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Monday Mail: April 22, 2019

The Aaron Hicks injury situation, Aaron Boone’s press conferences, Yankees-Red Sox trash talk and J.A. Happ’s struggles in this week’s Monday Mail.

A week ago, the Yankees had just lost two of three to the White Sox after getting swept by the Astros and the Red Sox were coming to town. Now the Yankees are winners of five of six, back over .500 at 11-10 and headed to the West Coast for 10 days. Not everything is rainbows, sunshine and butterflies though. Aaron Judge is the latest Yankee to go on the injured list and the lineup the Yankees are using every night is essentially a Triple-A lineup.

This week’s questions and comments revolve around those injuries as well as the Yankees-Red Sox rivalry and what’s going on with J.A. Happ.

Email your questions to KeefeToTheCity@gmail.com or engage on the Keefe To The City Facebook page or on Twitter to be included in the next Monday Mail.

Remember when Aaron Hicks was only going to be out for the weekend during spring training? – Marc

So looking forward to the next seven years of the glass man.  – Andy

Jacoby Hicks – Rich

That extension doesn’t look super great. – Mike

When Aaron Hicks first got hurt in spring training, it was reported he would miss a few days as a precaution and that it wasn’t anything serious. Then it was reported he might not be ready for Opening Day. Then it was reported he would be ready for the first game of the second series of the season on April 1 against the Tigers. It’s now April 22 and Hicks isn’t back despite him saying this past week that he’s been 100 percent for a few weeks. How is a player at 100 percent and not close to coming back? Then again, we’re talking about an organization which claims they weren’t aware of their 25-year-old ace’s lat injury at the same time as his shoulder inflammation. The same ace who started warming up five minutes before Game 3 of the 2018 ALDS.

Prior to the season, I set the over/under on games played in 2019 for Hicks at 145, which would allow him to miss 17 games. He has already missed 21 games and according to Brian Cashman on WFAN on Monday, he’s not close to returning. We all knew Hicks was injury prone before he received a seven-year, $70 million extension, but this is really out of control.

You hope to God that what he’s saying to the media is 180 degrees from what he’s telling the team. They look uninspired, unfocused and are making rookie mistakes on the bases, field and at-bat. – Greg

This was in response to Aaron Boone’s postgame press conference last week following another loss to the lowly White Sox. Boone said, “I really do think we’re in a sound place as far as our focus, our energy, our expectation when we walk through those doors.”

The Yankees were 6-9 at the time Boone said that, having just lost two of the three to the White Sox to fall to 3-6 at home to teams expected to finish in last place.

Since the series loss to the White Sox, the Yankees took both games against the Red Sox and three of four from the Royals to finish their homestand at 6-3 and climb back over .500 to 11-10. Winning cures everything, and for now, Boone can say whatever he wants because his Triple-A lineup is getting the job done. Let’s see what happens with a now Aaron Judge-less team going across the country to play the Angels, Giants and Diamondbacks.

Trust me I’m a Yankee fan and I’m happy when we win but talking smack about the Red Sox should be few and far between because they have won four world championships in the last 15 years and they eliminated us last year. Let’s get real Yankee fans. Let’s just be grateful and not talk smack . That’s a good team and organization. They rival us but they’re just as good as we are. – Nick

I won’t be saying anything about the Red Sox until the Yankees win a championship. The Yankees haven’t reached the World Series in what will be a decade this fall, let alone win the World Series, and since their last championship, their seasons have ended the following way:

Lost 4-2 in ALCS to Rangers
Lost 3-2 in ALDS to Tigers
Lost 4-0 in ALCS to Tigers
Missed playoffs
Missed playoffs
Lost AL Wild-Card Game to Astros
Missed playoffs
Lost 4-3 in ALCS to Astros
Lost 3-1 in ALDS to Red Sox

The Red Sox might have several last-place finishes and missed postseasons in that same time span, however, they also have two World Series and one playoff rout of the Yankees to their name.

