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Yankees Thoughts: Nestor Cortes Can’t Win

The Yankees lost 9-4 to the Angels. They are now 8-16 in games started by Nestor Cortes and 60-32 in all other games. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

The Yankees lost 9-4 to the Angels. They are now 8-16 in games started by Nestor Cortes and 60-32 in all other games.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. Does any Yankees fan feel confident in the starting rotation? I don’t know how you could. Aaron Boone said after Thursday’s second straight loss to the Angels that he feels confident about the rotation, but he’s the same person who continued to play Anthony Rizzo after Rizzo told him about his fogginess and head injury last summer.

Between Nestor Cortes and Marcus Stroman, 40 percent of the Yankees’ rotation is not worthy of being on the postseason roster. On days Carlos Rodon pitches, you pray the version of Rodon that pitched himself into a $162 million contract shows up, and on days Gerrit Cole pitches, you pray his elbow doesn’t tear and that he can be even a shell of his Cy Young self. And once every five days Luis Gil pitches, and even when he doesn’t have his best stuff (like he didn’t on Wednesday against the Angels and still pitched five scoreless innings), he’s still great. So one day every time through the rotation Yankees fans can feel confident in that day’s starting pitcher.

2. It’s been a long time since any Yankees fan could feel confident with Cortes getting the ball. After losing on Thursday, the Yankees are now 8-16 in games Cortes starts and 60-32 in all other games. Cortes has given the Yankees one quality start over the last seven weeks and has failed to get through five innings in four of his last five starts. Against the Angels, for the fourth time in his last five starts he put at least 10 baserunners on.

“To their credit they fought off a lot of good pitches that I threw tonight,” the delusional Cortes said after giving up six earned runs on nine hits and a walk in 4 2/3 innings.

Over Cortes’ last five starts, he has pitched 23 1/3 innings and put 56 runners on base with a 9.26 ERA and 1.082 OPS. So he has turned every hitter over his last five starts into somewhere between Juan Soto and Aaron Judge.

3. During the All-Star break, Cortes tweeted the following:

“Everyone talks down about the yanks but they wanna be us. It’s a privilege to wear pinstripes. Every year we are in contention. I’m blessed to be able to compete for a playoff spot and always be contenders at the end.

I don’t know who wants to be Cortes with his 9.26 ERA over his last five starts and one quality start since mid-June. But if wearing the pinstripes is such a privilege, you would think Cortes would do more to try to ensure he keeps wearing pinstripes, rather than just talking about how good he was despite his pitching line and the scoreboard suggesting otherwise.

4. It’s not entirely Cortes’ fault that he has trouble giving an honest evaluation of his starts since his manager continues to blow smoke up the left-hander’s ass.

“I actually thought Nestor threw the ball OK,” Boone said after his starter put 10 runners on in 4 2/3 innings and allowed six earned runs. “He wasn’t giving up a ton of hard contact.”

Just hard enough for the Angels to hang six runs on him.

5. After Cortes’ July 11 start against the Rays when he put 10 baserunners on in 4 1/3 innings, Boone said, “He pitched well.”

After Cortes’ July 20 start against the Rays when he put 10 baserunners on in 4 1/3 innings again, Boone said, “I thought the profile of the stuff was there.”

The start after that Cortes put 12 baserunners on in a loss to the Red Sox and the start after that he gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings to the Phillies.

Despite all of that positivity from Boone after each failed outing, here is what Boone said after Thursday’s loss to the Angels about Cortes’ run of poor performances.

“There were a few starts there where it wasn’t great.”

What? You told everyone how well Cortes was pitching and good the profile of his stuff looked. Now it wasn’t great?

“A couple where he didn’t have that extra gear on his heater,” Boone said. “Felt like he got that last time in Philly.”

Cortes gave up three earned runs on 5 1/3 innings in Philadelphia. That’s a 5.09 ERA. That is Cortes having an extra gear on his heater?

6. “Felt like today, you look at the profile was good,” Boone said after Cortes lost to the Angels.

