Yankees – Page 174 – Keefe To The City

Jul 31, 2015

Podcast: White Sox Dave

The Barstool Sports White Sox blogger joined me to talk about the division of baseball fans in Chicago, the 2005 World Series, David Robertson, the perception of Hawk Harrelson and which team should be the “Sox”.

For the first time in forever the Yankees catch a break when it comes to facing an opposing team’s ace and one of the best pitchers in baseball. The Yankees will miss Chris Sale by a day this weekend (though that nearly wasn’t the case with rain in Boston on Thursday night) and have a chance to get back on track after back-to-back losses in Texas against the weakest part of the White Sox’ rotation.

White Sox Dave of Barstool Sports Chicago joined me to talk about the White Sox’ big plans from their offseason, the division of baseball fans in Chicago, the 2005 World Series, David Robertson closing for his new team, the differences between Ozzie Guillen and Robin Ventura, the perception of Hawk Harrelson and which MLB team should be called the “Sox”.

Blogs • Monday Mentions • Yankees

Jul 27, 2015

Monday Mentions: The Trade Deadline

Here is the first installment of a weekly series focused on questions and comments about the Yankees with the trade deadline this Friday.

Sometimes on Twitter I get asked a question that 140 characters won’t do justice to so, I decided I might as well use the space on Keefe To The City to answer some of the questions more in depth.

Here is the first installment of “Monday Mentions” focused on questions and comments about the Yankees with the trade deadline this Friday.

@NeilKeefe why would you want either? Just so they could find a reason to move like Nova to the pen and yet again still keep starting season

— Fire Nathaniel Hackett + Keith Carter (@GrushNYC) July 26, 2015

I want either David Price or James Shields on the Yankees for the same reason I want rent in the Upper East Side to go down instead of up and for my dog to be able to walk himself in the winter and for the 4 train to Yankee Stadium to be express all the way to the Stadium: because it would make my life better.

Right now the Yankees’ postseason rotation is Masahiro Tanaka or Michael Pineda in Game 1, Masahiro Tanaka or Michael Pineda in Game 2 and then either Ivan Nova, CC Sabathia or Nathan Eovaldi in Game 3. I would go Tanaka then Pineda then Nova, but who knows what the Brian Cashman and Joe Girardi are thinking? As long as CC is healthy and on the team he is going to get consideration for a postseason start and my nerves going into a potential CC Sabathia postseason start in 2015 will be way worse than they ever were for any A.J. Burnett postseason start.

But let’s say the entire Yankees rotation makes it through this week healthy leading up the trade deadline. If the Yankees trade for a front-end starter then someone has to go to the bullpen between Nova, Sabathia or Eovaldi or either Nova or Eovaldi has to be traded. It would be ridiculous to go to a six-man rotation for the rest of the season, but ridiculous is how Cashman and Girardi like to do things, so it wouldn’t be that much of a surprise.

The Yankees don’t need to trade for a starting pitcher. Their rotation is good enough to hold off the rest of the AL East during the regular season and win in the postseason. Here are the playoff rotations for the last five World Series since the Yankees won in 2009:

2014: Madison Bumgarner, Jake Peavy, Tim Hudson, Ryan Vogelsong
2013: Jon Lester, John Lackey, Jake Peavy, Clay Buchholz
2012: Barry Zito, Madison Bumgarner, Ryan Vogelsong, Matt Cain
2011: Chris Carpenter, Jaime Garcia, Kyle Lohse, Edwin Jackson,
2010: Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain, Jonathan Sanchez, Madison Bumgarner

A combination of Tanaka, Pineda, Nova, Sabathia and Eovaldi is just as good as all of those and probably even better than all of them.

https://twitter.com/JD944/status/625681043635445760

Road trip? I’m willing to ride a bicycle, scooter or skateboard there. I would walk there and carry Price back if needed. According to Google Maps, it’s 618 miles from Yankee Stadium to Comerica Park and by car it would nine hours and 31 minutes to get there. It’s only a 588-mile walk there, but it would 194 hours, which is a little over eight days. However, for me to do any of those things, Dave Dombrowski and the Tigers would have to agree to not ask for any of the Yankees’ top prospects.