I enjoyed Boston’s 6-13 start as much as anyone, and it was good to see essentially a Yankees Triple-A pull off a two-game sweep of the Red Sox last week in New York, but we’re a long, long way as a fan base from being able to trash talk and criticize the Red Sox.

As long as the Yankees can tread water until their healthy everything will fall into place and will be in the playoffs, Boston’s on an extended World Series hangover and will come around but I hope not, right now the Yanks need to string together some series wins and get above .500, Tampa Bay doesn’t seem to lose and the Yanks can’t win there but I hope that changes this year. – Mark

Tampa finally started losing at the same time the Yankees started winning. The Yankees were able to pick up three games on the Rays over the weekend, and miraculously, they are now only 2 1/2 games back in the AL East. (I’m still more worried about the Rays than the Red Sox this season.)

The Yankees are missing their starting catcher, shortstop (and the backup shortstop), third baseman, left fielder/designated hitter, center fielder, right fielder, best starting pitcher and best relief pitcher. It’s actually unbelievable they are 11-10, having won five of their last six games. The lineup they are putting together would be a bad spring training lineup and they are being forced to use it in real games. Luke Voit batting second? Brett Gardner in the 3-hole? Mike Tauchman hitting fifth? A combination of Mike Ford, Kyle Higashioka, Austin Romine and Tyler Wade at the bottom of the order?

The Yankees are going to face an enormous test over the next 10 days with this nine-game West Coast road trip, featuring a lineup with two players (Voit and Gleyber Torres) who were supposed to be everyday players in 2019. The goal right now is to tread water and still be within striking distance when the regulars get back.

The problem now is no one really knows when any of the regulars will be back outside of Gary Sanchez, who is due back this week. The Yankees have botched so many consecutive injury timetables that now they are refusing to say when anyone will come back. Something needs to be done about this debacle internally since this is now the second straight season of players returning long after they were expected to.

Move Happ to the pen. – Mike

J.A. Happ has made four starts since Game 1 of the ALDS — a game he lost three batters in — and they have all gone poorly. His best start of the season was his last start against the Red Sox, in which he allowed three earned runs and two home runs in 6 1/3 innings, getting past 4 1/3 innings for the first time this season.

Happ’s line for the season? 18.2 IP, 25 H, 15 R, 15 ER, 6 BB, 17 K, 6 HR, 7.23 ERA, 1.660 WHIP. (I feel dirty after typing that.)

After the Yankees let Patrick Corbin sign with the Nationals, it was obvious Happ would be returning to the Yankees. He pitched well for them in the second half last year before laying an egg in the playoffs against the team they for him to match up against, and as part of the second tier of available starters (the bargain bin), his asking price was perfectly in line with Hal Steinbrenner’s penny-pinching ways. Unfortunately, you get what you pay for, and the Yankees have a 36-year-old left-hander who relies on his fastball, and they have him for the next three seasons.

I’m sure the Yankees would sign up for three earned runs over 6 1/3 innings (4.27 ERA) from Happ every start, since when healthy, the offense should win in that situation most times. But right now, the offense is a flat-out disaster, and the Yankees need Happ to be better, much better, than he has been.

Happ will pitch the first game of the nine-game road trip on Monday, and the Yankees can’t afford to kick off this West Coast swing with Happ going four innings and destroying the bullpen.

Want to be included in the next Monday Mail? Email your questions to KeefeToTheCity@gmail.com or engage on the Keefe To The City Facebook page or on Twitter.

***

My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

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Monday Mail: April 8, 2019

Is Aaron Boone in over his head? Why are players getting scheduled off days in the first week of the season? Why is Brett Gardner batting leadoff? This week’s Monday Mail.

That’s how you take care of business against the Orioles. After losing two of three to the Orioles a week ago, the Yankees swept the will-be last-place team this past weekend. Now at 5-4, the Yankees aren’t where I thought they would be following nine games against the Orioles and Tigers, but they appear to be headed in the right direction.

