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Blogs • Giants

Dec 31, 2015

NFL Week 17 Picks

The Tom Coughlin era could be coming to an end on Sunday at MetLife Stadium. It doesn’t seem real that I might be watching Coughlin on the Giants sideline for the final time and it

Tom Coughlin and Eli Manning

The Tom Coughlin era could be coming to an end on Sunday at MetLife Stadium. It doesn’t seem real that I might be watching Coughlin on the Giants sideline for the final time and it shouldn’t be, but until it’s official, I will hold out hope that ownership gives him at least one more year.

It’s the final week of the regular season and with 27 games left in the NFL season, barring an epic disaster, this picks season is going to end above .500. With Week 17, we’re faced with a lot of meaningless games between teams that have nothing to play for and will begin their offseason on Monday and teams that have already locked up their seed and will likely rest their starters for all of the majority of their final game. That makes these picks the hardest of the season, but also the easiest to write.

DALLAS -3.5 over Washington
Somewhere someone who isn’t a Cowboys fan or a Redskins fan is going to bet on this game and watch it in its entirety. Think about that.

New York Jets -3.5 over BUFFALO
A must-win game for the Jets, well that is unless the Steelers lose to the Browns, and of course standing between the Jets and controlling their own fate for a postseason berth is Rex Ryan, who you could say has stood between them and a postseason berth since 2011. It’s hard to see the Jets not winning this game after they were able to knock off the Patriots (even if the Patriots looked like they could care less about winning) in Week 16. If the Jets lose this game and the Steelers beat the Browns, it might be the worst regular-season loss in the history of the Jets. For once, will the Jets not be the same old Jets?

INDIANAPOLIS -6.5 over Tennessee
The Colts need some help to get in the playoffs, but they’re not going to get it. The Texans are going to win and the Colts’ postseason streak under Chuck Pagano will come to an end.

CINCINNATI -7.5 over Baltimore
This game is important for the Bengals’ postseason chances because it gives A.J. McCarron another game under his belt heading into the playoffs. If McCarron truly believes he can launch a Tom Brady-like career as a backup who took over for an injured starter, he’s going to need all the real-game experience he can get before Wild-Card Weekend.

New England -9.5 over MIAMI
It’s nearly impossible to beat the Patriots at Gillette in the postseason and all the Patriots have to do to clinch home-field advantage in the AFC is to beat the Dolphins who have been waiting for the offseason for months. After the Patriots barely tried to beat the Jets last week, and still nearly did, it might take even less of an effort to get past the Dolphins and make sure they host the Broncos in a potential AFC Championship Game matchup. The Dolphins might be the only thing standing between the Patriots and another red carpet walk to the Super Bowl and that’s not good for anyone.

CHICAGO -1.5 over Detroit
Somewhere someone who isn’t a Bears fan or a Lions fan is going to bet on this game and watch it in its entirety. Think about that.

Pittsburgh -10.5 over CLEVELAND
Somehow the Steelers lost to Ryan Mallett and the Ravens in a potential must-win game for a playoff berth and now they need some help. The Steelers should be able to easily handle the Austin Davis Browns, but it’s going to take a Jets loss in Buffalo for the Steelers to survive their embarrassing loss to the Ravens.

HOUSTON -6.5 over Jacksonville
A Texans win and they’re in and the way they have been able to beat up on their division this season makes this the easiest pick of the week.

NEW YORK GIANTS -3.5 over Philadelphia
This could be the last game of the Tom Coughlin era and here I am hoping the Giants lose. If the Giants win, they get a lower draft pick and have to play the Seahawks in Seattle in 2016. If the Giants lose, they get a better draft pick and play the Rams in London in 2016. No Giants fan should be rooting for the Giants on Sunday.

ATLANTA -4.5 over New Orleans
Somewhere someone who isn’t a Falcons fan or a Saints fan is going to bet on this game and watch it in its entirety. Think about that.

DENVER -7.5 over San Diego
A Patriots loss and Broncos win gives the Broncos home-field advantage in the AFC playoffs and means there might be a chance that the Patriots don’t get to the Super Bowl. If the Broncos have to go to Gillette for the AFC Championship Game, I might as well start hoping the Cardinals, Panthers or Seahawks can beat them in February.