I’m against the Yankees trading Luis Severino, Aaron Judge, Greg Bird, Jorge Mateo and even Rob Refsnyder. At some point the organization needs to develop a young core again and they are close to doing that now. The 2015 Yankees are currently hitting the massive parlay they didn’t in 2013 and 2014 to stay relatively healthy and have older player produce. Unfortunately, this carriage could turn back into a pumpkin next season the way the Red Sox have since winning in 2013 and it would be devastating if this season didn’t end with a World Series and the Yankees sacrificed their future for Price, Shields Cole Hamels or another high-priced starter.

Nate The Great? @NeilKeefe

— Brian Rappaport (@BRappy55) July 26, 2015

Yes, I wrote “Nathan Eovaldi Is Far From ‘Nasty‘” on June 17 and said that trading for him is a mistake. And yes, he pitched eight innings on Sunday, allowing two earned runs on eight hits with five strikeouts and one walk to improve to 10-2 on the season.

The idea that Eovaldi is as good as his 10-2 record suggests is comical. He has a 4.27 ERA and 1.478 WHIP. He has made 20 starts and failed to pitch six innings in 11 of them. He only has 80 strikeouts in 111 2/3 innings despite having a fastball between 97 and 100 mph and he has allowed the sixth most hits in the majors. Eovaldi’s record is solely the product of his run support, which is 5.31 runs per game on average.

Since we’re talking trade deadline, when it comes to Eovaldi, it’s a complicated situation. He’s still young at 25, but he’s also with his third team in the majors at just age 25 despite possessing that can’t-teach fastball. He’s under team control through 2017 and it’s obvious Cashman and the Yankees are high on his ability and potential and wouldn’t think about putting him in the bullpen. But if the Yankees are to trade for another starter and a better starter, someone has to get bumped from the rotation, or traded and that leaves either Eovaldi or Nova.

If Eovaldi can pitch to the low-4 ERA he has in 20 starts for the rest of the way, he is valuable at the back of the rotation. I wouldn’t give him a postseason start and wouldn’t trust him in a postseason game, but I guess I can deal with him every fifth day for the rest of the regular season.

@NeilKeefe does it ever make you wonder if David Robertson ever stayed, that trio whoa

— Tony Rojas  (@TonyRojas30) July 22, 2015

I wanted the Yankees to re-sign David Robertson and also sign Andrew Miller. I thought if they didn’t then they were making a mistake even though they had traded for relievers in Justin Wilson, David Carpenter and Chasen Shreve. Fortunately, Shreve turned out to be the best of the bunch, which made up for Carpenter being awful and eventually DFA’d, or the bullpen would be Betances and Miller and multiple trips to the liquor cabinet every night.

Here is what I said about the Yankees’ decision to not sign Robertson after the Winter Meetings in December:

The idea of having Robertson and Betances and Miller to lock up games after the sixth and asking a rotation that aside from Masahiro Tanaka has trouble going past the sixth inning anyway is such a beautiful idea that it makes me physically sick to think that it could have happened and now it won’t. And it could have easily happened. The White Sox gave Robertson four years and $46 million. The Yankees gave Andrew Miller four years and $36 million. So for $46 million, the Yankees could have had the best on-paper bullpen in the entire league and arguably their best bullpen since … well, ever. If you think $46 million is a lot of money to give to someone to pitch about 65 innings, just remember that last year, the Yankees gave a five-year, $85 million deal to Brian McCann with catcher being the deepest position in their farm system, three years and $45 million to a then-36-year-old Carlos Beltran and oddly enough he broke down, couldn’t throw a baseball and played in only 109 games and seven years, $153 million to Jacoby Ellsbury, which was money that could have been used to re-sign Robinson Cano. The Yankees could have re-signed Robertson, they just didn’t want to, and I’m not sure why.

