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Author: Neil Keefe

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Yankees Thoughts: Well-Timed Postponements

The Yankees went 1-1 against the Red Sox over the weekend. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. In the last two weeks, the Yankees have gotten two games postponed, one to late August and one to late September. The first postponement came against the Rays when they were hotter than hot. The next day, the Yankees beat them and the Rays are 3-10 since with the Yankees having cut a seven-game deficit in the loss column down to one. The second postponement came against the Red Sox with the Red Sox having the pitching advantage with Ranger Suarez against Will Warren, and the Yankees without Aaron Judge. Instead, the Yankees were able to start Cam Schlittler against Suarez, won the game and prevented a game without Judge from being played. In the moment, these postponements sucked because postponements suck. In the big picture, these two postponements were blessings.

2. Before Max Fried got hurt, it looked like Ryan Weathers had saved his rotation spot in the battle to be the fifth starter over Will Warren with Carlos Rodon returning. Then Fried went on the injured list and the battle ended with the Yankees needing both Weathers and Warren in the rotation. There’s still a chance the Yankees need both when Fried returns because someone else could get hurt or they could go to a six-man rotation, but if not, it seems like Weathers could be the one to lose his spot. Friday was Weathers’ third time allowing five earned runs in his last four starts. He gave up two home runs to the Red Sox in Friday’s 5-3 loss.

3. Brian Cashman has been trying to find a young, controllable starter through trade since he became general manager nearly three decades ago and Weathers is his latest attempt to conquer that goal. There’s a chance Weathers will work out and be what so many (Jeff Weaver, Javier Vazquez, Michael Pineda, Nathan Eovaldi, Sonny Gray, Jameson Taillon, etc.) weren’t, but so far he’s looked an awful lot like all of the other names that have failed to be consistent performers in the role.

4. Here is what I wrote before the weekend series:

The new expected ceiling of runs for the foreseeable future is four. Anything more than that will be a surprise and anything less than that should be expected. But as I wrote last week, the Yankees are dominant when they score four runs … the Yankees are 32-9 when they score four runs. That’s all they need to do: score four runs and have a 78 percent chance of winning.

The Yankees scored three runs on Friday and lost. Then they scored six runs on Sunday and won. Five of the six runs on Sunday came in an eighth-inning explosion against the Red Sox’ bullpen that included two home runs from Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm. A loss on Sunday would have been crushing because it would have meant wasting another Cam Schlittler performance (5.1 IP, 1 ER) and with the offense and the injured list what they are, the Yankees can’t afford to waste Schlittler starts.

5. The Yankees can’t afford to give away outs either and they are willingly doing so every time the lineup is posted and Anthony Volpe’s name is in it. On Sunday, Volpe’s weak arm led to the Red Sox’ first run when Volpe was unable to throw the ball home despite having ample time to get the runner on a bad send. It’s a play every major-league shortstop should make, and it’s a play that likely every major-league shortstop other than Volpe does make. While Volpe was letting the Red Sox tie the game at 1 , the Yankees best shortstop was standing in right field watching it unfold.

6. Volpe left the bases loaded in his second at-bat on Sunday and left the go-ahead run in scoring position in his third at-bat. He finished the weekend 1-for-7 with a walk. His OPS is down to .644 on the season. He was undeservingly recalled nearly a month ago and has done nothing to be worthy of remaining in the majors. He can’t hit, he can’t field and he can’t throw. His “hot” start has turned into a mirage just like it did last year and the year before that and the year before that. Without Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton (and even Jasson Dominguez), the Yankees need to optimize on the margins as much as possible. They need to squeeze every last percentage point out of their win probability added on offense and defense and playing Volpe at shortstop hurts both. At this point, if you like Volpe, you don’t like the Yankees.