This week’s questions and comments are heavy on Aaron Boone and then there’s the problem with who leads off and why the Yankees didn’t take advantage of the best free-agent class ever and possibly the last star-packed free-agent class ever.

Email your questions to KeefeToTheCity@gmail.com or engage on the Keefe To The City Facebook page or on Twitter to be included in the next Monday Mail.

Aaron Boone needs to go back to calling games for ESPN and the Yankees need to Willie Randolph in as manager so that he can direct this team into the playoffs and beyond! – Mario

No, I didn’t want Aaron Boone to be named the manager of the Yankees prior to 2018. At the time, I thought the Yankees did the right thing by replacing Joe Girardi after 10 years, but had I known the first 176 games (regular season and postseason included) would go the way they have, I would have preferred to just retain Girardi.

Despite winning 100 games last year and the wild-card game, Boone didn’t do a good job. Winning 100 games isn’t much of an accomplishment in a season in which two other American League teams did the same, in a season in which five AL teams lost 89 games or more. The same goes for this season. Which teams are really trying to win in the AL in 2019? The Yankees, Red Sox, Rays, Astros, A’s and Angels? Every other team either shed payroll, tried to move their star players to shed payroll, failed to sign any worthy free agents and basically went along with the idea that it’s more profitable to lose than win in baseball’s current state.

This season, Boone has once again gotten off to a rocky start, either unable or unwilling to make changes to his in-game management and actual baseball strategy to improve. Yes, the Yankees have an unheard of amount of players on the injured list, including four of their everyday players, two-fifths of their rotation and their best reliever. But that doesn’t excuse some of the moves Boone has made in the season’s first nine game. None of the simple decisions he could have made were related to the team’s injury problems, rather they were basic baseball moves.

I don’t trust Boone. This team is going to the playoffs in some capacity, and I’m petrified another year will be wasted because of his bullpen management. Boone helped throw away the ALDS last season and he has six months to get this team back there and then manage the way he’s expected to once they get there. I won’t count on him pushing the right buttons until I actually see him to do it.

I also don’t think Willie Randolph is the solution and I don’t think he would ever be considered for the position in the future either.

Are you kidding me? After five days of baseball Aaron Boone believes players need a rest, really? – Rob

It’s pretty ridiculous. The Yankees had two off days after their last exhibition game, played one game and had a day off, played five games and had a day off. And oh yeah, they basically had six months off before all of that.

It’s unclear why the Yankees believe they have figured out who needs days off and when they need them or why they truly think they have the solution to preventing injuries and maximizing performance. The team currently has more players on the injured list than any other team in baseball and they haven’t won anything in a decade.

Guess what? Injuries happen and there’s nothing you can do about them. Having scheduled off days won’t prevent a player from pulling an oblique in the next game or jamming their shoulder sliding back to third a week later. Pulling a starting pitcher after 85 pitches doesn’t mean he won’t tear his elbow on the first pitch of his next start and not using a reliever three days in a row doesn’t mean he won’t land on the injured list at some point anyway. There’s absolutely nothing that can be done to prevent injuries and there’s no exact amount of rest which will help players perform over the course of a season and in the postseason. The Yankees should know this better than any team.

When Aaron Judge said there needed to be more urgency I think he meant Boone. Boone doesn’t manage to win every game. – Stan

Here is the Aaron Judge quote:

“Every game is important because you can go at the end of the year and look back at how many missed opportunities and games that we should have won, but we just didn’t come up with the big hit, a costly error, stuff like that. Every single game is important.”

No, I don’t think Judge was referring to Boone with his words, but he should have been. Judge was simply frustrated with all the men left on base and the errors and sloppy play from the team in the second game of the season.

After coming within a win of the World Series in 2017 and then being embarrassed last October, I’m sure Judge is sick and tired of not getting the job, the way the fans are. Given that it was his gesture which turned “New York, New York” into the Red Sox’ victory song after their ALDS win, I’m sure he wants to erase that backfire as quickly as possible. The way the Red Sox’ destroyed the memory of the 2003 ALCS by beating the Yankees and winning the World Series the following year, the Yankees can erase the embarrassment of the 2018 ALDS by winning the 2019 World Series.