The Yankees have a dominant bullpen with Betances, Miller, Shreve and Wilson right now and if Robertson were part of it, or if they make a move for Craig Kimbrel, it will be stupid. Stupid in a good way.

@NeilKeefe yeah, we'll take… wait, you don't have anyone that's really that good. how are you in first place?

— Jared Carrabis (@Jared_Carrabis) July 21, 2015

It was only 17 days ago that the Yankees started a three-game series at Fenway Park and Red Sox fans thought their team had a chance of getting back into the race. “If the Red Sox sweep the Yankees, they will be three games back in the loss column with the whole second half to play,” was what I kept hearing from my friends and enemies in Boston. The Yankees won two of three to extend their lead over the Red Sox and before Monday night’s games, the Yankees’ lead over the Red Sox had grown to 12 games (13 in the loss column).

Boston fans shouldn’t wonder how the Yankees are winning because their team did it two years ago. The 2013 Red Sox championship is the most amazing championship in the history of sports. All sports at any level ever. Everything they needed to go right went right, no one got hurt and they got timely hit after timely hit in the postseason, winning with a rag-tag rotation.

The 2015 Yankees haven’t even been close to as fortunate as the 2013 Red Sox. The Yankees’ arguably best starter (Masahiro Tanaka), position player (Jacoby Ellsbury) and reliever (Andrew Miller) weren’t all healthy at the same time from April 24 to July 7, yet the team somehow managed to get to first place. Chase Headley has been bad, Stephen Drew has been the worst, CC Sabathia has been horrible, Nathan Eovaldi has been frustrating and Carlos Beltran has been inconsistent. If not for the resurgence of A-Rod and Mark Teixeira, the rebound of Brian McCann, the revival of Chris Young and the always streaky Brett Gardner having an extended hot streak, the Yankees would be in a bad place right now. But for the first time in three years, things are going their way and it feels great.

Blogs • Yankees

Jul 27, 2015

It’s Beginning to Look A Lot Like Pre-2013

When things are going well for the Yankees, I tend to look at the standings a lot. During 2013 and 2014, I tried my best to avoid the standings, especially in August and September after each season-crushing loss.

When things are going well for the Yankees, I tend to look at the standings a lot. From when I was eight years old during the 1995 season through when I was 25 years old during the 2012 season, I looked at the standings A LOT (with the exception of 2008). During 2013 and 2014, I tried my best to avoid the standings each day, especially in August and September after each season-crushing loss.

But ever since the Yankees went to Fenway Park for the last three games of the first half, I have spent an exorbitant amount of time looking at studying the standings as if it were pre-2013 once again. And after the Yankees’ sixth straight series win on Sunday to improve to 14-5 in July, here is how the AL East standings look:

A 6 1/2-game lead in the division with the Orioles being the closest in the loss column at seven back has the Yankees sitting incredibly well for the final 67 of the season. Let’s say the Yankees went 34-33 in the final 67 games, playing .507 baseball for the rest of the season. They would finish 89-73. Here is what the rest of the AL East would have to do just to tie them.

Toronto, 39-23 (.629)
Baltimore, 41-24 (.631)
Tampa Bay, 40-22 (.645)
Boston, 45-18 (.714)

But the Yankees aren’t going to play just .507 baseball the rest of the way and those four teams, none of which are above .500, aren’t going to play as well as those numbers say they need to, which would have only tied them with the Yankees choking away the season. The Yankees are on their way to where they haven’t been in three years and it’s all because everything that went wrong in 2013 and 2014 is going right in 2015.

After two years of everything and I mean everything going wrong for the Yankees, everything is going right for them in 2015. Well, maybe not everything since Stephen Drew is still playing second base and Brendan Ryan is still on the team, but even those two examples prove how fortunate the Yankees have been this season. If it were 2013 or 2014, not only would Drew be starting, but so would Ryan, in the same infield every day and likely hitting in the middle of the order the way that Ichiro, Lyle Overbay and Vernon Wells were asked to nearly every day in 2013. Instead, the Yankees have managed to have the second-best record in the AL as of today with their everyday second baseman hitting .188.