SAN FRANCISCO +3.5 over St. Louis
Somewhere someone who isn’t a 49ers fan or a Rams fan is going to bet on this game and watch it in its entirety. Think about that.

KANSAS CITY -6.5 over Oakland
From 1-5 to 11-5? If the Chiefs beat the Raiders in Week 17, they will finish the season on a 10-game winning streak and be the hottest team in the league entering the playoffs with what looks like a first-round game at Houston.

CAROLINA -10.5 over Tampa Bay
A Panthers win clinches them home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs and that should be reason enough for them to go full out against a Buccaneers team with absolutely nothing to play for.

ARIZONA -4.5 over Seattle
The Cardinals say they are going to play to win this game even if things aren’t going their way out in Carolina. If the Cardinals do play to win and play the way they have over their first 15 games, the Seahawks won’t win. But if Bruce Arians decides to get to his bye week as healthy as possible, this pick won’t stand a chance.

Minnesota +3.5 over GREEN BAY
Once again, I’m picking the Vikings because my girlfriend is a Vikings fan, who hates the Packers the way she hates the San Francisco Giants, and because the Vikings have been so good to me this year in my picks. Let’s finish the regular season on a winning note.

Last week: 5-11-0
Season: 128-107-5

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Blogs • Yankees

Dec 29, 2015

Brian Cashman Triumphs Through Trade Again

The Yankees need two general managers. One that does the trades and one that does the free-agent signings the way a football team might have two kickers, one specifically for kickoffs and one for field goals.

Aroldis Chapman

(Editor’s note: I don’t know what’s going to happen to Aroldis Chapman when it comes to the domestic violence allegations from early December that caused his trade to the Dodgers to fall through. But for the sake of this column, I’m going to write as if he’s going to play the entire 2015 season.)

The Yankees need two general managers. One that does the trades (Brian Cashman) and one that does the free-agent signings the way a football team might have two kickers, one specifically for kickoffs and one for field goals. There’s no doubt that Cashman is the master of trades in Major League Baseball and he once again proved it on Monday by acquiring Aroldis Chapman from the Reds.

So far this offseason, Cashman has made five trades:

Nov. 11: Traded 2B Jose Pirela to Padres for RHP Ronald Herrera.

Nov. 11: Traded C John Ryan Murphy to Twins for CF Aaron Hicks.

Dec. 8: Traded RHP Adam Warren and 2B Brendan Ryan to Cubs for 2B Starlin Castro.

Dec. 9: Traded LHP Justin Wilson to Tigers for RHP Chad Green and RHP Luis Cessa.

Dec. 27: Traded RHP Caleb Cotham, RHP Rookie Davis, 3B Eric Jagielo and 2B Tony Renda to Reds for LHP Aroldis Chapman.

To put it as one big trade …

The Yankees traded:

2B Jose Pirela
C John Ryan Murphy
RHP Adam Warren
2B Brendan Ryan
LHP Justin Wilson
RHP Caleb Cotham
RHP Rookie Davis
3B Eric Jagielo
2B Tony Renda

FOR

RHP Ronald Herrera
CF Aaron Hicks
2B Starlin Castro
RHP Chad Green
RHP Luis Cessa
LHP Aroldis Chapman

Essentially, the Yankees traded a player they felt had no real position (Pirela), a backup catcher they could afford to lose because of depth (Murphy), a pitcher they have no set role for (Warren), a utility infielder who can’t hit (Ryan), a left-handed middle reliever who’s good but not great (Wilson) and four minor leaguers for the 14th overall pick in 2008 (Hicks), a 25-year middle infielder with 991 hits whose under team control for five more years (Castro), arguably the best closer in all of baseball (Chapman) and two minor leaguers. (Side note: With Cotham traded and Andrew Bailey now with the Phillies, Joe Girardi is running out of terrible right-handed options to face the heart of the Blue Jays’ order though I guess he can always turn to Branden Pinder.)

Last offseason, I wanted the Yankees to sign Andrew Miller and also re-sign David Robertson. I thought the Yankees needed to have both to go along with Dellin Betances to make up for the instability of their rotation. They didn’t and were fortunate that Justin Wilson was good and that Chasen Shreve was good for most of the season, especially when Miller went down for an extended period of time. The Yankees tried to redo their decision to only sign Miller when they made a push for Craig Kimbrel at the trade deadline and were willing to give up actual players and real prospects for Kimbrel rather than just giving up money for Robertson in the winter, which is the opposite of how they have normally done business.