7. J.C. Escarra got sent down before the weekend only to be recalled because Austin Wells went on the injured list with cervical headaches. I’m guessing Wells’ recent change in catcher’s mask is related to the headaches. But if Wells has been experiencing headaches severe enough to send him to the IL, why has he continued to play? Either he didn’t say anything, which hurt him and the team, or he did say something, and the team continued to play him. I think it’s the latter. Given the way past injuries have been handled by the Yankees, it’s likely Wells said something and it was disregarded. When he went to the equipment team and asked to use the hockey goalie mask instead of the traditional catcher’s mask he has always used, didn’t they question the change? Didn’t they want to know why?

8. The headaches aren’t an excuse for Wells, but they will be used as one. He has been catching full games without issue, and he has looked as bad at the plate as he has dating back to last season. So underperformance isn’t anything new for Wells. He has one more hit, as many home runs and seven fewer RBIs than Stanton this season and Stanton hasn’t played since April 24.

9. A six-game road trip to Cleveland and Toronto will be tough. I would sign up for 3-3 right now given the Yankees’ offense and knowing that Boone is going to force idiotic decisions like Volpe at shortstop and batting sixth or seventh in at least half the games on this trip. This is how the probables will likely play out:

Monday: Will Warren vs. Gavin Williams
Tuesday: Gerrit Cole vs. Slade Cecconi
Wednesday: Carlos Rodon vs. Parker Messick
Thursday: OFF
Friday: Ryan Weathers vs. Braydon Fisher/Spencer Miles
Saturday: Cam Schlittler vs. Kevin Gausman
Sunday: Will Warren vs. Patrick Corbin

The Yankees are getting a gift by avoiding Trey Yesavage.

10. The Yankees will open the road trip against Williams, who they hit pretty well last week in the Bronx with three runs in 5 1/3 innings off him. (It didn’t matter because Cole was throwing batting practice.) Warren has only made one career start against the Guardians (last April), so that should play into the Yankees’ favor at least the first time through the order. I expect Warren to pitch well, but I have no expectations for the offense and won’t until Judge returns (and even then I have tempered expectations with the ‘Run It Back’ offense). But the offensive goal remains the same: Score four runs and (likely) win.

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Yankees Thoughts: ‘Expected to Return’

The Yankees beat the Guardians 2-1, but got bad news on Aaron Judge. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. The Yankees beat a team with a winning record! Their 2-1 win over the Guardians on Thursday marked their fourth win of the season against teams better than .500 (though that stat is somewhat misleading since they lost a series to the Athletics in April when the A’s were over .500). The Yankees are the only team in the majors with fewer than eight wins against winning teams.

2. It wasn’t easy. The Yankees produced only five hits (one for extra bases) and two walks in the game. Slade Cecconi started for the Guardians with the third-worst ERA in the American League, and despite Michael Kay and Paul O’Neill spending multiple innings talking about how bad Cecconi has been and how he can’t strike anyone out, Cecconi threw six innings of one-run ball with four strikeouts. Unfortunately, that’s going to be life for the Yankees’ offense without Aaron Judge.

3. Judge is likely to be out for more than two months with a stress fracture in his ribs that the Yankees needed multiple days to diagnose. That’s not anything new for the Yankees when it comes to diagnosing an injury for Judge. Judge punctured a lung in September 2019 and it wasn’t diagnosed properly until spring training in 2020. The Yankees’ offense has gone as Judge has gone for the last decade and now it’s hard to see it going anywhere often without him.

4. The idea Judge is “expected to return this season” inspires very little confidence. The Yankees are batting close to 1.000 in being wrong on injury diagnoses and injury timelines during the Aaron Boone era. It’s why Boone freaked out on reporters asking him about what the latest specialist Judge is expected to see specializes in. It was a bad look for Boone made worse when he had to check with the team’s public relations head, only for the public relations head to say he didn’t know and would have to look into it. Not knowing what the specialist specializes in who your best player — whom you still owe more than $200 million — is going to visit isn’t a big deal. Nothing to see here. Maybe they can start ramping Judge up in a couple of months without re-imaging him like they did Luis Severino in 2019, only to eventually say in hindsight they should have re-imaged Severino before starting his throwing program.