The easiest way to win the World Series is to avoid the one-game playoff and win the division. So Judge’s urgency makes all the sense in the world. The division will be won by which teams beats up on all the crap in the AL. The Yankees have to do a better job than they did last season against the last-place teams.

Fans who watched the moves in the offseason knew they didn’t do enough. Starting pitching not enough, lack of left-handed bats, same hitting coach that couldn’t fix it last season, same pitching coach who time has passed by. – James

I tend not to put too much stock into what the hitting and pitching coaches do, though I believe the pitching coach is more important than the hitting coach. The only hitting coach I ever really cared about or paid attention to was Kevin Long because he seemed to get all the credit whenever a player performed well, and was of any criticism when the team didn’t perform.

The Yankees could have done better this offseason. They could have signed one or both of the 26-year-old generational stars or the best pitcher on the free-agent market. Instead, they spread the money out after getting under the luxury tax and paying all their core players close to league minimum. It was an odd offseason plan and considering all young star players are getting long-term extensions, it might have been their last chance to ever make a significant difference through free agency.

I believe the Yankees missed an enormous opportunity to lengthen their current championship window and put the best possible team on the field. No, they don’t necessarily need any of the Top 3 free agents to win the World Series, but it sure would have helped.

The Yanks are the only team in the majors that Gardner could beat leadoff. He never swings at the first pitch and pitchers know this so they groove a fastball that he could make decent contact on but know he will take it … I was against bringing him back because of his diminished skills, now with the injury-riddled roster he has to bat somewhere, but leadoff? Boone has no clue, the computer spits out the lineup and he posts it. Don’t you just love analytics? – Mark

Brett Gardner has actually been better over the last few games since this question/comment was written, but that doesn’t change the fact that he should never lead off on this team. I hate to get on Gardner because this whole ordeal isn’t his fault. He didn’t offer himself the one-year, $7.5 million deal when there were better options to take his place. And he’s not the one penciling himself in as the leadoff hitter every game. But I need to know who is.

If it’s Boone, it’s strictly incompetence for a manager whose only redeeming quality seems to be that he’s a good buddy for the players. If it’s the front office and analytics team, we have much a bigger problem. The Yankees are driven by analytics and if it’s somehow analytics recommending Gardner as the leadoff hitter then find new math guys because any person, stat or formula saying Gardner should be at the top of the order can’t be trusted. We can’t have someone who creates an algorithm suggesting Gardner bats leadoff on this team also determining which players to target in trades and in free agency free agents the Yankees should target. But Maybe that’s why they passed on Manny FA and Corbin. Maybe it was the stat guys telling Boone who to bring in with the bases loaded in Game 3 of the ALDS.

Either the Yankees have a manager so far in over his head despite having a season under his belt or they have an analytics team which needs a complete overhaul and either way it’s a problem.

Want to be included in the next Monday Mail? Email your questions to KeefeToTheCity@gmail.com or engage on the Keefe To The City Facebook page or on Twitter.

***

My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

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Monday Mail: March 25, 2019

Is Aaron Hicks’ contract a bargain? Will Dellin Betances and Didi Gregorius receive extensions? Should the Yankees have signed Manny Machado or Bryce Harper? This week’s Monday Mail.

We made it! We made it through the 59-day winter gauntlet that makes up January and February and then the long six-week-or-so grind that is spring training. We are in the week with actual baseball and just three days away from first pitch.

This week’s questions are Yankees heavy with the hype and anticipation of the second straight season with championship expectations. The 2019 Yankees are set up to be the best Yankees team since their last World Series title and appearance 10 years ago, and we are very close to them finally playing.

Email your questions to KeefeToTheCity@gmail.com or engage on the Keefe To The City Facebook page or on Twitter to be included in the next Monday Mail.