The Angels have the third-worst offense in the American League and scored six runs off Cortes in 4 2/3 innings and Boone thought the “profile” of his pitches was “good.” How can that be? What would a Cortes start look like if the profile of his pitches was bad?

The offense was also a problem over the last two-and-a-half games against the Angels. Over the last 23 innings of the series, the Yankees scored six runs. They didn’t score in the last five innings of the first game of the series, were held to two in the second game and scored three meaningless, garbage-time runs at the end of the third game, while the Angels blasted them for 17 runs in the second and third games.

7. Boone keeps mentioning “guys coming back from injury.” Who is coming back from injury? Clarke Schmidt is a ways away. Anthony Rizzo is swinging a bat. Jon Berti keeps getting hurt while hurt. The only potential difference-maker that could return is Schmidt because he pushes Cortes and Stroman out of the equation, but he’s not close to returning. Boone kept talking about Stanton returning before he returned and how that would seemingly fix everything and Stanton has been the bad version of himself and has fixed nothing as Judge keeps getting intentionally walked.

Boone loves to speak under the assumption that players will return from injury, but that no one will leave the roster to injury. He thinks the roster is what it is and will add pieces, forgetting that he could very well lose pieces. No team is ever at 100 percent, and the Yankees haven’t been at 100 percent late in the season or in the postseason in a long time.

8. With the loss the Yankees are now 9-18 in their last 27 home games, having won one of their last nine home series. That seems impossible for an organization that always puts up gaudy numbers at home and always has one of the best home records in the league, but it is.

The Orioles lost too so no ground was lost by the Yankees in the division. That’s both good and bad. It’s good because no ground was lost. It’s bad because the Orioles’ lack of winning continues to give the Yankees an excuse for a lack of urgency. The manager and players of the Yankees have preached about the great position they remain in since mid-June despite their wildly inconsistent play, even though the only reason they are in that position is because the Orioles have been equally as bad.

9. With the soft, cupcake schedule the Yankees have in August, I expected them to get fat in the win column and possibly even create separation from the Orioles. Through six August games, all at home, against a Blue Jays team that gave up and traded pieces off their major-league roster at the deadline and an Angels team that hasn’t been good since Opening Day, the Yankees are 3-3. It’s unacceptable for a team that has World Series aspirations.

10. An organization that has actually won the World Series within the last 14 years (and appeared in three of those 14) comes to town in the Rangers. The Rangers have been desperately trying to save their season and avoid missing out on the postseason a year after winning it all. It’s a team the Yankees should beat, It’s a series the Yankees should win. But I thought the same thing about the Angels series. This weekend would be a good time for the Yankees to begin to manage and play with urgency. If they know how to.

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Yankees Podcast: Another Clunker from Nestor Cortes

The Yankees lost to the Angels 8-2 on Thursday, dropping a home series to the third-worst team in the American League.

The Yankees lost to the Angels 9-4 on Thursday, dropping a home series to the third-worst team in the American League. Nestor Cortes was awful again as the Yankees fell to 8-16 in his starts (they are 60-32 when anyone else starts) and the offense no-showed until the game was out of hand and over in the late innings.

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Yankees Thoughts: The Leadoff Hitter

The Yankees split Wednesday’s doubleheader with the Angels, winning the first game 5-2 and losing the second game 8-2. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees. 1. I don’t know how you bat a player

The Yankees split Wednesday’s doubleheader with the Angels, winning the first game 5-2 and losing the second game 8-2.

Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. I don’t know how you bat a player with an OPS of .650 or .668 leadoff and consider your team to be a championship contender, but that’s what Aaron Boone did on Wednesday in the doubleheader against the Angels.

Alex Verdugo and his .660 OPS got the leadoff spot for the first game of the day. Facing the Angels’ Davis Daniel and his 34 1/3 career innings, Verdugo did hit a pair of doubles in the Yankees’ 5-2 win, but no matter how much Boone likely thinks it’s a sign of things to come for Verdugo, it isn’t. It was one game in the rain against a pitcher with rookie status. There won’t be a Davis Daniel in October.

