outs in the sixth before meeting his at-least-one-walk quota per appearance. After that, it was a grand slam to bring the Blue Jays within one run at 8-7.

Following the slam, the left-handed Raimel Tapia came up. Castro didn’t need to face him as he had already faced four batters, meeting the three-batter minimum. The left-handed Wandy Peralta had warmed up and was ready to enter the game, but Boone stuck with the right-handed Castro. Tapia doubled.

7. With the right-handed George Springer due up, it made sense for Boone to then let Castro face Springer or go to another righty in the bullpen. He instead brought in Peralta to face Springer. Boone kept doubling down on his initial bad decision to bring Severino back out for the sixth. It was as if he were dealt a pair of 6s against a 10 and split them and kept getting pairs of 6s and kept splitting them only to get more and more pairs of 6s. Eventually, he would lose all the hands.

With the Yankees’ 8-3 lead now an 8-7 lead and the Blue Jays’ 2-3-4 due up in the bottom of the seventh, Boone sent Peralta back out despite the next seven Blue Jays hitters being right-handed. Four batters into the inning, Peralta had retired one and had allowed a go-ahead, three-run home run. Somehow, after the home run, he was allowed to stay in for another batter. Finally, with two outs in the inning, Boone went to the right-handed Ron Marinaccio, who inexplicably wasn’t used in the sixth inning after Castro or to start the seventh inning instead of Peralta.

I wish I could say I couldn’t believe what I was watching, but I watch it all too often. A situation just like the one on Sunday occurs at least once a week for the Yankees and Boone handles it exactly as he handled it on Sunday.

8. I’m not mad the Yankees lost on Sunday. I’m not mad they lost a game. Even at 49-17, they are going to lose games. I’m mad at the way they lost the game because it could happen in October. It has happened in October under Boone. Go back to Games 3 and 4 of the 2018 ALDS, or Game 2 of the 2019 ALCS, or Game 2 of the 2020 ALDS or the 2021 wild-card game.

It’s easy to manage the Yankees in games like Friday’s where the Yankees won a laugher 12-3. It’s easy to manage them in games like Saturday’s where they got the ideal formula of starting pitcher to Michael King to Clay Holmes. But when decisions need to be made in the middle innings like on Sunday, it becomes a series of implausible choices that usually leaves the Yankees trailing and needing the offense to bail out their manager. Many times, the offense does bail out the manager, especially this season, but that doesn’t make irrational decisions rational. If you drive drunk and make it home safely, it doesn’t mean you made the right decision.

9. I’m petrified of a situation like Sunday arising in the postseason and Boone ruining what should be a championship season (as long as the team stays healthy and the offense doesn’t perform it’s annual October disappearing act). The biggest threat to the Yankees reaching the World Series isn’t the Blue Jays, Rays or Astros, it’s Boone.

The offense isn’t likely to create even a single laugher in October given the expected opponents/starting pitchers (I doubt they will see Ross Stripling or Kikuchi), and it’s rare the ideal formula of starter to King to Holmes will happen frequently. Boone needs to be better. He has to be better. Unfortunately, we are now in Year 5 of him proving he may never get better.

10. The Yankees began this difficult 13-game stretch against the Rays, Blue Jays, Rays again and Astros last Tuesday. So far they are 5-1 with three at the Trop and four at home against the Astros left. They are on a 120-win pace through 41 percent of the season and are winning games in every way imaginable.

The Yankees are going to the playoffs. They are going as AL East champions. Everything between now and Game 162 is to prepare for the playoffs, and that includes staying healthy, adding to and upgrading the roster by August 2 and managing in a way that isn’t a precursor to the type of in-game moves that could ruin a season in October, and have in the past.

October is a long way away. Three-and-a-half months away. Everything between now and then should be done with ALDS Game 1 in mind. This isn’t just the best team and the best season this group of Yankees has had. This is one of the best teams and seasons the Yankees have ever had as an organization. It can’t be wasted.


Subscribe to the Keefe To The City Podcast.


My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

Read More

PodcastsYankeesYankees Podcast

Yankees Podcast: Not Upset They Lost, Upset with Way They Lost

I’m not mad the Yankees lost a game. I’m mad with the way they lost since it’s possibly another precursor to October.

The Yankees needed to go to Toronto and win one game. They won two and won the three-game series, but they could have won all three, blowing a five-run lead in the series finale. I’m not mad the Yankees lost a game. I’m mad with the way they lost since it’s possibly another precursor to what Yankees fans could see in October.


Subscribe to the Keefe To The City Podcast.


My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

Read More

BlogsYankeesYankees Thoughts

Yankees Thoughts: A Relaxing, Enjoyable Summer Awaits

It’s going to be a fun, relaxing, enjoyable summer as the Yankees are running away with the AL East.

