1. No team blows a 2-0 lead like the New York Yankees. They held a 2-0 lead in the seventh inning on Saturday and lost. They held a 2-0 lead in the fifth inning on Sunday and lost. And they held a 2-0 lead again in the seventh inning on Monday and lost. Not only did they have a 2-0 lead in the seventh inning on Monday, but Ryan Weathers had a no-hitter going in the seventh inning and the Yankees still lost and fell to 0-4 on this nightmarish road trip.
The 3-2 loss on Monday dropped the Yankees to 3-9 in one-run games this season. They are the second-worst team in the majors in one-run games, they are 1-8 against teams over .500, they are 0-2 in road extra-inning games and the worst team in baseball in road extra-inning games since the automatic runner was implemented. But yeah, it’s early! It’s just bad luck! It’s a small sample size! It’s a coincidence! It has nothing to do with the manager, roster construction or history repeating itself.
2. The Yankees wasted six scoreless innings from Cam Schlittler on Saturday and 6 1/3 one-hit innings from Weathers on Monday. They have scored eight runs in the four games in Milwaukee and Baltimore and have lost them all.
Here is what I wrote about the Yankees’ offense on Monday:
The Yankees have a three-hitter lineup (Rice, Judge and Bellinger) no matter who you bat or the order you bat them in the other six spots, so just put those three at the top of the lineup, get them the most plate appearances and hope you score every time their turn in the lineup comes up. It’s the only way this offense can produce. And if they aren’t hitting, well, hope for dominant starting pitching because otherwise the team has no chance of winning.
The Yankees got a two-run home run from Rice and a dominant starting pitching effort on Monday and still lost. They lost because the non-Rice, Judge and Bellinger lineup spots are automatic outs. Those three combined to go 3-for-10 with a double, home run and two walks in the series opener against the Orioles. The rest of the lineup went 2-for-21 with a walk and six strikeouts. Those “2” were a Max Schuemann seventh-inning double and a Paul Goldschmidt ninth-inning single. Schuemann only played because Jose Caballero is dealing with a finger issue and Goldschmidt entered the game as a pinch hitter for Spencer Jones. (I love how Boone has removed Jones for a pinch hitter in two of four games so far. It took him three full years to remove Anthony Volpe for a pinch hitter.) So the regular, everyday starters not named Rice, Judge or Bellinger went 0-for-16 with a walk and six strikeouts.
3. Judge led off the sixth with a double when the Yankees were leading 2-0, but was unable to score after Bellinger moved him over to third. He was unable to score because Jazz Chisholm is the single-worst situational hitter in baseball. There’s no one I want up less than Chisholm with a runner on third and less than two outs. There isn’t a count Chisholm isn’t in an 0-2 hole in, and the combination of him always swinging for the fences and flailing at breaking balls away is maddening. I look forward to the day he is no longer a Yankee, even if that day should have been this past offseason.
For as bad as Chisholm is, Austin Wells is worse. It’s the middle of May and Wells has five RBIs. FIVE! He has one double this season. ONE! Wells needs to be 100 percent right with his challenges and throw out every would-be basestealer to negate how horrific he is at the plate.
4. Wells is awful, and yet, he has a higher on-base percentage than Trent Grisham, the $22 million man who is locked into the leadoff spot no matter how bad he is. Across a season or in an individual game, the leadoff hitter will have more plate appearance opportunities than any hitter on the team. So each day, Aaron Boone is willingly having a player with a worse on-base percentage than AUSTIN WELLS potentially get the most plate appearances on the team. So each game, the Yankees start with one out and no one on in the first inning and take away the guarantee of a first-inning plate appearance for Bellinger. Add in all of the automatic outs at the bottom of the lineup and the Yankees are playing each game with roughly 12 outs to work with offensively instead of the allotted 27.