5. The last time Judge missed an extended period of time was during 2023. Judge got hurt at Dodger Stadium on June 3, wasn’t in the lineup the next day and didn’t play again until July 28. The Yankees went 19-23 in his absence. He went on the injured list on pace to challenge his record-setting home run total from the year before. When he came back, his OPS dropped by 113 points and the Yankees went 27-30 and missed the playoffs.

6. These Yankees aren’t going to miss the playoffs, but they may not win the division without Judge for so long. The Yankees’ roster is built under the assumption that Judge won’t just be a superstar, but an otherworldly, once-in-a-generation player. When he’s anything other than the best hitter on the planet, the Yankees are just another team. It’s not a coincidence the Yankees are 11-12 since May 6 and that during that time Judge has a .677 OPS. He’s the single-most important player on the roster.

7. The Yankees as a whole are better equipped to handle life without Judge than they were in the past. They have the best rotation even without Max Fried. That alone is enough to prevent lengthy losing streaks and keep them in nearly every game. But the way they will have to win now will look a lot like it did on Thursday when they eked out two runs and needed a strong starting effort and a shutdown relief effort. The new expected ceiling of runs for the foreseeable future is four. Anything more than that will be a surprise and anything less than that should be expected. But as I wrote last week, the Yankees are dominant when they score four runs. It didn’t show against Cleveland because Cam Schlittler had the worst start of his career and Gerrit Cole was serving up batting practice, but the Yankees are 32-9 when they score four runs. That’s all they need to do: score four runs and have a 78 percent chance of winning.

8. If you thought the Yankees’ lineup was inconsistent and frustratingly bad before, well, you’re about to see a whole other level of it. The lineup went from three hitters to now two (Ben Rice and Cody Bellinger). There’s possibly a third in Paul Goldschmidt until the clock strikes midnight on his turn-back-the-clock production. Efforts like the one Cecconi had on Thursday are going become the norm. A lineup made up of two-thirds of batters who would do anything to have and maintain league-average metrics is going to be less fun to watch than it has been. The Yankees desperately need Giancarlo Stanton and Jasson Dominguez to return and they needed them back yesterday.

9. Ryan Weathers will get his first taste of the Yankees-Red Sox rivalry on Friday night. Weathers has only faced three current Red Sox before, and they have all homered off of him. Weathers has allowed five earned runs in two of his last three starts, and that’s not going to cut it ever, let alone without Judge. Weathers needs to be the pitcher who’s capable of dominating like he did two weeks ago against the Rays or something close to that.

10. Former Yankee Sonny Gray goes for the Red Sox. Gray deserves to be booed endlessly. Not for his performance with the Yankees necessarily (which was good in 2017 before being putrid in 2018), but because of how he would assess his horrible performances with the team, always citing “good stuff” no matter how atrocious he was, and for the way he talked about his time with the Yankees this past winter, saying he never wanted to be traded there in 2017, even though he wrote a piece in The Players’ Tribune following the trade stating the opposite. I’m expecting Gray to pitch extremely well on Friday because that’s what ex-Yankees do against their former team. Weathers needs to be just as good, if not better, for the depleted offense.

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Yankees Thoughts: Losses On and Off the Field

The Yankees lost Aaron Judge to an injury and then lost to the Guardians 9-4. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. Aaron Judge sat out with a bone bruise, Cam Schlittler had his worst start in the majors and the Yankees lost again to a team above .500. The Yankees have had some bad losses this season (mostly due to the bullpen), and while Tuesday’s loss wasn’t necessarily a “bad loss,” it was just a bad day.

