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Author: Neil Keefe

BlogsMonday Mentions

Monday Mentions: Giants’ Latest Last-Second Loss

Another week, another last-second Giants loss. It’s actually become funny at this point the way Louis CK talks about how being broke becomes funny at some point. Just when you think it can’t get any

Odell Beckham Jr. and Josh Norman

Another week, another last-second Giants loss. It’s actually become funny at this point the way Louis CK talks about how being broke becomes funny at some point. Just when you think it can’t get any worse it does. The Giants couln’t just lay down and continue to get blown out when already down 35-7 in the third quarter to the Panthers. They had to fight and claw their way back to a 35-35 tie game only to have their defense let yet another team march down the field in the final minute and win the game.

Here is another installment of “Monday Mentions” focused on a mix of questions and comments from Twitter about the Giants’ 38-35 loss to the Panthers, which all but eliminated the Giants from reaching the playoffs for the fourth straight season.

https://twitter.com/DanielFango/status/678655309884297216

This tweet came in long before the Giants overcame a 35-7 deficit to tie the game before suffering another excruciating last-second loss. But the Panthers’ 35-7 lead never happens if the Giants don’t give away chance after chance to put the game away and none bigger than Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie’s dropped interception that would have gone for a touchdown and given the Giants a 14-7 lead and would have completely changed the momentum of the game. Instead, DRC drops the easiest interception of his career and the Panthers follow by going down the field with ease and scoring a touchdown to go up 14-7 and create a 14-point swing the other way for the Giants.

The idea that that play or any missed opportunity didn’t matter once they were down 35-7 is as insane of an idea as the rules in the NFL that change in the final two minutes of a half as if the final two minutes of a half are any more important than the first two minutes of a game or any two minutes at any time of a game. Every play and every second of every game matters in the outcome of the game. The Giants proved that when they were able to overcome a 28-point deficit when it looked like they might lose by 50. The DRC dropped interception changed the entire game, comeback or no comeback.

Unfortunately, losing must-win games and losing in the last minutes or last minute or last second has becoming the usual for the Tom Coughlin Giants. If you look at the 2004, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2014 seasons, it’s nearly the same story every season. It’s either a story about a second-half collapse or a story about what could have been. Outside of the 2013 season, which started with six straight losses before the Giants played for a chance to lead the division in November against the Cowboys, the Giants have been a team that has been in contention for a playoff spot in the final weeks of the season every year. The problem is they have “finished’ (Tom Coughlin’s favorite phrase) just once in the last seven regular seasons. The Giants have played five playoff games in the eight years since winning Super Bowl XLII and four of those came in the same year (2011).

https://twitter.com/Shane_Corey/status/678656503088209920

Rashad Jennings has had a very sub-par two seasons with the Giants. Last season he only played in 11 games and this season his early-season performance forced him into a four-man rotation (a four-man running back rotation is the equivalent of a baseball team using an eight- or nine-man rotation). But in the last two games as the main back, Jennings has rushed for 81 yards and 107 yards in back-to-back games, which can only make one wonder why he wasn’t the go-to option all season. In 14 games this season, he has had single-digit carries five times. I like the idea of Orleans Darkwa becoming the Giants’ out-of-nowhere star, but it’s unlikely to happen, so I need to know why Jennings wasn’t used more all season.

Tom Coughlin’s clock management this season has made me question whether he had an incredible amount of money spread across Vegas at every sportsbook on the Giants’ under for wins because some of his decisions make no sense. Whether it’s the season-opening losses to the Cowboys or Falcons or his decision to go for it against the Jets, he always seems to make a decision that doesn’t work out and then gives sports radio five days of content to beat on 24 hours a day. His decision to not use any of his timeouts while the Panthers marched down the field for a game-winning field goal was his latest blunder.

Did Coughlin think using his timeouts would help out the Panthers’ offense more than it would his own if the Panthers kicked a field goal. Did he think the Panthers might go three-and-out against his defense that hasn’t made a game-winning stop all season (outside of Miami if you can even count that) and that he would need his timeouts for his offense to go the other way? Or did he think he could exchange those timeouts at the end of regulation to force overtime? I’m open to ideas because I have no idea what he was thinking.