I haven’t understood this offseason why Brian Cashman has been willing to trade Andrew Miller if the price is right. The Yankees’ only true strength is the back end of their bullpen, so to trade Miller before and even after the Chapman trade made and makes no sense. Sure, the Yankees could afford to trade one of their three bullpen stars, but with a potential suspension surrounding Chapman as well as the idea that someone who consistently throws 100-plus mph could have arm trouble at any second, the bullpen should be treated like the rotation in that you can never have enough arms.

Right now, the Yankees’ rotation is Masahiro Tanaka, Luis Severino, Michael Pineda, CC Sabathia, Nathan Eovaldi and Ivan Nova. With Tanaka’s elbow still (and I’m guessing always will be) a concern, Severino looking to pitch his first full season in the majors, Pineda having never made more than 28 starts in a season, Sabathia coming off another knee injury and his rehab stint for alcohol, Eovaldi having his season cut short due to elbow inflammation and Nova coming off Tommy John surgery and pitching to a 5.65 ERA over his last 21 starts, the rotation isn’t exactly something to believe in.

With Betances and Miller, the Yankees were able to turn games into seven-inning games. With Chapman added to the mix, their games will now be six-inning games, and you could make the case that if each of them gets four outs, you have a five-inning game with the three pitchers with the highest strikeout percentage in the majors over the last two seasons. The only problem with this unbeatable formula is I don’t know how the Yankees are going to get a lead for the trio to protect. That’s a problem for the master of trades to solve.

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Blogs • Giants

Dec 24, 2015

NFL Week 16 Picks

The football season isn’t as fun when the Giants don’t matter and we’re a Redskins win over the Eagles on Saturday night from the Giants not mattering.

Tom Coughlin

The football season isn’t as fun when the Giants don’t matter and we’re a Redskins win over the Eagles on Saturday night from the Giants not mattering and their season being over. If the Redskins beat the Eagles in Philadelphia, I will be the happiest person that Odell Beckham Jr. is suspended is suspended for Sunday Night Football and would go as far as to make him inactive for Week 17 even if the Giants’ single-season receiving yards record would still be a possibility despite him missing a game. There’s nothing good that can come from the Giants trying once they are eliminated. Tank the last two games, get an easier 2016 schedule and a higher draft pick. After blowing five should-have-been wins this season, that’s the least the Giants can do for their fans to end the season.

The picks season is a 17-week grind to get through the regular season and then another four-week grind in the postseason. It’s hard and frustrating and that’s before you get to the late weeks of the season when players are just hoping to get to the offseason healthy and where losing teams can taste the final minutes of their season before they hit the beach and the nice weather and skip out on the winter weather and stop beating up their bodies every week. This week there are five games that have absolutely no meaning when it comes to the playoffs and then number is only going to increase next week. After what has been a successful picks season, it’s time to finish strong and get hot heading into the postseason.

OAKLAND -5.5 over San Diego
I always take the Raiders in the Battle for Which Team Should Move, but usually when I’m taking the Raiders, they are getting points and a good amount of them. These two franchises are moving in opposite directions and to keep up with the times, I’m sticking with the Raiders, who I think have done more good than bad for me against their in-state rival.

PHILADELPHIA -4 over Washington
I actually think the Redskins will cover and win this game. The problem is I can’t root against the only hope the Giants have for making the playoffs even if the Giants haven’t done anything that should even have me wanting them to reach the postseason. Fly Eagles Fly! (I think I’m going to need to shower after rooting for the Eagles in this game.)

New England -2 over NEW YORK JETS
The Patriots don’t need this game and the Jets have to have this game. That’s usually enough of a reason for people to pick one way, but this is the Jets we’re talking about. The team that lost seemingly must-win games against the Bills and Texans and now need to win out and have the Steelers or Chiefs lose in the final two weeks to very bad teams. The Jets never make things easy for themselves, much like the Giants except the Giants manage to win the Super Bowl every once in a while, and if this is going to be a close game, I don’t trust the Jets.