2. The bad day started when the lineup was posted and Judge’s name wasn’t in it for the first time in 2026. A day off? Odd, considering the Yankees had Monday off. No, it wasn’t just a day off. Apparently, Judge has been dealing with discomfort for some time and it reached the point where he couldn’t play. At least we know why he has a .649 OPS since May 7. The injury seems to be a bone bruise in Judge’s rib cage that he’s feeling in his right shoulder? The last time Judge had a weird injury like this, it was an undiagnosed punctured lung that would have kept him out for the start of the 2020 season, if that season had started on time. I have zero faith that the Yankees will properly diagnose and treat Judge’s injury. The Yankees’ mismanagement of injuries during the Aaron Boone era has been a disgrace, dating back to 2018. Look no further than the Yankees telling us Giancarlo Stanton would avoid an injured list stint the day after hurting his calf in Houston on April 24. It’s June 3 and he hasn’t played since.

3. The bad day continued with Schlittler allowing five earned runs for the first time in 29 major-league starts (postseason included). He allowed his third home run of the season and couldn’t make it through five innings for the first time since last September. Oh well. If anyone deserves a pass for a bad game, it’s Schlittler.

4. The offense wasn’t very good, but that’s no surprise. The 13-run outburst on Sunday made everyone forget or not notice that the team sent the minimum amount of hitters to the plate in the other eight innings. On Tuesday, Paul Goldschmidt — batting second — drove in all four Yankees runs. Goldschmidt went 3-for-5 with a double and a home run. The rest of the lineup went 5-for-31 with no extra-base hits. The Yankees’ offense goes as Judge goes. That has been the case for a long time, and without Judge in the lineup, the offense went nowhere other than to another loss to a team with a winning record. Luckily, for the Yankees, there are only four other teams in the American League with winning records.

5. It does look like the Yankees will eventually get some internal bullpen help to begin to fix the weakest part of the team. Carlos Lagrange will being working out of the bullpen in Triple-A with the plan to join the Yankees’ bullpen and bolster a relief staff that has minimal trustworthy options and several DFA candidates.

6. The “hot” start Anthony Volpe had that allowed him to stay in the majors upon Jose Caballero’s return appears to be the fourth straight mirage to begin the season for him. Volpe went 0-for-4 on Tuesday and his OPS is down to .719. Soon enough he will be back to the mid-600s where he has always been.

7. Austin Wells would give up half of his salary to be in the mid-600s. Yet another 0-for-4 on Tuesday from Wells has his slash line down to .173/.288/.266. He remains at one double (hit on April 7) and seven RBIs (he has two since the end of April) on the season.

8. Jazz Chisholm went on the Tonight Show on Monday and said the Yankees were going to win the World Series. He said the same thing in 2024 and 2025 and then did everything he could in the playoffs to not help them win the World Series. The Guardians’ broadcast team wondering out loud how someone hitting .239 could get on the Tonight Show was pretty funny. I wish I had thought of that.

9. The answer to the Yankees’ shortstop problem may be getting closer to the majors. After going 7-for-55 (.127) with no extra-base hits in his first 15 Triple-A games, George Lombard Jr. is 20-for-55 (.364) with seven extra-base hits in his last 14 games. He’s starting to figure out the top minor-league level and once he does that, the Yankees may have the shortstop of the future they thought they were getting at the start of 2023.

10. Gerrit Cole will make his third start of the season on Wednesday. If he’s as good as he was in his first two, the Yankees will get back in the win column and pick up a win against a team with a winning record. The Guardians will send their best starter to the mound in Gavin Williams, who leads the league in wins (8) and innings pitched (76.1). The Yankees can’t afford to lose both Schlittler and Cole starts in a series.

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Yankees Thoughts: Series Win in Sacramento

The Yankees won two of three against the Athletics to finish their road trip 5-1. Here are 10 thoughts on the Yankees.

1. Thankfully, the Yankees won’t visit the West Coast again until the end of August. Not because the teams the Yankees have played on the West Coast this season are any good (the Yankees are 7-2 in the Pacific Time Zone this year), but because 9:40 p.m. and 10:05 p.m. start times aren’t as fun as they were before I had kids.

