There’s less than two weeks and only 10 games left in the regular season. Between now and then, the Yankees have to decide what their postseason rotation will be in order to line it up to end the season.

The first edition of the Yankees’ Postseason Rotation Power Rankings was on July 23. The second edition was on September 3. Barring an injury (knock on all the wood), this will be the last edition of the power rankings. Here’s my final decision on the postseason rotation.

Game 1: Number 40, Luis Severino, Number 40
I love everything about Luis Severino. I love his demeanor and pace, his velocity and control, his command and attack of the strike zone. He throws a pitch the ball, gets the ball back and is immediately ready to throw the next pitch. He doesn’t waste time and puts each batter on defense for the entire at-bat. He’s a refreshing presence on the mound, and as close to a guaranteed win as you can get every five days for the Yankees.

I saw all I needed to see from Severino on Tuesday night in his season debut (4 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 4 K) to give him the ball in Game 1 of the postseason. Everything was working for him over four shutout innings and it was the exact kind of start the Yankees are looking for from each of their starters in the postseason: two times through the order or 12 outs, whichever comes first.

It doesn’t matter to me that Severino was facing an inferior opponent with a losing record, and one he won’t see in October. It was his first time on a major league mound since Game 3 of the ALDS and he looked like he hadn’t missed the first five-plus months of the season. Pitching under a limit of about 75-or-so pitches, that limited will be extended the next time Severino pitches (likely on Sunday against the Blue Jays) and extended again in his final regular-season start (Game 162 against in Texas). That would line him up on to pitch Game 1 of the ALDS on Friday, Oct. 4 on normal rest.

Like David Cone said on YES during Tuesday’s game, the Yankees don’t need to have Severino stretched out for something crazy like 120 pitches. They only need him to get 12 outs or throw however many pitches it takes to go through the order twice. He was able to do that on 67 pitches against the Angels, and 12 of them came in the first at-bat of the game.

Most likely, the Yankees are thinking the way I am given the way the schedule and calendar plays out and why Severino was brought back to start on Tuesday night. Back on July 23, in the first edition of these rankings, I wrote: It would be a lot easier if Luis Severino would return this season and return as his 2019 first-half self. My wish was granted. Severino in Game 1.

Game 2: Number 65, James Paxton, Number 65
After the first edition of these rankings, James Paxton went out and got rocked by the Red Sox (4 IP, 9 H, 7 R, 7 ER, 0 BB, 9 K, 4 HR) and his ERA rose to 4.72 on the season. But since getting embarrassed in Boston, Paxton hasn’t lost, winning nine straight for an undefeated August and September after the Yankees lost all five of his July starts.

Over this nine-game winning streak, opposing hitters are batting .170/.251/.282 against Paxton as he’s beaten the Red Sox twice, Indians and Dodgers along with the pesky offenses of the Rangers and Blue Jays. He’s looked like the pitcher I thought the Yankees traded for and not the pitcher who gave them four-plus months of mediocrity to begin the season.

In the first edition of the rankings, after he struggled through the first four months of the season, I wrote: He has two months to change my mind, and he has a lot to do in those two months to change it. Well, he’s changed it.

Earlier this season, YES showed an interview of Paxton talking about how he wants to be a Yankee and wants to pitch where he’s expected to win. He will have his chance to meet those expectations in Game 2.

Game 3: Number 19, Masahiro Tanaka, Number 19
Twice I wrote: Masahiro Tanaka could pitch to a 15.10 ERA for the rest of the season and I would still give him the ball in Game 1 of the ALDS. Tanaka has proven his worth in the postseason in three different postseasons now with the worst of his five starts being two earned runs over five innings in a game the Yankees were never going to score in let alone win (2015 AL Wild-Card Game against Dallas Keuchel). But that was before the return of Severino and Paxton pitching to his ability for an extended period of time as a Yankee.

That doesn’t mean Tanaka can’t start Game 1 or that I would be upset if he did. I still trust him explicitly, even if advanced metrics suggest he’s been the same pitcher in the postseason as the regular season, with a little more luck, while his postseason success has been attributed to a small sample size.

Tanaka won’t be scared into melting down on the road and he won’t let the crowd or non-Yankee Stadium mound affect him. He’s proven himself on the road in October with strong starts against the eventual champions in each of the last two seasons. In the hostile postseason environments of Houston (6 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 3 K) and Boston (5 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 4 K, 1 HR), Tanaka delivered, and I trust him in Game 3 to either finish a potential sweep of the series, swing the series in the Yankees’ favor or save the season (like he did in Game 3 of the 2017 ALDS).

Game 4: Number 55, Domingo German, Number 55
The only way I could be upset with the Yankees’ decision on their postseason rotation is if they decide to use Domingo German to follow either CC Sabathia or J.A. Happ. We know what Sabathia and Happ are at this point. We saw it last October when Happ couldn’t get an out in the third inning and Sabathia shouldn’t have been allowed to pitch the third inning. We saw it all season this year with Happ pitching to a 5.07 ERA and Sabathia closely following him with a 4.95 ERA.

Maybe these two are serviceable during the regular season because of the team’s offense and because of the amount of weak opponents not trying to be competitive they face over six months. But in October, against the league’s best with the current baseball flying out of the park, the Yankees can’t be sending either of the soft-tossing lefties to the mound with their only chance of success relying on their control being perfect on a given night.