Houston -4 over TENNESSEE
I would like to take this time to thank to the Titans for giving the Patriots a last-minute cover last week thanks to a turnover that felt so inevitable I was never really worried the Patriots weren’t going to cover a two-touchdown spread. The Titans are the worst team in the NFL and have absolutely nothing to play for in the final two weeks (though they haven’t had anything to play for for a while now). The Texans, still in the playoff hunt, should be able to get past the Titans easily even on the road and even with a quarterback that I wouldn’t trust under any other circumstance.

KANSAS CITY -11 over Cleveland
The Chiefs were once 1-5. Now they are 9-5 and control their own fate for the playoffs. Not only are they a lock for a wild-card berth, but they could still take the AFC West from the Broncos and get a first-round home game. I wouldn’t want my team to have to go to Arrowhead in the first round of the playoffs and face a Chiefs team that could be on a 10-game winning streak in front of that crowd. Actually, who am I kidding? I would sign up for the Giants having to play in Seattle with all of the Giants players required to wear headphones and no cleats just to see a playoff game after these last four seasons.

Miami -2 over INDIANAPOLIS
The last thing I need is the Colts finding a way into the playoffs and then having Andrew Luck back for a postseason game and winning that game, so that the entire sports media world can drool over a guy who seems to throw as many interceptions as touchdowns. The Colts don’t have a chance in beating the Patriots if they were to meet in the playoffs and I need as many teams that can beat the Patriots in the playoffs as possible.

DETROIT -9 over San Francisco
Somewhere someone who isn’t a Lions fan or a 49ers fan is going to bet on this game and watch it in its entirety. Think about that.

BUFFALO -6 over Dallas
Another one!

Somewhere someone who isn’t a Bills fan or a Cowboys fan is going to bet on this game and watch it in its entirety. Think about that.

CHICAGO +3 over Tampa Bay
And another one!

Somewhere someone who isn’t a Bears fan or a Buccaneers fan is going to bet on this game and watch it in its entirety. Think about that.

Carolina -7 over ATLANTA
I don’t want Carolina to go undefeated because I feel like an undefeated team should be an absolute juggernaut that runs over every team the play. (Hi, 2007 Patriots!) Couple that with the fact that I’m still angry about the Odell Beckham Jr. suspension while Josh Norman got the equivalent of a $10 for a person with a normal everyday job and everything that happened last Sunday and the following punishments are just so stupid.

Pittsburgh -11 over BALTIMORE
The Jets can’t be happy about the Week 16 and 17 opponents for the Steelers and Chiefs needing one of them to lose a game. You don’t get anymore cupcake than Ryan Mallett starting in Week 16 for a Ravens team that has been waiting for the clock to read 0:00 in Week 17 for months.

Jacksonville +2.5 over NEW ORLEANS
There’s just no way I can back the Saints with that defense. Not even in the Superdome and not even against the Jaguars. The days of the Saints being two-possession favorites at home no matter who the opponent is are long gone as the days of taking the points against the Saints in New Orleans no matter who the opponent is are here.

SEATTLE -11 over St. Louis
We’re headed for a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl rematch. I can feel it. I won’t be anywhere as confident as I was headed into last year’s Super Bowl for the Patriots to lose until Pete Carroll handed it to them since the Seahawks’ defense has regressed as Russell Wilson has progressed. But it’s going to happen. Seahawks-Patriots Part II. (Or Cardinals-Patriots. It’s one of those two.)

ARIZONA -6 over Green Bay
I don’t enjoy football Sundays as much as I’m going to start enjoying picking against Aaron Rodgers Sundays. Can we please stop with the idea that he is the best quarterback in the league or that he ever actually was? As long as Tom Brady is still winning games as every average to above-average player goes down with injury around him, he’s the best. Rodgers lost Jordy Nelson for the season in preseason and you would have though he lost Jerry Rice in his prime with the way he is treated week after week with the excuses for his career-worst play. He still has Randall Cobb, Davante Adams and James Jones as well as Eddie Lacy and James Starks, and while some of those players haven’t lived up their potential or hype, if you give Brady those five players, the Patriots walk to another championship.

NEW YORK GIANTS +7 over Minnesota
This is it. An Eagles win coupled with a Giants win and Week 17 matters. But if the Eagles lose on Saturday night, this game could get ugly for a Giants team playing in freezing temperatures in Minnesota with nothing to play for and without their best player.