If you stayed up for the game on Friday night, you got to watch a rather easy 8-2 win. I wrote this about Friday’s game before it:

There will be an opportunity for the Yankees to break the game open on Friday against Severino, and when it does come, they better break it open to negate the unpredictable Rodon.

That opportunity came in the first inning and the Yankees capitalized with a four-run outburst. Carlos Rodon did give one run right back in the bottom of the first, but the Yankees added a run in the second, another in the third, another in the fourth and one in the seventh, and Rodon settled down to allow only that one run over six innings.

2. If you stayed up for the game on Saturday night, you got to watch a frustrating 6-4 loss that ended with the bases loaded and the tying runs in scoring position and the go-ahead run on first as Jazz Chisholm took two 88-mph fastballs down the middle and then was forced to swing at a fastball inside, resulting in a game-ending groundout.

3. Trailing 6-1 in the ninth, the Yankees loaded the bases with two outs and managed to walk three runs in before Chisholm ended the game. If the Athletics’ strategy had been crazy enough to walk Ben Rice, Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger with the bases loaded and allow three runs to make Chisholm beat them, it was the right call. No Yankees fan believed Chisholm would come through there. Put runners in scoring position and Chisholm turns into Austin Wells. Chisholm is hitting .183/.242/.300 with runners in scoring position. Wells is hitting .178/.296/.274 on the season. I can’t stand Chisholm’s cockiness in the box when he takes strikes and shakes his head as if he’s Juan Soto. Soto can do that because he’s Soto, a generational talent. Chisholm has no business taking two middle-middle fastballs, both at 88 mph as if he’s going to win the plate appearance anyway.

4. If you watched Sunday’s game, well, you saw one of the weirdest games of all time in a 13-8 win. The Yankees fell behind 3-0 in the first inning because of Trent Grisham’s disgraceful defense, dropping what should have been an inning-ending fly ball. But Grisham’s gaffe didn’t come back to haunt the Yankees because the offense scored 13 runs in the third inning, including 10 before making an out.

The inning went: single, walk, walk, single, double, single, single, walk, single, single, double, walk, strikeout (Paul Goldschmidt should have challenged the third-strike pitch), triple, strikeout, single, single, flyout. Thirteen runs without hitting a home run is absurd.

5. The Yankees took two of three from the A’s to finish the season series 3-3 against them. Not great, not awful. Mediocre, which is what a .500 record is. The Yankees finished their six-game road trip with a 5-1 record (and it was nearly 6-0). They head home the same way they arrived in Sacramento: three games back of the Rays in the AL East loss column. They also head home with two ongoing issues that need to be resolved, one now and one at some point.

6. The one now is the continued use of Grisham as the leadoff hitter. Grisham is hitting .174/.309/.292 when he bats first in the lineup. He’s hitting .125/.300/.188 in the first inning. He’s hitting .172/.351/.241 when he leads off any inning. The Yankees are willingly starting every game with one out and no one on for Ben Rice or Aaron Judge and they are also taking away the guarantee of Cody Bellinger getting a first-inning plate appearance. This isn’t hard. Bat Rice leadoff. Let the guy with the .397 on-base percentage bat first. Or bat Judge leadoff, as he’s at .375. I don’t care which one bats first, but it can’t be Grisham, whether there’s a righty or lefty starting since his OPS has a .001 difference between the two. Stop waiting around for the guy who hit 34 home runs last season and accept it was an outlier season in his career.

7. The one at some point is what to do at catcher, though that doesn’t seem like it will be resolved for two more months. Having a lefty-only-hitting catcher tandem was always a bad idea. Having those two be the worst two hitting catchers still rostered in baseball is amazing. No catcher in the majors has as many plate appearances as J.C. Escarra and as bad an OPS. Only one catcher has as many plate appearances as Wells and a worse OPS and that’s last year’s MVP runner-up Cal Raleigh who got off to a dreadful start before going on the injured list.