The back and forth between Odell Beckham Jr. and Josh Norman on Sunday was entertainment. The helmet-to-helmet hit from Beckham was dangerous and an unnecessary play, but everything else that happened on the field was fine with me. Beckham’s personal foul penalties offset with Norman’s and the one time they didn’t, the Giants were so backed up it didn’t make a difference. But the idea that Beckham is going to get suspended while Norman gets a joke of a fine and a slap on the wrist is absolutely ridiculous. If one gets suspended, they both should get suspended for the sum of their actions.

The best part about the whole situation has been people saying that their play was disgusting and has no place on the football field. This is football we’re talking about. The most violent and dangerous sport. Some pushing and shoving and taking swings at helmets and facemasks are the least of the NFL’s worries. People who are horrified that two FOOTBALL players could possibly act the way Beckham and Norman did probably shouldn’t be watching football because outside of Beckham’s unnecessary run at Norman, nothing either of them did was a real issue.

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NFL Week 15 Picks

This season will likely be remembered as the “What Could Have Been” season unless the Giants knock off the 13-0 Panthers and then beat the Vikings and Eagles.

Tom Coughlin

The Giants took care of business in Miami even though it looked like we were going to see yet another last-minute loss. The problem is that they didn’t care of business against the Cowboys, Falcons, Saints, Patriots, Redskins and Jets and now they need to win out and beat the undefeated Panthers as one of their winning out games. This season will likely be remembered as the “What Could Have Been” season unless they knock off the Panthers, go to Minnesota and win and then finish off the Eagles at home. I’m not holding my breath.

Tampa Bay +1 over ST. LOUIS
Nothing says Thursday Night Football like a good 6-7 Buccaneers vs. 5-8 Rams matchup. If this were earlier in the season I would be all over the Rams because this line would be incredibly low, but then again, if it were earlier in the season, this line wouldn’t be this low. That was back when the Rams were OK and could be trusted somewhat. I got out on the Rams when they were embarrassed at home by the Bears in Week 10, losing 37-13. Including that game, the Rams scored 36 points in a four-game stretch before beating the Lions last week. I don’t want to back Jameis Winston and have to root for him to win, but watching Case Keenum play has left me no choice.

New York Jets -3.5 over DALLAS
Is this line too low? It feels like it is. This is either because the Cowboys are a nationally-bet team or because it’s the ultimate trap game for the Jets, who are looking like they will have to win out to get into the playoffs, or a combination of the two. The Jets aren’t as good as they look against the Titans, or when they pulled out a win over the Giants, or when they beat up on the Dolphins. Don’t forget, three weeks ago this team was coming off back-to-back losses to the Texans on the road and the Bills at home. I don’t trust the Jets, but I trust them more than the Cowboys, and the Jets are better than this line suggests.

JACKSONVILLE -3 over Atlanta
I hate the Falcons. I hate them. I hate that they overcame that two-score deficit in Week 2 to beat the Giants in a game the Giants desperately need right now. I hate that they were overhyped when they started 5-0. I hate the way they use Devonta Freeman. I hate that Matt Ryan was built up to be something more than he is for so long. I hate how many picks they have cost me this season. I hate that they blew a 17-point lead in the 2012 NFC Championship Game to cost me a 10-to-1 parlay with the Ravens. To say I have enjoyed watching this team go 1-7 in their last eight games is the biggest understatement of 2015. I have loved every second of it and now I can only hope they lose out and finish 6-10.

Houston +1 over INDIANAPOLIS
It’s terrible that someone has to win the AFC South. No one wants to see the Texans or Colts or Jaguars host a first-round playoff game and get run over by the Chiefs. I guess the same could be said about the NFC East since there’s a three-way tie for first place right with three 6-7 teams, but at least those teams have a chance of winning a postseason game and won’t serve as a red carpet to the second round for the 5-seed. The AFC South winner WILL NOT win a playoff game. Let the odd-man out from the Chiefs, Jets and Steelers get that spot and save us all from wasting an NFL playoff game watching the AFC South winner lose.