DENVER -4 over Cincinnati
Brock Osweiler vs. AJ McCarron! Just the way ESPN hoped it would be when they got this game for their final Monday Night Football game of the season.

Last week: 10-6-0
Season: 123-96-5

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Blogs • Monday Mentions

Dec 21, 2015

Monday Mentions: Giants’ Latest Last-Second Loss

Another week, another last-second Giants loss. It’s actually become funny at this point the way Louis CK talks about how being broke becomes funny at some point. Just when you think it can’t get any

Odell Beckham Jr. and Josh Norman

Another week, another last-second Giants loss. It’s actually become funny at this point the way Louis CK talks about how being broke becomes funny at some point. Just when you think it can’t get any worse it does. The Giants couln’t just lay down and continue to get blown out when already down 35-7 in the third quarter to the Panthers. They had to fight and claw their way back to a 35-35 tie game only to have their defense let yet another team march down the field in the final minute and win the game.

Here is another installment of “Monday Mentions” focused on a mix of questions and comments from Twitter about the Giants’ 38-35 loss to the Panthers, which all but eliminated the Giants from reaching the playoffs for the fourth straight season.

https://twitter.com/DanielFango/status/678655309884297216

This tweet came in long before the Giants overcame a 35-7 deficit to tie the game before suffering another excruciating last-second loss. But the Panthers’ 35-7 lead never happens if the Giants don’t give away chance after chance to put the game away and none bigger than Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie’s dropped interception that would have gone for a touchdown and given the Giants a 14-7 lead and would have completely changed the momentum of the game. Instead, DRC drops the easiest interception of his career and the Panthers follow by going down the field with ease and scoring a touchdown to go up 14-7 and create a 14-point swing the other way for the Giants.

The idea that that play or any missed opportunity didn’t matter once they were down 35-7 is as insane of an idea as the rules in the NFL that change in the final two minutes of a half as if the final two minutes of a half are any more important than the first two minutes of a game or any two minutes at any time of a game. Every play and every second of every game matters in the outcome of the game. The Giants proved that when they were able to overcome a 28-point deficit when it looked like they might lose by 50. The DRC dropped interception changed the entire game, comeback or no comeback.

Unfortunately, losing must-win games and losing in the last minutes or last minute or last second has becoming the usual for the Tom Coughlin Giants. If you look at the 2004, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2014 seasons, it’s nearly the same story every season. It’s either a story about a second-half collapse or a story about what could have been. Outside of the 2013 season, which started with six straight losses before the Giants played for a chance to lead the division in November against the Cowboys, the Giants have been a team that has been in contention for a playoff spot in the final weeks of the season every year. The problem is they have “finished’ (Tom Coughlin’s favorite phrase) just once in the last seven regular seasons. The Giants have played five playoff games in the eight years since winning Super Bowl XLII and four of those came in the same year (2011).

https://twitter.com/Shane_Corey/status/678656503088209920

Rashad Jennings has had a very sub-par two seasons with the Giants. Last season he only played in 11 games and this season his early-season performance forced him into a four-man rotation (a four-man running back rotation is the equivalent of a baseball team using an eight- or nine-man rotation). But in the last two games as the main back, Jennings has rushed for 81 yards and 107 yards in back-to-back games, which can only make one wonder why he wasn’t the go-to option all season. In 14 games this season, he has had single-digit carries five times. I like the idea of Orleans Darkwa becoming the Giants’ out-of-nowhere star, but it’s unlikely to happen, so I need to know why Jennings wasn’t used more all season.

Tom Coughlin’s clock management this season has made me question whether he had an incredible amount of money spread across Vegas at every sportsbook on the Giants’ under for wins because some of his decisions make no sense. Whether it’s the season-opening losses to the Cowboys or Falcons or his decision to go for it against the Jets, he always seems to make a decision that doesn’t work out and then gives sports radio five days of content to beat on 24 hours a day. His decision to not use any of his timeouts while the Panthers marched down the field for a game-winning field goal was his latest blunder.

Did Coughlin think using his timeouts would help out the Panthers’ offense more than it would his own if the Panthers kicked a field goal. Did he think the Panthers might go three-and-out against his defense that hasn’t made a game-winning stop all season (outside of Miami if you can even count that) and that he would need his timeouts for his offense to go the other way? Or did he think he could exchange those timeouts at the end of regulation to force overtime? I’m open to ideas because I have no idea what he was thinking.