Gleyber Torres and his .668 OPS got the leadoff spot for the second game of the day (with Verdugo inexplicably getting the cleanup spot). Torres went 1-for-4 with a sacrifice fly to drop his OPS to .522 over the last two weeks. As expected, Torres did enough after his benching a few weeks ago and leading up to the trade deadline to make the organization believe he was figuring things out. Since the deadline he was benched for a lack of hustle and continues his season-long trend of being a zero at the plate.

2. Neither of these players deserves to lead off for the New York Yankees. The Yankees’ best leadoff options are Juan Soto and Aaron Judge, but it seems as though Boone would rather tell you one of his starting pitchers sucked before he would move them out of their 2- and 3-spots in the order. If Boone isn’t going to use Juan Soto or Aaron Judge as the leadoff hitter then there’s only one option right now … DJ LeMahieu.

3. Ten days ago, if Hal Steinbrenner was willing to eat the roughly $40 million owed to LeMahieu and the Yankees released him, no one would have criticized the move. After four injury-plagued seasons and this miserable season, the idea the 36-year-old LeMahieu would regain his old form and become even an average hitter again seemed like a thought only Boone could believe. But a lot has changed since July 31 in Philadelphia for LeMahieu and all of it good.

Here are the exit velocities of LeMahieu’s batted balls since July 31.

103.7 mph
98.3 mph
100.1 mph
98.4 mph
95.5 mph
94.9 mph
101.5 mph
101.4 mph
96.2 mph
108.4 mph
102.7 mph
69.7 mph

4. LeMahieu is hitting the ball and hitting it hard. The problem is he is rarely playing.

July 31: 2-for-4, double, home run, 6 RBIs
August 1: No game
August 2: Didn’t play
August 3: Defensive replacement with no plate appearances
August 4: 1-for-4, two RBIs (walk-off single)
August 5: No game
August 6: No game
August 7 first game: Defensive replacement with no plate appearances
August 8 second game: 2-for-4, double, RBI

LeMahieu has only played three games (not including his two defensive replacement appearances without a plate appearance) in the last eight days. If Verdugo or Torres had those exit velocities and LeMahieu’s recent production, they would be given contract extensions.

LeMahieu isn’t playing every day because of how bad he was up until recently, which was fair, but now that he is hitting, he deserves to play. Torres certainly isn’t enough to keep LeMahieu out of the lineup.

5. The Yankees need offense. Recent winning way aside, they are struggling to score runs consistently. On Wednesday afternoon, they got out to a 5-0 lead and then sat on it, but thankfully the Angels couldn’t get the big hit late with runners on to close the gap more than they did. On Wednesday night, they scored two runs against weak Angels pitching. On Sunday, they struggled against Yariel Rodriguez and a mediocre-at-best Blue Jays bullpen. The offense is still very top heavy, and the Yankees should be looking to get as many hots bats into the lineup each day as possible (even if they still don’t believe in the theory of being “hot”). LeMahieu is that bat.

6. Maybe these last few games from LeMahieu are serving as the latest Yankees version of the aging family dog that mostly wanders around aimlessly, goes to the bathroom all over the place, lies around and sleeps nearly the entire day, but every once in a while does something they did when they were younger to make you think for a moment that maybe they are coming around. That could be what’s happening with LeMahieu. It happened at the end with Jorge Posada and CC Sabathia and many others.

The Yankees owe it to themselves to find out. Boone was willing to bat LeMahieu recently when LeMahieu was going as badly as anyone in the majors, and yet, he’s not hitting him there now when LeMahieu is finally hitting. It’s possible (and even likely) LeMahieu is no better a solution at the top of the order than Verdugo or Torres have been, but it’s time to find out. LeMahieu was once one of the best in the league in that spot, which is more than Verdugo or Torres can say, and maybe he can be that again over these next two-plus months. Right now, LeMahieu should be playing every day , and he should be leading off when he plays (until Boone comes to realization that moving Soto and Judge up one spot each is the actual play). Let him play himself out of the lineup again.

“It would be huge if we can keep him going like this,” Boone said, “because obviously that role is there, an important one for us.”