The Yankees swept the Rays and their current winning streak is now at seven. They have won 14 of their last 15 games and have a 14-game home winning streak as well. It’s going to be a fun, relaxing, enjoyable summer as the Yankees are running away with the AL East.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. There might as well be some sort of symbol in the standings denoting the Rays have been eliminated from the division race. At 12 games out, like the Red Sox (who were never actually a threat) and Orioles (who never had a chance), the Rays are done in terms of winning the AL East.

The Yankees swept the Rays despite only scoring eight runs on 12 hits in the three games. They beat the Rays at their own brand of baseball, which uses elite pitching and timely hitting to scratch out wins. The Rays no longer own the Yankees. They can’t. Not since the Yankees went and created an enhanced version of the Rays.

2. On Tuesday, the Yankees won 2-0, scoring one run on an Isiah Kiner-Falefa single and the second run on a throwing error on that single. The inning in which those two runs happened was extended and made possible by an error.

On Wednesday, the Yankees had just three hits. One of them was an Aaron Judge solo home run and the other was a three-run home run from Kyle Higashioka.

On Thursday, the Yankees had only four hits. One was Anthony Rizzo’s single to tie the game and another was Rizzo’s walk-off home run in the bottom of the ninth.

In recent years (the Aaron Boone era), the Yankees would have maybe won one of those games, and quite possibly would have been on the other end of the sweep. But now they have the starting pitching and bullpen to match the Rays that they don’t need to rely on their offense.

3. The Yankees are 47-16 and 31 games over .500 because of their starting pitching, the back end of their bullpen and Aaron Judge. What has made this team and this season special to date has been the ability of the other lineup members to have a big moment or a big game when Judge doesn’t.

“I think this team can do a lot of great things,” Nestor Cortes said after his latest great start on Wednesdat (5.1 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 3 BB, 4 K). “The way we carry ourselves in here translates out there. Night in and night out, there’s always a different guy stepping up to the occasion.”

On Tuesday, it was Kiner-Falefa. On Wednesday, it was Higashioka. On Thursday, it was Rizzo. Jose Trevino has had his games. DJ LeMahieu and Giancarlo Stanton have had theirs. Josh Donaldson and Gleyber Torres have been wildly inconsistent and they have still had their moments. The only two Yankees fans are really waiting on are Aaron Hicks and Joey Gallo, and even they both his hit important game-tying home run with in the last two weeks. (That’s not to say the Yankees don’t need to upgrade their roster. They do.)

Even when things don’t go their way, like Luis Severino being scratched from his Thursday start due to illness, Clarke Schmidt steps in and gives the Yankees three scoreless innings. And they call up journeyman Ryan Weber, whose major-league career has been atrocious, and he gives them 3 2/3 innings of one-run ball. If this isn’t a special, magical season that ends with a championship, something will have gone terribly wrong along the way.

4. “It feels like Judge and [Giancarlo] Stanton are always just hitting them over the fence,” Higashioka said after his big home run on Wednesday (that I was in attendance for and told my wife he wouldn’t even put the ball in play prior to the home run). “But there’s some days where other people are going to have to step up. We have the kind of team where guys can do that.”

The pitching has remained the one constant through the first 39 percent of the season, but the timely hitting of the offense has played an important role. The Yankees don’t need to score five or six or seven runs to win games. It would make things easier if they did, but the Yankees’ magic number is 3. Score three runs and they will win, as they are 39-4 (.907 winning percentage) when they score at least three runs. Score three runs and it’s goodnight, game over.

5. I get on Boone for just about everything. Everything he does is bothersome because he’s not good at his job and undeserving of it. Unfortunately, I’m stuck with him as this is Year 1 of his new three-year deal, which also carries an option for a fourth year. Barring some disastrous collapse this season or next season, Boone is here to stay for a while. And I’m fine with him staying as long as it means a disastrous collapse doesn’t happen.

I want to like Boone. I want to not have to worry that come October, he’s not going to go to Ron Marinaccio in the seventh inning of a one-run game only to have him put two runners on and then go to Michael King, who could have just started the inning. I don’t want to have to worry about that. But I do. I also have to worry that he’ll bat Aaron Hicks leadoff in the postseason or start Higashioka over Trevino. I have to worry about these things because we have four seasons of decisions of his prior to 2022 that suggest come October he’s not suddenly going to understand basic logic. In an ideal world, every Yankees game would consist of the starting pitching going seven innings and then turning the ball over to King and then Clay Holmes, completely taking Boone out of the equation. Unfortunately, we don’t live in that world.

6. Despite my dislike for Boone (the manager), I do like his postgame comments of late. He’s not celebrating minor victories or wins like he has in seasons past. He’s not getting ahead of himself by thinking that just because he wears the interlocking NY on his hat and jersey that he’s magically going to experience success.