The back and forth between Odell Beckham Jr. and Josh Norman on Sunday was entertainment. The helmet-to-helmet hit from Beckham was dangerous and an unnecessary play, but everything else that happened on the field was fine with me. Beckham’s personal foul penalties offset with Norman’s and the one time they didn’t, the Giants were so backed up it didn’t make a difference. But the idea that Beckham is going to get suspended while Norman gets a joke of a fine and a slap on the wrist is absolutely ridiculous. If one gets suspended, they both should get suspended for the sum of their actions.

The best part about the whole situation has been people saying that their play was disgusting and has no place on the football field. This is football we’re talking about. The most violent and dangerous sport. Some pushing and shoving and taking swings at helmets and facemasks are the least of the NFL’s worries. People who are horrified that two FOOTBALL players could possibly act the way Beckham and Norman did probably shouldn’t be watching football because outside of Beckham’s unnecessary run at Norman, nothing either of them did was a real issue.

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Blogs

Dec 17, 2015

NFL Week 15 Picks

This season will likely be remembered as the “What Could Have Been” season unless the Giants knock off the 13-0 Panthers and then beat the Vikings and Eagles.

Tom Coughlin

The Giants took care of business in Miami even though it looked like we were going to see yet another last-minute loss. The problem is that they didn’t care of business against the Cowboys, Falcons, Saints, Patriots, Redskins and Jets and now they need to win out and beat the undefeated Panthers as one of their winning out games. This season will likely be remembered as the “What Could Have Been” season unless they knock off the Panthers, go to Minnesota and win and then finish off the Eagles at home. I’m not holding my breath.

Tampa Bay +1 over ST. LOUIS
Nothing says Thursday Night Football like a good 6-7 Buccaneers vs. 5-8 Rams matchup. If this were earlier in the season I would be all over the Rams because this line would be incredibly low, but then again, if it were earlier in the season, this line wouldn’t be this low. That was back when the Rams were OK and could be trusted somewhat. I got out on the Rams when they were embarrassed at home by the Bears in Week 10, losing 37-13. Including that game, the Rams scored 36 points in a four-game stretch before beating the Lions last week. I don’t want to back Jameis Winston and have to root for him to win, but watching Case Keenum play has left me no choice.

New York Jets -3.5 over DALLAS
Is this line too low? It feels like it is. This is either because the Cowboys are a nationally-bet team or because it’s the ultimate trap game for the Jets, who are looking like they will have to win out to get into the playoffs, or a combination of the two. The Jets aren’t as good as they look against the Titans, or when they pulled out a win over the Giants, or when they beat up on the Dolphins. Don’t forget, three weeks ago this team was coming off back-to-back losses to the Texans on the road and the Bills at home. I don’t trust the Jets, but I trust them more than the Cowboys, and the Jets are better than this line suggests.

JACKSONVILLE -3 over Atlanta
I hate the Falcons. I hate them. I hate that they overcame that two-score deficit in Week 2 to beat the Giants in a game the Giants desperately need right now. I hate that they were overhyped when they started 5-0. I hate the way they use Devonta Freeman. I hate that Matt Ryan was built up to be something more than he is for so long. I hate how many picks they have cost me this season. I hate that they blew a 17-point lead in the 2012 NFC Championship Game to cost me a 10-to-1 parlay with the Ravens. To say I have enjoyed watching this team go 1-7 in their last eight games is the biggest understatement of 2015. I have loved every second of it and now I can only hope they lose out and finish 6-10.

Houston +1 over INDIANAPOLIS
It’s terrible that someone has to win the AFC South. No one wants to see the Texans or Colts or Jaguars host a first-round playoff game and get run over by the Chiefs. I guess the same could be said about the NFC East since there’s a three-way tie for first place right with three 6-7 teams, but at least those teams have a chance of winning a postseason game and won’t serve as a red carpet to the second round for the 5-seed. The AFC South winner WILL NOT win a playoff game. Let the odd-man out from the Chiefs, Jets and Steelers get that spot and save us all from wasting an NFL playoff game watching the AFC South winner lose.