5. The Yankees’ best chance to score is when Rice is set to lead off an inning because it means Rice, Judge and Bellinger will all bat in the same inning. This happened in the eighth inning on Monday with the Yankees trailing by a run. It was their last chance to tie the game or take the lead. The trio couldn’t have had a less competitive inning as Rice struck out swinging on four pitches, Judge flied out on the first pitch and Bellinger struck out swinging on four pitches against Rico Garcia. Where do other teams find relievers like Garcia when the Yankees are running out Camilo Doval? Oh, that’s right. Garcia was a Yankee last year for one game before being designated for assignment. Opposing hitters are 1-for-57 against him this season. I’m glad they don’t have an arm like that in the bullpen.
6. Garcia has been the Orioles’ closer and best reliever, so Craig Albernaz didn’t hesitate to use him against the Yankees’ best three hitters on Monday even though it was the eighth inning. Get through the eighth and worry about the ninth when you get there is how Albernaz managed. It’s a concept that is impossible for Boone to understand. It’s why you saw Doval face the top of the Brewers lineup in the eighth inning on Saturday instead of Bednar. Because Boone would rather manage to the save stat and not the actual situation, the Yankees lost a winnable game. The closer role is beyond dumb. Use your best reliever when the game calls for it. Maybe Bednar would have blown Saturday’s game. At least Boone would have lost the game making the right call. At least he would have put his players in the best possible position to succeed. Let Bednar face the top of the order in the eighth and worry about the ninth when you get there. Maybe the Yankees would have tacked on, or maybe Doval would have been more successful facing the bottom of the order.
7. After watching the same game unfold on Saturday and Sunday, the Yankees blowing a 2-0 lead once they went to the bullpen was inevitable on Monday. The Yankees failed to tack on, failed to do anything offensively the entire night except for one Rice swing and it was only a matter of time until the Orioles broke through. The breakthrough came on the very first batter the bullpen faced as Brent Headrick allowed a go-ahead, three-run home run to Coby Mayo, who has been so bad this season that he would be the worst hitter on the Yankees. He entered the game with a .495 OPS. To put into perspective how bad that is, J.C. Escarra has the lowest OPS on the Yankees at .567. Even with the three-run home run, Mayo’s OPS is still only .541. So he would still be the worst hitter on the Yankees by 26 points. And yet, he was the difference in the game on Monday.
8. It’s hard to be upset with Headrick for giving up the bomb since he has been overused and overworked. He leads the majors with 22 appearances. It shouldn’t come as a surprise that the most-used reliever in baseball in the first seven weeks of the season has allowed late-game home runs in his two most recent appearances. Headrick is tired and fatigued and when you’re tired and fatigued, the next steps are underperformance and then injury. We’re at the underperformance portion of Headrick’s season.
9. Boone has no idea how to manage a bullpen in Year 9 on the job as we saw on Saturday, but at some point he needs new options. Headrick, Tim Hill, Fernando Cruz and David Bednar are pitching all the time because Doval sucks, Jake Bird isn’t trusted, Paul Blackburn is the supposed long man and Ryan Yarbrough is like a fan who won a sweepstakes and a year-long experience to be a Yankee and just never appear in a game. The ‘Run It Back’ offense was an ill-advised strategy and remains so, but the ‘Run It Back’ bullpen is problematic. The Yankees’ offense isn’t good enough collectively to score consistently against anything other than No. 4 and No. 5 starters and the bullpen isn’t good enough to hold anything less than a three-run lead. They have the best rotation in baseball and they are going to piss it away with Grisham leading off, Chisholm batting fifth, a catching tandem of Wells and Escarra and a bullpen that lacks triple-digit velocity in an era in which every team other than the Yankees seems to have multiple triple-digit velocity options in the bullpen.
10. After a career year in 2025, Trevor Rogers is back to being a mediocre starter this season. But Rogers throws with his left hand, and if you do that, the talent and ability level barely matters when you face the Yankees, given the lack of right-handed quality bats they can run out there. Rogers will go on Tuesday for the Orioles against Will Warren, who is coming off his worst start of the season, and who is clearly going to be the odd man out of the rotation once Gerrit Cole returns with how good Weathers has looked. Warren needs a big performance on Tuesday to pull himself closer to Weathers in the battle to be the fifth starter. But even if Warren has a big performance, will the offense score more than three runs and will the bullpen be able to hold a late lead? So far on this road trip they have proved they won’t.