8. Wells has one double. ONE! It’s June 1! He has seven RBIs. Anthony Volpe has eight RBIs and has been up for like 15 minutes. Escarra has yet to hit a home run, but has as many home runs as Wells in less than half the plate appearances. Sure, defense is the most important aspect of catching, but at some point there’s a level of offense that’s unplayable and we have passed that. With every pathetic Wells strikeout or weak ground ball, all I can think about is Aaron Boone telling everyone “there’s more” to Wells that they need to get out of him. And with every Escarra weak pop-up, all I can think about is the Yankees telling everyone how he would be a starter on other teams.

9. Next up is a three-game series with the AL Central-leading Guardians. The Yankees will have Cam Schlittler going in the series opener, so good luck to the Guardians with that. The Guardians have never faced Schlittler and we have seen how dominant he is when a team has yet to see him. He dominates teams that have seen him, but it seems to be on another level for teams that haven’t. Joey Cantillo goes for the Guardians, and the Yankees have limited history against him.

10. This should be the lineup on Tuesday night:

Ben Rice, 1B
Aaron Judge, RF
Cody Bellinger, LF
Paul Goldschmidt, DH
Trent Grisham, CF
Jazz Chisholm, 2B
Jose Caballero, SS
Ryan McMahon, 3B
Who Cares, C

It won’t be, but it should be. Grisham will be leading off and Volpe will be in there. Though it doesn’t matter what the lineup is since Schlittler is starting.

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Middle Infield Issues

The Yankees end May with questions about their roster construction

Thursday was the Yankees’ first day off in two weeks and they will get another one on Monday, so there’s no excuse not to use a well-rested bullpen as needed this weekend in Sacramento.

With the Yankees set to play the last three games of May, let’s go through some questions and comments from readers.

Is Jazz Chisholm at second base someone we can depend on to get to the World Series or should the Yankees take advantage of his current hot streak to improve their bullpen before the trade deadline? – Joe

The Yankees did go to the World Series with Jazz Chisholm at second base two years ago, however, he posted a .521 OPS in the ALDS and a .449 OPS in the ALCS (and then a .685 OPS in the World Series), so it’s not like he helped the team much in getting there. So yes, they can get there with him, but if they do, I wouldn’t expect a whole lot from him given his approach at the plate and how it fares against elite starters and relievers.

The time to trade Chisholm was during the offseason. I would put the odds of the Yankees re-signing Chisholm at close to zero, so moving him this past winter coming off a career year was the time to move him. But in theory, if Chisholm were to repeat his 2025 regular season in 2026, the Yankees would be making their team worse by moving him. He hasn’t repeated the season and has been dreadful for most of it, so now not moving him looks like a missed opportunity. I would be stunned if the Yankees moved him this summer. It would take Anthony Volpe finally playing like a major leaguer and George Lombard Jr. going off in Triple-A and forcing a call-up for the thought to be considered, and even then, I don’t think he gets traded. Instead, he will walk for nothing.

What is your opinion about people suggesting Volpe should move to second base next year to replace Chisholm? – Rick

If Volpe were to play second base and bat ninth, I would be fine with it. He’s clearly not a shortstop and I will need hundreds (if not thousands) of at-bats from him now to prove he’s able to hit major-league pitching after three disastrous offensive seasons.

The issue with Volpe is what he represents, which is the Yankees’ arrogance to send him down before this year and to keep starting him and playing him every day in a way that only Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger and Juan Soto have been allowed to play every day for the Yankees in recent years. I think the Yankees’ recent admission he will start to learn second base (why hasn’t he been doing this all along?) is their way of telling us he isn’t the shortstop of the future. I think that will be Lombard Jr.