KANSAS CITY -7 over Baltimore
Once upon a time, the Chiefs were 1-5 and hosting the Steelers. Fortunately for the Chiefs, Landry Jones made the first start of his NFL career that day in place of Ben Roethlisberger. Since then, the Chiefs have won seven straight, sit at 8-5 and finish against the Ravens, Brown and Raiders. The Chiefs are going to go from 1-5 to 11-5 and make the playoffs and then go on the road and play the AFC South winner. You can pencil in the Chiefs for a road game at New England, Denver or Cincinnati in the second round now because it’s happening.

Buffalo -1.5 over WASHINGTON
I don’t really know if Buffalo can or will win this game. After their infuriating performance in Philadelphia last week, which would have helped the Giants immensely, I’m not exactly counting on the Bills to win an important December game because that’s not what they do and it’s certainly not what Rex Ryan does. In order for the Giants to get in the playoffs, they’re going to need the Redskins to lose in the final three weeks. So if it doesn’t come this week, it’s going to have to come next week against the Eagles or in Week 17 against the Cowboys. Let’s not leave it up to Week 17. Let’s Go Bills!

NEW ENGLAND -14 over Tennessee
The Titans have faced two actual postseason-worthy teams this season (disregarding the Texans, Colts and Jaguars) in the Panthers and Jets. They lost to the Panthers by 17 at home and lost to the Jets by 22 on the road. The Patriots don’t just beat the worst teams in football when they play them at Gillette, they thoroughly embarrass them, like they did earlier this year when they beat the Jaguars 51-17. If this line was New England -21 I would still take it.

NEW YORK GIANTS +5 over Carolina
I hate that I have a very good feeling about this game and that I’m overly optimistic about the Giants’ chances in beating the 13-0 Panthers because it likely means they will either get blown out or lose in excruciating fashion the way they have done in six of their seven losses this season. A Giants win over the Panthers and a Redskins loss to the Bills would put the Giants back in control of their own fate for a postseason berth with the Week 17 game against the Eagles and it would temporarily undo the damage they did in their losses to the Cowboys, Falcons, Saints, Patriots, Redskins and Jets. Here I go again believing in the Giants finishing the season 9-7 and going on a postseason run. This won’t end well.

MINNESOTA -5.5 over Chicago
The Vikings are the most underrated playoff team in the entire league. I know because I live with my girlfriend who is a Vikings fan and she tells me every day and because I pick them every week, and when they win, they cover.

SEATTLE -15 over Cleveland
Good luck to Johnny Football in Seattle.

Green Bay -3.5 over OAKLAND
I hate fantasy football. I really do. But every year I continue to play it because I like gambling and I can’t say no. I have never won a fantasy football championship. Never. Not even close. Though that might have to do with me loading up on Giants for years. The only way that changes is if Aaron Rodgers goes to Oakland and torches the Raiders.

SAN DIEGO -2 over Miami
Somewhere someone who isn’t a Chargers fan or a Dolphins fan is going to bet on this game and watch it in its entirety. Think about that.

Denver +6.5 over PITTSBURGH
There’s nothing like a quarterback controversy when it doesn’t involve your team, but does involve arguably the greatest quarterback of all time. Let’s keep it going!

Cincinnati -6 over SAN FRANCISCO
I first picked San Francisco to cover because A.J. McCarron is making his first career start and the Bengals don’t have a running game. But then I thought about how the 49ers would score on the Bengals’ defense if McCarron doesn’t turn the ball over at his own 20 and I didn’t have an answer.

Arizona -4 over PHILADELPHIA
The Cardinals are getting all of the hype they didn’t get the last two season under Bruce Arians and I’m a believer. But if this team can’t go into Philadelphia and beat the Eagles and help the Giants out in the NFC East race since the Giants can’t help themselves out then I’m out on the Cardinals. I want to like you, Cardinals. I really do. Let’s make this easy.

NEW ORLEANS -3 over Detroit
I need Matthew Stafford to have a horrible game in New Orleans, which means I need the Superdome Saints to show up for me on Monday Night Football. I know the Superdome Saints no longer exist and they can’t be trusted to dominate at home the way they used to, but maybe on national TV, they can turn back the clock once and not let Stafford throw for 500 yards and six touchdowns against them.

Last week: 10-6-0
Season: 113-90-5

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