Why would you want Manny Machado on the Yankees? I’m thanking God he didn’t sign with them. – Max
I have written too much about a player who isn’t even a Yankee (like here and here and here), so let’s break this down in the simplest way possible:

1. Manny Machado is 26 years old (younger than Aaron Judge), and historically speaking, he most likely hasn’t even entered his prime yet.

2. He plays BOTH shortstop and third base and is a two-time Gold Glove winner at third.

3. He’s a career .282/.335/.487 hitter, who has averaged 31 home runs and 90 RBIs per season.

4. He’s coming off career highs in games played (162), home runs (37), RBIs (107), batting average (.297), on-base percentage (.367), slugging percentage (.538) and OPS (.905).

5. Outside of a knee injury in 2014, he has played in 156, 162, 157, 156 and 162 games in his full Major League seasons.

6. All he would have cost is money. MONEY. The thing the Yankees used to use to their advantage to create the best team possible. No prospects, no young, cheap players. Just MONEY.

7. On top of all this, he has played 860 of his 926 career regular-season games in the AL East, knows the pitchers and has made it clear he absolutely hates the Red Sox.

I’m not sure how anyone could look at those facts and not want Manny Machado on the Yankees. Because he made the comment about not running hard on every routine ground ball last season? I’m OK with someone not sprinting it down the line on a guaranteed out when they are playing Gold Glove defense and hitting 37 home runs with a .905 OPS.

Right now, the Yankees think Troy Tulowitzki is going to be their shortstop until Didi Gregorius returns. The same Tulowitzki who didn’t play a game in 2018, wasn’t good in 2017 and hasn’t been good for some time now. And if Tulowitzki isn’t up to it, then the middle infield will be Gleyber Torres and DJ LeMahieu and then Tyler Wade at some point.

What happens if Miguel Andujar never improves defensively at third base or doesn’t progress the way everyone just expects him to? What happens if Didi Gregorius isn’t the same player when he returns from Tommy John surgery, or what if Gregorius leaves via free agency after this season? Then what is the Yankees’ middle infield of the future?

Still thanking God the Yankees didn’t sign Machado?

If we bench Aaron Hicks or eat the last two years of his contract, who cares? He’s a Top 10 center fielder and didn’t get overpaid. – AJ
I agree.

I have written, tweeted and said a lot of negative things about Aaron Hicks since he first became a Yankee. Was I wrong? Not completely. Hicks became a very good Major League player in 2017 and continued to be one in 2018. Prior to that though, he was the same-old first-round bust who couldn’t put it all together.

I formally apologized to Hicks in the past on Twitter and since I will now be watching him through 2025 (and possibly even 2026 if the Yankees pick up his club option that season) I think it’s time I come to accept him. Do I think investing in a 29-year-old center fielder for the next seven seasons is the best decision? No. But like AJ said, at $10 million per season, if he gets benched five, six or seven years from now, or needs to be released, it’s not a contract that will “fake hurt the Yankees. (I say “fake hurt” because no contract hurts the Yankees no matter what ownership wants you to believe.)

The biggest problem with Hicks is that he can’t stay healthy, which he is showing once again as he won’t be ready for Opening Day and probably not for more than a week into the regular season. If Hicks can give the Yankees what he did when he was actually on the field in 2017 and in 2018 then this deal will be an all-time bargain. If he can’t, well, at that number, it will still be a bargain.

I’d probably go for four years, $40 million for Dellin Betances. Didi Gregorius will probably get something around six years, $100 million. – Christopher

The Yankees finally stopped their idiotic “no extension” policy and gave both Luis Severino (four years, $40 million) and Aaron Hicks (seven years, $70 million) extensions. Next up: Dellin Betances.

There were already reports the Yankees were discussing an extension with Betances and then his shoulder issue happened, and you can’t help but feel bad for the guy. He will be a free agent at the end of the season and he has been the best reliever in all of baseball over the last five years, which includes his disastrous end to the 2017 season. Over the last five seasons, Betances has appeared in 349 games, pitching 373 1/3 innings with 607 strikeouts, a 2.22 ERA and 1.108 WHIP, allowing just 5.3 hits-per-nine innings with an astounding 14.6 strikeouts-per-nine. Absolutely ridiculous numbers. Unfortunately, the shoulder problem came up at the worst possible time, both for the 2019 Yankees bullpen and for Betances’ future earnings.