Lombard Jr. was 7-for-55 with no extra-base hits to start his Triple-A career at the end of April, but he’s gone 12-for-42 with four doubles and a home run over the last 10 days. He seems to be starting to figure the level out, and if he continues to do so, I think we will see him in the Bronx in the second half of this season. Maybe an infield of Lombard Jr. at short, Volpe at second and Jose Caballero at third with Ryan McMahon on the bench? Sign me up for that.

Is Anthony Volpe for real since his return? – Clay

No, Volpe isn’t for real. The walks he has compiled so far have been a product of the opposing pitcher throwing no pitches near the strike zone. Both you and I could have as many walks as Volpe so far as he hasn’t battled for them or had to work long counts and wait for a mistake. He has just had to stand there. He has had a couple of timely hits (one against the Mets and one against the Royals), but please do not let 11 mostly good games from Volpe fool you into thinking this is who he is.

Volpe has had these kinds of “hot” starts to seasons before reverting back to his career self, which is the worst everyday offensive player in baseball since the start of 2023. It will take him posting a positive OPS+ for the entire season for me to think he may be progressing, and even then I wouldn’t be sold on him. For now, enjoy any positive contribution he makes because it’s clear the Yankees were able to weasel their way into getting what they want with him on the roster and now he will play every day no matter what.

Would the Yankees consider curtailing Cam Schlittler’s innings by converting him to their closer going into September/October, or would they not want to take the chance of putting him through such a conversion? – Rich

If the Yankees put an innings limit on Schlittler this season and stop starting him or move him to the bullpen, that will be it for me as a Yankees fan and baseball fan, officially. The goal is to win the World Series and Schlittler is currently the best pitcher in baseball. If the Yankees win the World Series with Schlittler in the rotation and he never pitches again, he will have done his job. The Yankees shouldn’t be in the business of worrying about Schlittler’s arm health for the next five years, they should be worried about getting as much out of it as they can while he is this good.

Innings limits are ridiculous. There is no proof that an arm will give out after so many pitches or innings or that an arm will ever give out. I do believe each pitcher only has so many pitches in their arm, but each arm is different and no one number works for everyone. Schlittler could blow out his arm this week against the Guardians or next season in spring training or in two years or never. The only way to protect a human arm from throwing a baseball overhand is to not throw a baseball overhand. Schlittler isn’t Carlos Lagrange or some prospect with control issues who may be best suited for the bullpen, he’s the best pitcher in the world at the moment and part of a rotation that gives the Yankees a real chance at winning it all.

Do you think the Yankees can win with the bullpen they have right now if no moves are made to improve it? – Mark

No. The Yankees’ best two middle relievers are Tim Hill and Fernando Cruz, and while I like them both, Hill pitches to contact, and if opposing players never swung at pitch from Cruz, they would all walk. On top of that, their closer’s best pitch isn’t a fastball. I don’t trust any reliever outside of those three and my trust in those three is shaky unless they are put into perfect situations. This bullpen is bad and the manager is bad at utilizing it. Put those two things together and unless the rotation is going to give you seven-plus innings in each postseason start, the bullpen will ruin their season (if the offense doesn’t first).

Looking into your crystal ball, what is the Yankees’ record on September 1? – Larry

I have a wager on the Yankees over 90.5 wins this season, so I hope their record on September 1 has them on pace to eclipse that total.

The Yankees are 34-22 and playing .607 baseball, which is a 98-win pace. The Yankees will have played 138 games going into September and at a .607 winning percentage, that would have them at 84-54 with 24 games to play. That means they will have gone 50-30 between May 29 and August 31. Now that’s not planning for the annual Boone Swoon in June, but if Max Fried comes back healthy, it’s impossible to envision extended losing streaks with Fried, Schlittler and Gerrit Cole. Those three are good enough to make sure the Boone Swoon isn’t a part of 2026. Fuck it. Let’s say the Yankees are 30 games over .500 on September. That means my over 90.5 wins wager is going to win and it means the Yankees will be on their way to the 1-seed in the American League playoffs.

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