The team was able to overcome an embarrassing 3-6 start to the season and a frustrating 1-10 stretch in May, which is when the 2013 and 2014 Yankees fell apart and never recovered. They have won games started by Jacob deGrom, David Price, Max Scherzer, Chris Archer, Scott Kazmir and two games started by Felix Hernandez. They have kept on winning even with Joe Girardi constantly giving unnecessary days off to his best players like how he sat Brett Gardner against a lefty on Saturday or how he sat A-Rod on Sunday after he hit three home runs on Saturday (fortunately the Yankees won both games). And they have overcome having two reliable starting pitchers (both of which are frequently given extra rest between starts), having two starters (CC Sabathia and Nathan Eovaldi) who are coin flips every five days and having their most consistent first-half starter put in the bullpen because of money (Sabathia) and “stuff” (Eovaldi) instead of results. The Yankees have overcome injuries, underachieving, questionable signings and irresponsible roster and lineup decisions to get to where they are.

To think that the Yankees could be where they are right now with arguably their best three players in the rotation, field and bullpen in Masahiro Tanaka, Jacoby Ellsbury and Andrew Miller not having all been healthy at the same time from April 24 to July 7 isn’t remarkable or impressive, it’s flat-out ridiculous. And they are where they are even with those three extended absences because Alex Rodriguez and Mark Teixeira have turned back the clock to 2009-2011 when it was Teixeira who would hit third and A-Rod who would hit fourth as the most feared 3-4 combination in the majors; and because Brett Gardner went on the hottest of his patented hot streaks imaginable; and because Dellin Betances, Chasen Shreve and Justin Wilson got everyone out. The performances of A-Rod and Teixeira and Gardner and the bullpen overshadowed Chase Headley’s abyssmal first full season with the Yankees, Didi Gregorius’ New York growing pains, Carlos Beltran’s inability to produce and stay healthy and the constant struggle for Sabathia and Eovaldi to pitch six innings.

Now there are 10 weeks left in the season and the Yankees are as healthy as they can be without any regular position player, starter or reliever on the DL (knock on all of the wood around you) and they are another stretch like they have had the last two weeks from running away and hiding with the AL East.

Some Yankees fans just wanted a return to the postseason in any form in 2015 and that meant accepting a spot in the wild-card game. Me? I wanted the Yankees to win the AL East when the season began the same way I do every season. I wanted to know that the Yankees would be playing past Game 162 and Opening Day wouldn’t be the only day with bunting draped over the second and upper decks at the Stadium. I wanted everything to be the way it used to be and now it looks like it will be.

It feels good to have the Yankees back where they’re supposed to be. It feels good to have the baseball world right again.

Blogs • Email Exchanges • Yankees

Jul 24, 2015

Hostility for Phil Hughes Has Grown

The Yankees start their 10-game road trip against an old friend in Phil Hughes and a Twins team that is overachieving and in the playoff picture.

The Yankees are in first place and are 12-4 in July. They have set themselves up so that if they were to play .500 baseball the rest of the way and go 34-34 in their final 68 games they would finish the season 86-76. If that happened, here’s what the rest of the AL East would need to do tie them:

Toronto, 39-27
Tampa Bay, 39-26
Baltimore, 41-27
Boston, 45-22

With the Yankees and Twins meeting in Minnesota for a three-game series, Jesse Lund of Twinkie Town joined me to talk about Phil Hughes’ second season with the Twins, the return of Torii Hunter to Minnesota and the differences between Ron Gardenhire and Paul Molitor as manager.

Keefe: The Yankees will see Phil Hughes on Friday night and I want nothing more than for them to open the game with like nine straight hits and have him pulled in the first inning without recording an out for the frustration he put me through from 2007 to 2013. After he beat the Yankees last season at Yankee Stadium (thanks to a David Robertson meltdown), my dislike for Hughes only increased.