It makes me sick, actually sick, to think about the Yankees shutting down German as a starter, putting him in the bullpen or having him follow either of those two. He’s earned himself a postseason start and has earned the right to pitch in October, no matter what ridiculous or nonsensical innings limit or preventative measure the Yankees think will work in keeping him healthy long-term.

Give German the ball in Game 4, and if he unravels, then turn to Sabathia or Happ. Not the other way around.

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My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is available!

I have been writing about the Yankees and home-field advantage in the postseason a lot lately because I think it’s that important. It was the difference in the 2017 ALCS and screwed up the team’s chances in 2018. Avoiding a situation in which the Yankees would have to play the first two games of the ALCS in Houston against Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole and four of the seven games of a potential series there is crucial. It has to be avoided, even if that means using pitchers other than Nestor Cortes, Luis Cessa, Cory Gearrin, Tyler Lyons, Ryan Dull and Chance Adams when there is a game to be won.

As I wrote on Wednesday, there’s certainly the chance the Astros could be upset in the ALDS or don’t reach the ALCS, and there’s also the chance the Yankees could upset the Astros in the ALCS despite not having home-field advantage. But the odds of either happening aren’t likely and aren’t in the Yankees’ favor, and the Yankees’ entire organization is based on decisions made to put the odds in their favor.

The Yankees have proven they would like to have home-field advantage, but they’re not going to go out of their way to win it, even if going out of their way only means giving a little less extra and unnecessary rest to the roster. To the Yankees, if it happens and they fall into home-field, great, and if they don’t, oh well. Somehow the organization has come to the conclusion that giving even more rest and days off to their regulars will help them be more successful in October than potentially needing to win at least one game in Houston against Verlander or Cole or Cole again or Zack Greinke. Despite their best efforts to prevent injuries in a season in which they set the all-time record for most players placed on the injured list in a single season, the Yankees still watched J.A. Happ, Edwin Encarnacion and Gary Sanchez all come away from Thursday’s doubleheader injured.

The Yankees have a right-handed heavy lineup and their only available left-handed hitters who will play in the postseason are Didi Gregorius and Brett Gardner, and neither should be hitting above seventh in the postseason lineup. That leaves the strikeout-prone Yankees extremely vulnerable in a series in which they will face the two best power starting pitchers in baseball, who also happen to be right-handed, in Verlander and Cole, and they will face them twice if the series lasts longer than four games. Already without the switch-hitting Aaron Hicks for the rest of the season and not knowing what the next few weeks will hold for the recently-injured Sanchez or the always-injured Giancarlo Stanton, and the fact the Yankees have a much inferior rotation compared to the Astros, the Yankees need every edge they can get in a potential ALCS matchup. They need every advantage they can get in a potential ALCS matchup. They need home-field advantage for a potential ALCS matchup.

The Yankees have a two-game lead over the Astros with two weeks and 14 games left in the season. (They also have a two-game lead over the Dodgers for the best record in baseball and home-field in the World Series). Home-field is theirs right now and it’s set up to be theirs as long as they don’t decide to go full-spring training on the remaining games once the division is clinched. Since the magic number for the division is down to 5, the Yankees have the opportunity to clinch as early as Sunday, which would mean if you have tickets to any of the games in the final two weeks of the season, get ready for a lot of Tyler Wade, Breyvic Valera and the endless Goof Troop of relievers the Yankees will pitch from their 40-man roster. The Yankees were already going to treat the final two weeks of September like the first two weeks of March and that was before Happ, Encarnacion and Sanchez were injured on Thursday, which will certainly scare them into increasing whatever rest they were already prepared to give to their regulars.

The Yankees remaining schedule is: three games at Toronto, three games against the Angels, three games against Toronto, two games at Tampa Bay and three games at Texas. Outside of the two games against the Rays, it’s about as easy as final 14-game schedule gets. The only easier remaining schedule you could come up with is the Astros’. The Astros remaining schedule is: three games at Kansas City, two games against Texas, three games against the Angels, two games at Seattle and four games at the Angels. The Astros won’t play a winning team in their remaining 14 games.

The Yankees have to beat the Astros by at least one game to win home-field, and a tie will go in the Astros’ favor after the Astros won the season series, thanks to a three-game sweep in Houston in April in which the Yankees blew two of the three games in the seventh and eighth inning. (It’s almost as if April games do matter. Who knew?)

I don’t think the Yankees will finish worse than .500 in their remaining games and even that seems low given their remaining opponents. But let’s say the Yankees play between .500 and undefeated baseball through the end of the season, here is what the Astros would have to do to at least tie them to win home-field.

If the Yankees truly want home-field advantage, it’s there for them to win. The Yankees should go into the postseason knowing they did everything possible to put themselves in the best position to win a championship for the first time in a decade and make the path to doing so the easiest as possible. It won’t be easy to win the American League, even if they don’t have to face the Astros to do so, but it will be that much harder if they do, and if they have to win it by winning in Houston.

The Yankees control their own home-field destiny with two weeks to go in the season. It could once again be the difference between winning the pennant or missing out on the World Series for the 10th straight season. The Yankees shouldn’t want to take that chance.

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My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is available!