“It’s an awesome number; an awesome record at this point,” Boone said this week. “But I also think we’re all very aware that we’ve got a long way to go. We’ve got 100 of these left. This is just a drop in the bucket — it’s a good deposit.”

Every win is just a “drop in the bucket” until the Yankees have won their 11th game in the postseason. And they better only need 11 wins. They better win the division and receive a bye to the ALDS. Losing the division at this point would be horrific. Not finishing with the best record in the American League (of which they have an eight-game lead) would also be unacceptable. Not finishing with the best record in the majors (of which they have a six-game lead) would also be really, really bad.

7. The Yankees still need roster upgrades for the postseason. Their current record doesn’t change that. Because the Royals, Orioles, Cubs, Tigers and Angels won’t be an opponent in October. Every game the Yankees play in the AL postseason will likely come against either the Rays or Blue Jays or Astros, and at-bats and outs can’t be given away like they are now with the bottom of the Yankees order (mainly from two of their outfielders).

You can live with Kiner-Falefa in the 8- or 9-hole in October. He can’t be batting seventh (like he has been of late) come the playoffs. Not when he will either bat just ahead or behind whichever starting catcher Boone lets start that day. (If the Yankees are facing a lefty, you can bet the farm it will be Higashioka.) Either Hicks and/or Gallo will come around or they can’t be a part of the August, September and October plans.

Hicks and Gallo were both going to be given seemingly endless opportunities to figure it out not matter how the Yankees had performed until now, but given the Yankees’ success, record and lead, they are going to continue to play to see if they can turn it around. Each time it seems like it might be the game where they get going, it isn’t.

8. The same can be said for Donaldson. Because of his career success, and because the Yankees took on the entire $48 million owed to him between 2022 and 2023, he’s not going anywhere. But he desperately needs to get going. Donaldson has less (5) home runs than Matt Carpenter (6), who plays about once a week. He’s hitting an abysmal .232/.330/.387 given his name, reputation, past performance and salary. I don’t think anyone would have signed up for a .717 OPS from Donaldson through mid-June.

Like Hicks and Gallo, the Yankees’ historic start has allowed his underachieving to be passed over and rarely discussed. That’s what I’m here for.

Donaldson was one of the most feared hitters in the league against the Yankees for me before joining the Yankees. Now he’s a free-swinging, antsy hitter who seems to either strike out on three pitches or ground out to third. He’s become Kiner-Falefa when prior to the Yankees I knew his plate appearance would result in him hitting the ball hard, and I just hoped he hit it at a fielder.

9. I would move Judge to the leadoff spot for good. I want him getting the most at-bats possible, even if the difference between batting first or second over the course of a season is a minimal difference, it’s still a difference.

Give me this lineup 1 through 5:

Aaron Judge
Anthony Rizzo
Giancarlo Stanton
Josh Donaldson
DJ LeMahieu

10. The Yankees’ goal this weekend is to win one game in Toronto. Win one game, and you leave Toronto still up nine games on the Blue Jays with three head-to-head games taken off the schedule, leaving just seven between the two teams for the rest of the season.

The Blue Jays are barely hanging on to their division-winning dreams and a bad weekend against the best team in baseball will eliminate them as well. If the Yankees go to Toronto and take two of three or sweep the Blue Jays, well, you can put that same symbol used to denote the Rays’ elimination next to the Blue Jays in the standings.


Subscribe to the Keefe To The City Podcast.


My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

Read More

PodcastsYankeesYankees Podcast

Yankees Podcast: Rays No Longer an Issue

The Yankees beat the Rays 2-1 on a walk-off home run from Anthony Rizzo, completing the sweep of their division rival.

The Yankees beat the Rays 2-1 on a walk-off home run from Anthony Rizzo, completing the sweep of their division rival. The Yankees won all three games in the series despite only scoring eight runs on 12 hits, thanks to their league-best pitching staff. At 12 games back in the division, you can cross the Rays off as a threat to the Yankees.


Subscribe to the Keefe To The City Podcast.


My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

Read More

PodcastsYankeesYankees Podcast

Yankees Podcast: 30 Games Over .500

The Yankees won their sixth straight game on Wednesday, beating the Rays 4-3 at the Stadium. Nestor Cortes was once again superb, Aaron Judge hit his 25th home run and Kyle Higashioka hit a three-run

The Yankees won their sixth straight game on Wednesday, beating the Rays 4-3 at the Stadium. Nestor Cortes was once again superb, Aaron Judge hit his 25th home run and Kyle Higashioka hit a three-run home run. The Yankees have now won 13 straight home games and 13 of their last 14 games overall.


Subscribe to the Keefe To The City Podcast.


My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

Read More