What “role” is Boone talking about? Does he mean a utility/role player role where he plays sparingly at first, second and third and is a late-game defensive replacement? Or does he mean a role where he becomes an everyday player and the team’s leadoff hitter? Unfortunately, I think he meant the former.

7. My dream is that by the postseason LeMahieu has been so good that he is either the everyday second baseman or third baseman with Jazz Chisholm being the other and Torres is on the bench. There would be nothing better than Torres ending his Yankees tenure out of the starting lineup as an impending free agent.

The second part of my dream is for Jasson Dominguez to continue mashing Triple-A pitching, getting a call-up either this month (unlikely) or next month (likely) and hitting major-league pitching the way he did for those eight magical games last summer. That would set up Dominguez to be one of the Yankees’ three starting outfielders, forcing Verdugo to the bench and creating this postseason lineup:

DJ LeMahieu
Juan Soto
Aaron Judge
Austin Wells
Giancarlo Stanton
Jazz Chisholm
Anthony Volpe
Jasson Dominguez
Ben Rice

(Now that’s not the lineup I would create, but it’s the best possible lineup Boone is capable of creating with those nine names.)

8. It will take a lot for this dream to come true. LeMahieu will have to stay healthy and be outstanding. Not just good or great, he will need to be something close to his 2019-20 self for the Yankees to bench Torres permanently. Seven years of moronic mistakes, loafing it, a low Baseball IQ, and lack of hustle every day got Torres benched for not even a full game last week. The Yankees have catered to Torres his entire career (moving LeMahieu off second when Torres couldn’t play short, moving Gio Urshela off third when Torres couldn’t play short, making Chisholm play a position he never had to keep Torres at second) and that’s not going to change now with two months to go as a Yankee. He survived every trade deadline and offseason as a Yankee to this point, has been defended to no end by Brian Cashman and Boone, and was even defended and supported after last week’s half-assed benching.

The same goes for Verdugo. For more than a month he was the worst hitter in the majors and he kept on playing every day. No lack of production was enough to sit Verdugo down, and for a large part of that he hit cleanup. He’s having the worst season of his career as a Yankee and as an impending free agent and that didn’t stop him from batting first and fourth on Wednesday. Like LeMahieu, Dominguez is going to have to be otherworldly for Verdugo to not be hitting in the top half of the lineup come October.

9. I don’t expect my dream to come true. I expect Verdugo to bat leadoff against righties in the postseason and Torres to do the same against lefties. The Yankees would rather not field the best team possible than cause friction in relationships with two players they owe nothing to after this season. (Like these two Clay Holmes will be the closer in October because Boone would rather lose a game than sour his relationship with the impending free agent.)

10. I hope I’m wrong. I hope for the Yankees’ 163rd game of the season, the best nine baseball players are on the field and the best possible lineup using those nine players is what is used. But everything I know about the Yankees, how they operate and how they are currently using players leading up to that 163rd game suggests otherwise.

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Yankees Podcast: DJ LeMahieu for Leadoff

Alex Verdugo and his .291 on-base percentage and .660 OPS led off the first game of the doubleheader against the Angels on Wednesday. Gleyber Torres and his .310 on-base percentage and .668 OPS led off

Alex Verdugo and his .291 on-base percentage and .660 OPS led off the first game of the doubleheader against the Angels on Wednesday. Gleyber Torres and his .310 on-base percentage and .668 OPS led off the second game of the doubleheader. If Aaron Boone isn’t going to use Juan Soto or Aaron Judge to lead off then the only other option at the moment is … DJ LeMahieu. 

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Yankees Podcast: What a Difference a Week Makes

The Yankees stopped their free fall and look to have ended their collapse. They haven’t lost a game since acquiring Jazz Chisholm Jr. and are returning home to start the easiest schedule in the majors

The Yankees stopped their free fall and look to have ended their collapse. They haven’t lost a game since acquiring Jazz Chisholm Jr. and are returning home to start the easiest schedule in the majors over the next month. What a difference a week makes.

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