KANSAS CITY -7 over Baltimore
Once upon a time, the Chiefs were 1-5 and hosting the Steelers. Fortunately for the Chiefs, Landry Jones made the first start of his NFL career that day in place of Ben Roethlisberger. Since then, the Chiefs have won seven straight, sit at 8-5 and finish against the Ravens, Brown and Raiders. The Chiefs are going to go from 1-5 to 11-5 and make the playoffs and then go on the road and play the AFC South winner. You can pencil in the Chiefs for a road game at New England, Denver or Cincinnati in the second round now because it’s happening.

Buffalo -1.5 over WASHINGTON
I don’t really know if Buffalo can or will win this game. After their infuriating performance in Philadelphia last week, which would have helped the Giants immensely, I’m not exactly counting on the Bills to win an important December game because that’s not what they do and it’s certainly not what Rex Ryan does. In order for the Giants to get in the playoffs, they’re going to need the Redskins to lose in the final three weeks. So if it doesn’t come this week, it’s going to have to come next week against the Eagles or in Week 17 against the Cowboys. Let’s not leave it up to Week 17. Let’s Go Bills!

NEW ENGLAND -14 over Tennessee
The Titans have faced two actual postseason-worthy teams this season (disregarding the Texans, Colts and Jaguars) in the Panthers and Jets. They lost to the Panthers by 17 at home and lost to the Jets by 22 on the road. The Patriots don’t just beat the worst teams in football when they play them at Gillette, they thoroughly embarrass them, like they did earlier this year when they beat the Jaguars 51-17. If this line was New England -21 I would still take it.

NEW YORK GIANTS +5 over Carolina
I hate that I have a very good feeling about this game and that I’m overly optimistic about the Giants’ chances in beating the 13-0 Panthers because it likely means they will either get blown out or lose in excruciating fashion the way they have done in six of their seven losses this season. A Giants win over the Panthers and a Redskins loss to the Bills would put the Giants back in control of their own fate for a postseason berth with the Week 17 game against the Eagles and it would temporarily undo the damage they did in their losses to the Cowboys, Falcons, Saints, Patriots, Redskins and Jets. Here I go again believing in the Giants finishing the season 9-7 and going on a postseason run. This won’t end well.

MINNESOTA -5.5 over Chicago
The Vikings are the most underrated playoff team in the entire league. I know because I live with my girlfriend who is a Vikings fan and she tells me every day and because I pick them every week, and when they win, they cover.

SEATTLE -15 over Cleveland
Good luck to Johnny Football in Seattle.

Green Bay -3.5 over OAKLAND
I hate fantasy football. I really do. But every year I continue to play it because I like gambling and I can’t say no. I have never won a fantasy football championship. Never. Not even close. Though that might have to do with me loading up on Giants for years. The only way that changes is if Aaron Rodgers goes to Oakland and torches the Raiders.

SAN DIEGO -2 over Miami
Somewhere someone who isn’t a Chargers fan or a Dolphins fan is going to bet on this game and watch it in its entirety. Think about that.

Denver +6.5 over PITTSBURGH
There’s nothing like a quarterback controversy when it doesn’t involve your team, but does involve arguably the greatest quarterback of all time. Let’s keep it going!

Cincinnati -6 over SAN FRANCISCO
I first picked San Francisco to cover because A.J. McCarron is making his first career start and the Bengals don’t have a running game. But then I thought about how the 49ers would score on the Bengals’ defense if McCarron doesn’t turn the ball over at his own 20 and I didn’t have an answer.

Arizona -4 over PHILADELPHIA
The Cardinals are getting all of the hype they didn’t get the last two season under Bruce Arians and I’m a believer. But if this team can’t go into Philadelphia and beat the Eagles and help the Giants out in the NFC East race since the Giants can’t help themselves out then I’m out on the Cardinals. I want to like you, Cardinals. I really do. Let’s make this easy.