Last year, Hughes only walked 16 hitters and he’s doing a similar job with 12 walks this year, which is the complete opposite type of pitcher he was in New York. But after winning 16 games with a 3.52 ERA in 2014, we’re seeing the real Phil Hughes this year as he leads the league in hits and home runs allowed.

What are your thoughts on Hughes now in his second year with the Twins?

Lund: He’s continued to throw that cutter like he did in 2014 and for the most part it’s been fine, but his straight four-seamer seems to have taken a step backward. Almost as it to mitigate that fact he’s been throwing two-seamers this year too, but what you’re seeing is that he’s not getting the spin he did last year. As you know he doesn’t throw with enough velocity to simply overpower hitters, and with his off-speed stuff losing a little bit of that break it’s meant he hasn’t been as effective.

Hughes was also brilliant last year at getting hitters to chase the high fastball. He’s still trying it but at times he doesn’t get the pitch up quite enough and 23 home runs in 123 2/3 innings is the result.

He’s still pitching competitively, though. His ERA is 2.85 over his last six starts, which include a .248 opponent average. But the home runs still haunt (eight bombs in that span) and he’s not getting the swinging strikes to help him really be the dominant guy he was last summer.

Right now I still like the new contract the Twins gave him and I still have confidence in him in any given start, but there’s no doubt that he isn’t the ace he was in 2014.

Keefe: Torii Hunter was a Twin from 1997 to 2007 before leaving for five seasons with the Angels and then two with the Tigers. Now he’s back in Minnesota at age 39 and continuing to hit for power.

I always enjoy when a former Yankee returns for a second tenure whether it be Tino Martinez or Alfonso Soriano (not so much Sidney Ponson or Nick Johnson) and have always welcomed the return of a fan favorite to the Bronx, so what’s it been like to have Hunter back?

Lund: I didn’t want Hunter back. In my view the Twins were still one season away from competing, and adding to Minnesota’s problematic outfield defense was about the last thing on my radar. There was no doubt that his bat would probably help the team out and that nostalgia would sell some jerseys and put butts in seats in the early going, but based off of 2014 Minnesota’s offense was going to be just fine and we didn’t have pitching that was good enough to help the team get better if both corner outfield spots were occupied by a concrete-footed 24-year old and a rapidly declining 39-year old.

I was wrong, which is great. When it comes to the Twins being better I’m happy to be wrong. Hunter has hit a cold stretch in July where he’s popping the ball up way too often and he’s not hitting the ball hard like he did the first three months of the year, but from April through June he was one of the Twins’ best hitters and even carried the team for a week in May. The fans love him again, the players feed off of his energy and confidence, and our young outfielders (Aaron Hicks, Byron Buxton, Eddie Rosario, and Oswaldo Arcia) all listen to him.

My biggest concern is that Hunter wears down as the season goes along, the beginning of which could be happening right now, and he’ll be relegated to a bench bat/designated hitter which really limits how Paul Molitor can use him. He’s not good enough to be a defensive replacement or fast enough to pinch run, and with Trevor Plouffe having another good year it means Miguel Sano is getting — and deserves — plate appearances as designated hitter.

Overall, I’m glad Hunter is here and I’m happy to have been wrong in my criticism of his signing, but I do still question the process that brought him here. Just because things turn out well doesn’t mean those results came from the best decision making. And I do trust Terry Ryan and the Twins’ brain trust – but this isn’t the first time I’ve questioned their logic.

Keefe: Usually former superstars don’t become managers with the rare exception like Don Mattingly or Ryne Sandberg. It’s rare to see an all-time great player become a manager because of their status and their financial standing after likely having made a lot of money in their career. It’s even more rare to have a Hall of Famer as a manager, but the Twins have one in Paul Molitor.

How has his first season with the Twins gone?