Betances has been one of, if not my favorite Yankee since Number 2 retired and as a native New Yorker and homegrown prospect who has always said and done the right things, it’s hard not to like him (unless you’re Randy Levine). As long as this shoulder problem does turn out to be a minor thing and he returns to pitch like he always has (minus the end of the 2017 season), extend him!

Didi Gregorius is a little trickier. He’ll most likely return sometime this summer and be the productive offensive and defensive player he’s always been (outside of 2015) for the Yankees. But it’s not certain. There’s a chance Gregorius isn’t the same player he was prior to Tommy John surgery and I would think the Yankees will wait to see how he performs before extending him.

It’s also not a necessity to extend Gregorius. Yes, he’s a fan favorite, outstanding defender and one of two reliable left-handed bats in the lineup. But the Yankees have Gleyber Torres for at least six more seasons and have DJ LeMahieu for this season and next. It’s not impossible to see the Yankees let Gregorius leave as a free agent if they aren’t able to extend him to a team-friendly deal and if he wants and thinks he can get more on the open market. Gregorius will be 30 for the 2020 season and if he’s looking for a five- or six-year deal, I don’t know that the Yankees will be interested in that.

Everyone knows Bryce Harper is only good for home runs. Sure, he’s a superstar, so he got paid. The Yankees are waiting on Mike Trout, if they don’t sign Trout then I think there is an issue of being cheap, especially if the Red Sox win back-to-back World Series titles. – Bill

While Bryce Harper isn’t “only good for home runs”, if he were, that’s not exactly a knock. That’s the best thing to be good for. Home runs equal runs. Runs equal wins. Wins equal playoffs. Playoffs equal chance to win championships.

Last season, Harper batted .249/.393/.496 with 34 home runs and 100 RBIs, while scoring 103 runs and walking a Major League-leading 130 times. He’s a six-time All-Star in seven seasons with an NL MVP to his name and a career .900 OPS. If there is one thing Harper is “only good for”, it’s getting on base, and that’s the most important thing a hitter can do.

The question becomes, is Harper worth a 13-year, $330 million contract? If a 25-year-old Giancarlo Stanton was worth 13 years and $325 million then you could say a 26-year-old Harper is a bargain at a $330 million. Prior to to the offseason, I thought Harper would get at least $400 million, so for him to get only $330 million is a bit shocking.

It’s concerning the Yankees have a young core of players making relatively no money between Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Gleyber Torres and Miguel Andujar, and you can even throw in Aaron Hicks, and yet, they didn’t sign either 26-year-old generational star this offseason. Back in 2016, it seemed inevitable the Yankees would sign one if not two of Harper and Machado, and yet they signed neither, and that was before they hit on every top prospect of theirs. The Yankees couldn’t have asked for a better situation going into this offseason with a cheap, young core and having reset their luxury tax, and they failed to sign either of the best two position players (Harper and Machado) and the best (Patrick Corbin).

This question came in before Mike Trout signed his $430 million extension with the Angels, but if he hadn’t, if you think the Hal Steinbrenner Yankees were going to suddenly change course two years from now and sign a 29-year-old Trout when they wouldn’t sign a 26-year-old Harper or a 26-year-old Machado, well, you’re sadly mistaken.

As for the possibility of the Red Sox winning back-to-back World Series titles mattering, the Yankees failed to sign any of the Top 3 free agents after the Red Sox won 108 games, beat the Yankees for the division and then flat-out embarrassed them in the ALDS on their way to a championship.

Want to be included in the next Monday Mail? Email your questions to KeefeToTheCity@gmail.com or engage on the Keefe To The City Facebook page or on Twitter.

***

My book The Next Yankees Era: My Transition from the Core Four to the Baby Bombers is now available as an ebook!

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