NEW ORLEANS -3 over Detroit
I need Matthew Stafford to have a horrible game in New Orleans, which means I need the Superdome Saints to show up for me on Monday Night Football. I know the Superdome Saints no longer exist and they can’t be trusted to dominate at home the way they used to, but maybe on national TV, they can turn back the clock once and not let Stafford throw for 500 yards and six touchdowns against them.

Last week: 10-6-0
Season: 113-90-5

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NFL Week 14 Picks

Minnesota +7.5 over ARIZONA Buffalo +1 over PHILADELPHIA CLEVELAND -1.5 over San Francisco Detroit +1.5 over ST. LOUIS TAMPA BAY -3.5 over New Orleans NEW YORK JETS -7.5 over Tennessee Pittsburgh +3.5 over CINCINNATI JACKSONVILLE

Minnesota +7.5 over ARIZONA

Buffalo +1 over PHILADELPHIA

CLEVELAND -1.5 over San Francisco

Detroit +1.5 over ST. LOUIS

TAMPA BAY -3.5 over New Orleans

NEW YORK JETS -7.5 over Tennessee

Pittsburgh +3.5 over CINCINNATI

JACKSONVILLE -1 over Indianapolis

KANSAS CITY -10.5 over San Diego

CHICAGO -3.5 over Washington

CAROLINA -7.5 over Atlanta

Seattle -7.5 over BALTIMORE

DENVER -7.5 over Oakland

GREEN BAY -7.5 over Dallas

New England -3.5 over HOUSTON

New York Giants +1 over MIAMI

Last week: 9-7-0
Season: 103-84-5

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NFL Week 13 Picks

Green Bay -3 over DETROIT NEW YORK GIANTS over New York Jets Arizona -5.5 over ST. LOUIS TAMPA BAY -2.5 over Atlanta MINNESOTA +1 over Seattle BUFFALO -3.5 over Houston MIAMI -5.5 over Baltimore Cincinnati

Green Bay -3 over DETROIT

NEW YORK GIANTS over New York Jets

Arizona -5.5 over ST. LOUIS

TAMPA BAY -2.5 over Atlanta

MINNESOTA +1 over Seattle

BUFFALO -3.5 over Houston

MIAMI -5.5 over Baltimore

Cincinnati -7.5 over CLEVELAND

Jacksonville +2.5 over TENNESSEE

CHICAGO -7.5 over San Francisco

Denver -4.5 over SAN DIEGO

Kansas City 3.5 over OAKLAND

Carolina -7.5 over NEW ORLEANS

NEW ENGLAND -9.5 over Philadelphia

PITTSBURGH -7.5 over Indianapolis

Dallas +4.5 over WASHINGTON

Last week: 12-4-0
Season: 94-77-5

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NFL Week 12 Picks

DETROIT -3 over Philadelphia Carolina -1 over DETROIT Chicago +7.5 over GREEN BAY Oakland -1 over TENNESSEE KANSAS CITY -4.5 over Buffalo INDIANAPOLIS -3 over Tampa Bay New York -1 over Washington HOUSTON -3 over

DETROIT -3 over Philadelphia

Carolina -1 over DETROIT

Chicago +7.5 over GREEN BAY

Oakland -1 over TENNESSEE

KANSAS CITY -4.5 over Buffalo

INDIANAPOLIS -3 over Tampa Bay

New York -1 over Washington

HOUSTON -3 over New Orleans

Minnesota +2 over ATLANTA

CINCINNATI -10 over St. Louis

JACKSONVILLE -5.5 over San Diego

Miami +4.5 over NEW YORK JETS

Arizona -8 over SAN FRANCISCO

SEATTLE -3 over Pittsburgh

DENVER +2.5 over New England

Baltimore +5.5 over CLEVELAND

Last week: 8-5-1
Season: 82-73-5

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