Lund: Molitor’s results have been less important to me that what he does differently than his predecessor. Molitor pays attention to splits and he’s – to an insane degree – detail-oriented. Reading pitchers to get jumps, understanding how pitchers sequence their pitches, shifting defenders not just based around the hitter but based on counts (both radical and subtle shifts); one of the more interesting aspects of his tenure has been his penchant for allowing relievers to go more than one inning.

It’s been a lot of fun watching Molitor this year and learning how he’s different both on (as I mentioned above) and off (communication is far more important) the field. He doesn’t get involved in personnel decisions as much as Gardenhire did, if the reports I’ve read are accurate.

We’ll see how he gets along. It’s tough to put too much of a club’s successes or failures at the feet of the manager, but if you’re winning people don’t care. He’s off to a great start considering the predictions for the Twins this year.

Keefe: Molitor’s first season is also the first season since 2001 that the Twins’ manager isn’t Ron Gardenhire. After four straight losing seasons in which the Twins lost 99, 96, 96 and 92 games, Gardenhire was fired after it seemed like he would keep his job no matter what for as long as he wanted.

What was it like to watch Gardenhire get fired after 13 seasons as manager and how has Molitor been different?

Lund: Personally, after the 2014 season it was just a matter of time. Someone was going to go, whether it was Terry Ryan or Ron Gardenhire or both or perhaps the entire leadership of the front office.

I’m a bit different than a lot of Twins fans in that I lay the blame for the last four awful years at feet other than Gardy’s: Ryan for terrible drafts in the mid-2000s, Bill Smith for terrible trades, and then Ryan since his return for not expediting a rebuild by scuttling all valuable pieces earlier than he did. (Then again, not shedding Michael Cuddyer allowed the Twins to draft Jose Berrios, so it wasn’t all bad.) Gardy was put in a tough spot, since it’s tough to win when your front office doesn’t give you much with which to work.

But I don’t blame the Twins for removing Gardenhire as the manager (he technically wasn’t fired, just removed from the role). Something had to change, even if it was a figurehead move that would allow a culture shift, and as we’re witnessing the results are good in the early stages. It’s so good to see this team win and feel good about itself again; you miss it when it’s gone.

Keefe: Last year when we talked, you thought the Twins would be a 70-win team and they finished 70-92, so I hope you put some money on that before the season started.

What were your expectations coming to this season and what are they now that the Twins are 51-44 and in playoff contention?

Lund: Ha! Yeah, I never did. But I also expected this year’s team to be a 77-win club, which at the time was considered to be optimistic by three or four games.

I figured the Twins would surprise people by being more competitive this year than the national outlets predicted, but of course I didn’t see them being as good as they have been.

As far as my expectations go, I think the Twins have an opportunity to hang around for that Wild Card play-in spot. They have their work cut out for them and they desperately need help in the bullpen (not to mention behind the plate and at shortstop), but really … any success Minnesota has at this point is totally gravy. 2015 has been so much fun.

This current stretch (three versus the Angels, three versus the Yankees, two versus the Pirates) will go a long way in predicting where Minnesota’s season will end up. Ultimately I think they’ll grab a wild-card spot or end up a couple of games shy — I don’t think they’ll implode entirely.

Podcasts • Yankees

Jul 21, 2015

Podcast: Bald Vinny

After winning three straight series to finish the first half with a 6-3 record in the “Necessary Nine“, the Yankees picked up right where they left off to start the second half with another series

After winning three straight series to finish the first half with a 6-3 record in the “Necessary Nine“, the Yankees picked up right where they left off to start the second half with another series win. The Yankees have increased their first-place lead in the AL East and now host their strongest competition for the division title with the Orioles coming to Bronx.

Bald Vinny of the Right Field Bleacher Creatures and Bald Vinny’s House of Tees joined me to talk about talk about the confidence of Yankees fans with the team in first place, the situation at second base, the good and bad of the first half and the state of Bald Vinny’s House of Tees.